Trudeau gambles by calling election two years early

2021 â—½  

Significance Trudeau believes he can win back the parliamentary majority lost in 2019 by campaigning on his government’s response to the pandemic and its plans to combat climate change. The gain of 15 seats he needs is within reach, but a provincial election result this week warns against complacency. Impacts A renewed Liberal mandate will see deals with provincial governments on childcare, indigenous rights and climate action. If the NDP picks up seats as expected, another Liberal minority government supported by it would be nudged further to the left. A victory for Trudeau, personally unpopular in western Canada, will prompt more calls for greater autonomy for the Western provinces. Failure to deliver a majority for the Liberals will lead to sharper internal party criticism of Trudeau’s leadership. With the Conservative leader now accepting climate change, further action on emissions reduction is likely whatever the result.

2020 â—½  

Significance On the same day, opening speakers in a high-profile forum in Abu Dhabi highlighted the emirate’s commitment to renewable energy. Despite the rhetoric and their own vulnerability, however, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries are lagging behind global efforts to tackle climate change and remain heavily dependent on oil revenue. Impacts Forecast rises in summer temperatures will deter foreign investment and expatriate workers in future. A collapse in oil prices would cut the funding available to develop clean energy. Failure to stem wasteful hydrocarbons energy consumption will make it harder for renewables to compete. Gulf states’ populations will be largely disengaged from global efforts to combat climate change.


2017 â—½  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change â—½  
Global Warming â—½  
Global Climate â—½  
Donald Trump â—½  
Content Type â—½  
The Us â—½  
The World â—½  

Subject The Paris Agreement and US withdrawal. Significance President Donald Trump announced his intention to withdraw from the Paris Agreement on climate change on June 1, prompting criticism from around the world. While current pledges are unlikely to change and the agreement will not see flight or withdrawal by other countries, US withdrawal imperils the ability of the agreement’s structure to accelerate climate action to a scale necessary to meet its objective of limiting global warming to below 2 degrees centigrade by 2100. Impacts The US private sector and sub-national polities will increase their climate action, though the loss of federal support will still be felt. A future US administration could re-enter the agreement, but substantial momentum will be lost diplomatically in the intervening years. Calls for greater adaptation -- rather than mitigation -- funds from climate-vulnerable states will grow more strident.


2018 â—½  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change â—½  
West Africa â—½  
Palm Oil â—½  
Ivory Coast â—½  
Content Type â—½  
Health Trends â—½  
Cocoa Products â—½  

Subject West Africa cocoa prospects. Significance Global cocoa markets are expected to remain oversupplied during the 2017/18 planting season, with Ivory Coast and Ghana -- which together account for 60% of world supplies -- expected to produce 1.9 million tonnes and 850,000 tonnes respectively. Thereafter, the slump in prices could deter investments in plantations, particularly in Ivory Coast where the farm gate price has been slashed. This could could sow the seeds of a new boom cycle -- especially if it compounds longer-term supply bottlenecks that have resulted from underinvestment in rehabilitating ageing and diseased tree stocks. Impacts Deforestation from cocoa farming will come under increased scrutiny as a result of international goals to combat climate change. Health trends in Western markets could reduce structural appetite for cocoa products amid flagging demand in emerging markets. Farmers are likely to switch to other crops like rubber and palm oil if prices fail to recover quickly.


2019 â—½  

Subject Climate change policy views in Russia. Significance After years of delay, the Russian government has acceded to the Paris Agreement to limit global warming. This is a positive step, although the decision is more symbolism than substance. Moscow's obligations under the agreement are very limited and powerful domestic interests are obstructing implementation of a more active climate policy. Impacts Due to warming in the Arctic, Russia plans to increase cargo traffic along its Arctic maritime route to 80 million tonnes per year by 2024. As Russia promotes itself as an international climate leader, state-owned Rusnano is promoting high-tech solutions to emissions reductions. Objections to radical policy change will not be couched in the language of climate change denial.


2021 â—½  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) â—½  
Author(s):  
Prabal Barua â—½  
Syed Hafizur Rahman â—½  
Maitri Barua

PurposeThis paper is designed to assess the sustainable value chain approaches for marketing channel development opportunities for agricultural products in coastal Bangladesh to combat climate change through an approach of community-based adaptation options.Design/methodology/approachThe study was designed to select the potential value chain candidate and to analyze and establish a value chain map to benefit the crop farmers. In this connection, the resources of the whole context were evaluated. The approach uses few tools to generate three outputs, the last of which are the final list of value chains selected for in-depth assessment to design interventions as community-based adaptation practices of the study to combat climate change in the study areas.FindingsThe study demonstrated that the difference in the institutional circumstances of the end markets of the agriculture products is connected to the different categories of harmonization and control of the facilitating environment throughout the supply chains. National and local networks improve the value chain in terms of the value addition of the agriculture products, technology improvement, market access and profitability of the products. Strengthening the weak financial structure, focus more on formal financial systems and resolving sociocultural and climate change-induced hazard concerns are the major concerns on the development of value chains in the countries. Apparently, guarantee for good governance, checking illegal and unregulated market contexts, proper mitigation measures to climate change are some paramount important issues for the sustainable management of livelihood, yield, income and development.Practical implicationsAll kinds of stakeholders of the agriculture product value chain should focus on competitiveness and productivity and look for and exploit multiple ways to add value once initial success has been attained with a single deal. Ensuring sustainability within the value chains is an important feature to cater to the challenges and changing demands of the age.Originality/valueThe study will help to established a sustainable value chain approach in response to climate change, which process will help to existent opportunities for firms to manage the issue of climate risk by codeveloping and employing adaptation options that may be more preferred or accepted by consumers across the entire chain for the sustainable management of livelihood, yield, income and development.


2015 â—½  

Subject The Paris climate agreement. Significance The Paris agreement is the first major international pact to combat climate change since the Kyoto Protocol of 1997. If implemented, the pact envisions robust national efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and cope with the adverse effects of global warming, with significant political, economic, social and sectoral implications. Impacts Paris accord transparency measures will facilitate carbon divestment campaigns in the West. Aviation and shipping emissions are likely to be addressed in a future Paris accord review conference. Migration from climate change-vulnerable states will reopen the legal issue of internationally recognised 'climate refugee' status.


2016 â—½  

Significance The Paris Agreement will enter into force on November 4, ahead of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) annual Conference of Parties (COP22) meeting in Marrakech, Morocco, which begins the following week. The two thresholds for entry into force -- more than 55 countries ratifying, accounting for 55% of global greenhouse gas emissions -- were met in early October. Impacts Activist states will continue to advance Paris-complementary measures in non-UNFCCC settings. The Paris Agreement's entry into force means that a signatory government can only withdraw in four years' time. However, a national leader willing to bear the diplomatic fallout could nevertheless undermine the pact through inaction and backsliding. The natural gas sector is a likely beneficiary of incremental international emissions reduction efforts.


2018 â—½  

Subject Shipping emissions reduction Significance Talks on the Paris Agreement on climate change concluded in Bonn this month, having achieved little progress toward procedures for emissions reduction and financial pledges. This raises doubts about whether such procedures -- known as the Agreement’s ‘rulebook’ -- will be finalised as planned at December’s COP24 climate change conference in Katowice. Progress towards meeting the Paris Agreement’s goals still leaves much to be desired. A recent agreement by the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) on a strategy for reducing greenhouse gas emissions from shipping -- a sector not included in the Paris Agreement -- provides a rare note of optimism. Impacts Carbon credits negotiations have seen little progress and are unlikely to be resolved, prolonging global market uncertainty. ‘Alternative’, lower-carbon fuels are likely to be more promising than renewable energy options for the shipping industry. Opposition to slower shipping speeds by trade-distant countries will be formidable.


2020 â—½  
Vol 12 (1) â—½  
pp. 108-127
Author(s):  
Sunil Tankha â—½  
Denise Fernandes â—½  
N.C. Narayanan

Purpose This paper aims to report on a case in which encouraging climate-smart agriculture in the form of better irrigation techniques in India can contribute to both climate change mitigation and adaptation goals by improving resource-use efficiency. It provides grounded institutional analysis on how these transformations can occur. Design/methodology/approach The authors based their research on three complementary approaches: institutional, sociological and technical. The institutional approach analyzed actors and interests in the water-energy nexus in India via over 25 semi-structured key informant interviews. The sociological approach surveyed over 50 farmers and equipment suppliers for insight into technology adoption. The technical component analyzed water and energy consumption data to calculate potential benefits from transitioning to more efficient techniques. Findings Because policymakers have a preference for voluntary policy instruments over coercive reforms, distortions in policy and market arenas can provide opportunities for embedded actors to leverage technology and craft policy bargains which facilitate Pareto superior reforms and, thereby, avoid stalemates in addressing climate change. Enlarging the solution space to include more actors and interests can facilitate such bargains more than traditional bilateral exchanges. Practical implications The analysis provides insights into crafting successful climate action policies in an inhospitable institutional terrain. Originality/value Studies about climate change politics generally focus on stalemates and portray the private sector as resistant and a barrier to climate action. This paper analyzes a contrary phenomenon, showing how reforms can be packaged in Pareto superior formats to overcome policy stalemates and generate technology-based climate and environmental co-benefits in even unpromising terrain such as technologically laggard and economically constrained populations.


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