scholarly journals Air Temperature and Snow Accumulation in the Antarctic Peninsula During the Past 50 Years (Abstract)

1988 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
pp. 207 ◽  
Author(s):  
David A. Peel ◽  
Robert Mulvaney
Keyword(s):  
Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
Accumulation Rate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Cores ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
The West ◽  
Climate Type ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
Noise Factors

Trends in climate affecting the West Antarctic ice sheet may be detected first in the Antarctic Peninsula region. Although the area contains the most comprehensive weather records for any part of Antarctica, reliable snow-accumulation data are lacking. Mainly as a result of the large snow-accumulation rate in the region (typically in the range 4.0–10.0 kg m−2 a−1), stratigraphie evidence of climate derived from ice cores can be resolved in much greater detail than is possible over most of the continent. Ice cores have been drilled at two sites, representing the extremes of climate type encountered in the region. A 133 m core has been obtained from Dolleman Island (70°35.2′S, 60°55.5′W) to represent the continental-type climate of the Weddell coast region, and an 87 m core has been obtained from the Palmer Land plateau (74°01′S, 70°38′W) to represent the more maritime regime of the west coast and central areas. Replicated cores were obtained at both sites in order to assess the contribution of local noise factors to the climatic signal preserved in the cores. Climatic trends during the period 1938–86 have been assessed on the basis of stable-isotope analysis of the top 47 m of the Palmer Land core and of the top 32 m of the Dolleman Island core. A statistical analysis of derived profiles of mean annual δ18O and accumulation rate indicates that the local noise factors at these sites are sufficiently small that data averaged over periods as short as 5 years should reveal climatic shifts at the level of 0.2% and 5% respectively. These changes are much smaller than trends that have actually occurred during the past 50 years. The most notable trend over the past 30 years is an increase of more than 30% in the snow-accumulation rate that has occurred in parallel with an overall temperature increase of 0.06°C/a during the same period. Increases of similar magnitude can be inferred from studies in East Antarctica, and may be related to a significant increase in precipitation rate that has been documented recently at mid-to high-latitude stations in the Northern Hemisphere. The finding may have relevance to studies of the possible consequences of a CO2-induced climate change. More extensive accumulation time series are now required from Antarctica, if satisfactory models of the long-term balance of the ice sheet are to be derived.

scholarly journals Air Temperature and Snow Accumulation in the Antarctic Peninsula During the Past 50 Years (Abstract)

1988 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
pp. 207-207 ◽  
Author(s):  
David A. Peel ◽  
Robert Mulvaney
Keyword(s):  
Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
Accumulation Rate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Cores ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
The West ◽  
Climate Type ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
Noise Factors

Trends in climate affecting the West Antarctic ice sheet may be detected first in the Antarctic Peninsula region. Although the area contains the most comprehensive weather records for any part of Antarctica, reliable snow-accumulation data are lacking.Mainly as a result of the large snow-accumulation rate in the region (typically in the range 4.0–10.0 kg m−2 a−1), stratigraphie evidence of climate derived from ice cores can be resolved in much greater detail than is possible over most of the continent. Ice cores have been drilled at two sites, representing the extremes of climate type encountered in the region. A 133 m core has been obtained from Dolleman Island (70°35.2′S, 60°55.5′W) to represent the continental-type climate of the Weddell coast region, and an 87 m core has been obtained from the Palmer Land plateau (74°01′S, 70°38′W) to represent the more maritime regime of the west coast and central areas. Replicated cores were obtained at both sites in order to assess the contribution of local noise factors to the climatic signal preserved in the cores. Climatic trends during the period 1938–86 have been assessed on the basis of stable-isotope analysis of the top 47 m of the Palmer Land core and of the top 32 m of the Dolleman Island core.A statistical analysis of derived profiles of mean annual δ18O and accumulation rate indicates that the local noise factors at these sites are sufficiently small that data averaged over periods as short as 5 years should reveal climatic shifts at the level of 0.2% and 5% respectively. These changes are much smaller than trends that have actually occurred during the past 50 years.The most notable trend over the past 30 years is an increase of more than 30% in the snow-accumulation rate that has occurred in parallel with an overall temperature increase of 0.06°C/a during the same period. Increases of similar magnitude can be inferred from studies in East Antarctica, and may be related to a significant increase in precipitation rate that has been documented recently at mid-to high-latitude stations in the Northern Hemisphere. The finding may have relevance to studies of the possible consequences of a CO2-induced climate change. More extensive accumulation time series are now required from Antarctica, if satisfactory models of the long-term balance of the ice sheet are to be derived.

scholarly journals Climate since AD 1510 on Dyer Plateau, Antarctic Peninsula: evidence for recent climate change

1994 ◽  
Vol 20 ◽  
pp. 420-426 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. G. Thompson ◽  
D. A. Peel ◽  
E. Mosley-thompson ◽  
R. Mulvaney ◽  
J. Dal ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
19Th Century ◽  
Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
Chemical Species ◽  
Ice Cores ◽  
Warming Trend ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Annual Variations ◽  
Recent Climate ◽  
The 19Th Century ◽  
The Antarctic

A 480 year record of the oxygen-isotope ratios, dust content, chemical species and net accumulation from ice cores drilled in 1989 90 on Dyer Plateau in the Antarctic Peninsula is presented. The continuous analyses of small (sub-annual) samples reveal well-preserved annual variations in both sulfate content and δ18O, thus allowing an excellent time-scale to be established.This history reveals a recent pronounced warming in which the last two decades have been among the warmest in the last five centuries. Furthermore, unlike in East Antarctica, on Dyer Plateau conditions appear to have been fairly normal from AD 1500 to 1850 with cooler conditions from 1850 to 1930 and a warming trend dominating since 1930. Reconstructed annual layer thicknesses suggest an increase in net accumulation beginning early in the 19th century and continuing to the present. This intuitive conflict between increasing net accumulation and depleted δ18O (cooler climate) in the 19th century appears widespread in the peninsula region and challenges our understanding of the physical relationships among moisture sources, air temperatures and snow accumulation. The complex meteorological regime in the Antarctic Peninsula region complicates meaningful interpretation of proxy indicators and results in a strong imprint of local high-frequency processes upon the larger-scale climate picture.

scholarly journals Simultaneous solution for mass trends on the West Antarctic Ice Sheet

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 2995-3035 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Schön ◽  
A. Zammit-Mangion ◽  
J. L. Bamber ◽  
J. Rougier ◽  
T. Flament ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
The West ◽  
Spatial Error ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Forward Models ◽  
West Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
West Antarctic ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. The Antarctic Ice Sheet is the largest potential source of future sea-level rise. Mass loss has been increasing over the last two decades in the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS), but with significant discrepancies between estimates, especially for the Antarctic Peninsula. Most of these estimates utilise geophysical models to explicitly correct the observations for (unobserved) processes. Systematic errors in these models introduce biases in the results which are difficult to quantify. In this study, we provide a statistically rigorous, error-bounded trend estimate of ice mass loss over the WAIS from 2003–2009 which is almost entirely data-driven. Using altimetry, gravimetry, and GPS data in a hierarchical Bayesian framework, we derive spatial fields for ice mass change, surface mass balance, and glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) without relying explicitly on forward models. The approach we use separates mass and height change contributions from different processes, reproducing spatial features found in, for example, regional climate and GIA forward models, and provides an independent estimate, which can be used to validate and test the models. In addition, full spatial error estimates are derived for each field. The mass loss estimates we obtain are smaller than some recent results, with a time-averaged mean rate of −76 ± 15 GT yr−1 for the WAIS and Antarctic Peninsula (AP), including the major Antarctic Islands. The GIA estimate compares very well with results obtained from recent forward models (IJ05-R2) and inversion methods (AGE-1). Due to its computational efficiency, the method is sufficiently scalable to include the whole of Antarctica, can be adapted for other ice sheets and can easily be adapted to assimilate data from other sources such as ice cores, accumulation radar data and other measurements that contain information about any of the processes that are solved for.

scholarly journals Climate since AD 1510 on Dyer Plateau, Antarctic Peninsula: evidence for recent climate change

1994 ◽  
Vol 20 ◽  
pp. 420-426 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. G. Thompson ◽  
D. A. Peel ◽  
E. Mosley-thompson ◽  
R. Mulvaney ◽  
J. Dal ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
19Th Century ◽  
Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
Chemical Species ◽  
Ice Cores ◽  
Warming Trend ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Annual Variations ◽  
Recent Climate ◽  
The 19Th Century ◽  
The Antarctic

A 480 year record of the oxygen-isotope ratios, dust content, chemical species and net accumulation from ice cores drilled in 1989 90 on Dyer Plateau in the Antarctic Peninsula is presented. The continuous analyses of small (sub-annual) samples reveal well-preserved annual variations in both sulfate content and δ18O, thus allowing an excellent time-scale to be established.This history reveals a recent pronounced warming in which the last two decades have been among the warmest in the last five centuries. Furthermore, unlike in East Antarctica, on Dyer Plateau conditions appear to have been fairly normal from AD 1500 to 1850 with cooler conditions from 1850 to 1930 and a warming trend dominating since 1930. Reconstructed annual layer thicknesses suggest an increase in net accumulation beginning early in the 19th century and continuing to the present. This intuitive conflict between increasing net accumulation and depleted δ18O (cooler climate) in the 19th century appears widespread in the peninsula region and challenges our understanding of the physical relationships among moisture sources, air temperatures and snow accumulation. The complex meteorological regime in the Antarctic Peninsula region complicates meaningful interpretation of proxy indicators and results in a strong imprint of local high-frequency processes upon the larger-scale climate picture.

scholarly journals The Dynamics of the Antarctic Ice Sheet

1989 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
pp. 16-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
W.F. Budd ◽  
D. Jenssen
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flux ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Accumulation Rate ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Geothermal Heat ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Antarctic

A three-dimensional dynamic, thermodynamic ice-sheet model has been developed to simulate the past, present, and future behaviour of the Antarctic ice sheet. The present ice velocities depend on the deep ice temperatures which in turn depend on the past changes of the ice sheet, including surface temperature, accumulation rate, and ice thickness. The basal temperatures are also strongly dependent on the geothermal heat flux. The model has therefore been used to study the effect on the basal temperatures, of changes to the geothermal heat flux, as well as the past changes of surface temperature and accumulation rate based on results obtained from the Vostok deep ice core. The model is also used to compute the distribution of surface velocity required to balance the present accumulation rate and the dynamics velocity based on the stress, temperature, and flow properties of ice, for the internal deformation, plus a component due to ice sliding. These velocities are compared to observed surface velocities in East Antarctica to assess the state of balance and the performance of the dynamics formulation.

scholarly journals Stochastic perturbation of divide position

1996 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 94-104 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. G. A. Hindmarsh
Keyword(s):  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
Accumulation Rate ◽  
Relaxation Times ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Stochastic Perturbation ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Random Forcing ◽  
Statistical Variation ◽  
The Antarctic

Perturbation of divide position is considered by a linearization about the Vialov–Nye solution and also about related solutions with O(1) relief. Relaxation times of one-sixteenth the fundamental thickness/accumulation-rate time-scale are found for the Vialov–Nye configuration, while substantial basal topography can halve the rate of relaxation. Steady divide position is most sensitive to anti-symmetric accumulation-rate distributions near the divide, but transient divide motion is most strongly excited by anti-symmetric accumulation rate variations halfway between the margin and the divide. Relaxation times for the Antarctic Peninsula divide position are estimated to be around 200 years, while the larger Greenland ice sheet has a divide-position relaxation time of around 600 years.Modelling accumulation rate as a white-noise process permits analysis of divide perturbation as a (stochastic) Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process, where the standard deviation of the response is proportional to the standard deviation of the forcing. If observed accumulation-rate variability in the Antarctic Peninsula were anti-symmetric about the divide, it would be sufficient to force the divide position to fluctuate with standard deviation 10–20 times the depth of the ice sheet. There appears to be sufficient noise to cause Raymond bumps to be spread significantly. More data on the statistical variation of accumulation with position are needed. Random forcing will increase the complexity of any fold structures created in the divide region and in particular the number of such structures intersecting any borehole.

scholarly journals Snow-accumulation rates and isotopic content (2H,3H) of near-surface firn from the Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf, Antarctica

1994 ◽  
Vol 20 ◽  
pp. 121-128 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Graf ◽  
H. Moser ◽  
O. Reinwarth ◽  
J. Kipfstuhl ◽  
H. Oerter ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Accumulation Rate ◽  
Ice Cores ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Accumulation Rates ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Surface Data ◽  
Chemical Profiles ◽  
Ice Edge ◽  
The Antarctic

The accumulation and distribution of the2H content of near-surface layers in the eastern part of the Ronne Ice Shelf were determined from 16 firn cores drilled to about 10 m depth during the Filchner IIIa and IV campaigns in 1990 and 1992, respectively. The cores were dated stratigraphically by seasonal δ2H variations in the firn. In addition,3H and high-resolution chemical profiles were used to assist in dating. Both the accumulation rate and the stable-isotope content decrease with increasing distance from the ice edge: the δ2H values range from about 195‰ at the ice edge to -25‰ at BAS sites 5 and 6, south of Henry Ice Rise, and the accumulation rates from about 210 to 90 kgm-2a-1. The δ2H values of the near-surface firn and the 10 m firn temperatures (Θ) at individual sites are very well correlated: dδ2H/dΘ = (10.3 ± 0.6)‰K-1; r = 0.97.The δ2H profiles of the two ice cores BI3 and BI5 drilled in 1990 and 1992 to 215 and 320 m depth, respectively, reflect the gradual depletion in2H in the firn upstream of the drill sites. Comparison with the surface data indicates that the ice above 142 m in core BIS and above 137 m in core BI3 was deposited on the ice shelf, whereas the deeper ice, down to 152.8 m depth, most probably originated from the margin of the Antarctic ice sheet.

Spatial variability of snow isotopic composition and accumulation rate at the stake farm of Vostok station (Сentral Antarctica)

2019 ◽  
Vol 65 (1) ◽  
pp. 46-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. A. Ekaykin ◽  
D. O. Vladimirova ◽  
N. A. Tebenkova ◽  
E. V. Brovkov ◽  
A. N. Veres ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Spatial Variability ◽  
Isotopic Composition ◽  
Accumulation Rate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Cores ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Geochemical Data ◽  
Snow Surface ◽  
Vostok Station

The knowledge of the spatial distribution of the snow accumulation rate and isotopic composition in different scales, from local to continental, over the Antarctic Ice Sheet is critically important for the interpretation of the paleoclimate data obtained from deep ice cores, for correct assessment of the ice sheet mass balance, etc. With this in mind, we have synthesized geodetic, glaciological and geochemical data collected in the vicinity of central Antarctic Vostok station in 1970–2017 in order to shed light on the processes governing the spatial distribution of snow isotopic composition and accumulation rate in the spatial scale from 100 to 1000 m. First, we have discovered that snow surface height and snow accumulation rate field are strongly affected by the influence of the logistic convoy route annually operating between Russian Antarctic stations Vostok and Progress. This influence is detectable up to 1 km leeward from the route. At the same time the isotopic composition of the upper 10 cm of the snow does not show any anomalies in the vicinity of the route. This is an unexpected result, because large anomalies of the ice sheet surface (e.g., megadunes) are known to affect the snow isotopic composition. Second, in the undisturbed part of the snow surface near Vostok station we have discovered quasi-periodic (with the wavelength of about 400 m) low-amplitude variations of the surface height that are covariant with the corresponding waves in snow accumulation and isotopic composition. We suggest that spatial variability of the snow isotopic composition is due to the different ratio of summer and winter precipitation deposited in different locations, as evident from a strong negative correlation between δD and dxs parameters. The results of this study may explain the nature of the low-frequency noise (with the time-scale from decades to centuries) observed in the climate records obtained from shallow and deep ice cores in central Antarctica.

scholarly journals Simultaneous solution for mass trends on the West Antarctic Ice Sheet

2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 805-819 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Schoen ◽  
A. Zammit-Mangion ◽  
J. C. Rougier ◽  
T. Flament ◽  
F. Rémy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Bayesian Framework ◽  
The West ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Forward Models ◽  
West Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
West Antarctic ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. The Antarctic Ice Sheet is the largest potential source of future sea-level rise. Mass loss has been increasing over the last 2 decades for the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) but with significant discrepancies between estimates, especially for the Antarctic Peninsula. Most of these estimates utilise geophysical models to explicitly correct the observations for (unobserved) processes. Systematic errors in these models introduce biases in the results which are difficult to quantify. In this study, we provide a statistically rigorous error-bounded trend estimate of ice mass loss over the WAIS from 2003 to 2009 which is almost entirely data driven. Using altimetry, gravimetry, and GPS data in a hierarchical Bayesian framework, we derive spatial fields for ice mass change, surface mass balance, and glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) without relying explicitly on forward models. The approach we use separates mass and height change contributions from different processes, reproducing spatial features found in, for example, regional climate and GIA forward models, and provides an independent estimate which can be used to validate and test the models. In addition, spatial error estimates are derived for each field. The mass loss estimates we obtain are smaller than some recent results, with a time-averaged mean rate of −76 ± 15 Gt yr−1 for the WAIS and Antarctic Peninsula, including the major Antarctic islands. The GIA estimate compares well with results obtained from recent forward models (IJ05-R2) and inverse methods (AGE-1). The Bayesian framework is sufficiently flexible that it can, eventually, be used for the whole of Antarctica, be adapted for other ice sheets and utilise data from other sources such as ice cores, accumulation radar data, and other measurements that contain information about any of the processes that are solved for.

scholarly journals Marine pelagic ecosystems: the West Antarctic Peninsula

2006 ◽  
Vol 362 (1477) ◽  
pp. 67-94 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hugh W Ducklow ◽  
Karen Baker ◽  
Douglas G Martinson ◽  
Langdon B Quetin ◽  
Robin M Ross ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
Marine Ecosystem ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
The West ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
The Past ◽  
West Antarctic ◽  
West Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
The Antarctic

The marine ecosystem of the West Antarctic Peninsula (WAP) extends from the Bellingshausen Sea to the northern tip of the peninsula and from the mostly glaciated coast across the continental shelf to the shelf break in the west. The glacially sculpted coastline along the peninsula is highly convoluted and characterized by deep embayments that are often interconnected by channels that facilitate transport of heat and nutrients into the shelf domain. The ecosystem is divided into three subregions, the continental slope, shelf and coastal regions, each with unique ocean dynamics, water mass and biological distributions. The WAP shelf lies within the Antarctic Sea Ice Zone (SIZ) and like other SIZs, the WAP system is very productive, supporting large stocks of marine mammals, birds and the Antarctic krill, Euphausia superba . Ecosystem dynamics is dominated by the seasonal and interannual variation in sea ice extent and retreat. The Antarctic Peninsula is one among the most rapidly warming regions on Earth, having experienced a 2°C increase in the annual mean temperature and a 6°C rise in the mean winter temperature since 1950. Delivery of heat from the Antarctic Circumpolar Current has increased significantly in the past decade, sufficient to drive to a 0.6°C warming of the upper 300 m of shelf water. In the past 50 years and continuing in the twenty-first century, the warm, moist maritime climate of the northern WAP has been migrating south, displacing the once dominant cold, dry continental Antarctic climate and causing multi-level responses in the marine ecosystem. Ecosystem responses to the regional warming include increased heat transport, decreased sea ice extent and duration, local declines in ice-dependent Adélie penguins, increase in ice-tolerant gentoo and chinstrap penguins, alterations in phytoplankton and zooplankton community composition and changes in krill recruitment, abundance and availability to predators. The climate/ecological gradients extending along the WAP and the presence of monitoring systems, field stations and long-term research programmes make the region an invaluable observatory of climate change and marine ecosystem response.

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