Abstract 55: The CAHP (Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis) Score: Predicting Neurological Outcome After Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest

Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Carole Maupain ◽  
Wulfran Bougouin ◽  
Lamhaut Lionel ◽  
Nicolas Deye ◽  
Daniel Jost ◽  
...  

Background: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) carries a very poor prognosis. Early prognostication of patients admitted in ICU after resuscitated OHCA is a key issue but remains challenging. The aim of that study was to establish a new scoring system to predict poor neurological outcome in these patients. Materials and Methods: The CAHP (Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis) score was developed from the Sudden Death Expertise Center registry (SDEC, Paris, France). Objective risk factors were weighted on the basis of a logistic regression analysis. The primary outcome was poor neurological outcome defined as Cerebral Performance Category 3, 4 or 5. Thresholds were defined to distinguish low, moderate and high-risk groups. The CAHP score was then validated in an external dataset (Parisian OHCA Registry). Score calibration and discrimination characteristics were assessed in the validation dataset. Results: The developmental dataset included 819 patients admitted in ICU from May 2011 to December 2012. After logistic regression, 7 variables were independently associated with poor neurological outcome: age, initial shockable rhythm, time form collapse to basic life support (BLS), time from BLS to return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), location of cardiac arrest, epinephrine dose during resuscitation and arterial pH at admission. These variables were included in the CAHP score. 3 risks groups were identified: a low risk group (score ≤ 150, 39 % of unfavorable outcome), medium risk group (score 150-200, 81% of unfavorable outcome) and high-risk group (CAHP score ≥ 200, 100 % of unfavorable outcome). AUC of the CAHP score was 0.93. In the external validation dataset, discrimination value of the CAHP score was consistent with an AUC of 0.85. Conclusion: The CAHP score is a simple and objective tool for early assessment of prognosis in patients admitted to ICU after OHCA. Moreover it allows to stratify the probability of poor neurological outcome by identifying a very high-risk category of patients (score ≥ 200).

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nilesh Pareek ◽  
Peter Kordis ◽  
Nicholas Beckley-Hoelscher ◽  
Dominic Pimenta ◽  
Spela Tadel Kocjancic ◽  
...  

AimsThe purpose of this study was to develop a practical risk−score to predict poor neurological outcome after out−of−hospital cardiac arrest (OOHCA) for use on arrival to a Heart Attack Centre.Methods and ResultsBetween May 2012 and December 2017, 1055 patients had OOHCA in our region, of whom 373 patients were included in the King's Out of Hospital Cardiac Arrest Registry (KOCAR). We performed prediction modelling with multi-variable logistic regression to identify factors independently predictive of the primary outcome in order to derive a risk score. This was externally validated in two independent cohorts comprising 474 patients. The primary outcome was poor neurological function at 6−month follow−up (Cerebral Performance Category 3-−). Seven independent variables for prediction of outcome were identified: Missed (Unwitnessed) arrest, Initial non-shockable rhythm, non-Reactivity of pupils, Age, Changing intra-arrest rhythms, Low pH<;7.20 and Epinephrine administration. From these variables, the MIRA2CLE2 score was developed which had an AUC of 0.90 in the development and 0.85 and 0.89 in the validation cohorts. 3 risk groups of the MIRA2CLE2 were defined − Low risk (≤2−5.6% risk of poor outcome; Intermediate risk (3−4−55.4% of poor outcome) and high risk (≥5−92.3% risk of poor outcome). The risk-score performance was equivalent in a sub-group of patients referred for early angiography and revascularisation where appropriate.ConclusionsThe MIRA2CLE2 score is a practical risk score for early accurate prediction of poor neurological outcome after OOHCA, which has been developed for simplicity of use on admission to a Heart Attack Centre.


Biomarkers ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (6) ◽  
pp. 584-591 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johannes Grand ◽  
Jesper Kjaergaard ◽  
Niklas Nielsen ◽  
Hans Friberg ◽  
Tobias Cronberg ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_G) ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura De Michieli ◽  
Alberto Bettella ◽  
Giulia Famoso ◽  
Luciano Babuin ◽  
Daniele Scarpa ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) affects around 1/1000 person-years. Following return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), the patient can manifest neurological impairment. A targeted temperature management (TTM) protocol is recommended to prevent hypoxic–ischaemic brain damage in patients with coma after cardiac arrest. Neuro-prognostication remains substantial for the prediction of clinical outcomes. To study clinical characteristics, overall survival, and neurological outcome of patients with Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) &lt;8 after ROSC following an OHCA of presumed cardiac cause at our Institution. Secondly, to investigate determinants of a negative neurological outcome. Methods Observational retrospective study evaluating all patients with OHCA of presumed cardiac cause and with GCS &lt; 8 after ROSC treated in an intensive cardiac care unit of a tertiary centre. The study period was from January 2017 to December 2020. Results One-hundred and five patients out of 107 patients initially selected were included in the study (77% male, mean age 67 years). At 30 days, mortality was 41% and 53% of patients had a poor neurological outcome (Cerebral Performance Category, CPC, 3–5). Sixty-nine patients (66%) underwent TTM. In regard of the circumstances of OHCA, index event in a private place [OR = 3.12 (1.43–7.11), P = 0.005], ineffective rhythm changes during resuscitation manoeuvres [OR = 2.40 (1.05–5.47), P = 0.037] and a greater amount of adrenaline administered during resuscitation [OR = 1.62 (1.27–2.06), P &lt; 0.001] were related to a worse neurological outcome. A history of diabetes mellitus [OR = 3.35 (1.26–8.91), P = 0.015], blood lactates at presentation [OR = 1.33 (1.15—1.53), P &lt; 0.001], neuron-specific enolase (NSE) at presentation [OR = 1.055 (1.022–1.089), P &lt; 0.001] and as peak [OR = 1.034 (1.013–1.054), P &lt; 0.001] were associated with a worse neurological outcome. Among the neurological examinations, the presence of status epilepticus on the EEG [OR = 13.97 (1.73–113.02), P = 0.013] was a predictor of a poor neurological outcome. Treatment with targeted temperature management did not show a significant impact in terms of outcome at univariate analysis [OR = 1.226 (0.547–2.748), P = 0.62]. Two models were developed with multivariate logistic regression for the prediction of neurological outcome. The first one, on a statistical basis, considers pupil reactivity after ROSC, NSE as peak and left ventricular ejection fraction (AUC = 92%). The second model, on a clinical basis, considers age, first blood lactate value and NSE as peak (AUC = 89 %). Finally, the performance of the multiparametric MIRACLE score was tested in our population (AUC 0.81 for neurological outcome at 30 days). Conclusions In our population, at 30 days after cardiac arrest, survival rate and the rate of good neurological outcome were comparable to those of the major international registries and studies. Even though patients treated with TTM did not demonstrate significant differences in terms of neurological outcome, this might be related to study-sample size and patient selection. Results in the literature are still controversial on this topic. The MIRACLE score showed a good performance, making it suitable for clinical use in our population. Similarly, the proposed multivariate models are potentially useful for the elaboration of simple and effective prognostic scores in neurological risk stratification.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 3013
Author(s):  
Ho Il Kim ◽  
In Ho Lee ◽  
Jung Soo Park ◽  
Da Mi Kim ◽  
Yeonho You ◽  
...  

We aimed to evaluate neurological outcomes associated with blood-brain barrier (BBB) disruption using contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (CE-MRI) in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors. This retrospective observational study involved OHCA survivors who had undergone CE-MRI for prognostication. Qualitative and quantitative analyses were performed using the presence of BBB disruption (pBD) and the BBB disruption score (sBD) in CE-MRI scans, respectively. For the sBD, 1 point was assigned for each area of BBB disruption, and 6 points were assigned when an absence of intracranial blood flow due to severe brain oedema was confirmed. The primary outcome was poor neurological outcome at 3 months (defined as cerebral performance categories 3–5). We analysed 46 CE-MRI brain scans (27 patients). Of these, 15 (55.6%) patients had poor neurological outcomes. Poor neurological outcome group patients showed a significantly higher proportion of pBD than those in the good neurological outcome group (22 (88%) vs. 6 (28.6%) patients, respectively, p < 0.001) and a higher sBD (5.0 (4.0–5.0) vs. 0.0 (0.0–1.0) patients, p < 0.001). Poor neurological outcome predictions showed that the sBD had a significantly better prognostic performance (area under the curve (AUC) 0.95, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.84–0.99) than the pBD (AUC 0.80, 95% CI 0.65–0.90). The sBD cut-off value was >1 point (sensitivity, 96.0%; specificity, 81.0%). The sBD is a highly predictive and sensitive marker of 3-month poor neurological outcome in OHCA survivors. Multicentre prospective studies are required to determine the generalisability of these results.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. e0245210
Author(s):  
Muharrem Akin ◽  
Vera Garcheva ◽  
Jan-Thorben Sieweke ◽  
John Adel ◽  
Ulrike Flierl ◽  
...  

Background Neuron-specific enolase (NSE) and S-100b have been used to assess neurological damage following out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Cut-offs were derived from small normothermic cohorts. Whether similar cut-offs apply to patients treated with hypothermia remained undetermined. Methods We investigated 251 patients with OHCA treated with hypothermia but without routine prognostication. Neuromarkers were determined at day 3, neurological outcome was assessed after hospital discharge by cerebral performance category (CPC). Results Good neurological outcome (CPC≤2) was achieved in 41%. Elevated neuromarkers, older age and absence of ST-segment elevation after ROSC were associated with increased mortality. Poor neurological outcome in survivors was additionally associated with history of cerebrovascular events, sepsis and higher admission lactate. Mean NSE was 33μg/l [16–94] vs. 119μg/l [25–406]; p<0.001, for survivors vs. non-survivors, and 21μg/l [16–29] vs. 40μg/l [23–98], p<0.001 for good vs. poor neurological outcome. S-100b was 0.127μg/l [0.063–0.360] vs. 0.772μg/l [0.121–2.710], p<0.001 and 0.086μg/l [0.061–0.122] vs. 0.138μg/l [0.090–0.271], p = 0.009, respectively. For mortality, thresholds of 36μg/l for NSE and 0.128μg/l for S-100b could be determined; for poor neurological outcome 33μg/l (NSE) and 0.123μg/l (S-100b), respectively. Positive predictive value for NSE was 81% (74–88) and 79% (71–85) for S-100b. Conclusions Thresholds for NSE and S-100b predicting mortality and poor neurological outcome are similar in OHCA patients receiving therapeutic hypothermia as in those reported before the era of hypothermia. However, both biomarkers do not have enough specificity to predict mortality or poor neurological outcome on their own and should only be additively used in clinical decision making.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nobunaga Okada ◽  
Tasuku Matsuyama ◽  
Yohei Okada ◽  
Asami Okada ◽  
Kenji Kandori ◽  
...  

Abstract We aimed to estimate the association between PaCO2 level in the patient after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) resuscitation with patient outcome based on a multicenter prospective cohort registry in Japan between June 2014 and December 2015.Based on the PaCO2 within 24-h after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), patients were divided into six groups as follow; severe hypocapnia (<25mmHg), mild hypocapnia (25–35mmHg,), normocapnia (35–45mmHg), mild hypercapnia (45–55mmHg), severe hypercapnia (>55mmHg), exposure to both hypocapnia and hypercapnia. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to calculate the adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for the 1-month poor neurological outcome (Cerebral Performance Category ≥3). Among the 13491 OHCA patients, 607 were included. Severe hypocapnia, mild hypocapnia, severe hypercapnia, and exposure to both hypocapnia and hypercapnia were associated with a higher rate of 1-month poor neurological outcome compared with mild hypercapnia (aOR 6.68 [95% CI 2.16–20.67], 2.56 [1.30–5.04], 2.62 [1.06–6.47], 5.63 [2.21–14.34]; respectively). There was no significant difference between the outcome of patients with normocapnia and mild hypercapnia. In conclusion, maintaining normocapnia and mild hypercapnia during the 24-h after ROSC was associated with better neurological outcomes than other PaCO2 abnormalities in this study.


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