scholarly journals Diet quality and risk and severity of COVID-19: a prospective cohort study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jordi Merino ◽  
Amit D Joshi ◽  
Long Nguyen ◽  
Emily Leeming ◽  
David Alden Drew ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Diet Quality ◽  
Lower Risk ◽  
Socioeconomic Deprivation ◽  
Healthy Plant ◽  
Cox Models ◽  
Plant Foods ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
High Deprivation ◽  
Diet Score

Objective: Poor metabolic health and certain lifestyle factors have been associated with risk and severity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), but data for diet are lacking. We aimed to investigate the association of diet quality with risk and severity of COVID-19 and its intersection with socioeconomic deprivation. Design: We used data from 592,571 participants of the smartphone-based COVID Symptom Study. Diet quality was assessed using a healthful plant-based diet score, which emphasizes healthy plant foods such as fruits or vegetables. Multivariable Cox models were fitted to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for COVID-19 risk and severity defined using a validated symptom-based algorithm or hospitalization with oxygen support, respectively. Results: Over 3,886,274 person-months of follow-up, 31,815 COVID-19 cases were documented. Compared with individuals in the lowest quartile of the diet score, high diet quality was associated with lower risk of COVID-19 (HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.88-0.94) and severe COVID-19 (HR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.47-0.74). The joint association of low diet quality and increased deprivation on COVID-19 risk was higher than the sum of the risk associated with each factor alone (Pinteraction=0.005). The corresponding absolute excess rate for lowest vs highest quartile of diet score was 22.5 (95% CI, 18.8-26.3) and 40.8 (95% CI, 31.7-49.8; 10,000 person-months) among persons living in areas with low and high deprivation, respectively. Conclusions: A dietary pattern characterized by healthy plant-based foods was associated with lower risk and severity of COVID-19. These association may be particularly evident among individuals living in areas with higher socioeconomic deprivation.

scholarly journals Diet quality and risk and severity of COVID-19: a prospective cohort study

Gut ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 70 (11) ◽  
pp. 2096-2104 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jordi Merino ◽  
Amit D Joshi ◽  
Long H Nguyen ◽  
Emily R Leeming ◽  
Mohsen Mazidi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Diet Quality ◽  
Lower Risk ◽  
Socioeconomic Deprivation ◽  
Healthy Plant ◽  
Unhealthy Lifestyle ◽  
Cox Models ◽  
Plant Foods ◽  
High Deprivation ◽  
Diet Score

ObjectivePoor metabolic health and unhealthy lifestyle factors have been associated with risk and severity of COVID-19, but data for diet are lacking. We aimed to investigate the association of diet quality with risk and severity of COVID-19 and its interaction with socioeconomic deprivation.DesignWe used data from 592 571 participants of the smartphone-based COVID-19 Symptom Study. Diet information was collected for the prepandemic period using a short food frequency questionnaire, and diet quality was assessed using a healthful Plant-Based Diet Score, which emphasises healthy plant foods such as fruits or vegetables. Multivariable Cox models were fitted to calculate HRs and 95% CIs for COVID-19 risk and severity defined using a validated symptom-based algorithm or hospitalisation with oxygen support, respectively.ResultsOver 3 886 274 person-months of follow-up, 31 815 COVID-19 cases were documented. Compared with individuals in the lowest quartile of the diet score, high diet quality was associated with lower risk of COVID-19 (HR 0.91; 95% CI 0.88 to 0.94) and severe COVID-19 (HR 0.59; 95% CI 0.47 to 0.74). The joint association of low diet quality and increased deprivation on COVID-19 risk was higher than the sum of the risk associated with each factor alone (Pinteraction=0.005). The corresponding absolute excess rate per 10 000 person/months for lowest vs highest quartile of diet score was 22.5 (95% CI 18.8 to 26.3) among persons living in areas with low deprivation and 40.8 (95% CI 31.7 to 49.8) among persons living in areas with high deprivation.ConclusionsA diet characterised by healthy plant-based foods was associated with lower risk and severity of COVID-19. This association may be particularly evident among individuals living in areas with higher socioeconomic deprivation.

Abstract 13676: Association of Plant-centered Diet Intake With Cardiovascular Disease and All-cause Mortality: Findings From the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuni Choi ◽  
Nicole Larson ◽  
Lyn M Steffen ◽  
Pamela J SCHREINER ◽  
Daniel D Gallaher ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Young Adults ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Diet Quality ◽  
Lower Risk ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
Parental History ◽  
Plant Foods ◽  
All Cause Mortality

Introduction: There is growing data regarding the potential for plant-centered diets to reduce risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality. However, additional investigation is needed to strengthen and address inconsistencies in the existing evidence base. We examined the association between cumulative consumption of a plant-centered diet and a shift toward a more plant-centered diet and onset of CVD and all-cause mortality. Hypothesis: Nutritionally-rich plant-centered diets will be related to decreased risk of CVD and mortality. Methods: We included 4,926 black and white men and women from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) cohort, ages 18-30 years and free of CVD at baseline (1985-1986, exam year [Y0]) and followed until 2018. Diet was assessed through an interviewer-administered diet history at Y0, Y7, and Y20. A Priori Diet Quality Score (APDQS) was used to assess plant-centered diet quality, and high index scores were characterized by higher consumption of nutritionally-rich plant foods with limited consumption of meats and less healthful plant foods. Proportional hazards regression estimated the association of time-varying APDQS, which were cumulatively averaged over follow-up and 13-year change in APDQS (Y7-Y20) with CVD and all-cause mortality. The model was adjusted for sociodemographic factors, energy intake, parental history of CVD, smoking, and physical activity. Results: We documented 289 new CVD cases and 445 all-cause deaths during the median 32-years of follow up. In multivariable analysis, the highest quintile of cumulative APDQS was associated with a 52% lower risk of CVD (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.48, 95% CI: 0.28-0.81) compared with the lowest quintile of cumulative APDQS. Increased APDQS over 13 years was related to a 62% lower subsequent 12-year risk of CVD (95% CI: 0.18-0.78) when comparing extreme quintiles. The association for all-cause mortality was only apparent among high educational groups. Conclusions: Following a plant-centered, high-quality diet staring from young adulthood was associated with a lower risk of developing CVD and death by middle age. Our findings support the concept that a plant-centered diet may help prevent early CVD and death.

scholarly journals MIND diet and the risk of dementia: a population-based study

2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tosca O. E. de Crom ◽  
Sanne S. Mooldijk ◽  
M. Kamran Ikram ◽  
M. Arfan Ikram ◽  
Trudy Voortman
Keyword(s):  
Lower Risk ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Reverse Causality ◽  
Cox Models ◽  
The Mind ◽  
Residual Confounding ◽  
Diet Score ◽  
Insight Into ◽  
Mind Diet

Abstract Background Adherence to the Mediterranean-DASH Intervention for Neurodegenerative Delay (MIND) diet has been linked to a decreased risk of dementia, but reverse causality and residual confounding by lifestyle may partly account for this link. We aimed to address these issues by studying the associations over cumulative time periods, which may provide insight into possible reverse causality, and by using both historical and more contemporary dietary data as this could give insight into confounding since historical data may be less affected by lifestyle factors. Methods In the population-based Rotterdam Study, dietary intake was assessed using validated food frequency questionnaires in 5375 participants between 1989 and 1993 (baseline I) and in a largely non-overlapping sample in 2861 participants between 2009 and 2013 (baseline II). We calculated the MIND diet score and studied its association with the risk of all-cause dementia, using Cox models. Incident all-cause dementia was recorded until 2018. Results During a mean follow-up of 15.6 years from baseline I, 1188 participants developed dementia. A higher MIND diet score at baseline I was associated with a lower risk of dementia over the first 7 years of follow-up (hazard ratio (HR) [95% confidence interval (CI)] per standard deviation (SD) increase, 0.85 [0.74, 0.98]), but associations disappeared over longer follow-up intervals. The mean follow-up from baseline II was 5.9 years during which 248 participants developed dementia. A higher MIND diet score at baseline II was associated with a lower risk of dementia over every follow-up interval, but associations slightly attenuated over time (HR [95% CI] for 7 years follow-up per SD increase, 0.76 [0.66, 0.87]). The MIND diet score at baseline II was more strongly associated with the risk of dementia than the MIND diet score at baseline I. Conclusion Better adherence to the MIND diet is associated with a decreased risk of dementia within the first years of follow-up, but this may in part be explained by reverse causality and residual confounding by lifestyle. Further research is needed to unravel to which extent the MIND diet may affect the risk of dementia.

scholarly journals Adherence to Healthy Diet and Risk and Severity of SARS-CoV-2 Infections: A Community Survey Study Within the COVID Symptom Study Application

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. 237-237
Author(s):  
Jordi Merino ◽  
Amit Joshi ◽  
Long Nguyen ◽  
Mohsen Mazidi ◽  
Mark Graham ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Diet Quality ◽  
Severe Case ◽  
Smartphone Application ◽  
Socioeconomic Deprivation ◽  
Healthy Diet ◽  
Survey Study ◽  
Cox Models ◽  
Health And Social Care ◽  
Reduced Risk

Abstract Objectives To examine the association of adherence to a healthy diet with risk and severity of SARS-CoV-2 infections. Methods We included participants from the COVID Symptom Study smartphone application enrolled in March 2020 from the UK and the US who provided information about their sociodemographic characteristics and risk factors for COVID-19 at baseline, and subsequently reported any symptoms they were experiencing over follow-up. We administered a supplementary diet and lifestyle survey between August and September 2020 to ascertain diet quality before the pandemic using a validated 35-item short food frequency questionnaire. We defined incident predicted cases of COVID-19 over follow-up using a validated symptom-based model and a severe case of COVID-19 as a report of hospitalization with requirement of oxygen support. We used Cox models to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for predicted COVID-19 and severe COVID-19 after adjusting for potential sociodemographic and behavioral confounders. Results Over 4,044,344 person-months of follow-up, we recorded 33,360 incident COVID-19 cases. Compared with individuals in the lowest quartile of the diet quality score, high diet quality was associated with a reduced risk of predicted COVID-19 (adjusted HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.91 to 0.97) and reduced risk of severe COVID-19 (adjusted HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.65 to 0.99). We found evidence of significant interactions between diet quality and socioeconomic status on COVID-19 risk, in which the attributable risk proportion of the joint effect due to the interaction was 30% (95% CI 2.8 to 57.2). Among participants with higher levels of socioeconomic deprivation, COVID-19 incidence rate per 1,000 person-months was 7.5% for those with low diet quality (95% CI 7.1 to 7.8) compared with 5.5% for those with a high diet quality (95% CI 5.2 to 5.9). Conclusions These findings suggest that adherence to a healthy diet is associated with lower risk of COVID-19 infection and severity. The apparent beneficial association of a high-quality diet may be particularly evident among individuals with a higher levels of socioeconomic deprivation. Funding Sources Zoe Global, UK Government Department of Health and Social Care, Wellcome Trust, Massachusetts Consortium on Pathogen Readiness

scholarly journals Plant‐Centered Diet and Risk of Incident Cardiovascular Disease During Young to Middle Adulthood

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuni Choi ◽  
Nicole Larson ◽  
Lyn M. Steffen ◽  
Pamela J. Schreiner ◽  
Daniel D. Gallaher ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Diet Quality ◽  
Lower Risk ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
A Priori ◽  
Meat Products ◽  
Hazard Ratio ◽  
Healthy Plant ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Plant Foods

Background The association between diets that focus on plant foods and restrict animal products and cardiovascular disease (CVD) is inconclusive. We investigated whether cumulative intake of a plant‐centered diet and shifting toward such a diet are associated with incident CVD. Methods and Results Participants were 4946 adults in the CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) prospective study. They were initially 18 to 30 years old and free of CVD (1985–1986, exam year [year 0]) and followed until 2018. Diet was assessed by an interviewer‐administered, validated diet history. Plant‐centered diet quality was assessed using the A Priori Diet Quality Score (APDQS), in which higher scores indicate higher consumption of nutritionally rich plant foods and limited consumption of high‐fat meat products and less healthy plant foods. Proportional hazards models estimated hazard ratios of CVD associated with both time‐varying average APDQS and a 13‐year change in APDQS score (difference between the year 7 and year 20 assessments). During the 32‐year follow‐up, 289 incident CVD cases were identified. Both long‐term consumption and a change toward such a diet were associated with a lower risk of CVD. Multivariable‐adjusted hazard ratio was 0.48 (95% CI, 0.28–0.81) when comparing the highest quintile of the time‐varying average ADPQS with lowest quintiles. The 13‐year change in APDQS was associated with a lower subsequent risk of CVD, with a hazard ratio of 0.39 (95% CI, 0.19–0.81) comparing the extreme quintiles. Similarly, strong inverse associations were found for coronary heart disease and hypertension‐related CVD with either the time‐varying average or change APDQS. Conclusions Consumption of a plant‐centered, high‐quality diet starting in young adulthood is associated with a lower risk of CVD by middle age.

Consumption of flavonoid-rich fruits, flavonoids from fruits, and stroke risk: a prospective cohort study

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-26
Author(s):  
Qi Gao ◽  
Jia-Yi Dong ◽  
Renzhe Cui ◽  
Isao Muraki ◽  
Kazumasa Yamagishi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Lower Risk ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Dietary Factors ◽  
Citrus Fruits ◽  
Proportional Hazards Regression ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Index Study

Abstract We sought to examine the prospective associations of specific fruit consumption, in particular flavonoid-rich fruit (FRF) consumption, with the risk of stroke and subtypes of stroke in a Japanese population. A study followed a total of 39,843 men and 47,334 women aged 44-76 years, and free of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and cancer at baseline since 1995 and 1998 to the end of 2009 and 2012, respectively. Data on total and specific FRF consumption for each participant were obtained using a self-administrated food frequency questionnaire. The hazard ratios (HRs) of stroke in relation to total and specific FRF consumption were estimated through Cox proportional hazards regression models. During a median follow-up of 13.1 years, 4092 incident stroke cases (2557 cerebral infarctions and 1516 hemorrhagic strokes) were documented. After adjustment for age, body mass index, study area, lifestyles, dietary factors, and other risk factors, it was found that total FRF consumption was associated with a significantly lower risk of stroke in women (HR= 0.70; 95% CI, 0.58-0.84), while the association in men was not significant (HR= 0.93; 95% CI, 0.79-1.09). As for specific FRFs, consumptions of citrus fruits, strawberries, and grapes were found associated with a lower stroke risk in women. Higher consumptions of FRFs, in particular citrus fruits, strawberries, and grapes, were associated with a lower risk of developing stroke in Japanese women.

scholarly journals Cardiovascular Health and Stroke in Older British Men

Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (11) ◽  
pp. 3286-3294
Author(s):  
Ayesha Ahmed ◽  
Snehal M. Pinto Pereira ◽  
Lucy Lennon ◽  
Olia Papacosta ◽  
Peter Whincup ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Physical Activity ◽  
Older Adults ◽  
Cardiovascular Health ◽  
Population Attributable Fraction ◽  
Cox Models ◽  
Population Attributable Fractions ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Attributable Fractions ◽  
Time Point

Background and Purpose: Research exploring the utility of cardiovascular health (CVH) and its Life’s Simple 7 (LS7) components (body mass index, blood pressure [BP], glucose, cholesterol, physical activity, smoking, and diet) for prevention of stroke in older adults is limited. In the British Regional Heart Study, we explored (1) prospective associations of LS7 metrics and composite CVH scores with, and their impact on, stroke in middle and older age; and (2) if change in CVH was associated with subsequent stroke. Methods: Men without cardiovascular disease were followed from baseline recruitment (1978–1980), and again from re-examination 20 years later, for stroke over a median period of 20 years and 16 years, respectively. LS7 were measured at each time point except baseline diet. Cox models estimated hazard ratios (95% CI) of stroke for (1) ideal and intermediate versus poor levels of LS7; (2) composite CVH scores; and (3) 4 CVH trajectory groups (low-low, low-high, high-low, high-high) derived by dichotomising CVH scores from each time point across the median value. Population attributable fractions measured impact of LS7. Results: At baseline (n=7274, mean age 50 years), healthier levels of BP, physical activity, and smoking were associated with reduced stroke risk. At 20-year follow-up (n=3798, mean age 69 years) only BP displayed an association. Hazard ratios for intermediate and ideal (versus poor) levels of BP 0.65 (0.52–0.81) and 0.40 (0.24–0.65) at baseline; and 0.84 (0.67–1.05) and 0.57 (0.36–0.90) at 20-year follow-up. With reference to low-low trajectory, the low-high trajectory was associated with 40% reduced risk, hazard ratio 0.60 (0.44–0.83). Associations of CVH scores weakened, and population attributable fractions of LS7 reduced, from middle to old age; population attributable fraction of nonideal BP from 53% to 39%. Conclusions: Except for BP, CVH is weakly associated with stroke at older ages. Prevention strategies for older adults should prioritize BP control but also enhance focus beyond traditional risk factors.

P4794Comparative effectiveness and safety of non-VKA oral anticoagulants versus warfarin in non-valvular atrial fibrillation patients with differential treatment duration: an ARISTOPHANES study analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
S Deitelzweig ◽  
A Keshishian ◽  
A Kang ◽  
A Dhamane ◽  
X Luo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Lower Risk ◽  
Treatment Duration ◽  
Oral Anticoagulants ◽  
Pooled Analysis ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Duration Of Treatment ◽  
Cox Models ◽  
Hazard Ratios

Abstract Background The ARISTOPHANES (Anticoagulants for Reduction In STroke: Observational Pooled analysis on Health outcomes ANd Experience of patientS) study showed that non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) were associated with lower risks of stroke/systemic embolism (S/SE) and variable comparative risks of major bleeding (MB) versus warfarin. Purpose To assess long-term use of non-VKA oral anticoagulants (NOACs) vs. warfarin in ARISTOPHANES by evaluating the risk of S/SE and MB among non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients by duration of treatment (<1 and ≥1 year). Methods In the ARISTOPHANES study, NVAF patients initiating apixaban, dabigatran, rivaroxaban, or warfarin from 01/01/2013–09/30/2015 were identified from the CMS Medicare data and four US commercial claims databases, covering >180 million beneficiaries annually (∼56% of US population). After 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) in each database between NOACs and warfarin (apixaban-warfarin, dabigatran-warfarin, and rivaroxaban-warfarin), the resulting patient records were pooled. Treatment duration was defined as time between the day after the treatment index date and discontinuation (30 days after a 30-day gap in the prescription), treatment switch, death, end of study period, or end of continuous medical and pharmacy enrollment, whichever occurred first. Matched patients with observed treatment duration <1 or ≥1 year were separately examined. Cox models were used to estimate hazard ratios of S/SE and MB (identified by inpatient claims) during observed treatment duration. Results The mean treatment duration for patients with shorter (<1 year) vs longer (≥1 year) duration was 4–5 months vs 18–21 months across the three matched cohorts. All the matched baseline variables remained balanced. The incidence rates of S/SE and MB and the proportion of patients with treatment discontinuation were higher in patients with shorter treatment duration. Regardless of treatment duration, apixaban patients had a lower risk of S/SE and MB versus warfarin; dabigatran patients had a lower risk of MB versus warfarin; and rivaroxaban patients had a lower risk of S/SE versus warfarin. Compared to warfarin patients, dabigatran patients with treatment duration <1 year had a similar risk of S/SE, while those with treatment duration ≥1 year had lower S/SE risk; rivaroxaban patients with treatment duration <1 year had a higher risk of MB, while those with treatment duration ≥1 year had similar MB risk. Conclusions Among NVAF patients with duration of treatment <1 and ≥1 year in the ARISTOPHANES study, apixaban and rivaroxaban were associated with lower risk of S/SE, while apixaban and dabigatran were associated with lower risk of MB, compared to warfarin. These findings indicate varying long-term effectiveness and safety outcomes between NOACs and warfarin. Acknowledgement/Funding This study was funded by Bristol-Myers Squibb and Pfizer Inc.

scholarly journals Low Serum Bicarbonate and CKD Progression in Children

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 755-765 ◽  
Author(s):  
Denver D. Brown ◽  
Jennifer Roem ◽  
Derek K. Ng ◽  
Kimberly J. Reidy ◽  
Juhi Kumar ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Lower Risk ◽  
Glomerular Disease ◽  
Bicarbonate Level ◽  
Serum Bicarbonate ◽  
Ckd Progression ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Alkali Therapy ◽  
Therapy Treatment ◽  
Low Serum

Background and objectivesStudies of adults have demonstrated an association between metabolic acidosis, as measured by low serum bicarbonate levels, and CKD progression. We evaluated this relationship in children using data from the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children study.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsThe relationship between serum bicarbonate and a composite end point, defined as 50% decline in eGFR or KRT, was described using parametric and semiparametric survival methods. Analyses were stratified by underlying nonglomerular and glomerular diagnoses, and adjusted for demographic characteristics, eGFR, proteinuria, anemia, phosphate, hypertension, and alkali therapy.ResultsSix hundred and three participants with nonglomerular disease contributed 2673 person-years of follow-up, and 255 with a glomerular diagnosis contributed 808 person-years of follow-up. At baseline, 39% (237 of 603) of participants with nonglomerular disease had a bicarbonate level of ≤22 meq/L and 36% (85 of 237) of those participants reported alkali therapy treatment. In participants with glomerular disease, 31% (79 of 255) had a bicarbonate of ≤22 meq/L, 18% (14 of 79) of those participants reported alkali therapy treatment. In adjusted longitudinal analyses, compared with participants with a bicarbonate level >22 meq/L, hazard ratios associated with a bicarbonate level of <18 meq/L and 19–22 meq/L were 1.28 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 0.84 to 1.94] and 0.91 (95% CI, 0.65 to 1.26), respectively, in children with nonglomerular disease. In children with glomerular disease, adjusted hazard ratios associated with bicarbonate level ≤18 meq/L and bicarbonate 19–22 meq/L were 2.16 (95% CI, 1.05 to 4.44) and 1.74 (95% CI, 1.07 to 2.85), respectively. Resolution of low bicarbonate was associated with a lower risk of CKD progression compared with persistently low bicarbonate (≤22 meq/L).ConclusionsIn children with glomerular disease, low bicarbonate was linked to a higher risk of CKD progression. Resolution of low bicarbonate was associated with a lower risk of CKD progression. Fewer than one half of all children with low bicarbonate reported treatment with alkali therapy. Long-term studies of alkali therapy’s effect in patients with pediatric CKD are needed.

scholarly journals Olfaction and incident Parkinson disease in US white and black older adults

Neurology ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 89 (14) ◽  
pp. 1441-1447 ◽  
Author(s):  
Honglei Chen ◽  
Srishti Shrestha ◽  
Xuemei Huang ◽  
Samay Jain ◽  
Xuguang Guo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Parkinson Disease ◽  
Cox Models ◽  
Body Composition Study ◽  
Multiple Data ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Health Aging ◽  
Study Participants ◽  
Smell Identification

Objective:To investigate olfaction in relation to incident Parkinson disease (PD) in US white and black older adults.Methods:The study included 1,510 white (mean age 75.6 years) and 952 black (75.4 years) participants of the Health, Aging, and Body Composition study. We evaluated the olfaction of study participants with the Brief Smell Identification Test (BSIT) in 1999–2000. We retrospectively adjudicated PD cases identified through August 31, 2012, using multiple data sources. We used multivariable Cox models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).Results:During an average of 9.8 years of follow-up, we identified a total of 42 incident PD cases, including 30 white and 12 black participants. Overall, poor sense of smell, as indicated by a lower BSIT score, was associated with higher risk of PD. Compared with the highest tertile of BSIT (t3), the HR was 1.3 (95% CI 0.5–3.6) for the second tertile (t2) and 4.8 (95% CI 2.0–11.2) for the lowest tertile (t1) (ptrend < 0.00001). Further analyses revealed significant associations for incident PD in both the first 5 years of follow-up (HRt1/[t2+t3] 4.2, 95% CI 1.7–10.8) and thereafter (HRt1/[t2+t3] 4.1, 95% CI 1.7–9.8). This association appeared to be stronger in white (HRt1/[t2+t3] 4.9, 95% CI 2.3–10.5) than in black participants (HRt1/[t2+t3] 2.5, 95% CI 0.8–8.1), and in men (HRt1/[t2+t3] 5.4, 95% CI 2.3–12.9) than in women (HRt1/[t2+t3] 2.9, 95% CI 1.1–7.8).Conclusions:Poor olfaction predicts PD in short and intermediate terms; the possibility of stronger associations among men and white participants warrants further investigation.

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