scholarly journals Cluster detection with random neighbourhood covering: application to invasive Group A Streptococcal disease.

Author(s):  
Massimo Cavallaro ◽  
Juliana Coelho ◽  
Derren Ready ◽  
Valerie Decraene ◽  
Theresa Lamagni ◽  
...  

The rapid detection of outbreaks is a key step in the effective control and containment of infectious diseases. The identification of cases which might be epidemiologically linked is crucial in directing outbreak-containment efforts shaping the intervention of public health authorities. Often this requires the detection of clusters of cases whose numbers exceed those expected by a background of sporadic cases. Quantifying exceedances rapidly is particularly challenging when only few cases are typically reported in a precise location and time. To address such important public health concerns, we present a general method which can detect spatio-temporal deviations from a Poisson point process and estimate the odd of an isolate being part of a cluster. This method can be applied to diseases where detailed geographical information is available. In addition, we propose an approach to explicitly take account of delays in microbial typing. As a case study, we considered invasive group A Streptococcus infection events as recorded and typed by Public Health England from 2015 to 2020.

Author(s):  
Jocelynne.E McRae ◽  
Helen.E Quinn ◽  
Gemma.L Saravanos ◽  
Alissa McMinn ◽  
Philip N Britton ◽  
...  

Introduction The Paediatric Active Enhanced Disease Surveillance (PAEDS) network is a hospital-based active surveillance system employing prospective case ascertainment for selected serious childhood conditions, particularly vaccine preventable diseases and potential adverse events following immunisation (AEFI). PAEDS data is used to better understand these conditions, inform policy and practice under the National Immunisation Program, and enable rapid public health responses for certain conditions of public health importance. PAEDS enhances data available from other Australian surveillance systems by providing prospective, detailed clinical and laboratory information on children with selected conditions. This is the third annual PAEDS report, and presents surveillance data for 2016. Methods Specialist nurses screened hospital admissions, emergency department records, laboratory and other data, on a daily basis in 5 paediatric tertiary referral hospitals in New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia, Western Australia and Queensland to identify children with the conditions under surveillance. Retrospective data on some conditions was also captured by an additional hospital in the Northern Territory. Standardised protocols and case definitions were used across all sites. Conditions under surveillance in 2016 included acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) (a syndrome associated with poliovirus infection), acute childhood encephalitis (ACE), influenza, intussusception (IS; a potential AEFI with rotavirus vaccines), pertussis, varicella-zoster virus infection (varicella and herpes zoster), invasive meningococcal and invasive Group A streptococcus diseases. Most protocols restrict eligibility to hospitalisations; Emergency Department (ED) only presentations are also included for some conditions. Results In 2016, there were 673 cases identified across all conditions under surveillance. Key outcomes of PAEDS included: contribution to national AFP surveillance to reach World Health Organization (WHO) reporting targets; identification of the leading infectious causes of acute encephalitis which included human parechovirus, influenza, enteroviruses, Mycoplasma pneumoniae, and bacterial meningo-encephalitis; demonstration of high influenza activity with vaccine effectiveness (VE) analysis demonstrating some protection offered through vaccination. All IS cases associated with vaccine receipt were reported to the relevant state health department. Varicella and herpes zoster case numbers increased from previous years associated with suboptimal vaccination in up to 40% of cases identified. Pertussis surveillance continued in 2016 with the addition of test negative controls captured for estimating vaccine effectiveness. Surveillance for invasive meningococcal disease showed predominance for serotype B in absence of immunisation, and new invasive group A streptococcus surveillance captured severe disease in children.   Conclusions PAEDS continues to provide unique policy-relevant data on serious paediatric conditions using hospital-based sentinel surveillance. Keywords: paediatric, surveillance, child, hospital, vaccine preventable diseases, adverse event following immunisation, acute flaccid paralysis, encephalitis, influenza, intussusception, pertussis, varicella zoster virus, meningococcal, group A streptococcus.


2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Paixão ◽  
M Mialon

Abstract The influence of the alcohol industry is considered one of the most important obstacles to the implementation of policies that aim to tighten alcohol control. However, to our knowledge, our research is the first one to document the influence of the alcohol industry in the country, despite a 6.8% prevalence of alcohol use disorders and alcohol not featuring in the current National Health plan. We performed a qualitative thematic analysis of information available on websites and social media pages of trade associations, charities funded by the alcohol industry, government, universities and media material. This analysis was based on the “Policy Dystopia” framework, dividing the strategies we found as either instrumental (action-based) and discursive (argument-based). Overall, out of the 198 written records, 56% were instrumental and 44% discursive. The alcohol industry's representatives are part of the executive commission of the national task force responsible for consulting on policies regarding alcohol. We also found evidence of extensive community involvement through cooperation with security forces, among others. Also, after a discussion by the Portuguese Parliament of a possible increase in taxation of alcoholic beverages, a trade association delivered a study it had ordered from a consultancy company refuting any increase. Trade associations also claimed stricter control measures were not necessary in southern European countries, such as Portugal, and they were only appropriate for countries with more harmful drinking patterns. When referring to health risks causes by alcohol consumption, the association with breast cancer was only found once with misleading language describing it as “chest cancer”. This research has shown several tactics employed by the alcohol industry in Portugal and, as such, helped counteract some arguments used by the industry. This can enable the implementation of more effective control policies. Key messages Public health authorities should document the industry’s tactics in order to implement effective control policies regarding alcohol and other substances. There is a need for audits of health information made public by the alcohol industry.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. e236800
Author(s):  
Grace Anne McCabe ◽  
Thomas Hardy ◽  
Thomas Gordon Campbell

A previously independent 56-year-old immunocompetent woman presented with septic shock in the setting of periorbital swelling and diffuse infiltrates on chest imaging. Blood cultures were positive for growth of group A Streptococcus (GAS). Broad spectrum antimicrobials were initiated with the inclusion of the antitoxin agent clindamycin. Necrosis of periorbital tissue was noted and surgical consultation was obtained. Débridement of both eyelids with skin grafting was performed. GAS was isolated from wound cultures and also observed on periorbital tissue microscopy. The final diagnosis was bilateral periorbital necrotising fasciitis (PONF) associated with invasive GAS infection. The patient had a prolonged intensive care unit course with input from multiple specialist teams. This case demonstrates the importance of early recognition and treatment of PONF, the profound systemic morbidity caused by these infections, and illustrates successful multidisciplinary teamwork.


2021 ◽  
pp. 109019812110144
Author(s):  
Soon Guan Tan ◽  
Aravind Sesagiri Raamkumar ◽  
Hwee Lin Wee

This study aims to describe Facebook users’ beliefs toward physical distancing measures implemented during the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic using the key constructs of the health belief model. A combination of rule-based filtering and manual classification methods was used to classify user comments on COVID-19 Facebook posts of three public health authorities: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention of the United States, Public Health England, and Ministry of Health, Singapore. A total of 104,304 comments were analyzed for posts published between 1 January, 2020, and 31 March, 2020, along with COVID-19 cases and deaths count data from the three countries. Findings indicate that the perceived benefits of physical distancing measures ( n = 3,463; 3.3%) was three times higher than perceived barriers ( n = 1,062; 1.0%). Perceived susceptibility to COVID-19 ( n = 2,934; 2.8%) was higher compared with perceived severity ( n = 2,081; 2.0%). Although susceptibility aspects of physical distancing were discussed more often at the start of the year, mentions on the benefits of intervention emerged stronger toward the end of the analysis period, highlighting the shift in beliefs. The health belief model is useful for understanding Facebook users’ beliefs at a basic level, and it provides a scope for further improvement.


Author(s):  
Thomas Plümper ◽  
Eric Neumayer

AbstractBackgroundThe Robert-Koch-Institute reports that during the summer holiday period a foreign country is stated as the most likely place of infection for an average of 27 and a maximum of 49% of new SARS-CoV-2 infections in Germany.MethodsCross-sectional study on observational data. In Germany, summer school holidays are coordinated between states and spread out over 13 weeks. Employing a dynamic model with district fixed effects, we analyze the association between these holidays and weekly incidence rates across 401 German districts.ResultsWe find effects of the holiday period of around 45% of the average district incidence rates in Germany during their respective final week of holidays and the 2 weeks after holidays end. Western states tend to experience stronger effects than Eastern states. We also find statistically significant interaction effects of school holidays with per capita taxable income and the share of foreign residents in a district’s population.ConclusionsOur results suggest that changed behavior during the holiday season accelerated the pandemic and made it considerably more difficult for public health authorities to contain the spread of the virus by means of contact tracing. Germany’s public health authorities did not prepare adequately for this acceleration.


Author(s):  
Vladimir Reshetnikov ◽  
Oleg Mitrokhin ◽  
Elena Belova ◽  
Victor Mikhailovsky ◽  
Maria Mikerova ◽  
...  

The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak is a public health emergency of international concern, and as a response, public health authorities started enforcing preventive measures like self-isolation and social distancing. The enforcement of isolation has consequences that may affect the lifestyle-related behavior of the general population. Quarantine encompasses a range of strategies that can be used to detain, isolate, or conditionally release individuals or populations infected or exposed to contagious diseases and should be tailored to circumstances. Interestingly, medical students may represent an example of how the COVID-19 pandemic can form new habits and change lifestyle behaviors. We conducted a web-based survey to assess changes in lifestyle-related behavior of self-isolated medical students during the COVID-19 pandemic. Then we analyzed the sanitary-hygienic regulations of the Russian Federation to determine the requirements for healthy buildings. Results showed that during the pandemic, the enforcement of isolation affects medical students’ lifestyle-related behavior and accompanies an increase in non-communicable diseases (NCDs). Indoor environmental quality (IEQ) and healthy buildings are cutting-edge factors in preventing COVID-19 and NCDs. The Russian sanitary-hygienic regulations support improving this factor with suitable requirements for ventilation, sewage, waste management, and disinfection. Herein, assessing isolation is possible through the hygienic self-isolation index.


2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
G Leiras ◽  
A Martins

Abstract Background Articulation between Civil Protection and Public Health authorities is of paramount importance to control, reduce and prevent threats to the health of the population in situations of crisis or catastrophes. National Civil Protection Authority produces Emergency Plans which describe the role of every stakeholder in emergency situations. Role and importance of Public Health and Public Health Authorities is not always present or well described and known amongst stakeholders. Methods Data was collected from all Districtal Emergency Plans (n = 18). Each document was analysed considering time frame, refences to Public Health and Health Authorities, definition of roles, communication channels, coordination and inclusion of intersectoral communication flow. Quantitative analysis included absolute and relative frequencies and qualitative analysis to all parts related to the terms “Public Health” and “Health Authority”. Each document was reviewed by 2 independent researchers. Results From 18 Districtal Emergency Plans (DEP) analysed, 94,4% (n = 17) had references to Public Health, but none referred the role of Public Health Officers. Only 16,7% referred to Health Authorities, although 94,4% mentioned the law 135/2013, defining the role and attributes of Health Authority. In 72,2%, coordination of Public Health Measures was attributed to the National Medical Emergency Institute. Epidemiological surveillance and Public Health Emergencies were referred in 55,6%, and attributed to the Regional Administration of Health. Conclusions Public Health Authorities and Public Health Medical Officers role in articulation with National Civil Protection Authority in emergency situations lacks severely, with this role being replaced by other entities. This is of great concern regarding management and control of diseases, particularly communicable diseases. Key messages Public Health Authorities lack the necessary involvement in Emergency Plans and emergency situations. Public health measures are coordinated by other entities rather than Public Health Authorities.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-28
Author(s):  
Taylor A. Holroyd ◽  
Oladeji K. Oloko ◽  
Daniel A. Salmon ◽  
Saad B. Omer ◽  
Rupali J. Limaye

2009 ◽  
Vol 24 (6) ◽  
pp. 500-505 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daksha Brahmbhatt ◽  
Jennifer L. Chan ◽  
Edbert B. Hsu ◽  
Hani Mowafi ◽  
Thomas D. Kirsch ◽  
...  

AbstractIntroduction:During 2005, Hurricanes Katrina and Rita struck the US Gulf Coast, displacing approximately two million people. With >250,000 evacuees in shelters, volunteers from the American Red Cross (ARC) and other nongovernmental and faith-based organizations provided services. The objective of this study was to evaluate the composition, pre-deployment training, and recognition of scenarios with outbreak potential by shelter health staff.Methods:A rapid assessment using a 36-item questionnaire was conducted through in-person interviews with shelter health staff immediately following Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Data were collected by sampling at shelters located throughout five ARC regions in Texas. The survey focused on: (1) public health capacity; (2) level of public health awareness among staff; (3) public health training prior to deployment; and (4) interest in technical support for public health concerns. In addition, health staff volunteers were asked to manage 11 clinical scenarios with possible public health implications.Results:Forty-three health staff at 24 shelters were interviewed. Nurses comprised the majority of shelter health volunteers and were present in 93% of shelters; however, there were no public health providers present as staff in any shelter. Less than one-third of shelter health staff had public health training, and only 55% had received public health information specific to managing the health needs of evacuees. Only 37% of the shelters had a systematic method for screening the healthcare needs of evacuees upon arrival. Although specific clinical scenarios involving case clusters were referred appropriately, 60% of the time, 75% of all clinical scenarios with epidemic potential did not elicit proper notification of public health authorities by shelter health staff. In contrast, clinical scenarios requiring medical attention were correctly referred >90% of the time. Greater access and support from health and public health experts was endorsed by 93% of respondents.Conclusions:Public health training for sheltering operations must be enhanced and should be a required component of pre-deployment instruction. Development of a standardized shelter intake health screening instrument may facilitate assessment of needs and appropriate resource allocation. Shelter health staff did not recognize or report the majority of cases with epidemic potential to public health authorities. Direct technical support to shelter health staff for public health concerns could bridge existing gaps and assist surveillance efforts.


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