scholarly journals An Evaluation Study on Investment Efficiency: A Predictive Machine Learning Approach

Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Weiwei Hao ◽  
Hongyan Gao ◽  
Zongqing Liu

This paper proposes a nonlinear autoregressive neural network (NARNET) method for the investment performance evaluation of state-owned enterprises (SOE). It is different from the traditional method based on machine learning, such as linear regression, structural equation, clustering, and principal component analysis; this paper uses a regression prediction method to analyze investment efficiency. In this paper, we firstly analyze the relationship between diversified ownership reform, corporate debt leverage, and the investment efficiency of state-owned enterprises (SOE). Secondly, a set of investment efficiency evaluation index system for SOE was constructed, and a nonlinear autoregressive neural network approach was used for verification. The data of A-share state-owned listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges from 2009 to 2018 are taken as a sample. The experimental results show that the output value from the NARNET is highly fitted to the actual data. Based on the neural network model regression analysis, this paper conducts a descriptive statistical analysis of the main variables and control variables of the evaluation indicators. It verifies the direct impact of diversified ownership reform on the investment efficiency of SOE and the indirect impact on the investment efficiency of SOE through corporate debt leverage.

Author(s):  
Yanbo Che ◽  
Yibin Cai ◽  
Hongfeng Li ◽  
Yushu Liu ◽  
Mingda Jiang ◽  
...  

Abstract The working state of lithium-ion batteries must be estimated accurately and efficiently in the battery management system. Building a model is the most prevalent way of predicting the battery's working state. Based on the variable order equivalent circuit model, this paper examines the attenuation curve of battery capacity with the number of cycles. It identifies the order of the equivalent circuit model using Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). Based on the correlation between capacity and resistance, the paper concludes that there is a nonlinear correlation between model parameters and state of health (SOH). The nonlinear autoregressive neural network with exogenous input (NARX) is used to fit the nonlinear correlation for capacity regeneration. Then, the self-adaptive weight particle swarm optimization (SWPSO) method is suggested to train the neural network. Finally, single-battery and multi-battery tests are planned to validate the accuracy of the SWPSO-NARX estimate of SOH. The experimental findings indicate that the SOH estimate effect is significant.


2013 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 646-653
Author(s):  
Anshul Chaturvedi ◽  
Prof. Vineet Richharia

The Internet, computer networks and information are vital resources of current information trend and their protection has increased importance in current existence. Any attempt, successful or unsuccessful to finding the middle ground the discretion, truthfulness and accessibility of any information resource or the information itself is measured a security attack or an intrusion. Intrusion compromised a loose of information credential and trust of security concern. The mechanism of intrusion detection faced a problem of new generated schema and pattern of attack data. Various authors and researchers proposed a method for intrusion detection based on machine learning approach and neural network approach all these compromised with new pattern and schema. Now in this paper a new model of intrusion detection based on SARAS reinforced learning scheme and RBF neural network has proposed. SARAS method imposed a state of attack behaviour and RBF neural network process for training pattern for new schema. Our empirical result shows that the proposed model is better in compression of SARSA and other machine learning technique.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 3164 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yueling Xu ◽  
Wenyu Zhang ◽  
Haijun Bao ◽  
Shuai Zhang ◽  
Ying Xiang

As part of the increasing efforts toward the prevention and control of motor vehicle pollution, the Chinese government has practiced a range of policies to stimulate the purchase and use of battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Zhejiang Province, a key province in China, has proactively implemented and monitored an environmental protection plan. This study aims to contribute toward streamlining marketing and planning activities to introduce strategic policies that stimulate the purchase and use of BEVs. This study considers the nature of human behavior by extending the theory of planned behavior model to identify its predictors, as well as its non-linear relationship with customers’ purchase intention. To better understand the predictors, a substantial literature review was given to validate the hypotheses. A quantitative study using 382 surveys completed by customers in Zhejiang Province was conducted by integrating a structural equation model (SEM) and a neural network (NN). The initial analysis results from the SEM revealed five factors that have impacted the customers’ purchase intention of BEVs. In the second phase, the normalized importance among those five significant predictors was ranked using the NN. The findings have provided theoretical implications to scholars and academics, and managerial implications to enterprises, and are also helpful for decision makers to implement appropriate policies to promote the purchase intention of BEVs, thereby improving the air quality.


2019 ◽  
Vol 142 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Byeongho Yu ◽  
Dongsu Kim ◽  
Heejin Cho ◽  
Pedro Mago

Abstract Thermal load prediction is a key part of energy system management and control in buildings, and its accuracy plays a critical role to improve building energy performance and efficiency. Regarding thermal load prediction, various types of prediction model have been considered and studied, such as physics-based, statistical, and machine learning models. Physical models can be accurate but require extended lead time for model development. Statistical models are relatively simple to develop and require less computation time, but they may not provide accurate results for complex energy systems with intricate nonlinear dynamic behaviors. This study proposes an artificial neural network (ANN) model, one of the prevalent machine learning methods to predict building thermal load, combining with the concept of nonlinear autoregressive with exogenous inputs (NARX). NARX-ANN prediction model is distinguished from typical ANN models because the NARX concept can address nonlinear system behaviors effectively based on its recurrent architectures and time indexing features. To examine the suitability and validity of NARX-ANN model for building thermal load prediction, a case study is carried out using the field data of an academic campus building at Mississippi State University (MSU). Results show that the proposed NARX-ANN model can provide an accurate and robust prediction performance and effectively address nonlinear system behaviors in the prediction.


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