scholarly journals Will depleted populations of Pacific salmon recover under persistent reductions in survival and catastrophic mortality events?

2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (9) ◽  
pp. 2018-2026 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carrie A. Holt

Abstract Holt, C. A. 2010. Will depleted populations of Pacific salmon recover under persistent reductions in survival and catastrophic mortality events? – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 67: 2018–2026. Under Canada's Wild Salmon Policy, benchmarks between zones of biological status are required to distinguish populations requiring conservation attention (Red and Amber zones) from those that can be managed for production (Green zone). The recovery of depleted populations (i.e. from Red to Green) will depend in part on the choice of the lower benchmark. At a minimum, that benchmark should be set high enough to allow recovery within an acceptable time-frame in the absence of targeted fishing. Currently, benchmarks are evaluated and selected using simulation models that assess the probability of recovery to spawner abundance associated with the maximum sustainable yield within a specified time-frame. Guided by case examples, the evaluation is extended to include two scenarios of future conditions: persistent reductions in survival rates below the replacement level; and increased frequency of catastrophic mortality (die-off) events. Probabilities of recovery appear to be more sensitive to persistent reductions in survival than to increased probability of die-off events. The current lower benchmarks on spawner abundance and fishing mortality might not be sufficiently precautionary to allow recovery under those conditions.

2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (6) ◽  
pp. 1075-1080 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher M. Legault ◽  
Elizabeth N. Brooks

Abstract Legault, C. M., and Brooks, E. N. 2013. Can stock–recruitment points determine which spawning potential ratio is the best proxy for maximum sustainable yield reference points? – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 70: 1075–1080. The approach of examining scatter plots of stock–recruitment (S–R) estimates to determine appropriate spawning potential ratio (SPR)-based proxies for FMSY was investigated through simulation. As originally proposed, the approach assumed that points above a replacement line indicate year classes that produced a surplus of spawners, while points below that line failed to achieve replacement. In practice, this has been implemented by determining Fmed, the fishing mortality rate that produces a replacement line with 50% of the points above and 50% below the line. A new variation on this approach suggests FMSY proxies can be determined by examining the distribution of S–R points that are above or below replacement lines associated with specific SPRs. Through both analytical calculations and stochastic results, we demonstrate that this approach is fundamentally flawed and that in some cases the inference is diametrically opposed to the method's intended purpose. We reject this approach as a tool for determining FMSY proxies. We recommend that the current proxy of F40% be maintained as appropriate for a typical groundfish life history.


2008 ◽  
Vol 65 (4) ◽  
pp. 588-599 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen Ralston ◽  
Michael R O’Farrell

Fishing mortality is rarely, if ever, evenly distributed over space, yet this is a common assumption of many fisheries models. To evaluate the effect of spatial heterogeneity in fishing mortality on yield, we constructed age-structured models that allowed for differing levels of fishing in three regions within the boundaries of a stock and explored alternative assumptions about the life stage in which density-dependent compensation operates. If the fishing mortality rate (F) is not excessive (i.e., F ≤ FMSY defined for the spatially homogeneous case; MSY, maximum sustainable yield), simulations demonstrated that minor to moderate spatial variation in fishing intensity does not impact sustainable yield. However, if fishing mortality is excessive (F > FMSY), spatial variation in fishing intensity often improves yield and can actually produce yields in excess of MSY when compensation occurs after dispersal, and the density-dependent recruitment rate is a function of the local density of adults. The yield premium generated in these simulations by postdispersal density dependence is due to a low level of compensatory mortality in heavily fished areas coupled with dispersal of propagules into these areas from lightly fished adjacent regions.


2009 ◽  
Vol 67 (2) ◽  
pp. 258-269 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ernesto Jardim ◽  
Santiago Cerviño ◽  
Manuela Azevedo

Abstract Jardim, E., Cerviño, S., and Azevedo, M. 2010. Evaluating management strategies to implement the recovery plan for Iberian hake (Merluccius merluccius); the impact of censored catch information. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 67: 258–269. Iberian hake assessment revealed an increase in fishing mortality (F) despite enforcement of a recovery plan. Recent landings exceeded the total allowable catch and discarding rates were high. Alternative management strategies based on F control were evaluated with respect to the probability of recovering spawning-stock biomass (SSB), expected profits, and robustness to uncertainty on catch information and stock dynamics. Results showed that the use of censored catch data, i.e. excluding the Gulf of Cádiz or discards, may lead to inappropriate conclusions. Reducing fishing mortality was necessary for SSB to recover. An Fmax strategy with discard reduction showed the highest probability of rebuilding SSB and led the fishery to sustainable exploitation, with an expected %SPR of 30–40% in 2025, mean individual weight in the landings of 450 g in 2015, and yield increasing by >20%. Because of uncertainty in the estimates of maximum sustainable yield, management strategies based on FMSY were least robust, but all strategies were robust to alternative stock–recruit models.


1982 ◽  
Vol 39 (7) ◽  
pp. 1054-1058 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. B. Deriso

Fishing mortality constraints are derived for fishes harvested at the maximum sustainable yield (MSY) determined by a delay-difference population model. Those constraints depend upon rates of natural mortality and growth as well as a simple constraint placed on abundance of the exploited population. The results are generalized for a wider class of population models where it is shown that MSY fishing mortality is constrained often to be less than the fishing mortality which maximizes yield per recruit. Fishing mortality rates are lower in the delay difference model in comparison to MSY fishing rates in the logistic model, when a quadratic spawner–recruit curve is applied.Key words: delay-difference model, logistic model, fishing mortality, maximum sustainable yield, yield per recruit


2005 ◽  
Vol 360 (1453) ◽  
pp. 163-170 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. R. Beddington ◽  
G. P. Kirkwood

Using life–history invariants, this paper develops techniques that allow the estimation of maximum sustainable yield and the fishing mortality rate that produces the maximum yield from estimates of the growth parameters, the length at first capture and the steepness of the stock recruitment relationship. This allows sustainable yields and fishing capacity to be estimated from sparse data, such as those available for developing country fisheries.


2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (9) ◽  
pp. 1887-1895 ◽  
Author(s):  
William B. Brodie ◽  
Stephen J. Walsh ◽  
Dawn Maddock Parsons

Abstract Brodie, W. B., Walsh, S. J., and Maddock Parsons, D. 2010. An evaluation of the collapse and recovery of the yellowtail flounder (Limanda ferruginea) stock on the Grand Bank. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 67: 1887–1895. In 1994, the biomass of yellowtail flounder on the Grand Bank had declined to 20% of the biomass associated with the maximum sustainable yield (Bmsy) because of overfishing in the 1980s, and the Northwest Atlantic Fisheries Organization (NAFO) declared a moratorium on fishing of this stock (and several others in the area). After 4 years of moratorium, the biomass had quadrupled, the fishery was reopened, and the biomass is now well above Bmsy. Based on advice developed within a precautionary approach framework, total allowable catches were set corresponding to a fishing mortality of ≤0.67 × Fmsy. When the fishery was reopened in 1998, several measures to reduce the fishing mortality and ensure continued recovery were introduced. We review and evaluate the science and the management strategies developed during the decline, collapse, and recovery, noting that yellowtail flounder is the only groundfish stock on the Grand Bank that has fully recovered after its collapse. Key management measures included the elimination of fishing by non-NAFO vessels, protection of strong year classes, and keeping the fishing mortality below 0.67 × Fmsy. Although overfishing is viewed as causing the stock decline, productivity was strongly affected by climatic conditions during the collapse and recovery. Changes in water temperature coincided with major changes in the catch and fishing mortality.


2014 ◽  
Vol 72 (2) ◽  
pp. 458-466 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samuel Shephard ◽  
David G. Reid ◽  
Hans D. Gerritsen ◽  
Keith D. Farnsworth

Abstract Demersal fisheries targeting a few high-value species often catch and discard other “non-target” species. It is difficult to quantify the impact of this incidental mortality when population biomass of a non-target species is unknown. We calculate biomass for 14 demersal fish species in ICES Area VIIg (Celtic Sea) by applying species- and length-based catchability corrections to catch records from the Irish Groundfish Survey (IGFS). We then combine these biomass estimates with records of commercial discards (and landings for marketable non-target species) to calculate annual harvesting rates (HR) for each study species. Uncertainty is incorporated into estimates of both biomass and HR. Our survey-based HR estimates for cod and whiting compared well with HR-converted fishing mortality (F) estimates from analytical assessments for these two stocks. Of the non-target species tested, red gurnard (Chelidonichthys cuculus) recorded some annual HRs greater than those for cod or whiting; challenging “Pope’s postulate” that F on non-target stocks in an assemblage will not exceed that on target stocks. We relate HR for each species to two corresponding maximum sustainable yield (MSY) reference levels; six non-target species (including three ray species) show annual HRs ≥ HRMSY. This result suggests that it may not be possible to conserve vulnerable non-target species when F is coupled to that of target species. Based on biomass, HR, and HRMSY, we estimate “total allowable catch” for each non-target species.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-17
Author(s):  
Ernesto A Chávez

A brief review of the concept of Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY) used in fisheries management is discussed. The convenience of assessing the exploited stocks with the aid of simulation is advised, because implies the possibility to analyze the age structure of the fishery in more detail, as compared to the traditional methods of fish stock assessment. Emphasis is given to the use of the MSY as limit reference point because as long as the Fishing Mortality or fishing effort required for that point is kept at lower values, the fishery will have a good chance to be sustainable. A mention of the Maximum Economic Yield is made, proposing its use a target for the management, because it is reached in general with lower F values then that for the MSY, and this way keeping the fishery in a healthy condition.


1973 ◽  
Vol 30 (9) ◽  
pp. 1275-1286 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. E. Ricker

"Mechanism 1" has two aspects: catches taken at a given rate of exploitation are greater when rate of exploitation has been increasing than when it has been steady or decreasing; also, the yield taken from the progeny of a spawning of a given size is greater when rate of exploitation has been increasing than when it has been steady or decreasing. "Mechanism 2" is the fact that mixtures of stocks of unequal productivity, when harvested together, produce smaller recruitments than single stocks of the same original size and having the same optimum rate of exploitation. In addition, any fishery for a valuable species is likely to develop beyond the optimum rate of exploitation because there is no easily detectable symptom that the optimum is being passed. When this has happened, maximum sustainable yield (MSY) will not be achieved immediately if the optimum rate is imposed subsequent to a period of overexploitation; rather there will be a gradual approach to MSY that extends over several generations after the optimum rate is established. Both of the two mechanisms above, plus the likelihood of unrecognized overfishing, make for a catch maximum while fishing is still on the increase. For salmon this maximum is likely to be 30–60% greater than the sustainable yield. In addition, unavoidable difficulties of management make for even greater differences between the historical maximum and the mean equilibrium yield that can be achieved in practice. Good annual prediction of recruitment can improve this picture because rate of exploitation can then be adjusted to the quantity of fish available; however this procedure too is much less effective when mixtures of stocks are fished in common, because in general the recruitments to different stocks do not vary in exactly the same way. The phenomena described may also contribute to an historical early maximum of catch in fisheries for species such as cod, being independent of and additional to the maximum caused by "removal of accumulated stock."


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document