scholarly journals Learning to Treat Hypotensive Episodes in Sepsis Patients Using a Counterfactual Reasoning Framework

Author(s):  
Russell Jeter ◽  
Li-Wei Lehman ◽  
Christopher Josef ◽  
Supreeth Shashikumar ◽  
Shamim Nemati

AbstractThe optimal treatment strategy for volume resuscitation and vasopressor dosing to combat hypotensive episodes in septic patients remains a subject of ongoing controversy and can vary from clinician to clinician. We develop a machine learning approach to guide a fluid and vasopressor dosing strategy that adapts to patient-specific clinical states to improve the survival of septic patients. We adopt a model-free reinforcement learning (RL) framework in a continuous action space with a clinically significant reward function, and use a Switching Generalized Linear Model (SGLM) to characterize patient-specific clinical states. We use retrospective data from the MIMIC III database to train this model to learn volume resuscitation and vasopressor dosing strategies among the 5,366 patients (totalling 352,328 unique hourly measurements) with ICU-onset sepsis or septic shock, as diagnosed by the Sepsis-3 definition. The RL agent receives short- and long-term rewards associated with optimizing in-hospital survival and avoiding end-organ damage to learn volume resuscitation and vasopressor dosing strategies. On average, the RL agent learns to resuscitate patients earlier than clinicians with a fluid bolus (one hour vs. four hours after the diagnosis of sepsis), and improves the expected survival by ≈ 3%. Our preliminary results indicate that adherence to RL-based individualized fluid and vasopressor dosing recommendations is associated with a significant mortality reduction in septic patients, even after adjusting for severity of illness.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amarildo Likmeta ◽  
Alberto Maria Metelli ◽  
Giorgia Ramponi ◽  
Andrea Tirinzoni ◽  
Matteo Giuliani ◽  
...  

AbstractIn real-world applications, inferring the intentions of expert agents (e.g., human operators) can be fundamental to understand how possibly conflicting objectives are managed, helping to interpret the demonstrated behavior. In this paper, we discuss how inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) can be employed to retrieve the reward function implicitly optimized by expert agents acting in real applications. Scaling IRL to real-world cases has proved challenging as typically only a fixed dataset of demonstrations is available and further interactions with the environment are not allowed. For this reason, we resort to a class of truly batch model-free IRL algorithms and we present three application scenarios: (1) the high-level decision-making problem in the highway driving scenario, and (2) inferring the user preferences in a social network (Twitter), and (3) the management of the water release in the Como Lake. For each of these scenarios, we provide formalization, experiments and a discussion to interpret the obtained results.


Lupus ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 096120332110279
Author(s):  
Roger Villuendas ◽  
Melania Martínez-Morillo ◽  
Gladys Juncà ◽  
Aina Teniente-Serra ◽  
Carles Diez ◽  
...  

Objectives Recent data suggest that some adult patients with autoimmune rheumatic diseases may develop cardiac conduction and repolarization abnormalities mediated by anti-Ro/SSA antibodies. We aim to investigate the utility of a cardiac screening in patients with systemic lupus erythematous (SLE) and anti-Ro/SSA positivity. Methods SLE patients who consecutively attended a Rheumatology clinic during 1 year where evaluated for the presence and levels of anti-Ro/SSA antibodies, and clinical and biological markers of organ damage and disease activity. All participants underwent a cardiovascular anamnesis and physical examination, ECG, echocardiography, and 24-hour Holter. Results Of the 145 recruited patients, 49 (32%) had anti-Ro/SSA positivity. None had any degree of atrioventricular block in the ECG or Holter monitoring. No significant differences were observed between anti-Ro/SSA–positive vs. negative patients in terms of PR, QRS or QTc intervals. No clinically significant arrhythmias were recorded during Holter monitoring and no differences in average heart rate, heart rate variability, or atrial or ventricular ectopy burden were observed. Finally, no differences were found in echocardiographic measurements. Conclusions In this study of SLE patients, anti-Ro/SSA positivity was not associated with significant alterations in ECG, echocardiography, or 24-hour Holter. These findings do not support ordinary cardiac evaluation in these patients. ( Clinicaltrials.gov registration number: NCT02162992).


2011 ◽  
Vol 32 (5) ◽  
pp. 490-496 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. G. Almyroudis ◽  
A. J. Lesse ◽  
T. Hahn ◽  
G. Samonis ◽  
P. A. Hazamy ◽  
...  

Objective.To study the molecular epidemiology of vancomycin-resistantEnterococcus(VRE) colonization and to identify modifiable risk factors among patients with hematologic malignancies.Setting.A hematology-oncology unit with high prevalence of VRE colonization.Participants.Patients with hematologic malignancies and hematopoietic stem cell transplantation recipients admitted to the hospital.Methods.Patients underwent weekly surveillance by means of perianal swabs for VRE colonization and, if colonized, were placed in contact isolation. We studied the molecular epidemiology in fecal and blood isolates by pulsed-field gel electrophoresis over a 1-year period. We performed a retrospective case-control study over a 3-year period. Cases were defined as patients colonized by VRE, and controls were defined as patients negative for VRE colonization. Case patients and control patients were matched by admitting service and length of observation time.Results.Molecular genotyping demonstrated the primarily polyclonal nature of VRE isolates. Colonization occurred at a median of 14 days. Colonized patients were characterized by longer hospital admissions. Previous use of ceftazidime was associated with VRE colonization (P< .001), while use of intravenous vancomycin and antibiotics with anaerobic activity did not emerge as a risk factor. There was no association with neutropenia or presence of colonic mucosal disruption, and severity of illness was similar in both groups.Conclusion.Molecular studies showed that in the majority of VRE-colonized patients the strains were unique, arguing that VRE acquisition was sporadic rather than resulting from a common source of transmission. Patient-specific factors, including prior antibiotic exposure, rather than breaches in infection control likely predict for risk of fecal VRE colonization.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed Bassiouni ◽  
Sathish Paramasivan ◽  
Arron Shiffer ◽  
Matthew R Dillon ◽  
Emily K Cope ◽  
...  

AbstractThis study offers a novel description of the sinonasal microbiome, through an unsupervised machine learning approach combining dimensionality reduction and clustering. We apply our method to the International Sinonasal Microbiome Study (ISMS) dataset of 410 sinus swab samples. We propose three main sinonasal ‘microbiotypes’ or ‘states’: the first is Corynebacterium-dominated, the second is Staphylococcus-dominated, and the third dominated by the other core genera of the sinonasal microbiome (Streptococcus, Haemophilus, Moraxella, and Pseudomonas). The prevalence of the three microbiotypes studied did not differ between healthy and diseased sinuses, but differences in their distribution were evident based on geography. We also describe a potential reciprocal relationship between Corynebacterium species and Staphylococcus aureus, suggesting that a certain microbial equilibrium between various players is reached in the sinuses. We validate our approach by applying it to a separate 16S rRNA gene sequence dataset of 97 sinus swabs from a different patient cohort. Sinonasal microbiotyping may prove useful in reducing the complexity of describing sinonasal microbiota. It may drive future studies aimed at modeling microbial interactions in the sinuses and in doing so may facilitate the development of a tailored patient-specific approach to the treatment of sinus disease in the future.


Pharmacy ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 94 ◽  
Author(s):  
Louis Lteif ◽  
Lea S. Eiland

Antimicrobials in the penicillin class are first line treatments for several infectious diseases in the pediatric and adult population today. In the United States, patients commonly report having a penicillin allergy, with penicillin being the most frequent beta-lactam allergy. However, very few patients experience a clinically significant immune-mediated allergic reaction to penicillin. If a true penicillin allergy exists, cross-reactivity to other beta-lactam antimicrobials may occur. Mislabeling patients with penicillin allergy can lead to a higher utilization of second line antimicrobial agents, potentially increasing costs and resistance due to a larger spectrum of activity. Pharmacists play an essential role in inquiring about patient specific reactions to presumed medication allergies and developing a further assessment plan, if needed, to determine if the medication allergy is real.


2019 ◽  
Vol 104 (6) ◽  
pp. e3.1-e3
Author(s):  
T van Donge ◽  
S Samiee-Zafarghandy ◽  
M Pfister ◽  
G Koch ◽  
M Kalani ◽  
...  

AimsA dramatic increase in newborn infants with neonatal abstinence syndrome has been observed and these neonates are frequently treated with complex methadone dosing schemes to control their withdrawal symptoms. Despite its abundant use, hardly any data on the pharmacokinetics of methadone is available in preterm neonates. Therefore we investigated developmental pharmacokinetics of methadone and evaluated current dosing strategies and possible simplification in this vulnerable population.MethodsA single center open-label prospective study was performed to collect pharmacokinetic data after a single oral dose of methadone in preterm neonates. A population pharmacokinetic model was built to characterize developmental pharmacokinetics of methadone and to assess the effects of weight and age on clearance and volume of distribution. In addition, simulation techniques were applied to evaluate reported dosing scenarios, investigate methadone exposure levels and examine the feasibility of simplified dosing recommendations.ResultsIn total, 121 methadone concentrations were collected from 31 preterm neonates. The median weight and gestational age amounted 1.6 kg and 32 weeks, respectively. A one-compartment model with first order absorption and elimination kinetics best described the data for (R)- and (S)-methadone. Clearance was observed to be higher for the (R)-enantiomer as compared to the (S)-enantiomer (0.244 versus 0.167 L/h). Target exposures, based on simulations, can be maintained with a simplified dosing strategy during the first four days of treatment. It is therefore questionable if there is a need for the currently used more extended dosing regimen of methadone in neonates.conclusionsThis clinical investigation demonstrates that the clearance of methadone increases with advancing gestational age and higher clearance values and volumes of distribution can be observed for (R)-methadone as compared to (S)-methadone in preterm neonates. Simulations that account for developmental pharmacokinetics indicate that a simplified methadone dosing strategy can maintain target exposure to control withdrawal symptoms in preterm neonates.Disclosure(s)Nothing to disclose


2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (4) ◽  
pp. 801-805 ◽  
Author(s):  
Morgan L Trepte ◽  
Jessica J Auten ◽  
Stephen M Clark ◽  
Hendrik W van Deventer

Hyperleukocytosis occurs in 15–20% of all newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia patients and requires emergent treatment with leukapheresis or hydroxyurea when accompanied by signs or symptoms of leukostasis. Currently, there is no standardized hydroxyurea dosing strategy, although usual dosing ranges from 50 to 150 mg/kg/day, and prescribing patterns vary significantly among oncologists and institutions. In addition to other hematologic and dermatologic toxicities, the use of hydroxyurea may be associated with significant mucositis and mucositis-related pain. The purpose of this study was to compare mucositis-related pain between two different hydroxyurea dosing strategies in patients who received hydroxyurea for cytoreduction during induction. A retrospective chart review of adult patients with acute myeloid leukemia treated with chemotherapy at UNC Medical Center from April 2014 to April 2016 who received at least one dose of hydroxyurea for cytoreduction was conducted. This study compared the safety and toxicity profiles of hydroxyurea in patients who received high-dose hydroxyurea (≥75 mg/kg/day) versus low-dose hydroxyurea (<75 mg/kg/day). Safety and toxicity were evaluated based on indicators of mucositis and cumulative intravenous narcotic requirements following induction chemotherapy. Data collection included baseline demographics, mucositis risk factors, baseline laboratory values, hydroxyurea dosing, mucositis indicators, and pain indicators. A total of 55 patients were included in the study, 21 patients (38.2%) received the high-dose hydroxyurea dosing strategy. The high-dose hydroxyurea dosing strategy had a significantly higher white blood cell count at diagnosis, increased duration of hydroxyurea, and received a higher cumulative dose of hydroxyurea. Additionally, the high-dose hydroxyurea dosing strategy patients were associated with significantly more grade 3 or 4 mucositis requiring a formulation change (0% versus 28.6%, p = 0.002) and significantly higher cumulative intravenous narcotic requirements during induction (p = 0.019). No significant differences in baseline demographics or mucositis risk factors between dosing strategies were identified. The high-dose hydroxyurea dosing strategy patients had a significant increase in cumulative intravenous narcotic requirements and formulation changes, both common interventions made for the treatment of mucositis. Additional studies are needed to further elucidate the safety and toxicity profiles of hydroxyurea dosing strategies and to explore the correlation between total cumulative hydroxyurea dose and total cumulative narcotic requirements.


Blood ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 122 (21) ◽  
pp. 3639-3639
Author(s):  
Nakisa Khorsand ◽  
Hilde A.M. Kooistra ◽  
Reinier M. van Hest ◽  
Pharm D ◽  
Nic J.G.M. Veeger ◽  
...  

Abstract Management of patients with a major bleed while on vitamin K antagonist (VKA) is a common clinical challenge. Prothrombin Complex Concentrates (PCC) provide a rapid reversal of VKA induced coagulopathy. The aim of this systematic review is to describe the currently used PCC strategies and to present their efficacy in terms of target INR achievement and clinical outcome. MEDLINE and EMBASE databases were searched for studies reporting the use of PCC for emergency reversal of VKA therapy. Additional inclusion criteria were the reporting of PCC dosing strategy, data on target INR or any clinical outcome or safety parameters, prospective patient enrollment, and a full text publication. All PCC studies in non-VKA patients, case-reports (N<5), duplicates, retrospective studies, and studies on activated PCC were excluded. The quality of selected studies was evaluated using two quality assessment tools which are described by Downs (J Epidemiol Community Health, 1998), and Thomas (McMaster University, 2008). A total of 27 studies was included in which the majority was single cohort (N=18, 67%), open label (N=27, 100%), and/or nonrandomized (N=23, 85%). The total number of included patients was 2410, ranging from 5 to 686 patients per study. One of the included studies was scored as having a strong, 12 a moderate and 14 a weak design. The median quality assessment score was 16 out of 26 [range 10-22]. A large heterogeneity in study parameters was observed including 6 different primary endpoints with 12 different definitions. Fifteen PCC protocols were identified in which the PCC dose ranged from 8 to 50 IU of factor IX/kg or a fixed dose protocol of 200, 500, 1000, or 1500 IU of factor IX/patient. These dosing strategies were based on five principals, namely based on bodyweight (BW), bodyweight and initial INR (BW+INRi), bodyweight and initial INR and target INR (BW+INRi+INRt), individual doctors decision (doctor) or a fixed dose (fixed). The actual infused dosage is depicted in figure 1. Evaluating the used dosing strategy, target INR was reached in 86%, 81%, 78% and 75% of patient in BW, BW+INRi, BW+INRi+INRt and fixed, respectively and was lower (55%) in doctor strategy. Of note, results of the doctor strategy are based on two studies. Clinical outcome was positive for 75%, 93%, 85%, 88% and 67% of patients in strategy BW, BW+INRi, BW+INRi+INRt, fixed, and doctor strategy respectively. Of note, only one study reported on the clinical outcome in the BW+INRi strategy and two in doctor strategy. While our review shows a great diversity on PCC dosing strategies among published data, the same applies to current PCC guidelines in which the ACCP leaves the dosing to the discretion of the physician, the French guidelines recommend a bodyweight adjusted dosing regardless of the INR, the Canadian guidelines recommend three different fixed doses stratified by initial INR, and the Australian guidelines recommend a range of bodyweight adjusted doses from which the physician should decide. Apart from the different dosing strategies, considerable heterogeneity in assessing the impact of PCC treatment was noticed indicating the lack of consensus regarding different aspects of emergency reversal of VKA treatment e.g. optimal target INR, clinical outcome definition. Furthermore, PCC is predominantly studied in small, single-arm and open label settings using the INR to measure its effect rather than clinical outcome. In addition, results from our quality assessment showed that most study designs were at most moderately robust. Evidence gained from the included studies should therefore be interpreted with caution. In conclusion, this review shows that the worst results are reported when a predefined dosing protocol is absent (doctors strategy), while with the use of any treatment protocol good outcome results of PCC treatment are obtained (target INR reached ³ 75%, positive clinical response ³ 75%). A fixed dose strategy seems to be the most simple treatment, with a high potential for optimal clinical outcome while the lowest PCC dosages are infused. Good quality studies with consistent endpoints are needed to guide clinical use. Actual median dose infused in each study(arm). Dots represent the included studies(cohorts) with large, average and small amount of included patients Disclosures: Khorsand: Sanquin BV, Amsterdam: Research Funding.


2011 ◽  
Vol 70 (6) ◽  
pp. 961-967 ◽  
Author(s):  
J G Hanly ◽  
M B Urowitz ◽  
D Jackson ◽  
S C Bae ◽  
C Gordon ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo examine change in health-related quality of life in association with clinical outcomes of neuropsychiatric events in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).MethodsAn international study evaluated newly diagnosed SLE patients for neuropsychiatric events attributed to SLE and non-SLE causes. The outcome of events was determined by a physician-completed seven-point scale and compared with patient-completed Short Form 36 (SF-36) health survey questionnaires. Statistical analysis used linear mixed-effects regression models with patient-specific random effects.Results274 patients (92% female; 68% Caucasian), from a cohort of 1400, had one or more neuropsychiatric event in which the interval between assessments was 12.3±2 months. The overall difference in change between visits in mental component summary (MCS) scores of the SF-36 was significant (p<0.0001) following adjustments for gender, ethnicity, centre and previous score. A consistent improvement in neuropsychiatric status (N=295) was associated with an increase in the mean (SD) adjusted MCS score of 3.66 (0.89) in SF-36 scores. Between paired visits when the neuropsychiatric status consistently deteriorated (N=30), the adjusted MCS score decreased by 4.00 (1.96). For the physical component summary scores the corresponding changes were +1.73 (0.71) and −0.62 (1.58) (p<0.05), respectively. Changes in SF-36 subscales were in the same direction (p<0.05; with the exception of role physical). Sensitivity analyses confirmed these findings. Adjustment for age, education, medications, SLE disease activity, organ damage, disease duration, attribution and characteristics of neuropsychiatric events did not substantially alter the results.ConclusionChanges in SF-36 summary and subscale scores, in particular those related to mental health, are strongly associated with the clinical outcome of neuropsychiatric events in SLE patients.


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