Impact of Chinese Yuan Devaluation on the Dependence Structure: The Archimedean Copula Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (01) ◽  
pp. 1950005
Author(s):  
Wing-Choong Lai ◽  
Kim-Leng Goh
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Extreme Event ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Tail Dependence ◽  
Dependence Structure ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Copula Approach ◽  
Upper Tail Dependence ◽  
Chinese Yuan

This paper investigates the linkages of Chinese yuan to other currencies before and after the yuan devaluation on 11 August 2015. Linear regression analysis shows that only a few of the 14 currencies considered are significantly affected by the devaluation. However, the devaluation of Chinese yuan has been associated with larger fluctuations in these currencies and the occurrence of extreme positive and negative returns. The regression method may under estimate the tail dependence between currencies, as financial data are usually non-normally distributed, especially when extreme event occurs. We apply the Archimedean copulas to capture the presence of lower and upper tail dependence between the exchange rate returns of Chinese yuan and the selected currencies, and found dependencies not revealed by the linear regression analysis. The extreme returns after the Chinese yuan devaluation have resulted in higher dependence with the selected currencies. While the dependence structure was dominated by risks due to unusual currency gains before the devaluation, the market responses to large losses and gains have become more symmetric after the devaluation.

Dependence Structure Between Renminbi Movements and Volatility of Foreign Exchange Rate Returns

China Report ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 57 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-78
Author(s):  
Wing-Choong Lai ◽  
Kim-Leng Goh
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Extreme Event ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Tail Dependence ◽  
Dependence Structure ◽  
Arch Models ◽  
Regression Methods ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Trade And Financial Linkages ◽  
Chinese Yuan

This article investigates the linkages of the movements in Renminbi (RMB) to volatility of exchange rate returns of other currencies before and after the yuan devaluation on 11 August 2015. A comparison between the onshore Chinese yuan (CNY) and the offshore Chinese yuan (CNH) is made. Standard regression methods underestimate the tail dependence between yuan and other exchange rate volatility, as financial data are non-normally distributed, especially when extreme event occurs. We apply Gumbel copulas to capture the presence of tail dependence between RMB returns and the volatility of exchange rate returns for 13 selected currencies, and found dependencies not revealed by the standard ARCH models. The tail dependence has increased after the RMB devaluation, suggesting that RMB depreciation is associated with higher downside risks in these currencies. This is most obvious in the currencies of Asian and ASEAN-5 countries that have strong trade and financial linkages with China. The dependence structure has shifted away from the dominance of onshore CNY rates before the devaluation to the growing importance of more volatile offshore CNH rates after the devaluation. Hence, any large depreciation in CNH will lead to a higher volatility in the other exchange rate returns, and the corresponding downside currency risks are higher than those of the CNY.

scholarly journals Examining the Interdependence between the Exchange Rates of China and ASEAN Countries: A Canonical Vine Copula Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (19) ◽  
pp. 5487 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liu ◽  
Wang ◽  
Sriboonchitta
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Tail Dependence ◽  
Dependence Structure ◽  
Positive Dependence ◽  
Asymmetric Dependence ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Copula Approach ◽  
Asean Countries ◽  
Vine Copula ◽  
Vine Copulas

Based on the canonical vine (C-vine) copula approach, this paper examines the interdependence between the exchange rates of the Chinese Yuan (CNY) and the currencies of major Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries. The differences in the dependence structure and degree between currencies before and after the Belt and Road (B&R) Initiative were compared in order to investigate the changing role of the Renminbi (RMB) in the ASEAN foreign exchange markets. The results indicate a positive dependence between the exchange rate returns of CNY and the currencies of ASEAN countries and show the rising power of RMB in the regional currency markets after the B&R Initiative was launched. Besides this, the Malaysian Ringgit proved to be most relevant to the other ASEAN currencies, thus playing an important role in the stability of regional financial markets. Moreover, evidence of tail dependence was found in the returns of three currency pairs after the B&R Initiative, which implies the presence of asymmetric dependence between exchange rates. The results from time-varying C-vine copulas further confirmed the robustness of the results from the static C-vine copulas.

scholarly journals Dependence Structure between Conventional and Islamic Indexes: A Copula Approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 22-30
Author(s):  
Samia Ben Messaoud ◽  
Mondher Kouki
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Analysis ◽  
Tail Dependence ◽  
Dependence Structure ◽  
Lower Tail ◽  
Copula Models ◽  
Conditional Dependence ◽  
Copula Approach ◽  
Upper Tail Dependence ◽  
Stock Indexes

This article examines the conditional dependence structure between Islamic stock indexes and conventional counterparts. Our empirical analysis relies on Islamic and conventional indexes of dependence distribution using copula methods over the period 1999–2014. The results from the copula models denote that the dependence is not formally symmetric in that the lower tail dependence is significantly larger than the upper tail dependence.

ANALISIS PENGARUH INFLASI, KURS DAN IHSG TERHADAP RETURN REKSA DANA SAHAM PT NIKKO SECURITIES INDONESIA PERIODE 2014-2017

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 103
Author(s):  
Muhammad Rois Rois ◽  
Manarotul Fatati Fatati ◽  
Winda Ihda Magfiroh
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Equity Fund ◽  
Stock Price Index

This study aims to determine the effect of Inflation, Exchange Rate and Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) to Return of PT Nikko Securities Indonesia Stock Fund period 2014-2017. The study used secondary data obtained through documentation in the form of PT Nikko Securities Indonesia Monthly Net Asset (NAB) report. Data analysis is used with quantitative analysis, multiple linear regression analysis using eviews 9. Population and sample in this research are PT Nikko Securities Indonesia. The result of multiple linear regression analysis was the coefficient of determination (R2) showed the result of 0.123819 or 12%. This means that the Inflation, Exchange Rate and Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) variables can influence the return of PT Nikko Securities Indonesia's equity fund of 12% and 88% is influenced by other variables. Based on the result of the research, the variables of inflation and exchange rate have a negative and significant effect toward the return of PT Nikko Securities Indonesia's equity fund. While the variable of Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) has a negative but not significant effect toward Return of Equity Fund of PT Nikko Securities Indonesia

Struktur Organisasi, Desain Kerja, Budaya Organisasi Dan Pengaruhnya Terhadap Produktivitas Karyawan Studi Kasus Pada PT. XX Di Jakarta

Liquidity ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanti Budiasih
Keyword(s):  
Organizational Culture ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Organizational Structure ◽  
Research Method ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Job Design ◽  
Employee Productivity ◽  
Dominant Influence

The objectives of this study are to analyze changes in organizational structure, job design, organizational culture and its influence on employee productivity at PT. XX in Jakarta and to identify variables that have a dominant influence on the productivity of employees. The research method used is using multiple linear regression analysis. The results show that the all variables simultaneously and partially change the organizational structure, job design, and organizational culture has a significant impact on employee productivity at PT. XXin Jakarta.

The Contribution of Sexual Identity Towards the Students’ Perception of Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, and Transgender

10.32698/0642 ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 120
Author(s):  
Wiwi Delfita ◽  
Neviyarni S. ◽  
Riska Ahmad
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Sexual Identity ◽  
Student Perceptions ◽  
Undergraduate Students ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Simple Linear Regression ◽  
Simple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Bisexual And Transgender

Some students perceive lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender (LGBT) positively, even though LGBT is a sexual deviation that is not appropriate with values and norms. There are several factors that influence an individual's perception of LGBT, including sexual identity. This study aims at looking at the contribution of sexual identity to student perceptions about LGBT. This research used a quantitative approach with a descriptive method and a simple linear regression analysis. The sample of this research was 385 taken from 15.752 undergraduate students of Universitas Negeri Padang which the sample was drawn by using the Slovin formula and continued with a Proportional Random Sampling technique. The instrument used was the Guttman model's sexual identity scale and the scale of students' perceptions of the LGBT Likert model. After analyzing the data with the descriptive technique and the simple linear regression analysis, the results showed that sexual identity significantly contributed to the students' perceptions of LGBT. This research has implications as a basis for counselors to help students avoid sexual identity mismatches and prevent the emergence of positive perceptions of LGBT.

Pengaruh Kepemimpinan dan Disiplin Kerja Terhadap Kinerja Karyawan: Studi Kasus PT Sucofindo Palembang Indonesia

MBIA ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 76-84
Author(s):  
Muhammad Idris ◽  
Dian Novita Sari
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Random Sampling ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Primary Data ◽  
Collection Method ◽  
Analysis Techniques ◽  
Analysis Technique

The problem in this study is whether there is an influence of leadership and work discipline on the employees’ performance of PT.Sucofindo Palembang City. This research includes associative research. The sample in this study were 88 respondents, with propotionate random sampling analysis technique. The data used were primary data and secondary data. Data collection method through questionnare. Analysis techniques using multiple linear regression analysis, F test (Simultaneoys) and t test (partial) and determination coeffiecient. The results show that there is influence of leadership and work discipline on the performance of PT.Sucofindo Palembang City.

PENGARUH KUALITAS PELAYANAN DAN WORD OF MOUTH TERHADAP KEPUTUSAN PEMBELIAN DI KAFE POTRET MEDAN

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 199
Author(s):  
Asrye Tutur Sinaga ◽  
Nurul Wardani
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Service Quality ◽  
Word Of Mouth ◽  
Hypothesis Test ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Quality Data ◽  
Purchasing Decisions ◽  
Study Hypothesis

AbstrakPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui dan dapat menjelaskan pengaruh Kualitas Pelayanan dan Word Of Mouth terhadap Keputusan pembelian di Kafe Potret Medan. Populasi dalam penelitian ini adalah 700 orang ditentukan dari jumlah pengunjung Kafe Potret Medan dalam kurun waktu satu minggu, dan sampel yang digunakan berjumlah 88 pengunjung. Sedangkan tehnik pengumpulan data menggunakan angket (kuesioner) dan pengujiannya yaitu uji kualitas data dan uji asumsi klasik.Pengujian hipotesis menggunakan analisis regresi linier berganda, uji F, uji t, dan uji R2. Hipotesis penelitian dimensi Kualitas Pelayanan dan Word Of Mouth secara parsial terhadap Keputusan Pembelian diterima jika t hitung > t tabel dengan tingkat signifikan 0.05.Nilai t tabel dalam penelitian ini 1,662. Nilai t hitung variabel X1 sebesar 1,990 t hitung  > t tabel maka hipotesis diterima, nilai t hitung variabel X2 sebesar 2,628 t hitung > t tabel maka hipotesis diterima. Dari 2 variabel, variabel Word Of Mouth yang paling dominan mempengaruhi Keputusan Pembelian  sebesar 2,628. Kata Kunci : Kualitas Pelayanan, Word Of Mouth, Keputusan Pembelian AbstractThe purpose of this study is to identify and able to explain the influence of Service Quality and Word Of Mouth to Purchasing Decisions of Kafe Potret Medan. The population in this study were 700 people from visitors Kafe Potret Medan in one week, and the samples used were 88 visitors. While the techniques of data collection using the questionnaire and use the test of quality data and classical assumption. The hypothesis test uses multiple linear regression analysis, F test, R square and t test. The study hypothesis was partially of Service Quality and Word Of Mouth dimension to  Purchasing Decisions is acceptable if t hitung > t tabel with a significant level 0.05. The t tabel value in this study 1.662. The t hitung X1 is 1.990 that mean t hitung > t tabel then the hypothesis is accepted, t hitung X2 is 2.628 that mean t hitung > t tabel then the hypothesis is accepted. From 2 variables fascination that the most dominant variable for Purchasing Decisions is Word Of Mouth of 2.628. Keywords : Service Quality, Word Of Mouth, Purchasing Decisions

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