Abstract 11: Selective Serotonin Reuptake Inhibitors Increase Major Hemorrhage Risk in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation Taking Warfarin

Author(s):  
Gene R Quinn ◽  
Daniel E Singer ◽  
Yuchiao Chang ◽  
Alan S Go ◽  
Leila Borowsky ◽  
...  

Background: Several studies suggest that SSRIs may increase bleeding risk and drug information guides warn about a potential interaction between warfarin and SSRIs. However, the actual association between warfarin, SSRI exposure, and bleeding risk has not been well-quantified. In addition, prior studies have not controlled for baseline bleeding risk or warfarin control. Objective: To assess the association between SSRI exposure and major hemorrhage events in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation taking warfarin. Methods: We used data from the ATRIA Study, a cohort of 13,559 adults with atrial fibrillation receiving care in a large integrated healthcare delivery system. The analysis was restricted to the 9186 patients who contributed follow-up time while taking warfarin. We assessed exposure to SSRIs using dispensing data from pharmacy databases. Additionally, we searched for exposure to tricyclic antidepressants (TCAs) as a control group. The primary outcome was hospitalization for major hemorrhage on warfarin, defined as fatal, hemorrhage into a critical anatomic space, or requiring transfusion of ≥ 2 units packed red blood cells. Clinical risk factors for hemorrhage were identified using administrative and computerized clinical databases and used to calculate an ATRIA bleeding risk score, a previously-developed measure of anticoagulation-associated bleeding risk. A multivariable Poisson regression model was then used to test the association between hemorrhage and SSRI or TCA exposure, adjusting for bleeding risk and time in an international normalized ratio (INR) range > 3. Results: We identified 461 major hemorrhages during a total of 32,888 person-years of follow-up on warfarin. Of these events, 45 events occurred during SSRI use, 12 events during TCA only use, and 404 events without either medication. Rates of hemorrhage were higher during periods of SSRI exposure compared with periods on no antidepressants (2.32 per 100 person-years vs. 1.35 per 100 person-years, p = <0.001). In contrast, rates of hemorrhage did not differ comparing TCA use to no antidepressants (1.30 per 100 person-years on TCAs, p = 0.93). The mean ATRIA bleeding risk score during SSRI exposure was higher than periods on no antidepressants (2.43 vs. 2.06, p<0.001); a higher bleeding risk score was also observed during TCA exposure (2.24 vs. 2.06, p<0.001). Exposure time while on SSRIs and TCAs was associated with more time where the INR > 3 (12.3% for SSRIs, 11.9% for TCAs, and 10.3% for neither, p<0.001). In a multivariable model adjusting for bleeding risk score and time with INRs > 3, SSRI exposure was associated with an increased rate of hemorrhage compared with no antidepressants (adjusted relative risk 1.60, 95% CI: 1.18-2.17), whereas TCAs were not associated with increased hemorrhage risk (adjusted relative risk 0.88, 95% CI: 0.50-1.57). Conclusions: The risk of major hemorrhage on warfarin was significantly higher during periods of SSRI therapy, but not TCA therapy, even after adjusting for bleeding risk factors and time in a supratherapeutic INR range. Closer monitoring of patients on SSRIs and anticoagulants should be considered.

Author(s):  
Gene R Quinn ◽  
Daniel E Singer ◽  
Alan S Go ◽  
Yuchiao Chang ◽  
Leila Borowsky ◽  
...  

Background: The decision on whether or not to use anticoagulants for atrial fibrillation depends on estimating a patient’s risk of stroke compared to their risk of bleeding. The CHADS 2 risk score is widely used to predict the risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation. Several of the risk factors in CHADS 2 have also been associated with hemorrhage risk, raising the possibility that CHADS 2 could also be used to predict warfarin-associated hemorrhage. Objective: To determine whether the CHADS 2 stroke risk scheme can be used to predict hemorrhage in patients with atrial fibrillation and to compare the predictive ability of CHADS 2 with a risk score specifically designed to predict warfarin-related hemorrhage. Methods: We used data from the ATRIA Study, a cohort of 13,559 adults with atrial fibrillation receiving care in a large integrated healthcare delivery system. The cohort was divided into on-warfarin and off-warfarin periods. Clinical risk factors were obtained from computerized medical databases and used to calculate a CHADS 2 risk score (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age≥75, diabetes, and prior stroke) as well as a previously developed measure of anticoagulation-associated bleeding risk, the ATRIA bleeding risk score (anemia, severe renal disease, age≥75, prior bleed, and hypertension). The primary outcome was hospitalization for major hemorrhage, validated through chart review. The performance of the CHADS 2 and ATRIA scores was compared by c -index and net reclassification improvement. Results: We identified 170 major hemorrhages during 15,300 person-years of follow-up on warfarin, and 162 hemorrhages during 15,530 person-years off warfarin. The CHADS 2 risk score predicted hemorrhage risk better than chance in both warfarin and non-warfarin exposed groups, with a c- index of 0.67 [95% CI = 0.64 - 0.71] and 0.65 [95% CI = 0.62-0.67], respectively. However, the ATRIA bleeding risk score predicted major hemorrhage events better than CHADS 2 , with a c -index of 0.74 [95% CI = 0.72-0.76] for warfarin users and 0.77 [95% CI = 0.75-0.80] for non-warfarin users. The ATRIA bleeding risk score also had better net reclassification improvement than CHADS 2, 35.6% for warfarin users and 26.8% for non-warfarin users. Conclusions: Although some clinical markers of stroke risk such as those included in the CHADS 2 risk score are also associated with increased hemorrhage risk, the CHADS 2 risk score should not be used instead of a validated hemorrhage risk tool to estimate hemorrhage risk.


2017 ◽  
Vol 117 (12) ◽  
pp. 2261-2266 ◽  
Author(s):  
María Esteve-Pastor ◽  
José Rivera-Caravaca ◽  
Alena Shantsila ◽  
Vanessa Roldán ◽  
Gregory Lip ◽  
...  

Background The HAS-BLED (hypertension, abnormal renal/liver function, previous stroke, bleeding history or predisposition, labile international normalized ratio [INR], elderly and drugs/alcohol consumption) score has been validated in several scenarios but the recent European guidelines does not recommend any clinical score to assess bleeding risk in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients and only focus on modifiable clinical factors. Purpose The aim of this study was to test the hypothesis that the HAS-BLED score would perform at least similarly to an approach only based on modifiable bleeding risk factors (i.e. a ‘modifiable bleeding risk factors score’) for predicting bleeding events. Methods We performed a comparison between the HAS-BLED score and the new ‘modifiable bleeding risk factors score’ in a post hoc analysis in 4,576 patients included in the AMADEUS trial. Results After 347 (interquartile range, 186–457) days of follow-up, 597 patients (13.0%) experienced any clinically relevant bleeding event and 113 (2.5%) had a major bleeding. Only the HAS-BLED score was significantly associated with the risk of any clinically relevant bleeding (Cox's analysis for HAS-BLED ≥ 3: hazard ratio 1.38; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.10–1.72; p = 0.005). The ‘modifiable bleeding risk factors score’ ≥ 2 were non-significantly associated with any clinical relevant bleeding. The two scores had modest ability in predicting bleeding events. The HAS-BLED score performed best in predicting any clinically relevant bleeding (c-indexes for HAS-BLED, 0.545 [95% CI, 0.530–0.559] vs. the ‘modifiable bleeding risk factors score’, 0.530 [95% CI, 0.515–0.544]; c-index difference 0.015, z-score = 2.063, p = 0.04). The HAS-BLED score with one, two and three modifiable factors performed significantly better than the ‘modifiable bleeding risk factors scores’ with one, two and three modifiable risk factors. Conclusion When compared with an approach only based on modifiable bleeding risk factors proposed by European Society of Cardiology (ESC) AF guidelines, the HAS-BLED score performed significantly better in predicting any clinically relevant bleeding in this clinical trial cohort. While modifiable bleeding risk factors should be addressed in all AF patients, the use of a formal bleeding risk score (HAS-BLED) has better predictive value for bleeding risks, and would help decision-making in identifying ‘high risk’ patients for scheduling reviews and follow-up.


2013 ◽  
Vol 110 (11) ◽  
pp. 1074-1079 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stavros Apostolakis ◽  
Deirdre A. Lane ◽  
Harry Buller ◽  
Gregory Y. H. Lip

SummaryMany of the risk factors for stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF) are also important risk factors for bleeding. We tested the hypothesis that the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores (used for stroke risk assessment) could be used to predict serious bleeding, and that these scores would compare well against the HAS-BLED score, which is a specific risk score designed for bleeding risk assessment. From the AMADEUS trial, we focused on the trial’s primary safety outcome for serious bleeding, which was “any clinically relevant bleeding”. The predictive value of HAS-BLED/CHADS2/CHA2DS2-VASc were compared by area under the curve (AUC, a measure of the c-index) and the Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI). Of 2,293 patients on VKA, 251 (11%) experienced at least one episode of “any clinically relevant bleeding” during an average 429 days follow up period. Incidence of “any clinically relevant bleeding” rose with increasing HAS-BLED/CHADS2/CHA2DS2-VASc scores, but was statistically significant only for HAS-BLED (p<0.0001). Only HAS-BLED demonstrated significant discriminatory performance for “any clinically relevant bleeding” (AUC 0.60, p<0.0001). There were significant AUC-differences between HAS-BLED (which had the highest AUC) and both CHADS2 (p<0.001) and CHA2DS2VASc (p=0.001). The HAS-BLED score also demonstrated significant NRI for the outcome of “any clinically relevant bleeding” when compared with CHADS2 (p=0.001) and CHA2DS2-VASc (p=0.04). In conclusion, the HAS-BLED score demonstrated significant discriminatory performance for “any clinically relevant bleeding” in anticoagulated patients with AF, whilst the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores did not. Bleeding risk assessment should be made using a specific bleeding risk score such as HAS-BLED, and the stroke risk scores such as CHADS2 or CHA2DS2-VASc scores should not be used.


Blood ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 126 (23) ◽  
pp. 3301-3301 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacqueline C. Barrientos ◽  
Nicole Meyer ◽  
Xue Song ◽  
Kanti R Rai

Abstract Background: CLL is the most common form of adult leukemia in the Western World. It primarily affects the elderly with ~70% of patients diagnosed ≥65 years of age. Therapy is reserved until symptoms occur, when most patients have multiple chronic comorbidities including hypertension, arrhythmias, and other conditions that require the use of anticoagulants and/or antiplatelet agents. Understanding the frequency of use of these agents and bleeding events in routine clinical practice could provide additional insights on the real-world burden of the use of these drugs in patients with an underlying predisposition to bleeding due to CLL-related thrombocytopenia and other comorbidities. This is particularly relevant as several chemoimmunotherapy regimens used in CLL may have direct cardiotoxic and antiplatelet effects. Most importantly, emerging evidence suggests that some of the recently approved targeted agents may be associated with risk of cardiac arrhythmias or bleeding events. The mechanisms behind these events and the relations between them are largely unclear but affect the quality of life of CLL patients. The aim of this retrospective database study was to characterize the outcomes of newly diagnosed CLL patients in terms of: [1] incidence of atrial fibrillation (AFIB), [2] incidence of AFIB risk factors, [3] bleeding risk factors as measured by the 5-variable Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation (ATRIA) risk score (which quantifies the risk of drug-associated hemorrhage), and [4] anticoagulant/antiplatelet drug usage over the course of their treatment. Methods: Based on administrative medical claims from the MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters and Medicare Supplemental and Coordination of Benefits Databases in the US, we identified adults diagnosed with CLL between 1/1/2004 - 4/30/2015. Patients selected for this study were required to have at least two treatment lines where the 2nd line treatment represented a change in initial therapy (index date = start of 1st line treatment). anticoagulant/antiplatelet use, incidence of AFIB (per 10,000 patient days), and ATRIA bleeding risk score were assessed during 1st and 2nd line treatment. Patients were continuously enrolled for ≥ 6 months (baseline) before index date, and followed until disenrollment from the health plan or 4/30/2015, whichever came first. Results: Of approximately 67 million adults (per year) in the database, we identified 2,335 adults with newly diagnosed CLL (mean age: 62 years; 66% male; 46% Medicare as primary payer) treated with antineoplastic therapy and followed for a mean of 35.3 months. The mean duration of first line treatment was 3.3 months, and 4.1 months for 2nd line treatment. Anticoagulant/antiplatelet use at baseline was common (25%), and use increased during 1st line (31%) and 2nd line (32%) treatment. During follow-up, the incidence of AFIB during 1st line and 2nd line treatment was 4.57 and 5.70/10,000 person days (95% CI: 3.7-5.5 and 4.8-6.6), respectively. The proportion of patients with ATRIA scores indicating moderate (ATRIA score 4) to high (ATRIA score ≥ 5) risk of bleeding increased from initial therapy (1st line treatment = 18%) to salvage therapy (2nd line treatment = 22%) [see Figure]. Conclusions: We provide the first real-world estimates of anticoagulant/antiplatelet use, AFIB, AFIB risk, and bleeding risk factors in adult patients newly diagnosed with CLL in the US. In our study, the use of anticoagulant/antiplatelet agents at diagnosis was common (25%) and increased over time from 1st to 2nd line treatment. Similarly, AFIB incidence and the ATRIA bleeding risk score also increased over the course of the natural disease progression. Since ATRIA scores of ≥ 5 correlate with a 5.8% annual risk of major hemorrhage, understanding the characteristics of the CLL patients at diagnosis and relapse will ultimately help optimize treatment selection based on the potential risks and benefits of each individual treatment regimen. These data, an evaluation of cardiac status, use of concomitant medications, and potential risk factors should be considered in the management of CLL. Disclosures Barrientos: Gilead: Research Funding; NIH/NCATS: Research Funding; ASH-AMFDP: Research Funding. Meyer:Truven Health Analytics: Employment. Song:Truven Health Analytics: Employment. Rai:Leon Levy Foundation: Research Funding; Nash Family Foundation: Research Funding; Nancy Marks Family Foundation: Research Funding; Karches Family Foundation: Research Funding.


2018 ◽  
Vol 47 (04) ◽  
pp. 768-777 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tze-Fan Chao ◽  
Yenn-Jiang Lin ◽  
Shih-Lin Chang ◽  
Li-Wei Lo ◽  
Yu-Feng Hu ◽  
...  

Aim When assessing bleeding risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), risk stratification is often based on the baseline risks. We aimed to investigate changes in bleeding risk factors and alterations in the HAS-BLED score in AF patients. We hypothesized that a follow-up HAS-BLED score and the ‘delta HAS-BLED score’ (reflecting the change in score between baseline and follow-up) would be more predictive of major bleeding, when compared with baseline HAS-BLED score. Methods and Results A total of 19,566 AF patients receiving warfarin and baseline HAS-BLED score ≤2 were studied. After a follow-up of 93,783 person-years, 3,032 major bleeds were observed. The accuracies of baseline, follow-up, and delta HAS-BLED scores as well as cumulative numbers of baseline modifiable bleeding risk factors, in predicting subsequent major bleeding, were analysed and compared. The mean baseline HAS-BLED score was 1.43 which increased to 2.45 with a mean ‘delta HAS-BLED score’ of 1.03. The HAS-BLED score remained unchanged in 38.2% of patients. Of those patients experiencing major bleeding, 76.6% had a ‘delta HAS-BLED’ score ≥1, compared with only 59.0% in patients without major bleeding (p < 0.001). For prediction of major bleeding, AUC was significantly higher for the follow-up HAS-BLED (0.63) or delta HAS-BLED (0.62) scores, compared with baseline HAS-BLED score (0.54). The number of baseline modifiable risk factors was non-significantly predictive of major bleeding (AUC = 0.49). Conclusion In this ‘real-world’ nationwide AF cohort, follow-up HAS-BLED or ‘delta HAS-BLED score’ was more predictive of major bleeding compared with baseline HAS-BLED or the simple determination of ‘modifiable bleeding risk factors’. Bleeding risk in AF is a dynamic process and use of the HAS-BLED score should be to ‘flag up’ patients potentially at risk for more regular review and follow-up, and to address the modifiable bleeding risk factors during follow-up visits.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
P Meyre ◽  
S Aeschbacher ◽  
S Blum ◽  
M Coslovsky ◽  
J.H Beer ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) have a high risk of hospital admissions, but there is no validated prediction tool to identify those at highest risk. Purpose To develop and externally validate a risk score for all-cause hospital admissions in patients with AF. Methods We used a prospective cohort of 2387 patients with established AF as derivation cohort. Independent risk factors were selected from a broad range of variables using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method fit to a Cox regression model. The developed risk score was externally validated in a separate prospective, multicenter cohort of 1300 AF patients. Results In the derivation cohort, 891 patients (37.3%) were admitted to the hospital over a median follow-up 2.0 years. In the validation cohort, hospital admissions occurred in 719 patients (55.3%) during a median follow-up 1.9 years. The most important predictors for admission were age (75–79 years: adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.33; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.00–1.77; 80–84 years: aHR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.12–2.03; ≥85 years: aHR, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.35–2.61), prior pulmonary vein isolation (aHR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.60–0.90), hypertension (aHR, 1.16; 95% CI, 0.99–1.36), diabetes (aHR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.17–1.62), coronary heart disease (aHR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.02–1.37), prior stroke/TIA (aHR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.10–1.50), heart failure (aHR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.04–1.41), peripheral artery disease (aHR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.06–1.63), cancer (aHR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.13–1.57), renal failure (aHR, 1.18, 95% CI, 1.01–1.38), and previous falls (aHR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.16–1.78). A risk score with these variables was well calibrated, and achieved a C-index of 0.64 in the derivation and 0.59 in the validation cohort. Conclusions Multiple risk factors were associated with hospital admissions in AF patients. This prediction tool selects high-risk patients who may benefit from preventive interventions. The Admit-AF risk score Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): The Swiss National Science Foundation (Grant numbers 33CS30_1148474 and 33CS30_177520), the Foundation for Cardiovascular Research Basel and the University of Basel


2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 2473011418S0035 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew Molloy ◽  
Clifford Butcher ◽  
Lyndon Mason

Category: Midfoot/Forefoot Introduction/Purpose: Hallux rigidus occurs in up to 1 in 40 adults with 1st MTPJ arthrodesis being the gold standard operation for advanced disease. Our aim was to retrospectively identify risk factors for delayed / non-union of first metatarsophalangeal joint arthrodesis using a dorsal plate with cross screw. Methods: Case note and radiograph analysis was performed for operations between April 2014 and April 2016 with at least 6 months post-operative follow up. Union was defined as bridging bone across the fusion site on AP and lateral radiographic views with no movement or pain at the MTPJ on examination. All patients operations were performed or directly supervised by one of three fellowship trained consultant foot surgeons. Surgery was performed through a dorsal approach using a dorsal locking plate with compression screw. Blinded preoperative AP radiographs were analysed for the presence of a severe hallux valgus angle equal to or above 40 degrees. Intra-observer reliability was acceptable (95% CI: 1.6-2.3 degrees). Smoking and co-morbidities underwent univariate analysis for significance. Following initial result results, surgery in patients with arthritic hallux valgus were fixed using a separate plantar to dorsal / medial to lateral lag screw and dorsal locking plate Results: 71 patients with a mean age of 61 years (range, 29 to 81) comprised the initial patient group. Mean follow up time was 13 months for both union and nonunion groups (range 6 to 30 months). 7 patients were identified as delayed or nonunion (9.9%). All had hallux valgus angles of >25%. Age, diabetes, COPD and rheumatoid arthritis did not show significant associations with non-union. All smokers progressed to union (n = 17). Moderate to severe hallux valgus (relative risk: 1.29, p < 0.005) and under correction of >25 valgus at the MTPJ (relative risk: 14.44, p < 0.001) were significantly associated with non/delayed union. In the second group, 18 patients of similar demographics, there were no failure of reductions and 100% union rate Conclusion: Preoperative moderate to severe hallux valgus and under-correction of deformity are the most significant risk factors for non-union. The construct used for fixation needs to be chosen on the basis of the deforming forces. If so, excellent union rates can be achieved


Author(s):  
Luise Adam ◽  
Martin Feller ◽  
Lamprini Syrogiannouli ◽  
Cinzia Del‐Giovane ◽  
Jacques Donzé ◽  
...  

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