scholarly journals Decline in mortality among hospitalised covid-19 patients in Sweden: a nationwide observational study

Author(s):  
Kristoffer Strålin ◽  
Erik Wahlström ◽  
Sten Walther ◽  
Anna M Bennet-Bark ◽  
Mona Heurgren ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTOBJECTIVEIt is important to know if mortality among hospitalised covid-19 patients has changed as the pandemic has progressed. The aim of this study was to describe the dynamics of mortality among patients hospitalised for covid-19 in a nationwide study.DESIGNNationwide observational cohort study of all patients hospitalised in Sweden 1 March to 30 June 2020 with SARS-CoV-2 RNA positivity 14 days before to 5 days after admission, and a discharge code for covid-19.SETTINGAll hospitals in Sweden.PARTICIPANTS15 761 hospitalised patients with covid-19, with data compiled by the Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare.MAIN OUTCOME MEASURESOutcome was 60-day all-cause mortality. Patients were stratified according to month of hospital admission. Poisson regression was used to estimate the relative risk of death by month of admission, adjusting for pre-existing conditions, age, sex, care dependency, and severity of illness (Simplified Acute Physiology, version 3), for patients in intensive care units (ICU).RESULTSThe overall 60-day mortality was 17.8% (95% confidence interval (CI), 17.2% to 18.4%), and it decreased from 24.7% (95% CI, 23.0% to 26.5%) in March to 13.3% (95% CI, 12.1% to 14.7%) in June. Adjusted relative risk (RR) of death was 0.56 (95% CI, 0.51 to 0.63) for June, using March as reference. Corresponding RR for patients not admitted to ICU and those admitted to ICU were 0.60 (95% CI, 0.53 to 0.67) and 0.61 (95% CI, 0.48 to 0.79), respectively. The proportion of patients admitted to ICU decreased from 19.5% (95% CI, 17.9% to 21.0%) in the March cohort to 11.0% (95% CI, 9.9% to 12.2%) in the June cohort.CONCLUSIONSThere was a gradual decline in mortality from March to June 2020 in Swedish hospitalised covid-19 patients, which was independent of pre-existing conditions, age, and sex. Future research is needed to explain the reasons for this decline. The changing covid-19 mortality should be taken into account when management and results of studies from the first pandemic wave are evaluated.

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (8) ◽  
pp. e0256522
Author(s):  
Jaakko Helve ◽  
Mikko Haapio ◽  
Per-Henrik Groop ◽  
Patrik Finne

Background Comorbidities are associated with increased mortality among patients receiving long-term kidney replacement therapy (KRT). However, it is not known whether primary kidney disease modifies the effect of comorbidities on KRT patients’ survival. Methods An incident cohort of all patients (n = 8696) entering chronic KRT in Finland in 2000–2017 was followed until death or end of 2017. All data were obtained from the Finnish Registry for Kidney Diseases. Information on comorbidities (coronary artery disease, peripheral vascular disease, left ventricular hypertrophy, heart failure, cerebrovascular disease, malignancy, obesity, underweight, and hypertension) was collected at the start of KRT. The main outcome measure was relative risk of death according to comorbidities analyzed in six groups of primary kidney disease: type 2 diabetes, type 1 diabetes, glomerulonephritis (GN), polycystic kidney disease (PKD), nephrosclerosis, and other or unknown diagnoses. Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox regression were used for survival analyses. Results In the multivariable model, heart failure increased the risk of death threefold among PKD and GN patients, whereas in patients with other kidney diagnoses the increased risk was less than twofold. Obesity was associated with worse survival only among GN patients. Presence of three or more comorbidities increased the age- and sex-adjusted relative risk of death 4.5-fold in GN and PKD patients, but the increase was only 2.5-fold in patients in other diagnosis groups. Conclusions Primary kidney disease should be considered when assessing the effect of comorbidities on survival of KRT patients as it varies significantly according to type of primary kidney disease.


BMJ Open ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (8) ◽  
pp. e014508 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erika Frischknecht Christensen ◽  
Mette Dahl Bendtsen ◽  
Thomas Mulvad Larsen ◽  
Flemming Bøgh Jensen ◽  
Tim Alex Lindskou ◽  
...  

ObjectiveDemand for ambulances is growing. Nevertheless, knowledge is limited regarding diagnoses and outcomes in patients receiving emergency ambulances. This study aims to examine time trends in diagnoses and mortality among patients transported with emergency ambulance to hospital.DesignPopulation-based cohort study with linkage of Danish national registries.SettingThe North Denmark Region in 2007–2014.ParticipantsCohort of 148 757 patients transported to hospital by ambulance after calling emergency services.Main outcome measuresThe number of emergency ambulance service patients, distribution of their age, sex, hospital diagnoses, comorbidity, and 1-day and 30-day mortality were assessed by calendar year. Poisson regression with robust variance estimation was used to estimate both age-and sex-adjusted relative risk of death and prevalence ratios for Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) to allow comparison by year, with 2007 as reference year.ResultsThe annual number of emergency ambulance service patients increased from 24.3 in 2007 to 40.2 in 2014 per 1000 inhabitants. The proportions of women increased from 43.1% to 46.4% and of patients aged 60+ years from 39.9% to 48.6%, respectively. The proportion of injuries gradually declined, non-specific diagnoses increased, especially the last year. Proportion of patients with high comorbidity (CCI≥3) increased from 6.4% in 2007 to 9.4% in 2014, corresponding to an age- and sex-adjusted prevalence ratio of 1.27 (95% CI 1.16 to 1.39). The 1-day and 30 day mortality decreased from 2.40% to 1.21% and from 5.01% to 4.36%, respectively, from 2007 to 2014, corresponding to age-adjusted and sex-adjusted relative risk of 0.43 (95% CI 0.37 to 0.50) and 0.72 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.79), respectively.ConclusionDuring the 8-year period, the incidence of emergency ambulance service patients, the proportion of women, elderly, and non-specific diagnoses increased. The level of comorbidity increased substantially, whereas the 1-day and 30-day mortality decreased.


Author(s):  
G. B. Piccoli ◽  
G. Beltrame ◽  
F. Bonello ◽  
M. Salomone ◽  
A. Pacitti ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brody H Foy ◽  
Thor Sundt ◽  
Jonathan CT Carlson ◽  
Aaron D Aguirre ◽  
John M Higgins

Inflammation is the physiologic reaction to cellular and tissue damage caused by pathologic processes including trauma, infection, and ischemia. Effective inflammatory responses integrate molecular and cellular functions to prevent further tissue damage, initiate repair, and restore homeostasis, while futile or dysfunctional responses allow escalating injury, delay recovery, and may hasten death. Elevation of white blood cell count (WBC) and altered levels of other acute phase reactants are cardinal signs of inflammation, but the dynamics of these changes and their resolution are not established. Patient responses appear to vary dramatically with no clearly defined signs of good prognosis, leaving physicians reliant on qualitative interpretations of laboratory trends. We studied the human acute inflammatory response to trauma, ischemia, and infection by tracking the longitudinal dynamics of cellular and serum markers in hospitalized patients. Unexpectedly, we identified a conserved pattern of recovery defined by co-regulation of WBC and platelet (PLT) populations. Across all inflammatory conditions studied, recovering patients followed a consistent WBC-PLT trajectory shape that is well-approximated by exponential WBC decay and delayed linear PLT growth. This recovery trajectory shape may represent a fundamental archetype of human physiologic response at the cellular population scale, and provides a generic approach for identifying high-risk patients: 32x relative risk of adverse outcomes for cardiac surgery patients, 9x relative risk of death for COVID-19, and 5x relative risk of death for myocardial infarction.


2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippe Bégin ◽  
Jeannie Callum ◽  
Richard Cook ◽  
Erin Jamula ◽  
Yang Liu ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (3) ◽  
pp. 309 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paula Santana ◽  
Cláudia Costa ◽  
Adriana Loureiro ◽  
João Raposo ◽  
José Manuel Boavida

<strong>Introduction:</strong> Diabetes Mellitus is a public health problem that is on the increase throughout the world, including in Portugal. This paper aims to identify the changing geographic pattern of this cause of death in Portugal and its association with sociomaterial deprivation.<br /><strong>Material and Methods:</strong> This is a transversal ecological study of the deaths by Diabetes Mellitus in Portuguese municipalities in three periods (1989-1993, 1999-2003 and 2006-2010). It uses a Bayesian hierarchical model in order to obtain a smooth standardized mortality ratio and the relative risk of death by Diabetes Mellitus associated to sociomaterial deprivation.<br /><strong>Results:</strong> In 1989-1993, the highest smooth standardized mortality ratio values were found in coastal urban municipalities (80% of municipalities with smooth standardized mortality ratio ≥ 161, of which 60% are urban); in 2006-2010, the opposite was found, with the highest smooth standardized mortality ratio values occurring in rural areas in southern inland regions (76.9% of municipalities with smooth standardized mortality ratio ≥ 161, of which 69.2% are rural), particularly the Alentejo. The relative risk of death by Diabetes Mellitus increases with vulnerability associated to social and economic conditions in the area of residence, and is significant in the last two periods (relative risk: 1.00; IC95%: 0.98-1.02).<br /><strong>Discussion:</strong> Diabetes Mellitus presents a geographic pattern marked by coastal-inland and urban-rural asymmetry. However, this has been altering over the last twenty years. 48% of the population reside in municipalities where the smooth standardized mortality ratio has increased in the last twenty years, particularly in the rural areas of inland Portugal.<br /><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The highest smooth standardized mortality ratio are currently found in rural municipalities with the highest index of sociomaterial deprivation.<br /><strong>Keywords:</strong> Demography; Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology; Diabetes Mellitus/mortality; Portugal; Socioeconomic Factors.


Neurology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 94 (20) ◽  
pp. e2099-e2108 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tatyana Sarycheva ◽  
Piia Lavikainen ◽  
Heidi Taipale ◽  
Jari Tiihonen ◽  
Antti Tanskanen ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo evaluate the risk of death in relation to incident antiepileptic drug (AED) use compared with nonuse in people with Alzheimer disease (AD) through the assessment in terms of duration of use, specific drugs, and main causes of death.MethodsThe MEDALZ (Medication Use and Alzheimer Disease) cohort study includes all Finnish persons who received a clinically verified AD diagnosis (n = 70,718) in 2005–2011. Incident AED users were identified with 1-year washout period. For each incident AED user (n = 5,638), 1 nonuser was matched according to sex, age, and time since AD diagnosis. Analyses were conducted with Cox proportional regression models and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW).ResultsNearly 50% discontinued AEDs within 6 months. Compared with nonusers, AED users had an increased relative risk of death (IPTW hazard ratio [HR], 1.23; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12–1.36). This was mainly due to deaths from dementia (IPTW HR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.42–1.86). There was no difference in cardiovascular and cerebrovascular deaths (IPTW HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.67–1.44). The overall mortality was highest during the first 90 days of AED use (IPTW HR, 2.40; 95% CI, 1.91–3.03). Among users of older AEDs, relative risk of death was greater compared to users of newer AEDs (IPTW HR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.52–2.16).ConclusionIn older vulnerable patients with a cognitive disorder, careful consideration of AED initiation and close adverse events monitoring are needed.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (14) ◽  
pp. e498101422377
Author(s):  
Natália Linhares Ponte Aragão ◽  
Arnaldo Aires Peixoto Júnior ◽  
Carlos Augusto Ramos Feijó ◽  
Marina Parente Albuquerque ◽  
Francisco Albano de Meneses

Objective: To identify the association between cumulative fluid balance in the first 72 hours of ICU stay and outcomes. Methodology: retrospective observational cohort with data analysis of adult patients hospitalized in an ICU of a tertiary teaching hospital. Results: a total of 86 patients who remained in the ICU for more than 72 hours were evaluated. The fluid balance in the first 72 hours was higher in the subgroup of patients who died in the ICU (5210.3 ± 2787.7 vs. 3017.4 ± 2847.2 mL, p = 0.004). The fluid balance in the first 72 hours was an independent factor directly associated with death in the ICU (OR: 1,000; p = 0.009). The area under the ROC curve was 0.7119 (95% CI: 0.58-0.84, p = 0.005). The optimal cutoff point for the fluid balance in the first 72 hours as a predictor of death in the ICU was + 3.900mL and the relative risk of death among those who presented a fluid balance higher than this value was 1.702 (95% CI: 1, 15-2.53, p = 0.009). Conclusion: an association was identified between the cumulative value in the fluid balance in the first 72 hours of ICU stay and the highest risk of death, which is an independent factor of the patient's severity at admission. 


2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael J. Joyner ◽  
Nigel S. Paneth ◽  
Jonathon W. Senefeld ◽  
DeLisa Fairweather ◽  
Katelyn A. Bruno ◽  
...  

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