Prediction of Children Diabetes by Autoregressive Integrated Moving Averages Model Using Big Data and Not Only SQL
Enormous efforts have been made by the health care organizations to assess the frequency and occurrence of diabetes among children. The epidemiology of diabetes is estimated with different methods. However, to effectively manage and estimate the diabetes, monitoring systems like glucose meters and Continuous Glucose Monitoring Systems (CGM) can be used. CGM is a way to determine glucose levels right through the day and night. The data obtained from such systems can be utilized effectively to manage as well to predict the diabetes. As the glucose level of the patient is monitored throughout the day, it results in an enormous amount of data. It is difficult to analyze large datasets using SQL, therefore NoSQL is used for handling big data based prediction. One such NoSQL tool known as ArangoDB is used to process the dataset with Arango Query Language (AQL). Investigations relevant to selection of attributes required for the model are discussed. In this paper, ARIMA model has been implemented to predict the diabetes among children. The model is evaluated in terms of moving average of glucose value of a particular person on a specific day. The results show that ARIMA model is appropriate for predicting Time-Series data especially like data obtained by CGM systems.