scholarly journals Forecasted impacts of a sofosbuvir-based national hepatitis C treatment programme on Egypt’s hepatocellular cancer epidemic: simulation of alternatives

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. e000572 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenkang Ma ◽  
Amr S Soliman ◽  
Wagida A Anwar ◽  
Ahmed Hablas ◽  
Tamer B El Din ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hepatitis C ◽  
Treatment Success ◽  
Hepatocellular Cancer ◽  
Sensitivity Analyses ◽  
Annual Number ◽  
Treatment Programme ◽  
Epidemic Period ◽  
Hcv Transmission ◽  
New Treatment ◽  
Liver Cancer Prevention

BackgroundEgypt is experiencing a hepatocellular cancer (HCC) epidemic due to widespread hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission. The use of sofosbuvir-related therapies producing improved treatment success has permitted an updated, nationwide, HCV treatment programme with expanded coverage. This study simulated the multidecade impacts of the new treatment programme on hepatitis and HCC.MethodsA Markov model of HCV infection and treatment analysed the HCV-related HCC epidemic between 2009 and 2050, using parameters based on peer-reviewed studies and expert opinion. Comparing the ‘new’ and ‘old’ scenarios, and with the old treatment programme being replaced or not by the new programme in 2015, the annual number, prevalence and incidence of HCC were simulated for representative Egypt populations including HCV-infected patients aged 15–59 years in 2008, healthy people aged 5–59 years in 2008 and 5-year-old children cohorts entering the population each year beginning in 2009. Averted HCC cases were calculated, and sensitivity analyses were performed.ResultsCompared with the old scenario, the estimated number, prevalence and incidence of future HCC cases in the new scenario would peak earlier and at lower levels in 2025 (~29 000), 2023 (~28/100 000) and 2022 (~14/100 000), respectively. The new treatment programme is estimated to avert ~956 000 HCC cases between 2015 and 2050.DiscussionBy reducing cancer cases and shortening the peak epidemic period, the new programme should substantially diminish the HCC epidemic across Egypt. Our timeline forecast for Egypt’s HCC epidemic, and evaluation of various disease and programme components, should be useful to other countries that are developing policies to address HCV-related liver cancer prevention.

scholarly journals Hepatitis C virus infection in EU/EEA and United Kingdom prisons: opportunities and challenges for action

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Aya Olivia Nakitanda ◽  
Linda Montanari ◽  
Lara Tavoschi ◽  
Antons Mozalevskis ◽  
Erika Duffell
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Hepatitis C Virus ◽  
Hepatitis C ◽  
Population Data ◽  
World Health ◽  
Annual Number ◽  
European Economic Area ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Related Data ◽  
Hcv Transmission

Abstract Background Hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission in the European Union, European Economic Area and United Kingdom is driven by injecting drug use (IDU), which contributes to the high burden of chronic infection among people in prisons. This study aimed to describe the context, epidemiology and response targeting HCV in prisons across the region. Methods We retrieved and collated HCV-related data from the World Health Organization’s Health in Prisons European Database and the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control’s hepatitis C prevalence database. Prisons population data were obtained from the Council of Europe Annual Penal Statistics on prison populations (SPACE I). Results There were 12 to 93,266 people in prisons, with rates of 31·5 to 234·9 per 100,000 population. Median age was between 31 and 40 years, with up to 72% foreign nationals. Average detention time ranged from one to 31 months. Ministries of Health had sole authority over prisons health, budget administration and funding in 27, 31 and 8% of 26 reporting countries, respectively. Seroprevalence of HCV antibodies ranged from 2·3% to 82·6% while viraemic infections ranged from 5·7% to 8·2%, where reported. Up to 25·8 and 44% reported current and ever IDU, respectively. Eight countries routinely offered HCV screening on an opt-out basis. Needle and syringe programmes were available in three countries. Among the nine countries with data, the annual number of those who had completed HCV treatment ranged between one and 1215 people in prisons. Conclusions HCV burden in prisons remains high, amidst suboptimal levels of interventions. Systematic monitoring at both local and regional levels is warranted, to advance progress towards the elimination of HCV in the region.

New treatment options of chronic hepatitis C virus infection

2011 ◽  
Vol 152 (22) ◽  
pp. 887-897 ◽  
Author(s):  
Béla Hunyady
Keyword(s):  
Chronic Hepatitis ◽  
Hepatitis C Virus ◽  
Hepatitis C ◽  
Chronic Hepatitis C ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Treatment Options ◽  
Treatment Success ◽  
Hepatocellular Cancer ◽  
Hepatic Decompensation ◽  
Chronic Hepatitis C Virus

Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is the major etiology and the reason of chronic liver disease, liver cirrhosis, hepatic decompensation, hepatocellular cancer and liver transplantation. Less than half of patients with HCV-related chronic hepatitis achieve sustained viral clearance with current pegylated interferon and ribavirin (P+R) combination therapy. Due to the insufficient treatment success, an extended search for new, direct acting anti-HCV agents (DAAs) is ongoing, already leading to submissions of applications for marketing authorization of the protease-inhibitors boceprevir and telaprevir. Both are effective only in triple combinations with P+R. Studies demonstrate a 50% success rate advantage for triple therapies above current standards. In addition, treatment duration can be shortened, and half of the patients who failed previous therapy with P+R can be cured with triple therapies. A major concern with new DAAs is rapid development of DAA-resistant viral mutants, a reason as well as a consequence of insufficient triple therapy. Clinical studies with boceprevir and telaprevir are reviewed in this paper. Orv. Hetil., 2011, 152, 887–897.

scholarly journals Characterizing the historical role of parenteral antischistosomal therapy in hepatitis C virus transmission in Egypt

2020 ◽  
Vol 49 (3) ◽  
pp. 798-809 ◽  
Author(s):  
Houssein H Ayoub ◽  
Hiam Chemaitelly ◽  
Silva P Kouyoumjian ◽  
Laith J Abu-Raddad
Keyword(s):  
Hepatitis C Virus ◽  
Hepatitis C ◽  
Virus Transmission ◽  
Cohort Effect ◽  
Annual Number ◽  
Quality Healthcare ◽  
Hcv Prevalence ◽  
Hcv Transmission ◽  
Number Of Individuals

Abstract Background Egypt is the nation most affected by hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, following an epidemic of historic proportions. We aimed to characterize the epidemic’s historical evolution and to delineate the role of parenteral antischistosomal therapy (PAT) campaigns in transmission. Methods A mathematical model was constructed and analysed in order to understand HCV-transmission dynamics. The model was fitted to Egypt’s Demographic and Health Survey data and to a systematic database of HCV-prevalence data. Results The incidence rate peaked in 1966 at 15.7 infections per 1000 person-years—a period of time that coincides with the PAT campaigns—and rapidly declined thereafter, beginning the mid-1990s. The annual number of new infections peaked in 1993 at 581 200 (with rapid demographic growth), leading to a high-incidence-cohort effect, and declined to 67 800 by 2018. The number of individuals ever infected (1950–2018) was 16.4 million, with HCV prevalence peaking in 1979. The number of individuals ever exposed to PAT was 8.3 million; however, of these individuals, 7.3 million were alive in 1980 and only 3.5 million alive in 2018. The number of individuals ever infected due to PAT exposure was 963 900, with 850 200 individuals alive in 1980 and only 389 800 alive in 2018. The proportion of PAT-attributed prevalent infections peaked at 19.9% in 1972, declining to 5.5% by 2018. Conclusions PAT campaigns played an important role in HCV transmission, yet explain only 6% of infections—they appear to be a manifestation, rather than a cause, of the epidemic. A possible driver of the epidemic could be the mass expansion of inadequate-quality healthcare during PAT campaigns and subsequent decades. Despite a historic toll, the epidemic has been rapidly diminishing since the mid-1990s.

scholarly journals Cost-utility Analysis of Second-generation Direct-acting Antivirals for Hepatitis C

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (8) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdollah Poursamad ◽  
Zahra Goudarzi ◽  
Iman Karimzadeh ◽  
Nahid Jallaly ◽  
Khosro Keshavarz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
Hepatitis C ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Sensitivity Analyses ◽  
Genotype 1 ◽  
Medication Regimen ◽  
Lifetime Horizon ◽  
Medication Therapy ◽  
Life Years ◽  
Study Results

Background: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) can lead to increased mortality, disability, and liver transplantation if left untreated, and it is associated with a possible increase in disease burden in the future, all of which would surely have a significant impact on the health system. New antiviral regimens are effective in the treatment of the disease yet expensive. Objectives: The purpose of the present study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of three medication regimens, namely, ledipasvir/sofosbuvir (LDV/SOF), velpatasvir/sofosbuvir, and daclatasvir/sofosbuvir (DCV/SOF) for HCV patients with genotype 1 in Iran. Methods: A Markov model with a lifetime horizon was developed to predict the costs and outcomes of the three mentioned medication therapy strategies. The final outcome of the study was quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), which was obtained using the previously published studies. The study was conducted from the perspective of the Health Ministry; therefore, only direct medical costs were estimated. The results were provided as the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per QALY. Ultimately, the one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were used to measure the strength of study results. Results: The results showed that the QALYs for LDV/SOF, DCV/SOF, and VEL/SOF were 13.25, 13.94, and 14.61, and the costs were 4,807, 7,716, and 4,546$, respectively. The VEL/SOF regimen had lower costs and higher effectiveness than the LDV/SOF and DCV/SOF regimens, making it a dominant strategy. The tornado diagram results showed that the study results had the highest sensitivity to chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and compensated cirrhosis (CC) state costs. Moreover, the scatter plots showed that the VEL/SOF was the dominant therapeutic strategy in 73% of the simulations compared to LDV/SOF and 66% of the simulations compared to DCV/SOF; moreover, it was in the acceptable region in 92% of the simulations and below the threshold. Therefore, it was considered the most cost-effective strategy. Moreover, the results showed that DCV/SOF was in the acceptable region below the threshold in 69% of the simulations compared to LDV/SOF. Therefore, the DCV/SOF regimen was more cost-effective than LDV/SOF. Conclusions: According to the present study results, it is suggested that the VEL/SOF regimen be used as the first line of therapy in patients with HCV genotype 1. Moreover, DCV/SOF can be the second-line medication regimen.

scholarly journals Cost-effectiveness of Triple Therapy with Telaprevir for Chronic Hepatitis C Virus Patients in Germany

10.36469/9870 ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 239-253 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jona T. Stahmeyer ◽  
Svenja Schauer ◽  
Siegbert Rossol ◽  
Hans Heinrich Wedemeyer ◽  
Daniel Wirth ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
Hepatitis C ◽  
Triple Therapy ◽  
Sensitivity Analyses ◽  
Healthcare Sector ◽  
Base Case ◽  
Life Years ◽  
Previously Treated Patients ◽  
Previously Treated ◽  
The Cost

Background: About 400,000-500,000 people are infected with hepatitis C in Germany. Long-term consequences are the development of liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. The introduction of first generation protease inhibitors has significantly improved the treatment of hepatitis C genotype 1 patients. The aim of the study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of triple therapy with telaprevir in Germany. Methods: We used a Markov model on disease progression and natural history to assess the cost-effectiveness of triple therapy with telaprevir compared to standard treatment with pegylated interferon and ribavirin. Model structure and inputs were discussed with clinical experts. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to verify the robustness of results. Results: The base-case analyses shows that triple therapy results in higher costs (untreated patients: €48,446 vs. €30,691; previously treated patients: €63,228 vs. €48,603) and better outcomes (untreated patients: 16.85 qualily of life years [QALYs] vs. 15.97 QALYs; previously treated patients: 14.16 QALYs vs. 12.89 QALYs). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was €20,131 per QALY and €30,567 per life year gained (LYG) for previously untreated patients. ICER in treatment experienced patients was €7,664 per QALY for relapse patients, €12,506 per QALY for partial responders and €28,429 per QALY for null responders. Results were robust in sensitivity analyses. Conclusion: Although triple therapy with telaprevir leads to additional costs, there is a high probability of being cost-effective for different thresholds. This health economic analysis makes an important contribution to current debates on cost savings and efficient resource allocation in the German healthcare sector.

scholarly journals Acute hepatitis C infection in HIV positive men who have sex with men in Paris, France, 2001-2004

2005 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 3-4 ◽  
Author(s):  
L Gambotti ◽  
Collective Acute hepatitis C collaborating group
Keyword(s):  
Hepatitis C ◽  
Hiv Infection ◽  
Acute Hepatitis ◽  
Sexual Behaviour ◽  
Unprotected Sex ◽  
Acute Hepatitis C ◽  
Anal Sex ◽  
Hcv Transmission ◽  
Sex With Men ◽  
Hospital Wards

In mid-2004, three Parisian hospital wards informed the Institut de veille sanitaire of recent acute hepatitis C in HIV-infected (HIV+) men who had sex with men (MSM). These cases for whom none of the usual bloodborne routes for hepatitis C (HCV) transmission was found, reported having had unprotected sex. In October 2004, we conducted a retrospective investigation in Parisian hospital wards to explore HCV modes of transmission in recent acute hepatitis C in HIV+ MSM. Patient demographics, clinical and biological status of HIV infection, reasons for HCV testing, sexual behaviour and risk factors for HCV transmission within the 6 months before hepatitis onset were collected from medical records. An anonymous self-administered questionnaire on sexual behaviour within the six months before hepatitis onset was also offered to all cases. We identified 29 cases of acute hepatitis C in HIV+ MSM with onset from April 2001 to October 2004. HIV infection was asymptomatic for 76%. Median age at hepatitis C onset was 40 (28-54) years. In all records, were noted unprotected anal sex, fisting in 21% and a concomitant sexually transmitted infection (STI) in 41%. Median time between HIV diagnosis and HCV infection was 6.5 years (0-22). From the 11 self-administered questionnaires completed, 10 reported an STI, 8 “hard” sexual practices, 6 bleeding during sex and 5 fisting. HCV transmission probably occurred through bleeding during unprotected traumatic anal sex among HIV+ MSM and may be facilitated by STI mucosal lesions. This report stresses the continuous need to strongly advocate safer sex to MSM.

scholarly journals Population genetic history of hepatitis C virus 1b infection in China

2006 ◽  
Vol 87 (1) ◽  
pp. 73-82 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tatsunori Nakano ◽  
Ling Lu ◽  
Yunshao He ◽  
Yongshui Fu ◽  
Betty H. Robertson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hepatitis C Virus ◽  
Hepatitis C ◽  
Population Genetic ◽  
Genetic Method ◽  
Future Burden ◽  
Hcv Transmission ◽  
History Of ◽  
Iatrogenic Transmission ◽  
Unsafe Injection ◽  
Reference Strains

Subtype 1b is the most common strain of Hepatitis C virus (HCV) in China. Here, the molecular epidemiology and epidemic history of this strain were investigated by conducting phylogenetic and population genetic analyses of E1 and NS5B gene sequences sampled from nine Chinese cities. The phylogenetic analysis indicated the presence of two clusters of Chinese strains that did not include reference strains from other countries, suggesting that these clusters represent two independent chains of HCV transmission within China. The remaining Chinese isolates were more closely related to reference strains from other countries. The date of origin and past population dynamics of the two groups were investigated using a new population genetic method, the Bayesian skyline plot. The estimated dates of origin of both groups coincide with the period of the Chinese ‘Cultural Revolution’ during the years 1966–1976. Both groups grew at a rapid exponential rate between ∼1970 and ∼1990, after which transmission slowed considerably. Possible explanations for the groups' fast spread and subsequent slowdown are discussed, including parenteral transmission by unsafe injection, iatrogenic transmission by infected blood or blood products and improvements in blood safety since 1990. These results shed light on HCV transmission in China and may help to predict the future burden of HCV-related disease in the country.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document