MO051EFFECTS OF SEMAGLUTIDE ON CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE OUTCOMES: A POST HOC POOLED ANALYSIS FROM THE SUSTAIN 6 AND PIONEER 6 TRIALS

2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Katherine Tuttle ◽  
David Cherney ◽  
Samy Hadjadj ◽  
Thomas Idorn ◽  
Ofri Mosenzon ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and Aims The SUSTAIN 6 cardiovascular outcomes trial (CVOT) indicated a renal benefit with subcutaneous (s.c.) once-weekly (OW) semaglutide vs placebo. The PIONEER 6 CVOT reported cardiovascular safety with oral semaglutide in a similar cohort using a similar trial design. In the present post hoc study, eGFR data from the SUSTAIN 6 and PIONEER 6 trials were pooled to evaluate the potential benefit of semaglutide (s.c. or oral) vs placebo on chronic kidney disease (CKD) outcomes. Method Data from 6,480 subjects from SUSTAIN 6 (N=3,297; median follow-up, 2.1 years; mean baseline eGFR, 76 mL/min/1.73 m2) and PIONEER 6 (N=3,183; median follow-up, 1.3 years; mean baseline eGFR, 74 mL/min/1.73 m2) were pooled for semaglutide (0.5 mg s.c. OW, 1.0 mg s.c. OW or 14 mg oral once daily) or placebo. We evaluated time to onset of persistent eGFR reduction (thresholds of ≥30%, ≥40%, ≥50% and ≥57% [57% corresponds to a doubling of serum creatinine]) from baseline in the overall pooled population and by baseline CKD subgroups (≥30–<60 mL/min/1.73 m2, n=1,699; ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2, n=4,762; data were missing for 19 subjects). Analyses were performed using a Cox proportional-hazards model with treatment group (semaglutide vs placebo) and CKD subgroup as fixed factors and the interaction between both stratified by trial. Results In the overall population, the hazard ratios (HRs) for time to onset of persistent eGFR reductions with semaglutide vs placebo were <1.0, but did not achieve statistical significance. In subjects with baseline eGFR ≥30–<60 mL/min/1.73 m2, HRs for semaglutide vs placebo were consistently lower compared with the overall population and, in this subgroup, semaglutide significantly reduced the risk of developing a persistent 30% eGFR reduction vs placebo (Figure; p=0.03). Numerically larger effects were seen with increasing eGFR reduction thresholds in this subgroup, with the exception of the 57% eGFR reduction threshold. No statistically different interactions between treatment and CKD subgroup were observed. Conclusion The findings of this post hoc analysis of pooled data from SUSTAIN 6 and PIONEER 6 on clinically relevant outcomes for CKD support a smaller magnitude of eGFR decline with semaglutide vs placebo, despite relatively short follow-up times. The small number of events at both the 50% and 57% thresholds, and the associated broad confidence intervals, limit the interpretability of the results. In line with previous findings, the data suggest a renal benefit of semaglutide vs placebo in subjects with established CKD. The FLOW trial (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03819153), which is dedicated to exploring CKD outcomes with semaglutide treatment, is ongoing to test this hypothesis in patients with CKD at baseline.

Author(s):  
Min-Hua Lin ◽  
She-Yu Chiu ◽  
Pei-Hsuan Chang ◽  
Yu-Liang Lai ◽  
Pau-Chung Chen ◽  
...  

Background: Previous research found that statins, in addition to its efficiency in treating hyperlipidemia, may also incur adverse drug reactions, which mainly include myopathies and abnormalities in liver function. Aim: This study aims to assess the risk for newly onset sarcopenia among patients with chronic kidney disease using statins. Material and Method: In a nationwide retrospective population-based cohort study, 75,637 clinically confirmed cases of chronic kidney disease between 1997 and 2011were selected from the National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan. The selection of the chronic kidney disease cohort included a discharge diagnosis with chronic kidney disease or more than 3 outpatient visits with the diagnosis of chronic kidney disease found within 1 year. After consideration of patient exclusions, we finally got a total number of 67,001 cases of chronic kidney disease in the study. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to perform preliminary analysis on the effect of statins usage on the occurrence of newly diagnosed sarcopenia; the Cox proportional hazards model with time-dependent covariates was conducted to take into consideration the individual temporal differences in medication usage, and calculated the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval after controlling for gender, age, income, and urbanization. Results: Our main findings indicated that patients with chronic kidney disease who use statins seem to effectively prevent patients from occurrences of sarcopenia, high dosage of statins seem to show more significant protective effects, and the results are similar over long-term follow-up. In addition, the risk for newly diagnosed sarcopenia among patients with lipophilic statins treatment was lower than that among patients with hydrophilic statins treatment. Conclusion: It seems that patients with chronic kidney disease could receive statin treatment to reduce the occurrence of newly diagnosed sarcopenia. Additionally, a higher dosage of statins could reduce the incidence of newly diagnosed sarcopenia in patients with chronic kidney disease.


2020 ◽  
Vol 45 (2) ◽  
pp. 339-349
Author(s):  
Hanako Nakajima ◽  
Yoshitaka Hashimoto ◽  
Takuro Okamura ◽  
Akihiro Obora ◽  
Takao Kojima ◽  
...  

Background: The duration of sleep might be a risk factor for chronic kidney disease (CKD). We investigated the relationship between sleep duration and incident CKD. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study of 7,752 men and 6,722 women, we divided the subjects into 4 groups according to sleep duration, i.e., those whose reported regular sleep duration was <6 h (the “<6 h group”), those whose sleep duration was >6 but <7 h (the “6 to <7 h group”), those with a sleep duration of 7 to <8 h (the “7 to <8 h group”), and those with ≥8 h sleep (the “≥8 h group”). CKD was defined as the presence of proteinuria and/or an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2. The HR of the 4 groups for incident CKD were calculated with a Cox proportional hazards model, with the 7 to <8 h group set as the reference. Results: Incident CKD was detected in 1,513 (19.5%) men and 688 (10.2%) women over the median follow-up period of 7.0 (3.3–11.9) years in the men and 6.7 (3.1–10.8) years in the women. There was no association between sleep duration and incident CKD in the women. In the men, the HR of incident CKD was 0.54 (95% CI 0.45–0.64, p < 0.001) in the <6 h group, 0.73 (95% CI 0.66–0.82, p < 0.001) in the 6 to <7 h group, and 0.93 (95% CI 0.78–1.11, p = 0.433) in the ≥8 h group. Conclusion: The risk of incident CKD is lowest in those who sleep <6 h. We revealed that the risk of incident CKD is lowest in those who sleep <6 h among apparently healthy men.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 363
Author(s):  
Tae Ryom Oh ◽  
Su Hyun Song ◽  
Hong Sang Choi ◽  
Chang Seong Kim ◽  
Seung Hyeok Han ◽  
...  

Immunoglobin A (IgA) nephropathy causes chronic kidney disease worldwide. Therefore, identifying risk factors associated with the progression of IgA nephropathy is crucial. Anemia is a common complication of chronic kidney disease; however, few studies have investigated the effect of serum hemoglobin on the renal prognosis of IgA nephropathy. This study aimed to determine the effect of serum hemoglobin on the progression of IgA nephropathy. We retrospectively analyzed 4326 patients with biopsy-proven IgA nephropathy. We evaluated the effect of serum hemoglobin on IgA nephropathy progression using Kaplan–Meier survival analyses, the log-rank test, and the Cox proportional hazards model. The primary end-point was progression of IgA nephropathy, defined as dialysis initiation or kidney transplantation. Serum hemoglobin showed a nonlinear relationship with the progression of IgA nephropathy. The Cox proportional hazards model showed that the risk of progression of IgA nephropathy decreased 0.87 times for every 1.0 g/dL increase in serum hemoglobin. In subgroup analyses, reduced serum hemoglobin was an independent risk factor for IgA nephropathy progression only in women. There was no statistically significant interaction of serum hemoglobin between men and women (Pinteraction = 0.177). Results of Sensitivity analysis were robust and consistent. Serum hemoglobin at diagnosis was an independent predictor for IgA nephropathy progression.


2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (10) ◽  
pp. 3608 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ronak Jagdeep Shah ◽  
Lisa E. Vaughan ◽  
Felicity T. Enders ◽  
Dawn S. Milliner ◽  
John C. Lieske

This retrospective analysis investigated plasma oxalate (POx) as a potential predictor of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) among primary hyperoxaluria (PH) patients. PH patients with type 1, 2, and 3, age 2 or older, were identified in the Rare Kidney Stone Consortium (RKSC) PH Registry. Since POx increased with falling estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), patients were stratified by chronic kidney disease (CKD) subgroups (stages 1, 2, 3a, and 3b). POx values were categorized into quartiles for analysis. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for risk of ESKD were estimated using the Cox proportional hazards model with a time-dependent covariate. There were 118 patients in the CKD1 group (nine ESKD events during follow-up), 135 in the CKD 2 (29 events), 72 in CKD3a (34 events), and 45 patients in CKD 3b (31 events). During follow-up, POx Q4 was a significant predictor of ESKD compared to Q1 across CKD2 (HR 14.2, 95% CI 1.8–115), 3a (HR 13.7, 95% CI 3.0–62), and 3b stages (HR 5.2, 95% CI 1.1–25), p < 0.05 for all. Within each POx quartile, the ESKD rate was higher in Q4 compared to Q1–Q3. In conclusion, among patients with PH, higher POx concentration was a risk factor for ESKD, particularly in advanced CKD stages.


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 129 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Kokkinos ◽  
Apostolos Tsimploulis ◽  
Charles Faselis ◽  
Jonathan Myers ◽  
Jiajia Zhang ◽  
...  

Introduction: Increased exercise capacity is associated with better health outcomes. It is not known if increased fitness can attenuate the progression to chronic kidney disease (CKD). Hypothesis: We assessed the hypothesis that increased exercise capacity is associated inversely with the rate of progression to CKD. Methods: A routine exercise stress was performed on 6,452 veterans (mean age: 58±12) with normal kidney function at VA Medical Centers in Washington DC. We used Cox proportional hazards model with spline function of MET to define the MET level associated with no increase in rate of progression to CKD (hazard ratio (HR)=1.0). We used this MET level to guide the formation of the following four fitness categories based on intervals of 2 METs achieved above and below this threshold: Least-Fit (<5.5 METs; n=1,392); Low-Fit (5.5-7.5 METs; n=2,270); Moderate-Fit (7.6-9.5 METs; n=2,192) and High-Fit (>9.5 METs; n=714). We then performed Cox proportional hazards analysis adjusted for age, BMI, cardiac risk factors, sleep apnea, alcohol dependence and medications. We used the Least-fit category as the reference group. Results: The MET threshold for the entire cohort was defined at 7.5 METs. During the follow-up period (median 8.8 years; 50,371 person-years of follow-up), 925 individuals developed CKD based on an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 ml/min/1.73m 2 . Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that exercise capacity was inversely associated with the rate of progression to CKD. More specifically, the rate of progression was lower by 25% (HR=0.75; CI: 0.64-0.87; p<0.001) for Low-Fit individuals, 40% (HR=0.60; CI: 0.48-0.73; p<0.001) for the Moderate-Fit and 68% (HR=0.42; CI: 0.28-0.64; p<0.001) for High-Fit individuals. Conclusions: Exercise capacity is inversely associated with the rate of progression to CKD.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maryam Farhadian ◽  
Sahar Dehdar Karsidani ◽  
Azadeh Mozayanimonfared ◽  
Hossein Mahjub

Abstract Background Due to the limited number of studies with long term follow-up of patients undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (PCI), we investigated the occurrence of Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebrovascular Events (MACCE) during 10 years of follow-up after coronary angioplasty using Random Survival Forest (RSF) and Cox proportional hazards models. Methods The current retrospective cohort study was performed on 220 patients (69 women and 151 men) undergoing coronary angioplasty from March 2009 to March 2012 in Farchshian Medical Center in Hamadan city, Iran. Survival time (month) as the response variable was considered from the date of angioplasty to the main endpoint or the end of the follow-up period (September 2019). To identify the factors influencing the occurrence of MACCE, the performance of Cox and RSF models were investigated in terms of C index, Integrated Brier Score (IBS) and prediction error criteria. Results Ninety-six patients (43.7%) experienced MACCE by the end of the follow-up period, and the median survival time was estimated to be 98 months. Survival decreased from 99% during the first year to 39% at 10 years' follow-up. By applying the Cox model, the predictors were identified as follows: age (HR = 1.03, 95% CI 1.01–1.05), diabetes (HR = 2.17, 95% CI 1.29–3.66), smoking (HR = 2.41, 95% CI 1.46–3.98), and stent length (HR = 1.74, 95% CI 1.11–2.75). The predictive performance was slightly better by the RSF model (IBS of 0.124 vs. 0.135, C index of 0.648 vs. 0.626 and out-of-bag error rate of 0.352 vs. 0.374 for RSF). In addition to age, diabetes, smoking, and stent length, RSF also included coronary artery disease (acute or chronic) and hyperlipidemia as the most important variables. Conclusion Machine-learning prediction models such as RSF showed better performance than the Cox proportional hazards model for the prediction of MACCE during long-term follow-up after PCI.


Author(s):  
Yuko Yamaguchi ◽  
Marta Zampino ◽  
Toshiko Tanaka ◽  
Stefania Bandinelli ◽  
Yusuke Osawa ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Anemia is common in older adults and associated with greater morbidity and mortality. The causes of anemia in older adults have not been completely characterized. Although elevated circulating growth and differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) has been associated with anemia in older adults, it is not known whether elevated GDF-15 predicts the development of anemia. Methods We examined the relationship between plasma GDF-15 concentrations at baseline in 708 non-anemic adults, aged 60 years and older, with incident anemia during 15 years of follow-up among participants in the Invecchiare in Chianti (InCHIANTI) Study. Results During follow-up, 179 (25.3%) participants developed anemia. The proportion of participants who developed anemia from the lowest to highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 was 12.9%, 20.1%, 21.2%, and 45.8%, respectively. Adults in the highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 had an increased risk of developing anemia (Hazards Ratio 1.15, 95% Confidence Interval 1.09, 1.21, P&lt;.0001) compared to those in the lower three quartiles in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for age, sex, serum iron, soluble transferrin receptor, ferritin, vitamin B12, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, and cancer. Conclusions Circulating GDF-15 is an independent predictor for the development of anemia in older adults.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
A Fujino ◽  
H Ogawa ◽  
S Ikeda ◽  
K Doi ◽  
Y Hamatani ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly progresses from paroxysmal type to sustained type in the natural course of the disease, and we previously demonstrated that the progression of AF was associated with increased risk of clinical adverse events. There are some patients, though less frequently, who regress from sustained to paroxysmal AF, but the clinical impact of the regression of AF remains unknown. Purpose We sought to investigate whether regression from sustained to paroxysmal AF is associated with better clinical outcomes. Methods Using the dataset of the Fushimi AF Registry, patients who were diagnosed as sustained (persistent or permanent) AF at baseline were studied. Conversion of sustained AF to paroxysmal AF during follow-up was defined as regression of AF. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) were defined as the composite of cardiac death, stroke, and hospitalization for heart failure (HF). Event rates were compared between the patients with and without regression of AF. In patients with sustained AF at baseline, predictors of MACE were identified using Cox proportional hazards model. Results Among 2,253 patients who were diagnosed as sustained AF at baseline, regression of AF was observed in 9.0% (202/2,253, 2.0 per 100 patient-years) during a median follow-up of 4.0 years. Of these, 24.3% (49/202, 4.6 per 100 patient-years) of the patients finally recurred to sustained AF during follow-up. The proportion of asymptomatic patients was lower in patients with regression of AF than those without (with vs without regression; 49.0% vs 69.5%, p&lt;0.01). The percentage of beta-blocker use at baseline was similar between the two groups (37.2% vs 33.8%, p=0.34). The prevalence of patients who underwent catheter ablation or electrical cardioversion during follow-up was higher in patients with regression of AF (catheter ablation: 15.8% vs 5.5%; p&lt;0.01, cardioversion: 4.0% vs 1.4%; p&lt;0.01, respectively). The rate of MACE was significantly lower in patients with regression of AF as compared with patients who maintained sustained AF (3.7 vs 6.2 per 100 patient-years, log-rank p&lt;0.01). Figure shows the Kaplan-Meier curves for MACE, cardiac death, hospitalization for heart failure, and stroke. In patients with sustained AF at baseline, multivariable Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated that regression of AF was an independent predictor of lower MACE (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 0.50, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.28 to 0.88, p=0.02), stroke (HR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.30 to 0.88, p=0.02), and hospitalization for HF (HR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.29 to 0.85, p=0.01). Conclusion Regression from sustained to paroxysmal AF was associated with a lower incidence of adverse cardiac events. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_6) ◽  
pp. vi51-vi51
Author(s):  
Kristen Batich ◽  
Duane Mitchell ◽  
Patrick Healy ◽  
James Herndon ◽  
Gloria Broadwater ◽  
...  

Abstract INTRODUCTION Vaccination with dendritic cells (DCs) fares poorly in primary and recurrent glioblastoma (GBM). Moreover, GBM vaccine trials are often underpowered due to limited sample size. METHODS To address these limitations, we conducted three sequential clinical trials utilizing Cytomegalovirus (CMV)-specific DC vaccines in patients with primary GBM. Autologous DCs were generated and electroporated with mRNA encoding for the CMV protein pp65. Serial vaccination was given throughout adjuvant temozolomide cycles, and 111Indium radiolabeling was implemented to assess migration efficiency of DC vaccines. Patients were followed for median overall survival (mOS) and OS. RESULTS Our initial study was the phase II ATTAC study (NCT00639639; total n=12) with 6 patients randomized to vaccine site preconditioning with tetanus-diphtheria (Td) toxoid. This led to an expanded cohort trial (ATTAC-GM; NCT00639639) of 11 patients receiving CMV DC vaccines containing granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF). Follow-up data from ATTAC and ATTAC-GM revealed 5-year OS rates of 33.3% (mOS 38.3 months; CI95 17.5-undefined) and 36.4% (mOS 37.7 months; CI95 18.2-109.1), respectively. ATTAC additionally revealed a significant increase in DC migration to draining lymph nodes following Td preconditioning (P=0.049). Increased DC migration was associated with OS (Cox proportional hazards model, HR=0.820, P=0.023). Td-mediated increased migration has been recapitulated in our larger confirmatory trial ELEVATE (NCT02366728) of 43 patients randomized to preconditioning (Wilcoxon rank sum, Td n=24, unpulsed DC n=19; 24h, P=0.031 and 48h, P=0.0195). In ELEVATE, median follow-up of 42.2 months revealed significantly longer OS in patients randomized to Td (P=0.026). The 3-year OS for Td-treated patients in ELEVATE was 34% (CI95 19-63%) compared to 6% given unpulsed DCs (CI95 1-42%). CONCLUSION We report reproducibility of our findings across three sequential clinical trials using CMV pp65 DCs. Despite their small numbers, these successive trials demonstrate consistent survival outcomes, thus supporting the efficacy of CMV DC vaccine therapy in GBM.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian-jun Li ◽  
Yexuan Cao ◽  
Hui-Wen Zhang ◽  
Jing-Lu Jin ◽  
Yan Zhang ◽  
...  

Introduction: The atherogenicity of residual cholesterol (RC) has been underlined by recent guidelines, which was linked to coronary artery disease (CAD), especially for patients with diabetes mellitus (DM). Hypothesis: This study aimed to examine the prognostic value of plasma RC, clinically presented as triglyceride-rich lipoprotein-cholesterol (TRL-C) or remnant-like lipoprotein particles-cholesterol (RLP-C), in CAD patients with different glucose metabolism status. Methods: Fasting plasma TRL-C and RLP-C levels were directly calculated or measured in 4331 patients with CAD. Patients were followed for incident MACEs for up to 8.6 years and categorized according to both glucose metabolism status [DM, pre-DM, normal glycaemia regulation (NGR)] and RC levels. Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals. Results: During a mean follow-up of 5.1 years, 541 (12.5%) MACEs occurred. The risk for MACEs was significantly higher in patients with elevated RC levels after adjustment for potential confounders. No significant difference in MACEs was observed between pre-DM and NGR groups (p>0.05). When stratified by status of glucose metabolism and RC levels, highest levels of RLP-C, calculated and measured TRL-C were significant and independent predictors of developing MACEs in pre-DM (HR: 2.10, 1.98, 1.92, respectively; all p<0.05) and DM (HR: 2.25, 2.00, 2.16, respectively; all p<0.05). Conclusions: In this large cohort study with long-term follow-up, data firstly demonstrated that higher RC levels were significantly associated with the worse prognosis in DM and pre-DM patients with CAD, suggesting RC might be a target for patients with impaired glucose metabolism.


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