scholarly journals Future phytoplankton diversity in a changing climate

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephanie A. Henson ◽  
B. B. Cael ◽  
Stephanie R. Allen ◽  
Stephanie Dutkiewicz

AbstractThe future response of marine ecosystem diversity to continued anthropogenic forcing is poorly constrained. Phytoplankton are a diverse set of organisms that form the base of the marine ecosystem. Currently, ocean biogeochemistry and ecosystem models used for climate change projections typically include only 2−3 phytoplankton types and are, therefore, too simple to adequately assess the potential for changes in plankton community structure. Here, we analyse a complex ecosystem model with 35 phytoplankton types to evaluate the changes in phytoplankton community composition, turnover and size structure over the 21st century. We find that the rate of turnover in the phytoplankton community becomes faster during this century, that is, the community structure becomes increasingly unstable in response to climate change. Combined with alterations to phytoplankton diversity, our results imply a loss of ecological resilience with likely knock-on effects on the productivity and functioning of the marine environment.


2010 ◽  
Vol 7 (12) ◽  
pp. 3941-3959 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Marinov ◽  
S. C. Doney ◽  
I. D. Lima

Abstract. The response of ocean phytoplankton community structure to climate change depends, among other factors, upon species competition for nutrients and light, as well as the increase in surface ocean temperature. We propose an analytical framework linking changes in nutrients, temperature and light with changes in phytoplankton growth rates, and we assess our theoretical considerations against model projections (1980–2100) from a global Earth System model. Our proposed "critical nutrient hypothesis" stipulates the existence of a critical nutrient threshold below (above) which a nutrient change will affect small phytoplankton biomass more (less) than diatom biomass, i.e. the phytoplankton with lower half-saturation coefficient K are influenced more strongly in low nutrient environments. This nutrient threshold broadly corresponds to 45° S and 45° N, poleward of which high vertical mixing and inefficient biology maintain higher surface nutrient concentrations and equatorward of which reduced vertical mixing and more efficient biology maintain lower surface nutrients. In the 45° S–45° N low nutrient region, decreases in limiting nutrients – associated with increased stratification under climate change – are predicted analytically to decrease more strongly the specific growth of small phytoplankton than the growth of diatoms. In high latitudes, the impact of nutrient decrease on phytoplankton biomass is more significant for diatoms than small phytoplankton, and contributes to diatom declines in the northern marginal sea ice and subpolar biomes. In the context of our model, climate driven increases in surface temperature and changes in light are predicted to have a stronger impact on small phytoplankton than on diatom biomass in all ocean domains. Our analytical predictions explain reasonably well the shifts in community structure under a modeled climate-warming scenario. Climate driven changes in nutrients, temperature and light have regionally varying and sometimes counterbalancing impacts on phytoplankton biomass and structure, with nutrients and temperature dominant in the 45° S–45° N band and light-temperature effects dominant in the marginal sea-ice and subpolar regions. As predicted, decreases in nutrients inside the 45° S–45° N "critical nutrient" band result in diatom biomass decreasing more than small phytoplankton biomass. Further stratification from global warming could result in geographical shifts in the "critical nutrient" threshold and additional changes in ecology.



1981 ◽  
Vol 38 (5) ◽  
pp. 524-534 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruce D. LaZerte ◽  
Susan Watson

We tested the hypothesis that total phytoplankton biomass can predict phytoplankton community structure independent of its taxonomic composition. From a 2-yr study on Lake Memphremagog, Quebec, which exhibits a marked axial trophic gradient, 133 samples were rarefied to uniform count sizes and a range of diversity numbers, based on proportional biomass, was calculated for each. Biomass is a good predictor of evenness (0.7 < R < 0.9), but not species richness (0.1 < R < 0.3), and this prediction is independent of changes in taxonomic composition. Species richness is more directly related to season and changes in taxonomic composition.Key words: diversity, evenness, species richness, phytoplankton





2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryan Heneghan ◽  
Jason Everett ◽  
Julia Blanchard ◽  
Patrick Sykes ◽  
Anthony Richardson

Abstract Although zooplankton are the primary energy pathway from phytoplankton to fish, we understand little about how climate change will modify zooplankton communities and their role in marine ecosystems. Using a trait-based marine ecosystem model resolving key zooplankton groups, we assess climate change impacts on zooplankton community composition and implications for marine food webs globally. We find that future oceans favour food webs increasingly dominated by carnivorous (chaetognaths, jellyfish and carnivorous copepods) and gelatinous filter-feeding zooplankton (larvaceans and salps). By providing a direct energetic pathway from small phytoplankton to fish, the rise of gelatinous filter-feeders largely offsets the increase in trophic steps between primary producers and fish from declining phytoplankton production and increasing carnivorous zooplankton. However, our results indicate that future fish communities face not only reduced carrying capacity from falling primary production, but also lower quality diets as environmental conditions increasingly favour gelatinous zooplankton.



2012 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 56-63 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyle F. Edwards ◽  
Elena Litchman ◽  
Christopher A. Klausmeier


2007 ◽  
Vol 4 (6) ◽  
pp. 4411-4441 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Fujii ◽  
F. Chai

Abstract. Several in situ iron-enrichment experiments have been conducted, where the response of the phytoplankton community differed. We use a marine ecosystem model to investigate the effect of iron on phytoplankton in response to different initial plankton conditions and mixed layer depths. Sensitivity analysis of the model results to the mixed layer depths reveals that the modeled response to the same iron enhancement treatment differed dramatically according to the different mixed layer depth. The magnitude of the iron-induced biogeochemical responses in the surface water, such as maximum chlorophyll, is inversely correlated with the mixed layer depth, as observed. The significant decrease in maximum surface chlorophyll with mixed layer depth results from the difference in diatom concentration in the mixed layer, which is determined by vertical mixing. Sensitivity of the model to initial mesozooplankton (as grazers on diatoms) biomass shows that column-integrated net community production and export production are strongly controlled by the initial mesozooplankton biomass. Higher initial mesozooplankton biomass yields high grazing pressure on diatoms, which results in less accumulation of diatom biomass. The initial diatom biomass is also important to the outcome of iron enrichment but is not as crucial as the mixed layer depth and the initial mesozooplankton biomass. This modeling study suggests not only mixed layer depth but also the initial biomass of diatoms and its principle grazers are crucial factors in the response of the phytoplankton community to the iron enrichments, and should be considered in designing future iron-enrichment experiments.



2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-40
Author(s):  
Rosadi Rosadi ◽  
Muhammad Musa ◽  
Tri Djoko Lelono

Jatigede Reservoir in Sumedang Regency is a land mass planning designed as a multi-function reservoir. The main water source for this reservoir is from Cimanuk River, which flows through Garut Regency, and has many industrial activities around the river flow. This research was conducted to assess the trophic status of water pollution in Jatigede Reservoir by utilizing plankton as a bioindicator agent. Samples were collected from 9 observation stations from November 2018 until January 2019. The results showed that 26 species of phytoplankton from 7 divisions including Dinophyta, Cyanophyta, Chlorophyta, Chrysophyta, Euglenophyta, Bacillariophyta, and Charophyta was found in Jatigede Reservoir at about 461 ind/m3. Zooplankton abundance of 6 species from 2 divisions of Rotifera and Copepoda at 2 ind/m3. The average phytoplankton diversity index was 0.93 and zooplankton diversity index was 0.23. The average phytoplankton evenness index was 0.44 and zooplankton evenness index was 0.24. The average dominance of phytoplankton was 0.58 and dominance of zooplankton was 0.25. Based on the plankton community structure, the trophic status of Jatigede Reservoir was classified to moderate polluted (eutroph) to heavily pollutants (hypereutroph). The dominant species was Perinidium sp from Dinophyta division.



2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (4A) ◽  
pp. 21-33
Author(s):  
Huynh Thi Ngoc Duyen ◽  
Tran Thi Minh Hue ◽  
Tran Thi Le Van ◽  
Phan Tan Luom ◽  
Nguyen Ngoc Lam ◽  
...  

Phytoplankton in coastal waters are important for the evaluation of either biodiversity or environmental impacts because of this highly vulnerable ecosystem. Seasonal and annual changes in the phytoplankton community structure in Quang Ngai waters during the period 2015 to 2019 were analyzed to assess the phytoplankton diversity and reveal possible causes of these changes. A total of 366 phytoplankton taxa belonging to 10 classes were identified throughout this present study. The highest species number was found in 2019 with 295 taxa, followed by those in 2015 (247), 2017 (185), and 2018 (99). The waters of Ly Son transect showed the highest diversity and most stable phytoplankton communities in both dry and rainy seasons, whereas the stations of Quang Ngai coast revealed high variability of the communities. All diversity indices including Margalef, Pielou, Shannon, Simpson did not reflect well differences in average values but a certain degree of variances, indicating possible environmental impacts. During the study time, there were blooms of certain diatom species including Skeletonema spp. in 2015 and Pseudo-nitzschia spp. in 2019. Analysis of a diatoms index, Centric/Pennate ratio, indicated that the waters were in eutrophic status with a decreasing trend from the coast area to Ly Son island in 2015 and 2019. This research built up fundamental data on phytoplankton communities for Quang Ngai province. The Centric/Pennate diatom index and diversity would be used as indicators for environmental changes and their values provided warning of eutrophication in this coastal waters including the water surrounding Ly Son island.



2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (15) ◽  
pp. 12851-12897 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Fu ◽  
J. Randerson ◽  
J. K. Moore

Abstract. We examine climate change impacts on net primary production (NPP) and export production (sinking particulate flux; EP) with simulations from nine Earth System Models (ESMs) performed in the framework of the fifth Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5). Global NPP and EP are reduced considerably by the end of the century for the intense warming scenario of Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5. Relative to the 1990s, global NPP in the 2090s is reduced by 2.3–16 % and EP by 7–18 %. The models with the largest increases in stratification (and largest relative reductions in NPP and EP) also show the largest positive biases in stratification for the contemporary period, suggesting some potential overestimation of climate impacts on NPP and EP. All of the CMIP5 models show an increase in stratification in response to surface ocean warming and freshening that is accompanied by decreases in NPP, EP, and surface macronutrient concentrations. There is considerable variability across models in the absolute magnitude of these fluxes, surface nutrient concentrations, and their perturbations by climate change, indicating large model uncertainties. The negative response of NPP and EP to stratification increases reflects a bottom-up control, as nutrient flux to the euphotic zone declines. Models with dynamic phytoplankton community structure show larger declines in EP than in NPP. This is driven by phytoplankton community composition shifts, with a reduced percentage of NPP by large phytoplankton under RCP 8.5, as smaller phytoplankton are favored under the increasing nutrient stress. Thus, projections of the NPP response to climate change in the CMIP5 models are critically dependent on the simulated phytoplankton community structure, the efficiency of the biological pump, and the resulting (highly variable) levels of regenerated production. Community composition is represented relatively simply in the CMIP5 models, and should be expanded to better capture the spatial patterns and the changes in export efficiency that are necessary for predicting climate impacts on NPP.



2008 ◽  
Vol 65 (8) ◽  
pp. 1475-1482 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Tett ◽  
C. Carreira ◽  
D. K. Mills ◽  
S. van Leeuwen ◽  
J. Foden ◽  
...  

Abstract Tett, P., Carreira, C., Mills, D. K., van Leeuwen, S., Foden, J., Bresnan, E., and Gowen, R. J. 2008. Use of a Phytoplankton Community Index to assess the health of coastal waters. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 65: 1475–1482. Monitoring of marine-ecosystem status and health requires indicators of community structure and function. As a structural indicator, we propose a Phytoplankton Community Index (PCI) based on the abundance of “life-forms” such as “pelagic diatoms” or “medium-sized autotrophic dinoflagellates”. To calculate the PCI, data showing seasonal variation in these abundances are plotted in “life-form space” of two or more dimensions. Data from a “type-specific reference condition” are then enclosed within a reference envelope. Comparison data are plotted into the same coordinate system, and the PCI is the proportion (between 0 and 1) of these new data that fall within the reference envelope. Results from initial applications of this method are shown for UK coastal waters in the northern North Sea (near Stonehaven), a Scottish fjord (Loch Creran), and the eastern Irish Sea (including Liverpool Bay). The Stonehaven data (1997–2005) were used to compare values obtained from weekly sampling with those from monthly sampling. A spatial comparison between more- and less-nutrient-enriched waters in the eastern Irish Sea (1991–2003) showed little difference in phytoplankton community structure. Loch Creran has experienced a large change in the “balance of organisms”, and hence a reduction in the PCI, between 1979–1981 and 2006/2007, associated with a decrease in chlorophyll but no apparent change in nutrients. These results are discussed in relation to the intended uses of the PCI as an index of biological quality for the Water Framework Directive (WFD) and an index of ecosystem health in the context of eutrophication. Although the method only measures change, it can also be used as an indicator of biological quality if the reference conditions are those defined for a WFD waterbody, and as an indicator of health if appropriately calibrated. Suggestions are made for further development.



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