A Statistical Learning Model for Accurate Prediction of Time-Dependent Dielectric Degradation for Low Failure Rates

Author(s):  
Kaustubh Joshi ◽  
Yung-Huei Lee ◽  
Yu-Cheng Yao ◽  
Shu-Wen Chang ◽  
Siao-Syong Bian ◽  
...  
Author(s):  
Khashayar Hojjati-Emami ◽  
Balbir S. Dhillon ◽  
Kouroush Jenab

Nowadays, the human error is usually identified as the conclusive cause of investigations in road accidents. The human although is the person in control of vehicle until the moment of crash but it has to be understood that the human is under continued impact by various factors including road environment, vehicle and human's state, abilities and conduct. The current advances in design of vehicle and roads have been intended to provide drivers with extra comfort with less physical and mental efforts, whereas the fatigue imposed on driver is just being transformed from over-load fatigue to under-load fatigue and boredom. A representational model to illustrate the relationships between design and condition of vehicle and road as well as driver's condition and state on fatigue and the human error leading to accidents has been developed. Thereafter, the stochastic mathematical models based on time-dependent failure rates were developed to make prediction on the road transportation reliability and failure probabilities due to each cause (vehicle, road environment, human due to fatigue, and human due to non fatigue factors). Furthermore, the supportive assessment methodology and models to assess and predict the failure rates of driver due to each category of causes were developed and proposed.


2009 ◽  
Vol 61 (2) ◽  
pp. 238-257 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianfeng Yang ◽  
Bruce D. McCandliss ◽  
Hua Shu ◽  
Jason D. Zevin

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingjian Wen ◽  
Samuel Blau ◽  
Evan Spotte-Smith ◽  
Shyam Dwaraknath ◽  
Kristin Persson

<div><div><div><p>A broad collection of technologies, including e.g. drug metabolism, biofuel combustion, photochemical decontamination of water, and interfacial passivation in energy production/storage systems rely on chemical processes that involve bond-breaking molecular reactions. In this context, a fundamental thermodynamic property of interest is the bond dissociation energy (BDE) which measures the strength of a chemical bond. Fast and accurate prediction of BDEs for arbitrary molecules would lay the groundwork for data-driven projections of complex reaction cascades and hence a deeper understanding of these critical chemical processes and, ultimately, how to reverse design them. In this paper, we propose a chemically inspired graph neural network machine learning model, BonDNet, for the rapid and accurate prediction of BDEs. BonDNet maps the difference between the molecular representations of the reactants and products to the reaction BDE. Because of the use of this difference representation and the introduction of global features, including molecular charge, it is the first machine learning model capable of predicting both homolytic and heterolytic BDEs for molecules of any charge. To test the model, we have constructed a dataset of both homolytic and heterolytic BDEs for neutral and charged (1 and +1) molecules. BonDNet achieves a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.022 eV for unseen test data, significantly below chemical accuracy (0.043 eV). Besides the ability to handle complex bond dissociation reactions that no previous model could con- sider, BonDNet distinguishes itself even in only predicting homolytic BDEs for neutral molecules; it achieves an MAE of 0.020 eV on the PubChem BDE dataset, a 20% improvement over the previous best performing model. We gain additional insight into the model’s predictions by analyzing the patterns in the features representing the molecules and the bond dissociation reactions, which are qualitatively consistent with chemical rules and intuition. BonDNet is just one application of our general approach to representing and learning chemical reactivity, and it could be easily extended to the prediction of other reaction properties in the future.</p></div></div></div>


2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 16
Author(s):  
Laila Hayati

Abstrak: Artikel ini membahas tentang pembelajaran yang dapat digunakan untuk mengembangkan kemampuan penalaran inferensial statistis. Tujuan kognitif pembelajaran Statistika adalah untuk mengembangkan kemampuan literasi, penalaran, dan berpikir statistis. Salah satu tujuan dalam penalaran statistis adalah mengembangkan kemampuan penalaran inferensial. Model pembelajaran yang dapat digunakan untuk mengembangkan kemampuan penalaran inferensial statistis adalah model  Statistical Reasoning Learning Environment  (SRLE) yang didasarkan pada teori belajar konstruktivisme. Analisis didasarkan pada: 1) definisi inferensi statistis; 2) definisi penalaran inferensial informal dan formal; 3) kerangka kerja penalaran inferensial informal; 5) model pembelajaran SRLE; dan 6) penelitian terkait penalaran inferensial statistis.Abstract: This article deals with learning that can be used to develop inferential reasoning abilities statistically. The cognitive goal of statistical learning is to develop literacy, reasoning, and statistical thinking skills. One of the goals in statistical reasoning is to develop inferential reasoning abilities. The learning model that can be used to develop static inferential reasoning abilities is Statistical Reasoning Learning Environment (SRLE) model based on constructivism learning theory. The analysis is based on: 1) the definition of statistical inference; 2) the definition of informal and formal inferential reasoning; 3) informal inferential reasoning framework; 5) the learning model of SRLE; and 6) research related to inferential statistical reasoning.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2S11) ◽  
pp. 2408-2411

Sales forecasting is widely recognized and plays a major role in an organization’s decision making. It is an integral part in business execution of retail giants, so that they can change their strategy to improve sales in the near future. This helps in better management of their resources like machine, money and manpower. Forecasting the sales will help in managing the revenue and inventory accordingly. This paper proposes a model that can forecast most profitable segments at granular level. As most retail giants have many branches in different locations, consolidation of sales are hard using data mining. Instead using machine learning model helps in getting reliable and accurate results. This paper helps in understanding the sales trend to monitor or predict future applicable on different types of sales patterns and products to produce accurate prediction results.


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