scholarly journals Modeling and Bifurcation Research of a Worm Propagation Dynamical System with Time Delay

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Yu Yao ◽  
Zhao Zhang ◽  
Wenlong Xiang ◽  
Wei Yang ◽  
Fuxiang Gao
Keyword(s):  
Dynamical System ◽  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Theoretical Analysis ◽  
Time Window ◽  
Detection System ◽  
Positive Equilibrium ◽  
Worm Propagation ◽  
Local Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
System With Time Delay

Both vaccination and quarantine strategy are adopted to control the Internet worm propagation. By considering the interaction infection between computers and external removable devices, a worm propagation dynamical system with time delay under quarantine strategy is constructed based on anomaly intrusion detection system (IDS). By regarding the time delay caused by time window of anomaly IDS as the bifurcation parameter, local asymptotic stability at the positive equilibrium and local Hopf bifurcation are discussed. Through theoretical analysis, a thresholdτ0is derived. When time delay is less thanτ0, the worm propagation is stable and easy to predict; otherwise, Hopf bifurcation occurs so that the system is out of control and the containment strategy does not work effectively. Numerical analysis and discrete-time simulation experiments are given to illustrate the correctness of theoretical analysis.

scholarly journals Modeling and Analysis of Bifurcation in a Delayed Worm Propagation Model

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Yao ◽  
Nan Zhang ◽  
Wenlong Xiang ◽  
Ge Yu ◽  
Fuxiang Gao
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Propagation Model ◽  
Positive Equilibrium ◽  
Simulation Experiments ◽  
Death Rates ◽  
Worm Propagation ◽  
Modeling And Analysis ◽  
Internet Worm ◽  
The Stability

A delayed worm propagation model with birth and death rates is formulated. The stability of the positive equilibrium is studied. Through theoretical analysis, a critical valueτ0of Hopf bifurcation is derived. The worm propagation system is locally asymptotically stable when time delay is less thanτ0. However, Hopf bifurcation appears when time delayτpasses the thresholdτ0, which means that the worm propagation system is unstable and out of control. Consequently, time delay should be adjusted to be less thanτ0to ensure the stability of the system stable and better prediction of the scale and speed of Internet worm spreading. Finally, numerical and simulation experiments are presented to simulate the system, which fully support our analysis.

scholarly journals Hopf Bifurcation in a Delayed SEIQRS Model for the Transmission of Malicious Objects in Computer Network

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juan Liu
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Local Stability ◽  
Center Manifold ◽  
Computer Network ◽  
Positive Equilibrium ◽  
Center Manifold Theorem ◽  
Local Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Normal Form Method ◽  
Theoretical Results

A delayed SEIQRS model for the transmission of malicious objects in computer network is considered in this paper. Local stability of the positive equilibrium of the model and existence of local Hopf bifurcation are investigated by regarding the time delay due to the temporary immunity period after which a recovered computer may be infected again. Further, the properties of the Hopf bifurcation are studied by using the normal form method and center manifold theorem. Numerical simulations are also presented to support the theoretical results.

Periodic Oscillations in the Quorum-Sensing System with Time Delay

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (09) ◽  
pp. 2050127
Author(s):  
Menghan Chen ◽  
Jinchen Ji ◽  
Haihong Liu ◽  
Fang Yan
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Quorum Sensing ◽  
Positive Equilibrium ◽  
Normal Form Theory ◽  
Center Manifold Theorem ◽  
Sensing System ◽  
Quorum Sensing System ◽  
The Stability ◽  
System With Time Delay

The main aim of this paper is to study the oscillatory behaviors of gene expression networks in quorum-sensing system with time delay. The stability of the unique positive equilibrium and the existence of Hopf bifurcation are investigated by choosing the time delay as the bifurcation parameter and by applying the bifurcation theory. The explicit criteria determining the direction of Hopf bifurcation and the stability of bifurcating periodic solutions are developed based on the normal form theory and the center manifold theorem. Numerical simulations demonstrate good agreements with the theoretical results. Results of this paper indicate that the time delay plays a crucial role in the regulation of the dynamic behaviors of quorum-sensing system.

scholarly journals Bifurcation Analysis of a Delayed Worm Propagation Model with Saturated Incidence

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zizhen Zhang ◽  
Yougang Wang ◽  
Luca Guerrini
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Sufficient Conditions ◽  
Propagation Model ◽  
Positive Equilibrium ◽  
Normal Form Theory ◽  
Worm Propagation ◽  
Center Manifold Theorem ◽  
Saturated Incidence ◽  
Parameter Values

This paper is concerned with a delayed SVEIR worm propagation model with saturated incidence. The main objective is to investigate the effect of the time delay on the model. Sufficient conditions for local stability of the positive equilibrium and existence of a Hopf bifurcation are obtained by choosing the time delay as the bifurcation parameter. Particularly, explicit formulas determining direction of the Hopf bifurcation and stability of the bifurcating periodic solutions are derived by using the normal form theory and the center manifold theorem. Numerical simulations for a set of parameter values are carried out to illustrate the analytical results.

Stability Analysis in a Delayed Predator-Prey Model

2012 ◽  
Vol 472-475 ◽  
pp. 2940-2943
Author(s):  
Zhi Chao Jiang ◽  
Hui Chen
Keyword(s):  
Stability Analysis ◽  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Local Stability ◽  
Positive Equilibrium ◽  
Predator Prey ◽  
Predator Prey Model ◽  
Prey System ◽  
Boundary Equilibrium ◽  
System With Time Delay

A stage-structured predator-prey system with time delay is considered. By analyzing the characteristic equations, the local stability of a positive equilibrium and a boundary equilibrium is discussed, respectively. Furthermore, it is proved that the system undergoes a Hopf bifurcation at the positive equilibrium when . The estimation of the length of delay to preserve stability has also been calculated.

Dynamical Behaviors of a Delayed Prey–Predator Model with Beddington–DeAngelis Functional Response: Stability and Periodicity

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (16) ◽  
pp. 2050244
Author(s):  
Xin Zhang ◽  
Renxiang Shi ◽  
Ruizhi Yang ◽  
Zhangzhi Wei
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Functional Response ◽  
Discrete Time ◽  
Numerical Continuation ◽  
Positive Equilibrium ◽  
Local Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Discrete Time Delay ◽  
Predator Model ◽  
The Stability

This work investigates a prey–predator model with Beddington–DeAngelis functional response and discrete time delay in both theoretical and numerical ways. Firstly, we incorporate into the system a discrete time delay between the capture of the prey by the predator and its conversion to predator biomass. Moreover, by taking the delay as a bifurcation parameter, we analyze the stability of the positive equilibrium in the delayed system. We analytically prove that the local Hopf bifurcation critical values are neatly paired, and each pair is joined by a bounded global Hopf branch. Also, we show that the predator becomes extinct with an increase of the time delay. Finally, before the extinction of the predator, we find the abundance of dynamical complexity, such as supercritical Hopf bifurcation, using the numerical continuation package DDE-BIFTOOL.

scholarly journals The Effect of Time Delay on Dynamical Behavior in an Ecoepidemiological Model

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Changjin Xu ◽  
Yusen Wu
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Theoretical Analysis ◽  
Numerical Simulations ◽  
Local Stability ◽  
Time Delays ◽  
Dynamical Behavior ◽  
Positive Equilibrium ◽  
Predator Prey ◽  
Predator Prey Model

A delayed predator-prey model with disease in the prey is investigated. The conditions for the local stability and the existence of Hopf bifurcation at the positive equilibrium of the system are derived. The effect of the two different time delays on the dynamical behavior has been given. Numerical simulations are performed to illustrate the theoretical analysis. Finally, the main conclusions are drawn.

scholarly journals A time delay dynamical model for outbreak of 2019-nCoV and the parameter identification

2020 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 243-250 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Chen ◽  
Jin Cheng ◽  
Yu Jiang ◽  
Keji Liu
Keyword(s):  
Dynamical System ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Parameter Identification ◽  
Typical Feature ◽  
The Novel ◽  
Isolation Rate ◽  
High Isolation ◽  
The Government ◽  
System With Time Delay ◽  
Official Data

AbstractIn this paper, we propose a novel dynamical system with time delay to describe the outbreak of 2019-nCoV in China. One typical feature of this epidemic is that it can spread in the latent period, which can therefore be described by time delay process in the differential equations. The accumulated numbers of classified populations are employed as variables, which is consistent with the official data and facilitates the parameter identification. The numerical methods for the prediction of the outbreak of 2019-nCoV and parameter identification are provided, and the numerical results show that the novel dynamic system can well predict the outbreak trend so far. Based on the numerical simulations, we suggest that the transmission of individuals should be greatly controlled with high isolation rate by the government.

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