Abstract
Background: This study aims to explore the dynamic survival probability of lung cancers after resection based on those had survived several years, provide more precise monitoring and treatment information for non-metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients.Materials and Methods: In the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2000–2016), 95531 eligible non-metastatic NSCLC patients after surgery were enrolled, TNM stage were reclassified, the methods of condition survival probability (CS) and actuarial overall survival (OS) were used to explore the relationship between clinicopathological characteristics and cancer prognosis.Results: The 1-, 3-, 5- and 10-year OS of included patients were 83.6% (95%CI: 83%-84%), 62.9% (95%CI: 62.6%-63.1%), 50.8% (95%CI: 50.6%-51.0%) and 33.1% (95%CI: 32.7%-33.6%) respectively. For those already survived 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 years after diagnosis, the probability for surviving an additional 3 years were 67%, 71%, 73%, 75% and 77% respectively. Enrolled population were reclassified into 9 cohorts including T1aN0, T1bN0, T1cN0, T2aN0, T2bN0, T3N0, T4N0, T1-4N1, T1-4N2 according to 8th TNM staging. According to the conditional survival probability, patients with unfavorable tumor stage diagnosed initially at surgery had the significant improvement in CS over time. Analysis based on other clinical features demonstrated similar conclusion that the poorer the initial diagnosis, the more significant the benefit of conditional survival over time.Conclusion: The worse the patient's prognosis, the more significant the benefit of time-dependent conditional survival probability, long-lived cancer patients may have a better cancer prognosis.