scholarly journals Analysis of Price Risk Management Strategies in Dairy Farming Using Whole-Farm Simulations

2013 ◽  
Vol 45 (2) ◽  
pp. 313-327 ◽  
Author(s):  
James Neyhard ◽  
Loren Tauer ◽  
Brent Gloy
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Farm Income ◽  
Reference Scenario ◽  
Net Income ◽  
Dairy Farmers ◽  
Risk Management Strategies ◽  
Marketing Procedure ◽  
Cash Basis ◽  
Price Risk Management

Combinations of futures and options contracts on milk and feed were simulated to determine their influence on a representative dairy farm's ability to meet cash flow requirements and reduce the variance of net income. Compared with the reference scenario of selling milk and procuring inputs on a monthly cash basis, the risk management activities did not result in a significant change in either the level or variance of net farm income. The results suggest that on average the current marketing procedure of monthly cash milk pricing and monthly feed purchases (and pricing) produces a strong built-in natural hedge for dairy farmers.

scholarly journals Risk Management Strategies to Reduce Net Income Variability for Farmers

1985 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 117-130 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hamid Falatoonzadeh ◽  
J. Richard Conner ◽  
Rulon D. Pope
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Crop Production ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Farm Income ◽  
Net Income ◽  
Combination Strategy ◽  
Management Tools ◽  
Risk Management Strategies ◽  
Price Risks ◽  
The Many

AbstractThe most useful and practical strategy available for reducing variability of net farm income is ascertained. Of the many risk management tools presently available, five of the most commonly used are simultaneously incorporated in an empirically tested model. Quadratic programming provides the basis for decisionmaking in risk management wherein expected utility is assumed to be a function of the mean and variance of net income. Results demonstrate that farmers can reduce production and price risks when a combination strategy including a diversified crop production plan and participation in the futures market and the Federal Crop Insurance Program (FCIP) is implemented.

scholarly journals Risks and determinants of risk management strategies among rural cassava-based farmers in Imo State

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 100-115
Author(s):  
C.E. Ahaneku ◽  
S.U.O. Onyeagocha ◽  
C.C. Eze ◽  
N.M. Chidiebere-Mark ◽  
G.O. Ellah ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Farm Size ◽  
Farm Income ◽  
Imo State ◽  
Resistant Species ◽  
Risk Management Strategies ◽  
Multistage Sampling ◽  
Logit Regression Model

Cassava-based farmers are faced with a lot of risks and uncertainties and this results to low agricultural output and hinders the rural farmers from  pursuing their farming activities as an enterprise. The study assessed the risks and determinants of risk management strategies among rural cassava-based farmers in Imo State. A multistage sampling technique was used in the selection of respondents. Data were collected with the use of structured questionnaire administered to 180 respondents. Multinomial logit regression model was used to determine the factors influencing the choice of risk management strategies among rural cassava-based farmers in the study area. Results of the study showed that the farmers were of middle-age, fairly educated and have average farm size of one hectare. Majority of the farmers identified loss of crop due to disease (76.11%) and loss due to erosion (73.89%) as sources of risk farmers were exposed to. Also greater number of the respondents adopted practicing of mixed  cropping and planting of disease resistant species as risk management strategies. The result of the study also confirmed that age, gender, educational level and farm income were the major determinants of the farmers’ choice of risk management strategies. It was recommended that  government should make extension services functional and provide policies that will help boost the socio-economic welfare of farmers as this will significantly propel an increase in the choice effective risk management strategies in the area. Keywords: Risk management, risk management strategies, cassava based farmers.

scholarly journals Risk perception and risk management strategies on New Zealand dairy farms according to ownership structure and geographic location

2005 ◽  
pp. 97-102
Author(s):  
R. Pinochet-Chateau ◽  
N.M. Shadbolt ◽  
C.W. Holmes ◽  
N. Lopez-Villalobos
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
New Zealand ◽  
Risk Perception ◽  
Ownership Structure ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Geographic Location ◽  
Perception Of Risk ◽  
Dairy Farmers ◽  
Risk Management Strategies ◽  
Risk Sources

New Zealand has had many changes in the dairy industry during the last twenty years. As NZ dairy farming has particular characteristics (e.g. differing ownership structures, geographic areas) risk perception and management strategies may differ significantly between them. No studies have been undertaken regarding the differences in perception of risk and risk management strategies used by different gr oups of dairy farmer s. A survey of 1000 NZ dairy farmers was conducted in 2004 and further analysed to address this need. In the survey the dairy farmers were asked to assess their perception of risk sources and the importance they attached to risk management strategies. Using a 1 to 5 scale, mean scores of both risk sources and management strategies were compared (Z-test) by ownership structure and geographic location. The differences in the perception of risk between sharemilkers and owner-operators were mainly in the sources categorised as "market" and "human". "Changes in land prices" was highly important for sharemilkers. Differences of risk management strategies were noted in the "financial" and "production" categories. The main sources of risk perceived differently by farmers in the North and South Islands were in the production side of the business. Although farmer s from both islands were similarly focused on controlling risk through production management strategies, those from the South Island were keener to use financial responses. In conclusion, sharemilkers were more concerned with the changes of prices of both inputs and outputs than owner-operators. Sharemilkers were more production-orientated to manage risk than farm owners, and they also were more focused on off-farm income and debt management. Differences in both the risk perception and the risk management strategies used in each island are related to differences in farm sizes and the developmental stage of the dairy sector in each island. Keywords: risk perception, risk management strategies, sharemilkers

scholarly journals Produce certification and income risk management strategies of cocoa farming households in South-West Nigeria

2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 75-79
Author(s):  
A. B. Oreyemi ◽  
R. A. Sanusi ◽  
L. O. Okojie ◽  
A. O. Olaiya ◽  
D. Akerele
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Farm Income ◽  
Income Risk ◽  
Chi Square ◽  
South West ◽  
Risk Management Strategies ◽  
Cocoa Production ◽  
Chi Square Analysis ◽  
Farming Households

Agricultural produce certification is synonymous to farm assurance of which cocoa certification is an example; dealing with issues of Good Agricultural, Environmental and Social Practices (GAP, GEP and GSP) in cocoa production. Essentially, GAP, GEP and GSP packages had in-built mechanism that can aid farmers mitigate factors that could lead to farm income risks in cocoa production. Consequently, this study examined the influence of cocoa certification on income risks of cocoa farming households in South-west Nigeria. A multistage sampling technique was used to select 180 cocoa farming households from whose heads data were obtained with interview schedule in Southwest Nigeria. Data were analyzed with Chi-square Statistic, Income Risk Management Diversification Index (IRD) and Mann-Whitney-U Test Statistic. Chi-square analysis shows that (52.3%) certified cocoa farming households employed more risk management strategies than (94.2%) uncertified cocoa farming households (p<0.01). The Mann-Whitney-U test revealed a significant difference (p>0.05) between the income risk management practices of certified and uncertified cocoa farming households. Therefore, produce certification has been helping cocoa farming households in mitigating farm income risk in cocoa production through the employment of diverse (risk) management strategies. Hence, stakeholders should intensify efforts in encouraging farming households to embrace (cocoa) produce certification.

scholarly journals An Evaluation of Risk Management Strategies for Dairy Farms

1992 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 173-182 ◽  
Author(s):  
Darrell J. Bosch ◽  
Christian J. Johnson
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Risk Aversion ◽  
Crop Yields ◽  
Crop Insurance ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Dairy Farm ◽  
Dairy Farmers ◽  
Net Returns ◽  
Base Scenario ◽  
Risk Management Strategies

AbstractVariability in feed prices and crop yields are important sources of risk to dairy farmers. A simulation model of a representative dairy farm was used to evaluate crop insurance and hedging as risk management strategies. These strategies lowered expected net returns but also reduced risk. The preferred set of strategies at lower levels of risk aversion included hedging and crop insurance, although a base scenario in which no risk management strategies were employed was also efficient. The preferred strategy at higher levels of risk aversion was a combination of crop insurance and hedging.

scholarly journals Perception and risk management strategies for ranchers and their determinants: a case study from Turkey

2021 ◽  
Vol 51 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Seyit Hayran ◽  
Murak Külekçi ◽  
Aykut Gül
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Farm Income ◽  
Least Squares Regression ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Income Uncertainty ◽  
Perceptions Of Risk ◽  
Risk Management Strategies ◽  
Risk Sources ◽  
The Government

ABSTRACT: In this study, beef cattle farmers’ perceptions of risk and risk management strategies, and their determinants were analyzed using factor analysis and partial least squares regression analysis. The data set used in this study came from a survey conducted in Erzurum Province. The results demonstrated that variability in fodder price, insufficient farm income, uncertainty in government policies were perceived as the most important risks. Clean cattle shelter, off-farm income, monitoring and preventing livestock diseases were perceived as the most important risk management strategies. Results, also, demonstrated that some characteristics of farmers affected farmers’ perceptions. In this study, it was identified that the most important risk sources were economics-based. So, it was recommended that the government policy should be focused on preventing the fluctuations in input/output prices.

scholarly journals What Determines the Uptake of Multiple Tools to Mitigate Agricultural Risks among Hybrid Maize Growers in Pakistan? Findings from Field-Level Data

Agriculture ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 578
Author(s):  
Shoaib Akhtar ◽  
Azhar Abbas ◽  
Muhammad Amjed Iqbal ◽  
Muhammad Rizwan ◽  
Abdus Samie ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Management Tool ◽  
Easy Access ◽  
Farm Income ◽  
Contract Farming ◽  
Income Diversification ◽  
Risk Management Strategies ◽  
Farm Credit ◽  
Hybrid Maize

Arable farming is an intrinsically risky enterprise. Therefore, managing risks and uncertainties in agriculture is very important as it affects all sectors of the economy of a developing country like Pakistan. To do so, a whole suite of options is available to the farming community to safeguard against any type of risk. However, farmers’ behavior of the concurrent adoption of multiple risk management tools is largely ignored in previous studies and has formed the rationale for this research. Thus, the current study is intended to investigate farmers’ decisions of adopting risk management strategies (contract farming, off-farm income diversification, and farm credit use) and to examine the impacts of a variety of factors on farmers’ risk management decisions. The present study is carried out in four districts of Punjab province, Pakistan with a focus on hybrid maize growers. A multivariate probit model is used to evaluate the impacts of independent variables on growers’ choices of adopting contract farming, off-farm income diversification, and farm credit use to manage farm risks keeping in view the potential for the concurrent adoption of these risk management strategies. Results show that 78% of farmers are risk-averse and hence ready to manage risks. The top risk faced by farmers is price risk followed by biological, climatic, and financial risks. Contract farming is the most popular strategy (61% farmers) followed by off-farm income diversification (49% farmers), and the use of farm credit (42% farmers). The findings also reveal that the decisions of adopting risk management strategies are interlinked while the adoption of one risk management tool complements farmers’ decision to adopt other risk management strategies. In addition, the risk management strategies’ adoption choices are affected by the number of factors including socioeconomic characteristics, farmers’ risk perceptions about risk sources, and their attitude towards risk. The study recommends the provision of timely information (climatic, extension) along with easy access to farm credit and the streamlining of contractual arrangements.

The management of risk in a dryland environment

2011 ◽  
pp. 13-21
Author(s):  
D.I. Gray ◽  
J.I. Reid ◽  
D.J. Horne
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Service Providers ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Subterranean Clover ◽  
Farming Systems ◽  
Market Risk ◽  
Farm Size ◽  
Forage Crops ◽  
Risk Management Strategies ◽  
Upside Risk

A group of 24 Hawke's Bay hill country farmers are working with service providers to improve the resilience of their farming systems. An important step in the process was to undertake an inventory of their risk management strategies. Farmers were interviewed about their farming systems and risk management strategies and the data was analysed using descriptive statistics. There was considerable variation in the strategies adopted by the farmers to cope with a dryland environment. Importantly, these strategies had to cope with three types of drought and also upside risk (better than expected conditions), and so flexibility was critical. Infra-structure was important in managing a dryland environment. Farmers chose between increased scale (increasing farm size) and geographic dispersion (owning a second property in another location) through to intensification (investing in subdivision, drainage, capital fertiliser, new pasture species). The study identified that there may be scope for further investment in infra-structural elements such as drainage, deeper rooting alternative pasture species and water harvesting, along with improved management of subterranean clover to improve flexibility. Many of the farmers used forage crops and idling capacity (reduced stocking rate) to improve flexibility; others argued that maintaining pasture quality and managing upside risk was a better strategy in a dryland environment. Supplementary feed was an important strategy for some farmers, but its use was limited by contour and machinery constraints. A surprisingly large proportion of farmers run breeding cows, a policy that is much less flexible than trading stock. However, several farmers had improved their flexibility by running a high proportion of trading cattle and buffer mobs of ewe hoggets and trade lambs. To manage market risk, the majority of farmers are selling a large proportion of their lambs prime. Similarly, cattle are either sold prime or store onto the grass market when prices are at a premium. However, market risk associated with the purchase of supplements and grazing was poorly managed.

The Effects of Decision Aid Orientation on Risk Factor Identification and Audit Test Planning

2002 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 39-56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean C. Bedard ◽  
Lynford E. Graham
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Decision Aid ◽  
Decision Aids ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Risk Identification ◽  
Matched Pair ◽  
Audit Planning ◽  
Audit Firms ◽  
Risk Management Strategies

In auditing, risk management involves identifying client facts or issues that may affect engagement risk, and planning evidence-gathering strategies accordingly. The purpose of this paper is to examine whether auditors' identification of risk factors and planning of audit tests is affected by decision aid orientation, i.e., a “negative” focus wherein client risk and its consequences are emphasized, or a “positive” focus where such factors are not emphasized. Specifically, we expect that auditors will identify more risk factors using a negatively oriented risk identification decision aid, but only when engagement risk is relatively high. We address this issue in the context of auditors' knowledge of actual clients, manipulating decision aid orientation as negative or positive in a matched-pair design. Results show that auditors using the negative decision aid orientation identify more risk factors than do those using a positive orientation, for their higher-risk clients. We also find that decisions to apply substantive tests are more directly linked to specific risk factors identified than to direct risk assessments. Further, our results show that auditors with repeat engagement experience with the client identify more risk factors. The findings of this study imply that audit firms may improve their risk management strategies through simple changes in the design of decision aids used to support audit planning.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document