Assessment of the Wind Gust Estimate Method in mesoscale modelling of storm events over West Germany

2009 ◽  
Vol 18 (5) ◽  
pp. 495-506 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joaquim G. Pinto ◽  
Christian P. Neuhaus ◽  
Andreas Krüger ◽  
Michael Kerschgens
Keyword(s):  
West Germany ◽  
Wind Gust ◽  
Storm Events ◽  
Mesoscale Modelling ◽  
Estimate Method

scholarly journals Wintersturmschäden im Schweizer Wald von 1865 bis 2014

2015 ◽  
Vol 166 (3) ◽  
pp. 184-190 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tilo Usbeck
Keyword(s):  
Present Article ◽  
Forest Area ◽  
Wind Gust ◽  
Turn Of The Millennium ◽  
Storm Events ◽  
Winter Storm ◽  
Winter Storms ◽  
Growing Stock ◽  
The Past ◽  
Gust Speed

Forest damages from winter storms in Switzerland from 1865 to 2014 Winter storms cause the most catastrophic damages in Swiss forests. The present article analyses how these storm damages correspond with wind gust speed, growing stock and forest area, in regard to the whole country and individual cantons, and from 1865 to 2014. During the study period, 26 storm events each totalling a volume of at least 70,000 m3 damaged wood were registered. Winter storm damages were highly variable regarding absolute numbers (volume) and portions per area (m3 per ha) and per growing stock (%). In the past 150 years, the cantons Nidwalden, Freiburg, Aargau, Zurich and Zug were hit most often by storm events, with damages ranging per event in average from 2.2 m3 per ha (Zurich) to 3.1 m3 per ha (Nidwalden). At the turn of the millennium, not only the greatest damages occurred but also growing stock peaked as well did the wind gust speeds.

scholarly journals Improving our understanding of wind extremes from Bangladesh tropical cyclones: insights from a high-resolution convection-permitting numerical model

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hamish Steptoe ◽  
Theo Economou
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
Additive Model ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
Exceedance Probability ◽  
Storm Event ◽  
Wind Gust ◽  
Storm Events ◽  
Generalised Additive Model ◽  
Cyclonic Storm

Abstract. We use high resolution (4.4 km) numerical simulations of tropical cyclones to produce exceedance probability estimates for extreme wind (gust) speeds over Bangladesh. For the first time, we estimate equivalent return periods up to and including a 1-in-200 year event, in a spatially coherent manner over all of Bangladesh, by using generalised additive models. We show that some northern provinces, up to 200 km inland, may experience conditions equal to or exceeding a very severe cyclonic storm event (maximum wind speeds in ≥ 64 knots) with a likelihood equal to coastal regions less than 50 km inland. For the most severe super cyclonic storm events (≥ 120 knots), event exceedance probabilities of 1-in-100 to 1-in-200 events remain limited to the coastlines of southern provinces only. We demonstrate how the Bayesian interpretation of the generalised additive model can facilitate a transparent decision-making framework for tropical cyclone warnings.

scholarly journals Projections of Wind Gusts for New York City Under a Changing Climate

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Comarazamy ◽  
Jorge E. González-Cruz ◽  
Yiannis Andreopoulos
Keyword(s):  
New York ◽  
New York City ◽  
York City ◽  
Extreme Event ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Historical Period ◽  
Wind Gust ◽  
Storm Events ◽  
Global Circulation Model ◽  
Wind Gusts

Abstract To determine potential changes in the frequency and intensity of future storm events due to climate change in New York City (NYC), a statistical downscaling technique is proposed. First, a historical benchmark was determined using weather station data from the John F. Kennedy (JFK) and La Guardia (LGA) airports for the period 1973–2017. This historical information was used to perform the bias-correction exercise of near-future (2011–2050) global circulation model (GCM) output (ORNL RegCM4; RCP 8.5). Results show that NYC is projected to experience higher wind gusts under a warming climate for the period 2017–2050 in comparison with the historical data period, with the most extreme event projected to produce a maximum wind gust of approximately 110 mph, a significant increase over the past maximum of 80 mph. The historical 700-year return period event was estimated at 115 mph, while the overall 700-year event (historical and projected) is estimated at 124 mph. The most extreme cases of maximum daily wind gusts are projected to occur during the winter and early spring seasons. No increase in the number of projected tropical storms was observed, but the intensity of the storms is projected to be higher than during the historical period. These changes in extreme wind events could have serious implications for NYC in terms of urban planning, potential power outages, transportation disruptions, impacts on building structures, and public safety.

Trends in the Prevalence of Atopic Eczema in East and West Germany

1998 ◽  
Vol 138 (2) ◽  
pp. 376-376
Author(s):  
Schäfer ◽  
Krämer ◽  
Vieluf ◽  
Behrendt ◽  
Ring
Keyword(s):  
Atopic Eczema ◽  
West Germany ◽  
East And West Germany ◽  
East And West

A Reflection on Crucial Periods in 50 Years of Social Psychology (in Germany)

2019 ◽  
Vol 50 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Katja Corcoran ◽  
Michael Häfner ◽  
Mathias Kauff ◽  
Stefan Stürmer
Keyword(s):  
Social Psychology ◽  
Early Development ◽  
West Germany ◽  
East And West Germany ◽  
The Future ◽  
History Of ◽  
East And West

Abstract. In this article, we reflect on 50 years of the journal Social Psychology. We interviewed colleagues who have witnessed the history of the journal. Based on these interviews, we identified three crucial periods in Social Psychology’s history, that are (a) the early development and further professionalization of the journal, (b) the reunification of East and West Germany, and (c) the internationalization of the journal and its transformation from the Zeitschrift für Sozialpsychologie to Social Psychology. We end our reflection with a discussion of changes that occurred during these periods and their implication for the future of our field.

Proposal of PV Output Estimate Method in Short Time Intervals

2016 ◽  
Vol 136 (12) ◽  
pp. 891-897 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katsuhiro Matsuda ◽  
Kazuhiro Misawa ◽  
Hirotaka Takahashi ◽  
Kenta Furukawa ◽  
Satoshi Uemura
Keyword(s):  
Time Intervals ◽  
Estimate Method ◽  
Short Time

“Because every recipient is also a potential patient” – TV Health Programmes in the FRG and the GDR, from the 1960s to the 1980s

Gesnerus ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 76 (2) ◽  
pp. 172-191
Author(s):  
Susanne Vollberg
Keyword(s):  
Public Awareness ◽  
West Germany ◽  
Continuous Coverage ◽  
Public Consciousness ◽  
Television Programme ◽  
East German ◽  
Health And Disease ◽  
Media Systems ◽  
The 1960S ◽  
And Function

In the television programme of West Germany from the 1960s to the 1980s, health magazines like Gesundheitsmagazin Praxis [Practice Health Magazine] (produced by ZDF)1 or ARD-Ratgeber: Gesundheit [ARD Health Advisor] played an important role in addressing health and disease as topics of public awareness. With their health magazine Visite [Doctor’s rounds], East German television, too relied on continuous coverage and reporting in the field. On the example of above magazines, this paper will examine the history, design and function of health communication in magazine-type formats. Before the background of the changes in media policy experienced over three decades and the different media systems in the then two Germanys, it will discuss the question of whether television was able to move health relevant topics and issues into public consciousness.

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