Population

2020 ◽  
pp. 258-276
Author(s):  
Tirthankar Roy
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Demographic Change ◽  
Demographic Transition ◽  
Turning Point ◽  
Population History ◽  
World Population ◽  
Initial Size ◽  
Slow Pace ◽  
And Migration ◽  
Population Demographic

India’s population, long-stagnant or growing only at a slow pace, began to grow rapidly from the 1920s. Given the large initial size of the population, demographic change in this region was a turning point in world population history. What had changed to produce this turn? Chapter 10 considers the demographic transition with attention paid to population growth, famines, epidemics, and migration.

Rapid Population Growth and Long-term Development

2020 ◽  
pp. 164-177
Author(s):  
Giovanni Andrea Cornia
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Resource Availability ◽  
Demographic Transition ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Physical Capital ◽  
Population Projections ◽  
World Population ◽  
Rapid Population Growth ◽  
The World

This chapter reviews population trends over the last two hundred years and population projections to the end of this century. In 2100 the world population will have stabilized but its geographical distribution will have substantially changed compared to 2015. The chapter then discusses the five stages of the demographic transition, and different neo-Malthusian and non-Malthusian theories of the relation between population growth and economic development. It emphasizes in particular the effects of rapid population growth on land and resource availability, human capital formation, population quality, the accumulation of physical capital, employment, wages, and income inequality. The effects of rapid population growth rate over a given period were found to change in line with the population size and density at the beginning of the period considered.

Opinion: The future fertility of mankind: effects on world population growth and migration

2001 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 405 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. V. Short
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
World Population ◽  
Infected People ◽  
Unmet Demand ◽  
Future Fertility ◽  
Declining Populations ◽  
And Migration ◽  
Refugee Problem

The world’s population, currently just over 6 billion, is projected to increase to 9–10 billion by the year 2050. Most of this growth will occur in the developing countries of Asia, where there is an enormous unmet demand for contraception, while an increasing number of developed countries will have declining populations. The human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) pandemic will target developing countries, with India destined to become its new epicenter. By 2050, there may be 1 billion HIV-infected people in the world. The significant protective effect of male circumcision may spare Islamic countries, such as Pakistan, Bangladesh, Iran and Indonesia, from the worst effects of the pandemic. Australia will be increasingly threatened by the high rates of population growth of her Asian neighbours. This, coupled with political instability and sea-level rises as a consequence of global warming, will turn the present trickle of refugees from a variety of Asian countries seeking safe haven on our sparsely populated northern coastline into a veritable flood. There will come a time when we have neither the manpower, nor the means, nor even the moral right to intercept, detain or repatriate the thousands who will come in peace, in search of a better life. However, if Australia is to stabilize its future population at around 23 million, which seems highly desirable on ecological grounds, then the net immigration rate must be limited to approximately 50000 people per year. Because the final point of departure for all these refugees is Indonesia, it is essential that Australia maintains good relations with Indonesia, so that together we can attempt to manage the refugee problem. However, Indonesia’s own population is destined to increase by 100 million in the next 50 years, which will only exacerbate the situation. Australia would be well advised to make a major increase in its paltry financial assistance to Indonesia’s excellent family planning programmes, which are currently starved of funds. Helping Indonesia to contain its population growth is Australia’s best long-term investment for its own future.

scholarly journals Post-transitional Demography and Convergence: What Can We Learn from Half a Century of World Population Prospects?

2020 ◽  
pp. 63-87
Author(s):  
Maria Castiglioni ◽  
Gianpiero Dalla-Zuanna ◽  
Maria Letizia Tanturri
Keyword(s):  
Weak Convergence ◽  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Demographic Transition ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Actual Data ◽  
World Population ◽  
Future Trends ◽  
Half Century ◽  
And Migration

Abstract After the Demographic Transition, convergence towards similar fertility and mortality levels, is the prevailing hypothesis in UN World Population Prospects Revisions. This chapter questions this assumption of “weak convergence” comparing actual data with the forecasted fertility, mortality, and migration trends computed by UN over the last half century. The “weak convergence” during 1985–2015 is not confirmed in countries that had a Total Fertility Rate below 2.5 children per woman before 1985. Moreover, in the period 2000–2015 the differences between groups of homogeneous countries actually increase. Further research can identify new regularities in order to predict future trends more accurately.

scholarly journals A MULTIDIMENSIONAL LOOK ON THE GROWTH OF POPULATION IN ASIA THROUGH DATA MINING

2020 ◽  
pp. 268-272
Author(s):  
Ma. Victoria D. Naboya
Keyword(s):  
Data Mining ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Turning Point ◽  
Exploratory Data Analysis ◽  
World Population ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
The Earth ◽  
The World ◽  
Exploratory Data ◽  
Socio Economic Factors

The world population is at a critical turning point. Its increasing population is eating away the earth itself wherein its impact has been sufficient to make permanent changes in the environment. Asia is the largest continent in the world, both in terms of area and population that was basically the reason why this study was conducted. The main purpose of this study is to determine what causes the growth of population in it. There are many factors which affect the growth of human population in Asia. These include the geographic, demographic and socio-economic factors. This study employs the exploratory data analysis or data mining which is a statistical procedure for exploring data sets and for formulating theory on the multidimensional look on the growth of population in Asia. The study revealed that population growth in Asia was largely affected by these factors specifically its land area, fertility rate and population literacy of the country. KEYWORDS: Asia, data mining, demography, geography, literacy, population, population growth.

Population growth is a big speed breaker at this juncture in India

2019 ◽  
Vol 118 (9) ◽  
pp. 245-257
Author(s):  
Dr. DR Agarwal ◽  
Ms. Bhawna
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Continuous Process ◽  
Future Generation ◽  
World Population ◽  
Law And Order ◽  
Solid Waste Disposal ◽  
Poverty Eradication ◽  
Conservation Of Natural Resources ◽  
Desired Family Size ◽  
Acute Crisis

After the dawn of independence in 1947, India moved on the path of planned development after launching a series of five years plans with the objective of creating a socialistic pattern of society that is the growth with social justice. In a welfare society, the functions of the govt. increases extensively and intensively. Gone are the days when functions of the govt. were limited to internal law and order and war preparedness (internal and external security). To provide all basic needs of the lowest and disadvantageous section of the society is considered to be duty of the govt. Education, health, power, sanitation, transport, communication, growth through distributive justice, linking of employment process with planned development, balanced regional development, social welfare and social security, clean drinking water, rural development, expansion of production and productive resources, equitable distribution of income and assets, removal of poverty, eradication of illiteracy, reduction in regional disparities, price stability, empowerment of the weaker section of the society, research and development with application of science, improvement in technology and productivity, conservation of natural resources for future generation, continuous process of change for better standard of life, human dignity and values, environmental balances etc. On the other side, India’s population grew at 1.2% a year between 2010 and 2019 marginally higher than global average of 1.1% a year in this period, but more than double china’s 0.5% a year according to UN population fund state of the world’s population 2018, released on 10-04-2019. India’s population growth = Population growth rate of China + Population growth of US = 0.5 + 0.7. Moreover, actual fertility rate children per women is 2.1 against the desired family size of 1.8. India has over 18% of the world population but just 4% of its fresh water resources. This is going to create a big demand for all kinds of commodities. The propensity to generate waste is increasing (waste is associated with food such as milk packets and water bottles piling up and solid waste disposal is acute crisis in big cities). All efforts of growth of G D P may go futile, if population growth remains unchecked. This paper highlights the consequences.

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