Flood Simulation of Urbanizing Watershed by Coupling Land Use/Cover Changes with Distributed Hydrological Model: A Case Study of Buji River in Southern China

Author(s):  
Yangbo Chen ◽  
Zexing Liu
10.29007/9kpv ◽  
2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Zhiyong ◽  
Gao Xichao ◽  
Liu Jiahong

A framework of predictions in ungauged basins (PUBs, taking Paniai lakes watershed, Indonesia as an example) for hydropower exploration is developed. In this framework, remote sensing technology and similar watershed method are used to collect necessary meteorological and topographical data for runoff simulation. Besides, a modified physical based distributed hydrological model is developed to consider the characteristics (regulation capacity of the lakes) of the watershed. Finally, considering the modeling purpose, annual average runoff index is used to assess the modeling results. In the case study (Paniai lakes watershed), TRMM precipitation, HWSD soil type, and AVHRR landcover data, combined with meteorological data from two similar watersheds, are collected to drive the modified hydrological model. According to the model results, the simulated potential evapotranspiration capacities and annual average runoff coefficients are consistent between the two cases (modeling with meteorological data of the two similar watersheds), and the simulated annual average runoff coefficients of the two cases are basically consistent with the observed annual average runoff coefficient of another similar watershed located in Indonesia.


2016 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 831-841 ◽  

<p>Overland flow is highly affected by increasing urbanization, and variations in land use and climatic variables, especially in the last few decades. This necessitates the development of modeling approaches for planning and management of catchments that play a significant role on water supply. The main objective of this study is to determine the effects of major hydrological and hydraulic parameters on runoff production in the Alibeyköy Reservoir catchment area in Istanbul. Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) is chosen to develop the catchment hydrological model and the model’s sensitivity is assessed based on the variations in eight major parameters of the model affecting runoff production. 55 years of time series precipitation data are used for model simulations. GIS-based maps including land use and land cover information are used to determine the imperviousness values required for SWMM. A one-at-a-time parametric sensitivity analysis is carried out to determine the most significant parameters affecting the model outcomes. Analysis results reveal that area of subcatchments, precipitation and conduit depth are the most significant parameters in SWMM affecting runoff production. Percent imperviousness and percent slope are the least significant parameters amongst other parameters influencing the output.</p>


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ji Li ◽  
Yangbo Chen ◽  
Huanyu Wang ◽  
Jianming Qin ◽  
Jie Li

Abstract. Long lead time flood forecasting is very important for large watershed flood mitigation as it provides more time for flood warning and emergency responses. Latest numerical weather forecast model could provide 1–15 days quantitative precipitation forecasting products at grid format, by coupling this product with distributed hydrological model could produce long lead time watershed flood forecasting products. This paper studied the feasibility of coupling the Liuxihe Model with the WRF QPF for a large watershed flood forecasting in southern China. The QPF of WRF products has three lead time, including 24 hour, 48 hour and 72 hour, the grid resolution is 20 km × 20 km. The Liuxihe Model is set up with freely downloaded terrain property, the model parameters were previously optimized with rain gauge observed precipitation, and re-optimized with WRF QPF. Results show that the WRF QPF has bias with the rain gauge precipitation, and a post-processing method is proposed to post process the WRF QPF products, which improves the flood forecasting capability. With model parameter re-optimization, the model's performance improves also, it suggests that the model parameters be optimized with QPF, not the rain gauge precipitation. With the increasing of lead time, the accuracy of WRF QPF decreases, so does the flood forecasting capability. Flood forecasting products produced by coupling Liuxihe Model with WRF QPF provides good reference for large watershed flood warning due to its long lead time and rational results.


2019 ◽  
Vol 276 ◽  
pp. 04014
Author(s):  
Nurdin ◽  
Syaiful Bahri ◽  
Zulkarnain ◽  
Sukendi

This study aims to analyze the hydrological characteristics as a result of changes in land use with the help of the SWAT hydrological model and can provide recommendations on the best land use in the Koto Panjang Electric Power catchment area. Based on the results of the analysis using the SWAT hydrological model, it was seen that there were effects of land use changes in 2011 and 2014 on hydrological characteristics; yield of water (WATER YLD) of 2,413.38 mm, and 1.008, 65 mm, runoff coefficient (C) of 0.19 and 0.063 respectively, and river regime coefficient (KRS) of 11.449 and 12.212, respectively. The best land use to be developed in agricultural cultivation areas as a recommendation to maintain water stability in the Koto Panjang hydropower catchment area is a simple and complex agroforestry pattern in scenario III, which is run together with hydrological characteristics in the form; water yield (WATER YLD) of 1,038.41, surface runoff coefficient (C) of 0.023, and river regime coefficient (KRS) of 11.13. The hydrological characteristics in scenario III are far better than 2014 land use characteristics (existing).


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