scholarly journals Natriuretic peptide referral thresholds and heart failure diagnosis: population-based cohort study

2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
C Taylor ◽  
J.M Ordonez-Mena ◽  
S Lay-Flurrie ◽  
C Goyder ◽  
N Jones ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Natriuretic Peptide ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
National Level ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Practice Research ◽  
Clinical Practice Research Datalink ◽  
Nice Guideline

Abstract Background Natriuretic peptide (NP) testing is recommended by both the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) and the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) for people presenting with symptoms of heart failure (HF) in primary care. However, ESC and NICE guidelines suggest different NP referral thresholds: ESC recommend referral at a lower NP level (BNP≥35pg/ml / NT-proBNP≥125pg/ml) compared to NICE (BNP≥100pg/ml/NT-proBNP≥400pg/ml). Purpose We aimed to evaluate NP test performance for HF diagnosis for ESC and NICE guideline-defined thresholds. Methods Population-based cohort study using linked primary and secondary care data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink in England between 1st January 2000 and 31st December 2018. Participants were adults aged 45 years and above with a NP result: 74,233 had a BNP and 155,347 had a NT-proBNP measurement. The main outcome measures were diagnostic performance of NP test (sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value) by threshold. Results A total of 229,580 patients had a NP test and 21,102 (9.2%) were diagnosed with HF. The ESC NT-proBNP threshold of 125pg/ml had a sensitivity of 94.6% (94.2 to 95.0) and specificity of 50.0% (49.7 to 50.3) compared to sensitivity of 81.7% (81.0 to 82.3) and specificity of 80.3% (80.0 to 80.5) for the NICE NT-proBNP 400pg/ml threshold. For both guidelines, nearly all patients with a NP level below the threshold did not have HF (negative predictive value ESC 98.9% (98.8 to 99.0) and NICE 97.7% (97.6 to 97.8). Similar performance was found for BNP. Conclusions The performance of NP testing is dependent on the guideline-specified threshold for referral. In 100 people with HF, using the NICE threshold would falsely reassure 18 patients, whereas the lower ESC threshold would miss just 5 people but twice as many patients would be referred for diagnostic assessment. The optimal NP threshold for referral for HF diagnosis will depend on the healthcare setting. The trade-off between missing HF cases and overwhelming diagnostic services needs to be determined at a national level. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): National Institute for Health Research

scholarly journals Natriuretic peptide level at heart failure diagnosis and risk of hospitalisation and death in England 2004–2018

Heart ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. heartjnl-2021-319196
Author(s):  
Clare J Taylor ◽  
Sarah L Lay-Flurrie ◽  
José M Ordóñez-Mena ◽  
Clare R Goyder ◽  
Nicholas R Jones ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Natriuretic Peptide ◽  
Treatment Guidelines ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Practice Research ◽  
Clinical Practice Research Datalink ◽  
Related Hospitalisation ◽  
One Year ◽  
Heart Failure Diagnosis ◽  
The Impact

ObjectiveHeart failure (HF) is a malignant condition requiring urgent treatment. Guidelines recommend natriuretic peptide (NP) testing in primary care to prioritise referral for specialist diagnostic assessment. We aimed to assess association of baseline NP with hospitalisation and mortality in people with newly diagnosed HF.MethodsPopulation-based cohort study of 40 007 patients in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink in England with a new HF diagnosis (48% men, mean age 78.5 years). We used linked primary and secondary care data between 1 January 2004 and 31 December 2018 to report one-year hospitalisation and 1-year, 5-year and 10-year mortality by NP level.Results22 085 (55%) participants were hospitalised in the year following diagnosis. Adjusted odds of HF-related hospitalisation in those with a high NP (NT-proBNP >2000 pg/mL) were twofold greater (OR 2.26 95% CI 1.98 to 2.59) than a moderate NP (NT-proBNP 400–2000 pg/mL). All-cause mortality rates in the high NP group were 27%, 62% and 82% at 1, 5 and 10 years, compared with 19%, 50% and 77%, respectively, in the moderate NP group and, in a competing risks model, risk of HF-related death was 50% higher at each timepoint. Median time between NP test and HF diagnosis was 101 days (IQR 19–581).ConclusionsHigh baseline NP is associated with increased HF-related hospitalisation and poor survival. While healthcare systems remain under pressure from the impact of COVID-19, research to test novel strategies to prevent hospitalisation and improve outcomes—such as a mandatory two-week HF diagnosis pathway—is urgently needed.

scholarly journals Validity of an algorithm to identify cardiovascular deaths from administrative health records: a multi-database population-based cohort study

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lisa M. Lix ◽  
Shamsia Sobhan ◽  
Audray St-Jean ◽  
Jean-Marc Daigle ◽  
Anat Fisher ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Cardiovascular Mortality ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Vital Statistics ◽  
Practice Research ◽  
Clinical Practice Research Datalink ◽  
Health Records ◽  
Predictive Values ◽  
Site Specific ◽  
Hospital Deaths

Abstract Background Cardiovascular death is a common outcome in population-based studies about new healthcare interventions or treatments, such as new prescription medications. Vital statistics registration systems are often the preferred source of information about cause-specific mortality because they capture verified information about the deceased, but they may not always be accessible for linkage with other sources of population-based data. We assessed the validity of an algorithm applied to administrative health records for identifying cardiovascular deaths in population-based data. Methods Administrative health records were from an existing multi-database cohort study about sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors, a new class of antidiabetic medications. Data were from 2013 to 2018 for five Canadian provinces (Alberta, British Columbia, Manitoba, Ontario, Quebec) and the United Kingdom (UK) Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). The cardiovascular mortality algorithm was based on in-hospital cardiovascular deaths identified from diagnosis codes and select out-of-hospital deaths. Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values (PPV, NPV) were calculated for the cardiovascular mortality algorithm using vital statistics registrations as the reference standard. Overall and stratified estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed; the latter were produced by site, location of death, sex, and age. Results The cohort included 20,607 individuals (58.3% male; 77.2% ≥70 years). When compared to vital statistics registrations, the cardiovascular mortality algorithm had overall sensitivity of 64.8% (95% CI 63.6, 66.0); site-specific estimates ranged from 54.8 to 87.3%. Overall specificity was 74.9% (95% CI 74.1, 75.6) and overall PPV was 54.5% (95% CI 53.7, 55.3), while site-specific PPV ranged from 33.9 to 72.8%. The cardiovascular mortality algorithm had sensitivity of 57.1% (95% CI 55.4, 58.8) for in-hospital deaths and 72.3% (95% CI 70.8, 73.9) for out-of-hospital deaths; specificity was 88.8% (95% CI 88.1, 89.5) for in-hospital deaths and 58.5% (95% CI 57.3, 59.7) for out-of-hospital deaths. Conclusions A cardiovascular mortality algorithm applied to administrative health records had moderate validity when compared to vital statistics data. Substantial variation existed across study sites representing different geographic locations and two healthcare systems. These variations may reflect different diagnostic coding practices and healthcare utilization patterns.

Epidemiology of first and recurrent venous thromboembolism: A population-based cohort study in patients without active cancer

2014 ◽  
Vol 112 (08) ◽  
pp. 255-263 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander T. Cohen ◽  
Luke Bamber ◽  
Stephan Rietbrock ◽  
Carlos Martinez
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Venous Thromboembolism ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Practice Research ◽  
Clinical Practice Research Datalink ◽  
Recurrence Rates ◽  
Recurrent Vte ◽  
Active Cancer

SummaryContemporary data from population studies on the incidence and complications of venous thromboembolism (VTE) are limited. An observational cohort study was undertaken to estimate the incidence of first and recurrent VTE. The cohort was identified from all patients in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) with additional linked information on hospitalisation and cause of death. Between 2001 and 2011, patients with first VTE were identified and the subset without active cancer-related VTE observed for up to 10 years for recurrent VTE. The 10-year cumulative incidence rates (CIR) were derived with adjustment for mortality as a competing risk event. A total of 35,373 first VTE events (12,073 provoked, 16,708 unprovoked and 6592 active cancer-associated VTE) among 26.9 million person-years of observation were identified. The overall incidence rate (IR) of VTE was 131.5 (95% CI, 130.2–132.9) per 100,000 person-years and 107.0 (95% CI, 105.8–108.2) after excluding cancer-associated VTE. DVT was more common in the young and PE was more common in the elderly. VTE recurrence occurred in 3671 (CIR 25.2%). The IR for recurrence peaked in the first six months at around 11 per 100 person years. It levelled out after three years and then remained at around 2 per 100 person years from year 4–10 of follow-up. The IRs for recurrences were particularly high in young men. In conclusion, VTE is common and associated with high recurrence rates. Effort is required to prevent VTE and to reduce recurrences.

scholarly journals Primary Care Consultations after Hospitalisation for Pneumonia: A Large Population-based Cohort Study

2020 ◽  
pp. BJGP.2020.0890
Author(s):  
Vadsala Baskaran ◽  
Fiona Pearce ◽  
Rowan H Harwood ◽  
Tricia McKeever ◽  
Wei Shen Lim
Keyword(s):  
Primary Care ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Large Population ◽  
Significant Proportion ◽  
Antibiotic Use ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Practice Research ◽  
Clinical Practice Research Datalink ◽  
Respiratory Disorder ◽  
The Impact

Background: Up to 70% of patients report ongoing symptoms four weeks after hospitalisation for pneumonia, and the impact on primary care is poorly understood. Aim: To investigate the frequency of primary care consultations after hospitalisation for pneumonia, and the reasons for consultation. Design: Population-based cohort study. Setting: UK primary care database of anonymised medical records (Clinical Practice Research Datalink, CPRD) linked to Hospital Episode Statistics (HES), England. Methods: Adults with the first ICD-10 code for pneumonia (J12-J18) recorded in HES between July 2002-June 2017 were included. Primary care consultation within 30 days of discharge was identified as the recording of any medical Read code (excluding administration-related codes) in CPRD. Competing-risks regression analyses were conducted to determine the predictors of consultation and antibiotic use at consultation; death and readmission were competing events. Reasons for consultation were examined. Results: Of 56,396 adults, 55.9% (n=31,542) consulted primary care within 30 days of discharge. The rate of consultation was highest within 7 days (4.7 per 100 person-days). The strongest predictor for consultation was a higher number of primary care consultations in the year prior to index admission (adjusted sHR 8.98, 95% CI 6.42-12.55). The commonest reason for consultation was for a respiratory disorder (40.7%, n=12,840), 12% for pneumonia specifically. At consultation, 31.1% (n=9,823) received further antibiotics. Penicillins (41.6%, n=5,753) and macrolides (21.9%, n=3,029) were the commonest antibiotics prescribed. Conclusion: Following hospitalisation for pneumonia, a significant proportion of patients consulted primary care within 30 days, highlighting the morbidity experienced by patients during recovery from pneumonia.

scholarly journals Poisoning substances taken by young people: a population-based cohort study

2018 ◽  
Vol 68 (675) ◽  
pp. e703-e710 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward G Tyrrell ◽  
Denise Kendrick ◽  
Kapil Sayal ◽  
Elizabeth Orton
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Young People ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Practice Research ◽  
Mortality Data ◽  
Clinical Practice Research Datalink ◽  
Self Harm ◽  
Harm Prevention ◽  
Rate Ratios

BackgroundGlobally, poisonings account for most medically-attended self-harm. Recent data on poisoning substances are lacking, but are needed to inform self-harm prevention.AimTo assess poisoning substance patterns and trends among 10–24-year-olds across EnglandDesign and settingOpen cohort study of 1 736 527 young people, using linked Clinical Practice Research Datalink, Hospital Episode Statistics, and Office for National Statistics mortality data, from 1998 to 2014.MethodPoisoning substances were identified by ICD-10 or Read Codes. Incidence rates and adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRR) were calculated for poisoning substances by age, sex, index of multiple deprivation, and calendar year.ResultsIn total, 40 333 poisoning episodes were identified, with 57.8% specifying the substances involved. The most common substances were paracetamol (39.8%), alcohol (32.7%), non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) (11.6%), antidepressants (10.2%), and opioids (7.6%). Poisoning rates were highest at ages 16–18 years for females and 19–24 years for males. Opioid poisonings increased fivefold from 1998–2014 (females: aIRR 5.30, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 4.08 to 6.89; males: aIRR 5.11, 95% CI = 3.37 to 7.76), antidepressant poisonings three-to fourfold (females: aIRR 3.91, 95% CI = 3.18 to 4.80, males: aIRR 2.70, 95% CI = 2.04 to 3.58), aspirin/NSAID poisonings threefold (females: aIRR 2.84, 95% CI = 2.40 to 3.36, males: aIRR 2.76, 95% CI = 2.05 to 3.72) and paracetamol poisonings threefold in females (aIRR 2.87, 95% CI = 2.58 to 3.20). Across all substances poisoning incidence was higher in more disadvantaged groups, with the strongest gradient for opioid poisonings among males (aIRR 3.46, 95% CI = 2.24 to 5.36).ConclusionIt is important that GPs raise awareness with families of the substances young people use to self-harm, especially the common use of over-the-counter medications. Quantities of medication prescribed to young people at risk of self-harm and their families should be limited, particularly analgesics and antidepressants.

scholarly journals Examining the risk of depression or self-harm associated with incretin-based therapies used to manage hyperglycaemia in patients with type 2 diabetes: a cohort study using the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink

BMJ Open ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. e023830 ◽  
Author(s):  
John-Michael Gamble ◽  
Eugene Chibrikov ◽  
William K Midodzi ◽  
Laurie K Twells ◽  
Sumit R Majumdar
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Clinical Practice ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Practice Research ◽  
Primary Study ◽  
Clinical Practice Research Datalink ◽  
Glucose Lowering ◽  
Self Harm ◽  
The Uk ◽  
New Onset

ObjectivesTo compare population-based incidence rates of new-onset depression or self-harm in patients initiating incretin-based therapies with that of sulfonylureas (SU) and other glucose-lowering agents.DesignPopulation-based cohort study.SettingPatients attending primary care practices registered with the UK-based Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD).ParticipantsUsing the UK-based CPRD, we identified two incretin-based therapies cohorts: (1) dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (DPP-4i)-cohort, consisting of new users of DPP-4i and SU and (2) glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA)-cohort, consisting of new users of GLP-1RA and SU, between January 2007 and January 2016. Patients with a prior history of depression, self-harm and other serious psychiatric conditions were excluded.Main outcome measuresThe primary study outcome comprised a composite of new-onset depression or self-harm. Unadjusted and adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression was used to quantify the association between incretin-based therapies and depression or self-harm. Deciles of High-Dimensional Propensity Scores and concurrent number of glucose-lowering agents were used to adjust for potential confounding.ResultsWe identified new users of 6206 DPP-4i and 22 128 SU in the DPP-4i-cohort, and 501 GLP-1RA and 16 409 SU new users in the GLP-1RA-cohort. The incidence of depression or self-harm was 8.2 vs 11.7 events/1000 person-years in the DPP-4i-cohort and 18.2 vs 13.6 events/1000 person-years in the GLP-1RA-cohort for incretin-based therapies versus SU, respectively. Incretin-based therapies were not associated with an increased or decreased incidence of depression or self-harm compared with SU (DPP-4i-cohort: unadjusted HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.51 to 0.96; adjusted HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.57 to 1.13; GLP-1RA-cohort: unadjusted HR 1.36, 95% CI 0.72 to 2.58; adjusted HR 1.25, 95% CI 0.63 to 2.50). Consistent results were observed for other glucose-lowering comparators including insulin and thiazolidinediones.ConclusionsOur findings suggest that the two incretin-based therapies are not associated with an increased or decreased risk of depression or self-harm.

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