scholarly journals A Critical Review on Wind Turbine Power Curve Modelling Techniques and Their Applications in Wind Based Energy Systems

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vaishali Sohoni ◽  
S. C. Gupta ◽  
R. K. Nema
Keyword(s):  
Wind Turbine ◽  
Performance Monitoring ◽  
Standard Procedure ◽  
Wind Farms ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Power Curve ◽  
Power Performance ◽  
Modelling Techniques ◽  
Power Curves ◽  
Modelling Methods

Power curve of a wind turbine depicts the relationship between output power and hub height wind speed and is an important characteristic of the turbine. Power curve aids in energy assessment, warranty formulations, and performance monitoring of the turbines. With the growth of wind industry, turbines are being installed in diverse climatic conditions, onshore and offshore, and in complex terrains causing significant departure of these curves from the warranted values. Accurate models of power curves can play an important role in improving the performance of wind energy based systems. This paper presents a detailed review of different approaches for modelling of the wind turbine power curve. The methodology of modelling depends upon the purpose of modelling, availability of data, and the desired accuracy. The objectives of modelling, various issues involved therein, and the standard procedure for power performance measurement with its limitations have therefore been discussed here. Modelling methods described here use data from manufacturers’ specifications and actual data from the wind farms. Classification of modelling methods, various modelling techniques available in the literature, model evaluation criteria, and application of soft computing methods for modelling are then reviewed in detail. The drawbacks of the existing methods and future scope of research are also identified.

scholarly journals Multivariate Wind Turbine Power Curve Model Based on Data Clustering and Polynomial LASSO Regression

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 72
Author(s):  
Davide Astolfi ◽  
Ravi Pandit
Keyword(s):  
Wind Turbine ◽  
Data Clustering ◽  
Performance Monitoring ◽  
Power Curve ◽  
Lasso Regression ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Power Monitoring ◽  
Turbine Performance ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Power Curves

Wind turbine performance monitoring is a complex task because of the non-stationary operation conditions and because the power has a multivariate dependence on the ambient conditions and working parameters. This motivates the research about the use of SCADA data for constructing reliable models applicable in wind turbine performance monitoring. The present work is devoted to multivariate wind turbine power curves, which can be conceived of as multiple input, single output models. The output is the power of the target wind turbine, and the input variables are the wind speed and additional covariates, which in this work are the blade pitch and rotor speed. The objective of this study is to contribute to the formulation of multivariate wind turbine power curve models, which conjugate precision and simplicity and are therefore appropriate for industrial applications. The non-linearity of the relation between the input variables and the output was taken into account through the simplification of a polynomial LASSO regression: the advantages of this are that the input variables selection is performed automatically. The k-means algorithm was employed for automatic multi-dimensional data clustering, and a separate sub-model was formulated for each cluster, whose total number was selected by analyzing the silhouette score. The proposed method was tested on the SCADA data of an industrial Vestas V52 wind turbine. It resulted that the most appropriate number of clusters was three, which fairly resembles the main features of the wind turbine control. As expected, the importance of the different input variables varied with the cluster. The achieved model validation error metrics are the following: the mean absolute percentage error was in the order of 7.2%, and the average difference of mean percentage errors on random subsets of the target data set was of the order of 0.001%. This indicates that the proposed model, despite its simplicity, can be reliably employed for wind turbine power monitoring and for evaluating accumulated performance changes due to aging and/or optimization.

scholarly journals Application of the Nacelle Transfer Function by a Nacelle-Mounted Light Detection and Ranging System to Wind Turbine Power Performance Measurement

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 1087 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongheon Shin ◽  
Kyungnam Ko
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Transfer Function ◽  
Performance Measurement ◽  
Wind Turbine ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Light Detection And Ranging ◽  
Power Curve ◽  
Power Performance ◽  
Light Detection ◽  
Power Curves

To examine the applicability of the nacelle transfer function (NTF) derived from nacelle light detection and ranging (LIDAR) measurements to wind turbine power performance testing without a met mast, wind turbine power performance measurement was carried out at the Dongbok wind farm on Jeju Island, South Korea. A nacelle LIDAR was mounted on the nacelle of a 2-MW wind turbine to measure wind conditions in front of the turbine rotor, and an 80-m-high met mast was installed near another wind turbine to measure the free-stream wind speed. The power measurement instruments were installed in the turbine tower base, and wind speeds measured by the nacelle anemometer of the turbine were collected by the SCADA (Supervisory control and data acquisition) system. The NTF was determined by the table method, and then the power curve drawn using the NTF by the nacelle LIDAR (PCNTF, NL) was compared with the power curves drawn in compliance with International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC) standards, 61400-12-1 and 61400-12-2. Next, the combined standard uncertainties of the power curves were calculated to clarify the magnitude of the components of the uncertainties. The uncertainties of annual energy production (AEP) were also estimated by assuming that wind speed is a Rayleigh cumulative distribution. As a result, the PCNTF, NL was in good agreement with the power curves drawn in accordance with the IEC standards. The combined standard uncertainty of PCNTF, NL was almost the same as that of the power curve based on IEC 61400-12-2.

scholarly journals Nacelle power curve measurement with spinner anemometer and uncertainty evaluation

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 97-114 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giorgio Demurtas ◽  
Troels Friis Pedersen ◽  
Rozenn Wagner
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Transfer Function ◽  
Wind Turbine ◽  
Wind Turbines ◽  
Energy Production ◽  
Power Curve ◽  
Power Performance ◽  
Mean Wind Speed ◽  
Set Up ◽  
Power Curves

Abstract. The objective of this investigation was to verify the feasibility of using the spinner anemometer calibration and nacelle transfer function determined on one reference wind turbine, in order to assess the power performance of a second identical turbine. An experiment was set up with a met mast in a position suitable to measure the power curve of the two wind turbines, both equipped with a spinner anemometer. An IEC 61400-12-1-compliant power curve was then measured for both wind turbines using the met mast. The NTF (nacelle transfer function) was measured on the reference wind turbine and then applied to both turbines to calculate the free wind speed. For each of the two wind turbines, the power curve (PC) was measured with the met mast and the nacelle power curve (NPC) with the spinner anemometer. Four power curves (two PCs and two NPCs) were compared in terms of AEP (annual energy production) for a Rayleigh wind speed probability distribution. For each wind turbine, the NPC agreed with the corresponding PC within 0.10 % of AEP for the reference wind turbine and within 0.38 % for the second wind turbine, for a mean wind speed of 8 m s−1.

Statistical calculation of thrust curve of a wind turbine based on available power curve and general specifications data

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Evgeny Atlaskin ◽  
Irene Suomi ◽  
Anders Lindfors
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Turbine ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Wind Farms ◽  
Power Curve ◽  
Wake Effect ◽  
Thrust Coefficient ◽  
Simple Method ◽  
Wind Speeds ◽  
Power Curves

<p>Power curves for a substantial number of wind turbine generators (WTG) became available in a number of public sources during the recent years. They can be used to estimate the power production of a wind farm fleet with uncertainty determined by the accuracy and consistency of the power curve data. However, in order to estimate power losses inside a wind farm due to wind speed reduction caused by the wake effect, information on the thrust force, or widely used thrust coefficient (Ct), is required. Unlike power curves, Ct curves for the whole range of operating wind speeds of a WTG are still scarcely available in open sources. Typically, power and Ct curves are requested from a WTG manufacturer or wind farm owner under a non-disclosure agreement. However, in a research study or in calculations over a multitude of wind farms with a variety of wind turbine models, collecting this information from owners may be hardly possible. This study represents a simple method to define Ct curve statistically using power curve and general specifications of WTGs available in open sources. Preliminary results demonstrate reasonable correspondence between simulated and given data. The estimations are done in the context of aggregated wind power calculations based on reanalysis or forecast data, so that the uncertainty of wake wind speed caused by the uncertainty of predicted Ct is comparable, or do not exceed, the uncertainty of given wind speed. Although the method may not provide accurate fits at low wind speeds, it represents an essential alternative to using physical Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) models that are both more demanding to computer resources and require detailed information on the geometry of the rotor blades and physical properties of the rotor, which are even more unavailable in open sources than power curves.</p>

Gaussian mixture models for site-specific wind turbine power curves

2020 ◽  
pp. 095765092093172
Author(s):  
Bruno Srbinovski ◽  
Andriy Temko ◽  
Paul Leahy ◽  
Vikram Pakrashi ◽  
Emanuel Popovici
Keyword(s):  
Wind Turbine ◽  
Power Output ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Probabilistic Method ◽  
Wind Farms ◽  
Gaussian Mixture ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Power Curve ◽  
Site Specific ◽  
Power Curves

A probabilistic method for modelling empirical site-specific wind turbine power curves is proposed in this paper. The method is based on the Gaussian mixture model machine learning algorithm. Unlike standard wind turbine power curve models, it has a user-selectable number (N) and type of input features. The user can thus develop and test models with a combination of measured, derived or predicted input features relevant to wind turbine power-output performance. The proposed modelling approach is independent of the site location where the measurable input features (i.e. wind speed, wind direction, air density) are collected. However, the specific models are location and turbine dependent. An N-feature wind turbine power curve model developed with the proposed method allows us to accurately estimate or forecast the power output of a wind turbine for site-specific field conditions. All model parameters are selected using a k-fold cross-validation method. In this study, five models with different numbers and types of input features are tested for two different wind farms located in Ireland. The power forecast accuracy of the proposed models is compared against each other and with two benchmarks, parametric wind turbine power curve models. The most accurate models for each of the sites are identified.

Statistical power curve modeling to estimate wind turbine power output

2019 ◽  
pp. 0309524X1989167
Author(s):  
Bharti Dongre ◽  
Rajesh Kumar Pateriya
Keyword(s):  
Wind Turbine ◽  
Statistical Power ◽  
Polynomial Regression ◽  
Smoothing Splines ◽  
Optimal Number ◽  
Specific Power ◽  
Power Curve ◽  
Curve Modeling ◽  
A Site ◽  
Power Curves

In the wind industry, the power curve serves as a performance index of the wind turbine. The machine-specific power curves are not sufficient to measure the performance of wind turbines in different environmental and geographical conditions. The aim is to develop a site-specific power curve of the wind turbine to estimate its output power. In this article, statistical methods based on empirical power curves are implemented using various techniques such as polynomial regression, splines regression, and smoothing splines regression. In the case of splines regression, instead of randomly selecting knots, the optimal number of knots and their positions are identified using three approaches: particle swarm optimization, half-split, and clustering. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory datasets have been used to develop the models. Imperial investigations show that knot-selection strategies improve the performance of splines regression. However, the smoothing splines-based power curve model estimates more accurately compared with all others.

scholarly journals A Power Performance Online Assessment Method of a Wind Turbine Based on the Probabilistic Area Metric

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 3268
Author(s):  
Zhao Xiao ◽  
Qiancheng Zhao ◽  
Xuebing Yang ◽  
AnFeng Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Wind Turbine ◽  
Spatial Clustering ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Online Assessment ◽  
Power Performance ◽  
Operation Rules ◽  
Area Metric ◽  
Control Command ◽  
Power Curves

This paper presents an approach for creating online assessment power curves by calculating the variations between the baseline and actual power curves. The actual power curve is divided into two regions based on the operation rules of a wind turbine, and the regions are individually assessed. The raw data are filtered using the control command, and outliers are detected using the density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise clustering method. The probabilistic area metric is applied to quantify the variations of the two power curves in the two regions. Based on this result, the variation in the power curves can be calculated, and the results can be used to dynamically evaluate the power performance of a wind turbine. The proposed method is verified against the derivation of secondary principal component method and traditional statistical methods. The potential applications of the proposed method in wind turbine maintenance activities are discussed.

Survey of modelling methods for wind turbine wakes and wind farms

Wind Energy ◽  
1999 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Crespo ◽  
J. Hernández ◽  
S. Frandsen
Keyword(s):  
Wind Turbine ◽  
Wind Farms ◽  
Modelling Methods

scholarly journals Wind Turbine Power Curve Design for Optimal Power Generation in Wind Farms Considering Wake Effect

Energies ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 395 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Tian ◽  
Dao Zhou ◽  
Chi Su ◽  
Mohsen Soltani ◽  
Zhe Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Power Generation ◽  
Wind Turbine ◽  
Wind Farms ◽  
Power Curve ◽  
Wake Effect ◽  
Curve Design ◽  
Optimal Power

scholarly journals The Power Curve Working Group's Assessment of Wind Turbine Power Performance Prediction Methods

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph C. Y. Lee ◽  
Peter Stuart ◽  
Andrew Clifton ◽  
M. Jason Fields ◽  
Jordan Perr-Sauer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Wind Turbine ◽  
Statistical Tests ◽  
Power Production ◽  
Meteorological Conditions ◽  
Power Curve ◽  
Power Performance ◽  
Power Prediction ◽  
Baseline Method ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Wide Range

Abstract. Wind turbine power production deviates from the reference power curve in real-world atmospheric conditions. Correctly predicting turbine power performance requires models to be validated for a wide range of wind turbines using inflow in different locations. The Share-3 exercise is the most recent intelligence-sharing exercise of the Power Curve Working Group, which aims to advance the modeling of turbine performance. The goal of the exercise is to search for modeling methods that reduce error and uncertainty in power prediction when wind shear and turbulence digress from design conditions. Herein, we analyze the data of 55 wind turbine power performance tests from 9 contributing organizations with statistical tests to quantify the skills of the prediction-correction methods. We assess the accuracy and precision of four proposed trial methods against the Baseline method, which uses the conventional definition of power curve with wind speed and air density at hub height. The trial methods reduce power-production prediction errors compared to the Baseline method at high wind speeds, which contribute heavily to power production; however, the trial methods fail to significantly reduce prediction uncertainty in most meteorological conditions. For the meteorological conditions when a wind turbine produces less than the power its reference power curve suggests, using power deviation matrices leads to more accurate power prediction. We also identify that for more than half of the submissions, the data set has a large influence on the effectiveness of a trial method. Overall, this work affirms the value of data-sharing efforts in advancing power-curve modeling and establishes the groundwork for future collaborations.

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