Development of design rainfalls: A review

Abstract Design rainfalls are essential parameters in designing and assessing combined and stormwater sewers and are still used today. They create idealized intensity profiles with statistically determined parameters. Their gradual development is based on the development of computer technology, measuring instruments, and measurement campaigns’ progress. However, climate change is causing changes in precipitation events’ characteristics, so it is important to focus on reassessing them and adapting to current conditions. The paper summarizes the knowledge about the development of design rains to reveal their potential for the future.

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The effect of climate change on urban drainage: an evaluation based on regional climate model simulations

Water Science & Technology ◽

10.2166/wst.2006.592 ◽

2006 ◽

Vol 54 (6-7) ◽

pp. 9-15 ◽

Cited By ~ 41

Author(s):

M. Grum ◽

A.T. Jørgensen ◽

R.M. Johansen ◽

J.J. Linde

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Extreme Precipitation ◽

Climate Model ◽

Regional Climate ◽

Rain Gauge ◽

Urban Drainage ◽

Extreme Precipitation Events ◽

Rainfall Extremes ◽

The Future ◽

Precipitation Events

That we are in a period of extraordinary rates of climate change is today evident. These climate changes are likely to impact local weather conditions with direct impacts on precipitation patterns and urban drainage. In recent years several studies have focused on revealing the nature, extent and consequences of climate change on urban drainage and urban runoff pollution issues. This study uses predictions from a regional climate model to look at the effects of climate change on extreme precipitation events. Results are presented in terms of point rainfall extremes. The analysis involves three steps: Firstly, hourly rainfall intensities from 16 point rain gauges are averaged to create a rain gauge equivalent intensity for a 25 × 25 km square corresponding to one grid cell in the climate model. Secondly, the differences between present and future in the climate model is used to project the hourly extreme statistics of the rain gauge surface into the future. Thirdly, the future extremes of the square surface area are downscaled to give point rainfall extremes of the future. The results and conclusions rely heavily on the regional model's suitability in describing extremes at time-scales relevant to urban drainage. However, in spite of these uncertainties, and others raised in the discussion, the tendency is clear: extreme precipitation events effecting urban drainage and causing flooding will become more frequent as a result of climate change.

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Sensitivity Analysis for Effect of Changes in Input Data on Hydrological Parameters and Water Balance Components in the Catchment Area of Hungarian Lowland

Journal of Environmental Geography ◽

10.2478/jengeo-2021-0007 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 14 (3-4) ◽

pp. 1-13

Author(s):

Hop Quang Tran

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Water Balance ◽

Catchment Area ◽

Extreme Weather ◽

Future Climate Change ◽

Water Balance Components ◽

Hydrological Parameters ◽

The Future ◽

Territorial Water ◽

Precipitation Events

Abstract Extreme weather and climate changes are emerging more frequently in Central Europe, Hungary, and in the near future the increase in prolonged droughts, high-intensity precipitation events and the temporal variations of precipitation are expected, which may increase the magnitude of local water damages (OVF, 2016). As a result of climate change, these extreme weather events will be more frequent, however it is difficult to predict them, as until now insufficient amount of observations are available on smaller watercourses and on refined territorial water balances. For the future assessment of the environmental and economic impacts of climate change, it is essential to explore the integrated relationship of evapotranspiration, runoff, infiltration, surface and subsurface waters, and other hydrological processes, which can fundamentally describe regionally the water management conditions. In this research, an earlier study (DHI Hungary 2019) on the catchment area of the main canal of the Dong-ér Brook is pursued to continue the development of the MIKE SHE model in a more complex manner. Within the frame of the present study, the relationship between the individual hydrological parameters, the water balance components and extreme precipitation events (drought, heavy rainfall events) for the entire drainage basin have been examined, besides, the expected effects of the predicted temperature rise on the water balance is evaluated. Using data from 2018 as reference, the sensitivity of the changes in daily precipitation and daily mean temperature has been assessed to estimate the effects of the future climate change on hydrological parameters and water balance components.

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Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Extreme Precipitation Events: Applications of CMIP5 Climate Projections Statistically Downscaled over South Korea

Advances in Meteorology ◽

10.1155/2018/4720523 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 2018 ◽

pp. 1-12 ◽

Cited By ~ 4

Author(s):

Jang Hyun Sung ◽

Hyung-Il Eum ◽

Junehyeong Park ◽

Jaepil Cho

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

South Korea ◽

Extreme Precipitation ◽

Daily Precipitation ◽

Climate Projections ◽

Reference Period ◽

Design Standard ◽

Extreme Precipitation Events ◽

The Future ◽

Precipitation Events

Climate change may accelerate the water cycle at a global scale, resulting in more frequent extreme climate events. This study analyzed changes in extreme precipitation events employing climate projections statistically downscaled at a station-space scale in South Korea. Among the CMIP5 climate projections, based on spatial resolution, this study selected 26 climate projections that provide daily precipitation under the representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5. The results show that a 20-year return period of precipitation event during a reference period (1980∼2005) corresponds to a 16.6 yr for 2011 to 2040, 14.1 yr for 2041 to 2070, and 12.8 yr for 2071 to 2100, indicating more frequent extreme maximum daily precipitation may occur in the future. In addition, we found that the probability density functions of the future periods are located out of the 10% confidence interval of the PDF for the reference period. The result indicates that the design standard under the reference climate is not managed to cope with climate change, and accordingly the revision of the design standard is required to improve sustainability in infrastructures.

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What we can learn from the parallels between the COVID-19 and the future climate change crises

10.32942/osf.io/eg6hr ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Rubén D. Manzanedo ◽

Peter Manning

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Global Economy ◽

Global Climate ◽

Future Climate Change ◽

Substantial Portion ◽

Preventative Measures ◽

The Future ◽

Behavioral Norm ◽

Climate Crisis ◽

Global Population

The ongoing COVID-19 outbreak pandemic is now a global crisis. It has caused 1.6+ million confirmed cases and 100 000+ deaths at the time of writing and triggered unprecedented preventative measures that have put a substantial portion of the global population under confinement, imposed isolation, and established ‘social distancing’ as a new global behavioral norm. The COVID-19 crisis has affected all aspects of everyday life and work, while also threatening the health of the global economy. This crisis offers also an unprecedented view of what the global climate crisis may look like. In fact, some of the parallels between the COVID-19 crisis and what we expect from the looming global climate emergency are remarkable. Reflecting upon the most challenging aspects of today’s crisis and how they compare with those expected from the climate change emergency may help us better prepare for the future.

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Love, Inc.

10.1525/california/9780520295018.001.0001 ◽

2019 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Laurie Essig

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Global Climate Change ◽

Structural Changes ◽

Global Climate ◽

Dating Apps ◽

Sense Of Security ◽

True Love ◽

The Future ◽

False Sense ◽

Global Movements

In Love, Inc., Laurie Essig argues that love is not all we need. As the future became less secure—with global climate change and the transfer of wealth to the few—Americans became more romantic. Romance is not just what lovers do but also what lovers learn through ideology. As an ideology, romance allowed us to privatize our futures, to imagine ourselves as safe and secure tomorrow if only we could find our "one true love" today. But the fairy dust of romance blinded us to what we really need: global movements and structural changes. By traveling through dating apps and spectacular engagements, white weddings and Disney honeymoons, Essig shows us how romance was sold to us and why we bought it. Love, Inc. seduced so many of us into a false sense of security, but it also, paradoxically, gives us hope in hopeless times. This book explores the struggle between our inner cynics and our inner romantic.

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Of Climate Change and Crystal Balls: The Future Consequences of Climate Change in Africa

SSRN Electronic Journal ◽

10.2139/ssrn.1922305 ◽

2011 ◽

Author(s):

Joshua Busby

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

The Future ◽

Future Consequences

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Planning for the Future in the Face of Climate Change

Proceedings of the Water Environment Federation ◽

10.2175/193864715819559090 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 2015 (2) ◽

pp. 1-10

Author(s):

Christopher Crockett ◽

Paul Kohl ◽

Julia Rockwell ◽

Teresa DiGenova

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

The Future ◽

The Face

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The Impact of Human Pressure and Climate Change on the Habitat Availability and Protection of Cypripedium (Orchidaceae) in Northeast China

Plants ◽

10.3390/plants10010084 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 10 (1) ◽

pp. 84

Author(s):

Huanchu Liu ◽

Hans Jacquemyn ◽

Xingyuan He ◽

Wei Chen ◽

Yanqing Huang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Northeast China ◽

Habitat Destruction ◽

Changbai Mountains ◽

Suitable Habitat ◽

Human Pressure ◽

Terrestrial Orchids ◽

The Future ◽

Suitable Habitats ◽

The Impact

Human pressure on the environment and climate change are two important factors contributing to species decline and overall loss of biodiversity. Orchids may be particularly vulnerable to human-induced losses of habitat and the pervasive impact of global climate change. In this study, we simulated the extent of the suitable habitat of three species of the terrestrial orchid genus Cypripedium in northeast China and assessed the impact of human pressure and climate change on the future distribution of these species. Cypripedium represents a genus of long-lived terrestrial orchids that contains several species with great ornamental value. Severe habitat destruction and overcollection have led to major population declines in recent decades. Our results showed that at present the most suitable habitats of the three species can be found in Da Xing’an Ling, Xiao Xing’an Ling and in the Changbai Mountains. Human activity was predicted to have the largest impact on species distributions in the Changbai Mountains. In addition, climate change was predicted to lead to a shift in distribution towards higher elevations and to an increased fragmentation of suitable habitats of the three investigated Cypripedium species in the study area. These results will be valuable for decision makers to identify areas that are likely to maintain viable Cypripedium populations in the future and to develop conservation strategies to protect the remaining populations of these enigmatic orchid species.

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Fears for the future among Finnish adolescents in 2019

European Journal of Public Health ◽

10.1093/eurpub/ckaa166.883 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽

Author(s):

P Lindfors ◽

L Lahti ◽

J Kinnunen ◽

A Rimpelä

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Age Groups ◽

Nationwide Survey ◽

Working Life ◽

Political Values ◽

Global Issues ◽

Age Related ◽

The Future ◽

And Behavior ◽

Images Of The Future

Abstract Background Adolescents' images of the future emerge from knowledge built on experiences of the past and present and their age-related developmental tasks. Images of the future direct adolescents' decision-making, choices, and behavior. The images of the future can act as a mirror of our times, reflecting the political values and ethos of society. The aim of this study was to examine the fears for the future among Finnish adolescents in the era of climate change. Methods Data from a nationwide survey on the health and health behavior of 12-, 14-, 16-, and 18-year-olds (n = 3520, the response rate 37 %) in 2019 in Finland. An open-ended question on fears for the future was employed as a final question on the survey. The data was analyzed first by inductive content analysis and then by statistical methods. Altogether 7829 fears were reported. These were constructed into 12 main categories. Results Fears for the social relationships and loneliness were the most common (35 %). Fears related to death (33 %), physical health and wellbeing (25 %), life management and success (19 %) and working life (17 %) were next common. Only 9 % of the adolescents reported climate and the environment related fears. In age group comparisons, 12-14-year-olds reported more global and social fears, while 16-18-year-olds reported more personal fears, such as study, working life and relationships. The most common fears among boys and girls were similar in all age groups. Conclusions The most common fears among Finnish adolescents are related to personal life and less to global issues. Against our hypothesis, climate and environmental related fears were not among the top fears, even these topics are figured prominently in media and other research has also reported high proportions of climate change related fears among adolescents. The inconsistencies might be explained by the differences in the research methodologies: whether open-ended questions or structured questions are used. Key messages Most common fears for the future are related to personal issues like relationships, health and work. Fears for climate change were not among the most common ones when open-ended questions were used.

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