“With Deep Regret and Reluctance”

2021 ◽  
pp. 157-207
Author(s):  
James Waller

On January 9, 2020, a compromise agreement was reached that promised “a fair and balanced basis upon which to restore the institutions” of Northern Ireland’s system of governance. Governance refers, broadly, to the ways in which authority in a country is exercised. How are governments selected, monitored, and replaced? What is the capacity of the government to develop and implement sound policies? To what degree do the citizens respect the state and the institutions that govern them? Nearly all early warning systems for violent conflict include various traits of governance as risk factors. In contemporary Northern Ireland, where politics is now the weapon of choice, this chapter will consider five specific risk factors related to the practice of governance: (1) regime type, (2) state legitimacy deficit, (3) weakness of state structures, (4) identity-based polar factionalism, and (5) systematic state-led discrimination.

2018 ◽  
Vol 54 (2) ◽  
pp. 136
Author(s):  
Feby Erawantini ◽  
Rinda Nurul Karimah

Stroke is a neurological disease whose occurrence increases from year to year and causes disability and death worldwide. Stroke is caused by many factors or multicausal. This was a qualitative study conducted for one year with system design using prototype method. The prototype method began with the identification of needs, mapping, and then inference mechanism. Identification of needs was based on the literature review and discussion. The literature review from 15 sources consisting of journal articles, books and proceedings was done by comparing, contrasting, criticizing, synthesizing and summarizing. Stroke risk factor discussion were carried out with neurologists. The results of the review and literature discussion found identification of factors that cause stroke, which consisted of hypertension, high blood glucose, cholesterol, heart disease, behavioral factors, such as smoking behavior and alcoholism, stress and other causes. The risk factors of stroke were then mapped in the form of mobile application prototype through inference mechanism. The output in this study was early warning systems (E-WARS) prototype for early detection of stroke occurrence. The prototype results were expected to be used in operations into mobile applications that were beneficial to the public, in particular for self-control and personal risk factors for stroke. It was intended for early screening and early detection of the risk of stroke.


2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (04) ◽  
pp. 97-116
Author(s):  
Anh Vo Thi Thuy ◽  
Anh Tran Nguyen Tram ◽  
Thuy Ha Xuan

Based on the study of Kaminsky and Reinhart (1999), this paper studies and applies early warning systems of currency crises to the case of Vietnam from 1996 to 2014. Its results show that the currency crisis is signaled six times during the observed period. Several principal indicators of the currency crisis in Vietnam include increased import, decreased export, excess real M1 balances, low international reserves and deposit growth, high interest rate and credit growth, high domestic-foreign rate differential, and decreased real output. Hence, the Government and the State Bank of Vietnam should grant appropriate policies not only to control the money supply and interest rate, but also to stimulate the ability of capital mobilization of Vietnam’s banking system and to facilitate export activities in the coming years.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 398
Author(s):  
Baker Shnekat ◽  
Ghazi Al-Assaf

The research aims to identify the impact of political stability in determining the effectiveness of early warning systems in predicting financial crises. The research applied a standard descriptive approach.In general, when comparing the two countries before including the model for economic variables the results showed that the nature of the impact of economic variables is different as the index of the financial crisis in Jordan is affected by the import of goods and services while the most influential indicators in the early warning model for the occurrence of the financial crisis in Qatar is the index of exporting goods and services on the basis that the system Qatari financial is very sensitive to the subject of export of gas and oil. Also, the results showed that there is a very significant impact of political stability on the financial crisis, which is greater than the impact of economic indicators, and if the two countries differed in which indicators for political stability have the greatest impact on the occurrence of the financial crisis, in Jordan the most influential indicator was the government effectiveness variable in Qatar, the regulatory quality index was the most influential.


This research is backed by the lack of attention of the government in the world of education against the risk of Post eruption of Dempo volcano in Pagar Alam City in the form of preparation and socialization of disaster mitigation measures, evacuation pathways provided, early warning systems in the volcano disaster-prone areas. On the other hand, with disaster preparedness, damage and victim numbers can be minimized. The purpose of this research is to formulate a priority referral education mitigation of the eruption of post-eruption of Dempo volcano. Data collection using relevant interviews, observations and information collection. Then the data is grouped by hazard level criteria, vulnerabilities, and risks that may arise. Data is processed with assessment and analysis with the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). Research findings suggest that the priorities of disaster mitigation education of post-eruption of Dempo volcano are as follows: the measurable and periodical aspects of training and disaster simulation (0.832), coordination and cooperation in anticipating disasters of (0.813), human resources amounting to (0.801), routes and evacuation sites amounting to (0.799), and early warning systems of (0.795).


1995 ◽  
Vol 34 (05) ◽  
pp. 518-522 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Bensadon ◽  
A. Strauss ◽  
R. Snacken

Abstract:Since the 1950s, national networks for the surveillance of influenza have been progressively implemented in several countries. New epidemiological arguments have triggered changes in order to increase the sensitivity of existent early warning systems and to strengthen the communications between European networks. The WHO project CARE Telematics, which collects clinical and virological data of nine national networks and sends useful information to public health administrations, is presented. From the results of the 1993-94 season, the benefits of the system are discussed. Though other telematics networks in this field already exist, it is the first time that virological data, absolutely essential for characterizing the type of an outbreak, are timely available by other countries. This argument will be decisive in case of occurrence of a new strain of virus (shift), such as the Spanish flu in 1918. Priorities are now to include other existing European surveillance networks.


10.1596/29269 ◽  
2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ademola Braimoh ◽  
Bernard Manyena ◽  
Grace Obuya ◽  
Francis Muraya

2005 ◽  
Author(s):  
Willian H. VAN DER Schalie ◽  
David E. Trader ◽  
Mark W. Widder ◽  
Tommy R. Shedd ◽  
Linda M. Brennan

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