scholarly journals Energy Analysis of Commercial Buildings Using Artificial Neural Network

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Felix Uba ◽  
Holali Kwami Apevienyeku ◽  
Freda Dapaa Nsiah ◽  
Alex Akorli ◽  
Stephen Adjignon

Energy consumption in buildings especially in offices is alarming and prompts the desire for more energy analysis work to be done in testing models that can estimate the energy situation of commercial buildings, and the key contributing factors are based on human factors, work load, and weather variables like solar radiation and temperature. In the research, the administration block of the University of Energy and Natural Resources, Ghana, was selected and modeled for energy analysis using SketchUp. Daily energy consumption of the building was generated with EnergyPlus indicating the electricity consumption of the block for the year 2018 for which 68.7% was used by equipment in the block, 26.98% on cooling, and the rest on lighting. The Artificial Neural Network model which had weather variable and days as input neurons and cooling, lighting, equipment, and total building electricity consumption as output neurons was modeled in MATLAB. The model after training had R values for training, validation, and testing to be 0.999 and validation performance of 1.7 ∗ 10 − 04 . It was able to predict the energy consumption for lighting, cooling, and equipment very close to the results with minimal. The results from the ANN model prediction were compared with the EnergyPlus simulations. The maximum deviation profile for the following parameters (lighting, cooling, and equipment) is 13%, 8%, and 4%, respectively. The large difference in the lighting and cooling is the difficulty involved in predicting human behaviour and weather conditions. The least value recorded for the equipment is due to its independence on external factors.

2013 ◽  
Vol 135 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
David Palchak ◽  
Siddharth Suryanarayanan ◽  
Daniel Zimmerle

This paper presents an artificial neural network (ANN) for forecasting the short-term electrical load of a university campus using real historical data from Colorado State University. A spatio-temporal ANN model with multiple weather variables as well as time identifiers, such as day of week and time of day, are used as inputs to the network presented. The choice of the number of hidden neurons in the network is made using statistical information and taking into account the point of diminishing returns. The performance of this ANN is quantified using three error metrics: the mean average percent error; the error in the ability to predict the occurrence of the daily peak hour; and the difference in electrical energy consumption between the predicted and the actual values in a 24-h period. These error measures provide a good indication of the constraints and applicability of these predictions. In the presence of some enabling technologies such as energy storage, rescheduling of noncritical loads, and availability of time of use (ToU) pricing, the possible demand-side management options that could stem from an accurate prediction of energy consumption of a campus include the identification of anomalous events as well the management of usage.


Author(s):  
David Palchak ◽  
Siddharth Suryanarayanan ◽  
Daniel Zimmerle

This paper presents an artificial neural network (ANN) for forecasting the short-term electrical load of a university campus using real historical data from Colorado State University. A spatio-temporal ANN model with multiple weather variables as well as time identifiers, such as day of week and time of day, are used as inputs to the network presented. The choice of the number of hidden neurons in the network is made using statistical information and taking into account the point of diminishing returns. The performance of this ANN is quantified using three error metrics: the mean average percent error (MAPE); the error in the ability to predict the occurrence of the daily peak hour; and the difference in electrical energy consumption between the predicted and the actual values in a 24-hour period. These error measures provide a good indication of the constraints and applicability of these predictions. In the presence of some enabling technologies such as energy storage, rescheduling of non-critical loads, and availability of time of use (ToU) pricing, the possible DSM options that could stem from an accurate prediction of energy consumption of a campus include the identification of anomalous events as well the management of usage.


Author(s):  
Devindi Geekiyanage ◽  
Thanuja Ramachandra

Running costs of a building is a substantial share of its total life-cycle cost (LCC) and it ranges between 70-80% in commercial buildings. Despite its significant contribution to LCC, investors and construction industry practitioners tend to mostly rely on construction cost exclusively. Though the early stage estimation of running costs is limited due to the unavailability of historical cost data, several efforts have been taken to estimate the running costs of buildings using different cost estimation techniques. However, the prediction accuracy of those models is still challenged due to less quality and amount of data employed. This study, therefore, developed an artificial neural network (ANN) model for running costs estimation of commercial buildings with the use of building design variables. The study was quantitively approached and running costs data together with 13 building design variables were collected from 35 commercial buildings. The ANN model developed resulted in a 96.6% perfect correlation between the running cost and building design variables. The testing and validation of the model developed indicate that there is greater prediction accuracy. These findings will enable industry practitioners to make informed cost decisions on implications of running costs in commercial buildings at its early stages, eliminating excessive costs to be incurred during the operational phase.


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 13
Author(s):  
Roub Nizaar ◽  
Anik Nur Handayani

Abstract—Electricity is vital for modern society’s welfare. Daily electricity usage depended on the customers’ type. Hence, there was a difference between the connected power with consumption. Therefore, there needed an estimation method for long-term connected power and energy consumption to improve the safety of energy management and operation plan for the generator. This research used the Artificial Neural Network method with a backpropagation algorithm model to estimate the connected power and electricity consumption. This method has the advantage of following past patterns after the training process. This research used data such as total population, Gross Regional Domestic Product, total customers, produced energy, remaining energy, distribution loss, total transformer, peak load, and load factor as the independent data. The energy consumption and connected power served as the dependent data. The data was taken from Srengat Network Service Unit, East Java, for ten years, which started in 2008. This research used literature study, information and data collection, information and data process, data estimation and analysis, and conclusion as the procedures. Based on the results, the best network structure was 9-9-2 with the 10-6 goal, 0.9 momentum value, and 0.15 learning rate to produce the smallest Mean Squared Error of 0.00442 in 2015, Mean Absolute Percentage Error of 7.88% for the connected power, and 11.27% on electricity consumption target.


2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 033
Author(s):  
Miona Andrejević Stošović ◽  
Novak Radivojević ◽  
Igor Jovanović ◽  
Andrija Petrušić

In this paper, we will present an artificial neural network (ANN) model trained to forecast hourly electricity consumption of energy in industry for a day-ahead. We will start with a brief analysis of the global electricity market with a special reference to the Serbian market. Next, the daily electricity consumption amounts between August 1st and December 19th 2019 will be analyzed using statistical tools. According to the obtained results, we will give predictions of our models, based on different number of previous days.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 248-261
Author(s):  
Baomin Wang ◽  
Xiao Chang

Background: Angular contact ball bearing is an important component of many high-speed rotating mechanical systems. Oil-air lubrication makes it possible for angular contact ball bearing to operate at high speed. So the lubrication state of angular contact ball bearing directly affects the performance of the mechanical systems. However, as bearing rotation speed increases, the temperature rise is still the dominant limiting factor for improving the performance and service life of angular contact ball bearings. Therefore, it is very necessary to predict the temperature rise of angular contact ball bearings lubricated with oil-air. Objective: The purpose of this study is to provide an overview of temperature calculation of bearing from many studies and patents, and propose a new prediction method for temperature rise of angular contact ball bearing. Methods: Based on the artificial neural network and genetic algorithm, a new prediction methodology for bearings temperature rise was proposed which capitalizes on the notion that the temperature rise of oil-air lubricated angular contact ball bearing is generally coupling. The influence factors of temperature rise in high-speed angular contact ball bearings were analyzed through grey relational analysis, and the key influence factors are determined. Combined with Genetic Algorithm (GA), the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model based on these key influence factors was built up, two groups of experimental data were used to train and validate the ANN model. Results: Compared with the ANN model, the ANN-GA model has shorter training time, higher accuracy and better stability, the output of ANN-GA model shows a good agreement with the experimental data, above 92% of bearing temperature rise under varying conditions can be predicted using the ANNGA model. Conclusion: A new method was proposed to predict the temperature rise of oil-air lubricated angular contact ball bearings based on the artificial neural network and genetic algorithm. The results show that the prediction model has good accuracy, stability and robustness.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhonghui Thong ◽  
Jolena Ying Ying Tan ◽  
Eileen Shuzhen Loo ◽  
Yu Wei Phua ◽  
Xavier Liang Shun Chan ◽  
...  

AbstractRegression models are often used to predict age of an individual based on methylation patterns. Artificial neural network (ANN) however was recently shown to be more accurate for age prediction. Additionally, the impact of ethnicity and sex on our previous regression model have not been studied. Furthermore, there is currently no age prediction study investigating the lower limit of input DNA at the bisulfite treatment stage prior to pyrosequencing. Herein, we evaluated both regression and ANN models, and the impact of ethnicity and sex on age prediction for 333 local blood samples using three loci on the pyrosequencing platform. Subsequently, we trained a one locus-based ANN model to reduce the amount of DNA used. We demonstrated that the ANN model has a higher accuracy of age prediction than the regression model. Additionally, we showed that ethnicity did not affect age prediction among local Chinese, Malays and Indians. Although the predicted age of males were marginally overestimated, sex did not impact the accuracy of age prediction. Lastly, we present a one locus, dual CpG model using 25 ng of input DNA that is sufficient for forensic age prediction. In conclusion, the two ANN models validated would be useful for age prediction to provide forensic intelligence leads.


Electronics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 1448
Author(s):  
Nam-Gyu Lim ◽  
Jae-Yeol Kim ◽  
Seongjun Lee

Battery applications, such as electric vehicles, electric propulsion ships, and energy storage systems, are developing rapidly, and battery management issues are gaining attention. In this application field, a battery system with a high capacity and high power in which numerous battery cells are connected in series and parallel is used. Therefore, research on a battery management system (BMS) to which various algorithms are applied for efficient use and safe operation of batteries is being conducted. In general, maintenance/replacement of multi-series/multiple parallel battery systems is only possible when there is no load current, or the entire system is shut down. However, if the circulating current generated by the voltage difference between the newly added battery and the existing battery pack is less than the allowable current of the system, the new battery can be connected while the system is running, which is called hot swapping. The circulating current generated during the hot-swap operation is determined by the battery’s state of charge (SOC), the parallel configuration of the battery system, temperature, aging, operating point, and differences in the load current. Therefore, since there is a limit to formulating a circulating current that changes in size according to these various conditions, this paper presents a circulating current estimation method, using an artificial neural network (ANN). The ANN model for estimating the hot-swap circulating current is designed for a 1S4P lithium battery pack system, consisting of one series and four parallel cells. The circulating current of the ANN model proposed in this paper is experimentally verified to be able to estimate the actual value within a 6% error range.


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