scholarly journals The potential pitfalls of studying adult sex ratios at aggregate levels in humans

2017 ◽  
Vol 372 (1729) ◽  
pp. 20160317 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas V. Pollet ◽  
Andrea H. Stoevenbelt ◽  
Toon Kuppens

Human adult sex ratios have been studied extensively across the biological and social sciences. While several studies have examined adult sex ratio effects in a multilevel perspective, many studies have focused on effects at an aggregated level only. In this paper, we review some key issues relating to such analyses. We address not only nation-level analyses, but also aggregation at lower levels, to investigate whether these issues extend to lower levels of aggregation. We illustrate these issues with novel databases covering a broad range of variables. Specifically, we discuss distributional issues with aggregated measures of adult sex ratio, significance testing, and statistical non-independence when using aggregate data. Firstly, we show that there are severe distributional issues with national adult sex ratio, such as extreme cases. Secondly, we demonstrate that many ‘meaningless’ variables are significantly correlated with adult sex ratio (e.g. the max. elevation level correlates with sex ratio at US state level). Finally, we re-examine associations between adult sex ratios and teenage fertility and find no robust evidence for an association at the aggregate level. Our review highlights the potential issues of using aggregate data on adult sex ratios to test hypotheses from an evolutionary perspective in humans. This article is part of the themed issue ‘Adult sex ratios and reproductive decisions: a critical re-examination of sex differences in human and animal societies’.

2017 ◽  
Vol 372 (1729) ◽  
pp. 20160325 ◽  
Author(s):  
Veronika Bókony ◽  
Szilvia Kövér ◽  
Edina Nemesházi ◽  
András Liker ◽  
Tamás Székely

Sex reversals whereby individuals of one genetic sex develop the phenotype of the opposite sex occur in ectothermic vertebrates with genetic sex-determination systems that are sensitive to extreme temperatures during sexual differentiation. Recent rises in global temperatures have led researchers to predict that sex reversals will become more common, resulting in the distortion of many populations' sex ratios. However, it is unclear whether susceptibility to climate-driven sex-ratio shifts depends on the type of sex determination that varies across species. First, we show here using individual-based theoretical models that XX/XY (male-heterogametic) and ZZ/ZW (female-heterogametic) sex-determination systems can respond differentially to temperature-induced sex reversals. Interestingly, the impacts of climate warming on adult sex ratio (ASR) depend on the effects of both genotypic and phenotypic sex on survival and reproduction. Second, we analyse the temporal changes of ASR in natural amphibian populations using data from the literature, and find that ASR shifted towards males in ZZ/ZW species over the past 60 years, but did not change significantly in XX/XY species. Our results highlight the fact that we need a better understanding of the interactions between genetic and environmental sex-determining mechanisms to predict the responses of ectotherms to climate change and the associated extinction risks. This article is part of the themed issue ‘Adult sex ratios and reproductive decisions: a critical re-examination of sex differences in human and animal societies’.


2003 ◽  
Vol 81 (8) ◽  
pp. 1306-1311 ◽  
Author(s):  
Monica L Bond ◽  
Jerry O Wolff ◽  
Sven Krackow

We tested predictions associated with three widely used hypotheses for facultative sex-ratio adjustment of vertebrates using eight enclosed populations of gray-tailed voles, Microtus canicaudus. These were (i) the population sex ratio hypothesis, which predicts that recruitment sex ratios should oppose adult sex-ratio skews, (ii) the local resource competition hypothesis, which predicts female-biased recruitment at low adult population density and male-biased recruitment at high population density, and (iii) the first cohort advantage hypothesis, which predicts that recruitment sex ratios should be female biased in the spring and male biased in the autumn. We monitored naturally increasing population densities with approximately equal adult sex ratios through the spring and summer and manipulated adult sex ratios in the autumn and measured subsequent sex ratios of recruits. We did not observe any significant sex-ratio adjustment in response to adult sex ratio or high population density; we did detect an influence of time within the breeding season, with more female offspring observed in the spring and more male offspring observed in the autumn. Significant seasonal increases in recruitment sex ratios indicate the capacity of female gray-tailed voles to manipulate their offspring sex ratios and suggest seasonal variation in the relative reproductive value of male and female offspring to be a regular phenomenon.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jessica M. Judson ◽  
Luke A. Hoekstra ◽  
Kaitlyn G. Holden ◽  
Fredric J. Janzen

ABSTRACTSexual selection is often assumed to elicit sexually dimorphic traits. However, most work on this assumption in tetrapod vertebrates has focused on birds. In this field experiment, we assessed relationships between both sexually dimorphic (body size, claw length) and non-dimorphic traits (forelimb stripe color, baseline corticosterone concentrations) and reproductive success in adult painted turtles to explicate the roles of these phenotypes in mate choice and the evolution of sexual dimorphism. We also modified adult sex ratios in experimental ponds to elucidate the role of biased sex ratios on reproductive success, which is a timely test of the potential threat of biased sex ratios on population persistence in a species with temperature-dependent sex determination. We found no strong influence of male phenotypes on male siring success, but female body size and baseline corticosterone concentrations predicted female clutch sizes. We find weak evidence that adult sex ratio influences male siring success, with a male-biased sex ratio producing lower male siring success than a female-biased sex ratio. This study offers evidence that female mate choice may not be an important selective force on male phenotypes, but that instead selection occurs on female phenotypes, particularly body size and corticosterone concentrations. Further, biased adult sex ratios can influence reproductive success of both sexes. Finally, the use of Kompetitive Allele Specific PCR (KASP) was highly successful in parentage analysis, which adds reptiles to the growing list of taxa successfully genotyped with this new technology.Lay SummaryFemale painted turtles aren’t choosy about traits of their mates. In a field experiment, we find that male traits do not predict male fitness, but key female traits (body size and stress levels) do predict female reproductive success. Further, we find weak evidence that adult sex ratio influences individual fitness in this species with environmental sex determination. Ultimately, we reject the long-assumed importance of female mate choice in this freshwater turtle.


Parasitology ◽  
2004 ◽  
Vol 130 (1) ◽  
pp. 99-107 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. STIEN ◽  
M. DALLIMER ◽  
R. J. IRVINE ◽  
O. HALVORSEN ◽  
R. LANGVATN ◽  
...  

Estimates of the intensity and abundance of species provide essential data for ecological, evolutionary and epidemiological studies of gastrointestinal nematode communities. These estimates are typically derived from the species composition of adult males when only males have readily scorable species-specific morphological traits. Such estimation assumes that all species in the community have the same adult sex ratio. We evaluated this assumption for the trichostrongyle nematodes Ostertagia gruehneri and Marshallagia marshalli in infracommunities in Svalbard reindeer by identifying to species adult females using a polymerase chain reaction assay. The proportion of males was found to be slightly higher in O. gruehneri than in M. marshalli. Evidence for seasonal variation and density dependence in the adult sex ratio was only found for O. gruehneri. Possible demographic mechanisms for such sex ratio variation are discussed, and stochastic models that generate density-dependent sex ratios proposed. Sex ratio variation caused substantial bias in some male-based estimates of intensity of infection, while substantial and consistent bias in estimates of abundances was only evident in late winter samples. Our results suggest that estimating sex ratios can be particularly important in individual host level studies of nematode species of low abundance.


2017 ◽  
Vol 372 (1729) ◽  
pp. 20160313 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergio Ancona ◽  
Francisco V. Dénes ◽  
Oliver Krüger ◽  
Tamás Székely ◽  
Steven R. Beissinger

Adult sex ratio (ASR, the proportion of males in the adult population) is a central concept in population and evolutionary biology, and is also emerging as a major factor influencing mate choice, pair bonding and parental cooperation in both human and non-human societies. However, estimating ASR is fraught with difficulties stemming from the effects of spatial and temporal variation in the numbers of males and females, and detection/capture probabilities that differ between the sexes. Here, we critically evaluate methods for estimating ASR in wild animal populations, reviewing how recent statistical advances can be applied to handle some of these challenges. We review methods that directly account for detection differences between the sexes using counts of unmarked individuals (observed, trapped or killed) and counts of marked individuals using mark–recapture models. We review a third class of methods that do not directly sample the number of males and females, but instead estimate the sex ratio indirectly using relationships that emerge from demographic measures, such as survival, age structure, reproduction and assumed dynamics. We recommend that detection-based methods be used for estimating ASR in most situations, and point out that studies are needed that compare different ASR estimation methods and control for sex differences in dispersal. This article is part of the themed issue ‘Adult sex ratios and reproductive decisions: a critical re-examination of sex differences in human and animal societies’.


1987 ◽  
Vol 65 (5) ◽  
pp. 1284-1286 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Andrew Hurly

A 3-year study of a red squirrel population revealed that the adult sex ratio was biased towards males. There is no evidence that the skewed sex ratio was prejudiced by sampling biases due to sexual differences in mobility, observability, trappability, or habitat use. The tertiary juvenile sex ratio was even and therefore not the cause of the biased adult sex ratio. The data suggest that the skewed sex ratio may be the result of differential mortality. This is consistent with other reports of higher female than male mortality in red squirrels.


2019 ◽  
Vol 116 (25) ◽  
pp. 12373-12382 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter R. Grant ◽  
B. Rosemary Grant

The adult sex ratio (ASR) is an important property of populations. Comparative phylogenetic analyses have shown that unequal sex ratios are associated with the frequency of changing mates, extrapair mating (EPM), mating system and parental care, sex-specific survival, and population dynamics. Comparative demographic analyses are needed to validate the inferences, and to identify the causes and consequences of sex ratio inequalities in changing environments. We tested expected consequences of biased sex ratios in two species of Darwin’s finches in the Galápagos, where annual variation in rainfall, food supply, and survival is pronounced. Environmental perturbations cause sex ratios to become strongly male-biased, and when this happens, females have increased opportunities to choose high-quality males. The choice of a mate is influenced by early experience of parental morphology (sexual imprinting), and since morphological traits are highly heritable, mate choice is expressed as a positive correlation between mates. The expected assortative mating was demonstrated when theGeospiza scandenspopulation was strongly male-biased, and not present in the contemporaryGeospiza fortispopulation with an equal sex ratio. Initial effects of parental imprinting were subsequently overridden by other factors when females changed mates, some repeatedly. Females of both species were more frequently polyandrous in male-biased populations, and fledged more offspring by changing mates. The ASR ratio indirectly affected the frequency of EPM (and hybridization), but this did not lead to social mate choice. The study provides a strong demonstration of how mating patterns change when environmental fluctuations lead to altered sex ratios through differential mortality.


2014 ◽  
Vol 281 (1788) ◽  
pp. 20140342 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tamás Székely ◽  
András Liker ◽  
Robert P. Freckleton ◽  
Claudia Fichtel ◽  
Peter M. Kappeler

Adult sex ratio (ASR) is a central concept in population demography and breeding system evolution, and has implications for population viability and biodiversity conservation. ASR exhibits immense interspecific variation in wild populations, although the causes of this variation have remained elusive. Using phylogenetic analyses of 187 avian species from 59 families, we show that neither hatching sex ratios nor fledging sex ratios correlate with ASR. However, sex-biased adult mortality is a significant predictor of ASR, and this relationship is robust to 100 alternative phylogenetic hypotheses, and potential ecological and life-history confounds. A significant component of adult mortality bias is sexual selection acting on males, whereas increased reproductive output predicts higher mortality in females. These results provide the most comprehensive insights into ASR variation to date, and suggest that ASR is an outcome of selective processes operating differentially on adult males and females. Therefore, revealing the causes of ASR variation in wild populations is essential for understanding breeding systems and population dynamics.


2009 ◽  
Vol 87 (10) ◽  
pp. 886-894 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julieta Pedrana ◽  
Alejandro Rodríguez ◽  
Javier Bustamante ◽  
Alejandro Travaini ◽  
Juan I. Zanón Martínez

The guanaco ( Lama guanicoe (Müller, 1776)) is a monomorphic polygynous mammal whose adult sex ratio is expected to be balanced or biased towards females. Remarkably male-biased sex ratios of adult guanacos are often estimated from road surveys. We analyzed the distribution of guanaco social groups recorded during road surveys in Patagonia, Argentina, to test the hypothesis that group assignation based upon behavioral traits is not unequivocal and can be biased by survey factors. Guanacos are organized into three social units (family groups, male groups, and solitary males) that are identified by their grouping behaviour. We recorded 992 guanaco groups, and estimated an adult sex ratio of 3.2 males/female. We used generalized additive models to test the null hypothesis that the probability of recording a group as a family group was constant. Alternatively, this probability could decrease when juvenile abundance and (or) detectability was low. The most parsimonious model showed that the probability of classifying a “family” group increased with date, and decreased with group size, distance to the observer, and time of day. Our results do not support the null hypothesis and suggest that road surveys are unsuitable to estimate reliably the social structure or sex ratio of guanaco populations.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Naerhulan Halimubieke ◽  
Alistair Pirrie ◽  
Tamás Székely ◽  
Ben Ashby

AbstractThe epidemiology of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) is inherently linked to host mating dynamics. Studies across many taxa show that adult sex ratio, a major determinant of host mating dynamics, is often skewed - sometimes strongly - toward males or females. However, few predictions exist for the effects of skewed sex ratio on STI epidemiology, and none when coupled with sex biased disease characteristics. Here we use mathematical modelling to examine how interactions between sex ratio and disease characteristics affect STI prevalence in males and females. Notably, we find that while overall disease prevalence peaks at equal sex ratios, prevalence per sex peaks at skewed sex ratios. Furthermore, disease characteristics, sex-biased or not, drive predictable differences in male and female STI prevalence as sex ratio varies, with higher transmission and lower virulence generally increasing differences between the sexes for a given sex ratio. These findings may be due to a balance between increased per-capita mating in the less common sex, and a reduction in mating rate - hence disease prevalence - at the population level. Our work reveals new insights into how STI prevalence in males and females depends on a complex interaction between host population sex ratio and disease characteristics.


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