scholarly journals Method for Predicting Failure Rate of Airborne Equipment Based on Optimal Combination Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
WenQiang Li ◽  
Ning Hou ◽  
XiangKun Sun

Accurate prediction of airborne equipment failure rate can provide correct repair and maintenance decisions and effectively establish a health management mechanism. This plays an important role in ensuring the safe use of the aircraft and flight safety. This paper proposes an optimal combination forecasting model, which mixes five single models (Multiple Linear Regression model (MLR), Gray model GM (1, N), Partial Least Squares model (PLS), Artificial Neural Network model (BP), and Support Vector Machine model (SVM)). The combined model and its single model are compared with the other three algorithms. Seven classic comparison functions are used for predictive performance evaluation indicators. The research results show that the combined model is superior to other models in terms of prediction accuracy. This paper provides a practical and effective method for predicting the airborne equipment failure rate.

Author(s):  
Zhikai Li ◽  
Chen Hao

Tuberculosis, as a more common infectious disease with serious physical damage to humans, has been relatively vacant in predictive model research. In order to improve the accuracy of pulmonary tuberculosis, this study combined the incidence of tuberculosis, collected data using data collection methods, used a single data model for predictive analysis, and compared with the actual situation. At the same time, through the comparative analysis, the paper draws the shortcomings of the traditional single model algorithm, constructs a combined model for the prediction of tuberculosis, and collects the incidence of tuberculosis. In addition, this paper draws it into a statistical chart, and analyzes its pathological characteristics and the dynamic trend of the onset. Through experimental research, it can be seen that the prediction accuracy of the combined model of this study is high, which can provide theoretical reference for subsequent related research.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Shengpu Li ◽  
Yize Sun

Ink transfer rate (ITR) is a reference index to measure the quality of 3D additive printing. In this study, an ink transfer rate prediction model is proposed by applying the least squares support vector machine (LSSVM). In addition, enhanced garden balsam optimization (EGBO) is used for selection and optimization of hyperparameters that are embedded in the LSSVM model. 102 sets of experimental sample data have been collected from the production line to train and test the hybrid prediction model. Experimental results show that the coefficient of determination (R2) for the introduced model is equal to 0.8476, the root-mean-square error (RMSE) is 6.6 × 10 (−3), and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) is 1.6502 × 10 (−3) for the ink transfer rate of 3D additive printing.


Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 212
Author(s):  
Yu-Wei Liu ◽  
Huan Feng ◽  
Heng-Yi Li ◽  
Ling-Ling Li

Accurate prediction of photovoltaic power is conducive to the application of clean energy and sustainable development. An improved whale algorithm is proposed to optimize the Support Vector Machine model. The characteristic of the model is that it needs less training data to symmetrically adapt to the prediction conditions of different weather, and has high prediction accuracy in different weather conditions. This study aims to (1) select light intensity, ambient temperature and relative humidity, which are strictly related to photovoltaic output power as the input data; (2) apply wavelet soft threshold denoising to preprocess input data to reduce the noise contained in input data to symmetrically enhance the adaptability of the prediction model in different weather conditions; (3) improve the whale algorithm by using tent chaotic mapping, nonlinear disturbance and differential evolution algorithm; (4) apply the improved whale algorithm to optimize the Support Vector Machine model in order to improve the prediction accuracy of the prediction model. The experiment proves that the short-term prediction model of photovoltaic power based on symmetry concept achieves ideal accuracy in different weather. The systematic method for output power prediction of renewable energy is conductive to reducing the workload of predicting the output power and to promoting the application of clean energy and sustainable development.


2013 ◽  
Vol 291-294 ◽  
pp. 2164-2168 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Tian ◽  
Qiang Qiang Wang ◽  
An Zhao Cao

With the characteristic of line loss volatility, a research of line loss rate prediction was imperatively carried out. Considering the optimization ability of heuristic algorithm and the regression ability of support vector machine, a heuristic algorithm-support vector machine model is constructed. Case study shows that, compared with other heuristic algorithms’, the search efficiency and speed of genetic algorithm are good, and the prediction model is with high accuracy.


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