scholarly journals Alternative approach to analysis of risks affecting the efficiency of implementing the investment project in the conditions of global instability of economic space

2020 ◽  
Vol 74 ◽  
pp. 06009
Author(s):  
Liana M. Chechenova ◽  
Natalia V. Volykhina ◽  
Yuriy V. Egorov

This article is devoted to the study of improving the use of expert assessments for risk analysis, affecting the effectiveness of the implementation of a comprehensive investment project in the global instability of the economic space. The existing methods of expert assessments and Monte-Carlo simulation methods used to identify and assess the risks of investment projects are described. A systematic analysis of the main risks of investment projects in the context of globalization and risk management methods was carried out. The author’s classification of risks of investment projects using the criteria of economic efficiency has been developed. An approach to risk analysis, affecting the effectiveness of the implementation of complex investment projects based on existing methods using the concept of the “reduced” random factor, is proposed. This approach is used to analyse project implementation risks in the conditions of market instability with the development of recommendations for managing the main project risks. The author’s risk classification of investment projects is important at the stage of analysing risks arising from the study of sales markets, as well as during the management decision-making process, which minimizes the possible adverse impact on an organization, including losses caused by random events. The proposed approach can be applied to the analysis, express-analysis and risk management of long-term complex investment projects in the conditions of global instability of the economic space.

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (6) ◽  
pp. 60-77
Author(s):  
E. V. Vasilieva ◽  
T. V. Gaibova

This paper describes the method of project risk analysis based on design thinking and explores the possibility of its application for industrial investment projects. Traditional and suggested approaches to project risk management have been compared. Several risk analysis artifacts have been added to the standard list of artifacts. An iterative procedure for the formation of risk analysis artifacts has been developed, with the purpose of integrating the risk management process into strategic and prompt decision-making during project management. A list of tools at each stage of design thinking for risk management within the framework of real investment projects has been proposed. The suggested technology helps to determine project objectives and content and adapt them in regards to possible; as well as to implement measures aimed at reducing these risks, to increase productivity of the existing risk assessment and risk management tools, to organize effective cooperation between project team members, and to promote accumulation of knowledge about the project during its development and implementation.The authors declare no conflict of interest.


2021 ◽  
pp. 44-54
Author(s):  
T.V. Orel ◽  
I. V. Korneeva

Planning investment projects involves the need to study the risks that affect the profitability of projects. Otherwise, such investment projects can lead to significant losses. Therefore, timely identification and management of all risks of an investment project is of particular importance.


2016 ◽  
Vol 61 (2) ◽  
pp. 293-308
Author(s):  
Cvjetko Stojanović

Abstract Risk management is an integrative part of all types of project management. One of the main tasks of pre-investment studies and other project documentation is the tendency to protect investment projects as much as possible against investment risks. Therefore, the provision and regulation of risk information ensure the identification of the probability of the emergence of adverse events, their forms, causes and consequences, and provides a timely measures of protection against risks. This means that risk management involves a set of management methods and techniques used to reduce the possibility of realizing the adverse events and consequences and thus increase the possibilities of achieving the planned results with minimal losses. Investment in mining projects are of capital importance because they are very complex projects, therefore being very risky, because of the influence of internal and external factors and limitations arising from the socio-economic environment. Due to the lack of a risk management system, numerous organizations worldwide have suffered significant financial losses. Therefore, it is necessary for any organization to establish a risk management system as a structural element of system management system as a whole. This paper presents an approach to a Risk management model in the project of opening a surface coal mine, developed based on studies of extensive scientific literature and personal experiences of the author, and which, with certain modifications, may find use for any investment project, both in the mining industry as well as in investment projects in other areas.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 223-230
Author(s):  
L. N. Gerasimova

The article discusses the mechanisms of distribution of funds within a group of companies and analyzes the risks that arise in various situations. It is shown that the risks depend on the type of interdependence of companies, the impact on subsidiaries, etc., the classification of holdings with the characteristics of key concepts is given. The classification criteria are considered: the type of interdependence of companies, the influence of the parent company, the nature of the relationship. Examples of the structure of a group of companies are presented. The processes of financing the operating activities of the holding company, in which the management company distributes the group’s funds to its subsidiaries in order to make the business profitable, are analyzed. The processes of financing investment projects of subsidiaries involving the provision of specific projects with resources are analyzed and the current options for reallocating funds in the group are shown, taking into account the risks. The methods of using business contracts, intra-group loans in the redistribution of money within the group are considered. The variants of their optimal use in various situations are shown. There are three main types of risks that you need to pay attention to first of all: a decrease in net assets, cash gaps and taxes. Taking into account these areas, the methods of reducing the risks of intra-group financing are described and recommendations are given on what to do in these situations. The formula for calculating net assets is presented, the calculation of which is carried out in order to compare the value of net assets with the value of the authorized capital. Methods of reducing the risk of cash gaps are considered. Tax risks are analyzed and measures to reduce them are proposed.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3.15) ◽  
pp. 336 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Sergeevich Voronov ◽  
Mikhail Vladimirovich Karmanov ◽  
Irina Anatolievna Kiseleva ◽  
Vladimir Ivanovich Kuznetsov ◽  
Lidia Sergeevna Leontieva

The definition of the essence of an object of management in economics is an indispensable component of professional risk management. Since the national risk management theory is just being formed, the need to find a clear and comprehensive definition for the notion "risks" is especially topical. Capital valuation is one of the most important issues, which needs to be solved by companies during ROI studies. This article makes an attempt to study the role of risk management in the implementation of investment projects. The main purpose of this article is to identify the main regularities which determine the peculiarities of risk assessment in business, being the key element facilitating the organization of investment projects. The objectives have been as follows: to review the basic concepts of risk management; to study its components in business; to reflect the system and risk management principles, and to carry out risk assessment; to consider the main kinds of risks in the business area.The article describes various types of investment and project risks, risk analysis methods for investment projects, as well as efficiency indicators of investment projects, and provides an analysis of risk factors and uncertainties during the development of investment projects. The peculiarities of the practical use of project risks’ analysis methods have been studied. Risk assessment methods for an investment project help evaluate its feasibility, the time within which it will start being profitable, as well as the probabilistic volume of its future profits. Investment project valuation models have been analyzed, in particular, the CAPM model for emerging capital markets. The DCF method has been studied, being the base for assessing the attractiveness of business in general and a company's investment project in particular.  


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (7) ◽  
pp. 1232-1247
Author(s):  
V.V. Khomenko

Subject. This article discusses the issues related to the implementation of regional investment projects as an effective tool for investment activities. Objectives. The article aims to develop a comprehensive system for the formation and implementation of investment projects, considering the Sverdlovsk Oblast as a case study. Methods. For the study, I used the methods of logical, statistical, and business analyses, and comparison. Results. The article offers an original interpretation of the concepts of Regional Investment and Regional Investment Project and presents a comprehensive system of forming and implementing regional investment projects in the macro-region. Conclusions. Any investment project can be considered as a platform for attracting investment. It contains resources for a useful economic effect in the future. Regional investment projects are a catalyst for economic growth.


ASJ. ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (46) ◽  
pp. 64-67
Author(s):  
М. Tashbaev ◽  
B. Abdullaeva ◽  
А. Beisenov

This article discusses an in-depth analysis of the financial risks of investment projects based on the assessment of financial stability indicators, and the determination of the company's solvency class. This analysis allows you to determine whether an enterprise presenting an investment project on the market is capable of paying off its obligations and minimizing the investor's risks


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nargiza Shaislamova ◽  

The article examines the essence of the analysis and assessment of the risks of investment projects in the innovative development of the country's economy. One of the most important tasks for investors in the context of the coronavirus crisis is the analysis, assessment and effective management of risks that can affect investment projects before investing. And also, the investor must identify the factors that negatively affect the project and develop measures to reduce their negative impact. Based on the above, it can be said that improving the risk management methodology and evaluating investment projects based on modern and best practices has become one of the urgent tasks. In this article, the author explains the essence of risk management and presents the main stages of risk management developed by foreign and domestic economists, and also expresses her own opinion about the stages of risk management of investment projects in the form of a scheme. The article also presents the content of the methods of risk analysis that are frequently used in practice. In particular, the author shows the essence of methods for assessing investment risks, such as Break-even point, the sensitivity analysis of the project, the method of Scenarios, the method for assessing the sustainability of the project, Expert evaluation method, Analogy method, and others. We can identify two aims of research: 1) to study the stages of investment risk management, developed by foreign and domestic scientists, and, on their basis, to propose the stages of risk management, developed by the author; 2) to study various methods of risk assessment, which are a key part of investment risk management, and develop proposals for their application in Uzbekistan. To achieve the objectives of the study, the following tasks were identified:  explain the content of the economic categories “risk” and “investment risk”;  explain the content of investment risk management;  study of the process (stages) of investment risk management, developed by foreign and domestic economists;  development by the author of the stages of the investment risk management process;  study and outline methods for assessing the risks of investment projects;  development of recommendations on the application of risk assessment methods in Uzbekistan. Subject of research: methods for assessing the risks of investment projects. Information sources for writing the research was books and articles by foreign and domestic economists.


2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 257-266 ◽  
Author(s):  
Volodymyr Mishchenko ◽  
Svitlana Naumenkova ◽  
Viktor Ivanov ◽  
Ievgen Tishchenko

The relevance of the article is due to the need of using non-traditional tools for capital raising and hedging financial risks in Ukrainian conditions that allow investors to protect themselves against possible losses during the entire life cycle of the investment project. The study is based on the National Bank of Ukraine statistical data, data of Ukrainian commercial banks, as well as on the authors’ calculations based on empirical and economic-statistical methods. According to international practices, hybrid financial instruments were classified and the special aspects of their use in Ukraine were studied to manage the risks of project financing. Specific features of using the structured bonds for financing investment projects are determined based on the synthetic securitization scheme. The experience of Ukrainian banks was analyzed and the necessity to use financial instruments such as guarantees and letters of credit in risk management of project financing was substantiated. It has been established that forward contracts, currency swaps and over-the-counter currency options are the most acceptable instruments for hedging foreign exchange risks of project financing. Further studies of the problem should include the need for legislative regulation of using hybrid financial instruments, as well as methodological and regulatory support for the risk management of project financing at all stages of the investment project implementation.


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