Comparative characteristics of the epidemiological situation of chemoresistant tuberculosis in Germany and Ukraine

Objective — to compare the epidemiological situation of chemoresistant tuberculosis in Germany and Ukraine, in addition analyzing the nature and features of chemoresistant tuberculosis in 192 patients treated at the Ternopil Regional TB Dispensary Ukraine during 2017—2018. Materials and methods. In order to study the comparative characteristics of the epidemiological situation with chemoresistant tuberculosis in Germany and Ukraine, modern literature sources were used with the search query «epidemiological situation with chemoresistant tuberculosis in Germany», «epidemiological situation with chemoresistant tuberculosis in Ukraine». Separatelly a retrospective cohort study was conducted. The nature and features of the course of chemoresistant tuberculosis in 192 patients who were treated in the Ternopil Regional TB Dispensary during 2017—2018 were analyzed. Results and discussion. Analysis of literature sources showed that multidrug resistant Tuberculosis (MDR-TB) is relatively seldom in Germany with around 100 cases annually. Overall, the epidemiological situation of MDR-TB has been stable since the beginning of the statistical recording of the disease in 2002. In 2013, the highest proportion of MDR TB was registered at 3.3 %. Detailed analysis of notifi cation data shows that the tuberculosis situation in Germany is mainly influenced by migratory movements and demographic changes in the population. Despite the positive overall epidemiological trend with decreasing incidence rates, however, the burden of TB in Ukraine remains significant. According to the latest WHO estimates for 2018, TB incidence in the country(new cases and relapses) is the 4th highest among 53 countries of the WHO European Region.To address the situation, reduce TB prevalence, scale up TB early detection and diagnosis, and ensure effective treatment, Ukraine adopted, in 2019, the 2020–2023 State Strategy for Development of Anti-Tuberculosis Care for the Population.The analysis performed of 192 patients of the MDR/XDR-TB Cohort from the TB-Dispensary Hospital in Ternopil (Ukraine) from 2017—2018, showed that the resistanse of mycobacteria to anti-TB drugs was dominated by cases of MDR-TB — 57.3 %. Among patients first diagnosed were 52.6 %, relapses were 46.4 %. Destruction in the lungs was detected in 71.9 %. 111 patients (57.8 %) had treatment success, and 81 (42.2 %) had poor treatment outcomes or were lost to follow-up. Conclusions. The epidemiological situation of tuberculosis in Germany is stable and improving. Despite the positive overall epidemiological trend, the burden of TB in Ukraine remains significant. In 2018, TB incidence in the country (new cases and relapses) was 80 per 100 thousands population. In Ukraine during the period (2015—2018), the proportion of «pre-XDR» and XDR cases increased from 47.4 to 51.3 %. Among patients with chemoresistant tuberculosis, MR TB predominates (57.3 %), with destruction in the lungs and only 57.8% are effectively treated.

Repertoire of Naturally Acquired Maternal Antibodies Transferred to Infants for Protection Against Shigellosis

Shigella is the second leading cause of diarrheal diseases, accounting for >200,000 infections and >50,000 deaths in children under 5 years of age annually worldwide. The incidence of Shigella-induced diarrhea is relatively low during the first year of life and increases substantially, reaching its peak between 11 to 24 months of age. This epidemiological trend hints at an early protective immunity of maternal origin and an increase in disease incidence when maternally acquired immunity wanes. The magnitude, type, antigenic diversity, and antimicrobial activity of maternal antibodies transferred via placenta that can prevent shigellosis during early infancy are not known. To address this knowledge gap, Shigella-specific antibodies directed against the lipopolysaccharide (LPS) and virulence factors (IpaB, IpaC, IpaD, IpaH, and VirG), and antibody-mediated serum bactericidal (SBA) and opsonophagocytic killing antibody (OPKA) activity were measured in maternal and cord blood sera from a longitudinal cohort of mother-infant pairs living in rural Malawi. Protein-specific (very high levels) and Shigella LPS IgG were detected in maternal and cord blood sera; efficiency of placental transfer was 100% and 60%, respectively, and had preferential IgG subclass distribution (protein-specific IgG1 > LPS-specific IgG2). In contrast, SBA and OPKA activity in cord blood was substantially lower as compared to maternal serum and varied among Shigella serotypes. LPS was identified as the primary target of SBA and OPKA activity. Maternal sera had remarkably elevated Shigella flexneri 2a LPS IgM, indicative of recent exposure. Our study revealed a broad repertoire of maternally acquired antibodies in infants living in a Shigella-endemic region and highlights the abundance of protein-specific antibodies and their likely contribution to disease prevention during the first months of life. These results contribute new knowledge on maternal infant immunity and target antigens that can inform the development of vaccines or therapeutics that can extend protection after maternally transferred immunity wanes.

Epidemiological Patterns and Spatial Distribution of COVID-19 Cases in DKI Jakarta (March–December 2020)

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-Cov-2) is the causative agent of COVID-19 that began in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China. In Indonesia, the first two cases were reported on March 2, 2020; the first major response to block transmission of the virus was the declaration of large-scale social restrictions (LSSR) or Pembatasan Sosial Berskala Besar (PSBB). This study aimed to identify the epidemiology patterns and spatial distribution of the COVID-19 pandemic in five municipalities of DKI Jakarta. The research design comprised an ecological and case-series study uncovering the epidemiological trends and distribution of COVID-19 in DKI Jakarta based on secondary surveillance data. The results from the data analyzed between March-December 2020 showed an increasing epidemiological trend due to COVID-19, and Central Jakarta was the municipality most affected due to pandemic during this period. The implementation of the first PSBB in DKI Jakarta reduced the average number of daily cases during the first month, although the decrease was not statistically significant. There was a spatial autocorrelation of COVID-19 with the neighboring urban villages. There were fifteen COVID-19 hotspots all over DKI Jakarta based on the data analyzed in December 2020.

Integrated vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions based strategies in Ontario, Canada, as a case study: a mathematical modelling study

Recently, two coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine products have been authorized in Canada. It is of crucial importance to model an integrated/combined package of non-pharmaceutical (physical/social distancing) and pharmaceutical (immunization) public health control measures. A modified epidemiological, compartmental SIR model was used and fit to the cumulative COVID-19 case data for the province of Ontario, Canada, from 8 September 2020 to 8 December 2020. Different vaccine roll-out strategies were simulated until 75% of the population was vaccinated, including a no-vaccination scenario. We compete these vaccination strategies with relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions. Non-pharmaceutical interventions were supposed to remain enforced and began to be relaxed on 31 January, 31 March or 1 May 2021. Based on projections from the data and long-term extrapolation of scenarios, relaxing the public health measures implemented by re-opening too early would cause any benefits of vaccination to be lost by increasing case numbers, increasing the effective reproduction number above 1 and thus increasing the risk of localized outbreaks. If relaxation is, instead, delayed and 75% of the Ontarian population gets vaccinated by the end of the year, re-opening can occur with very little risk. Relaxing non-pharmaceutical interventions by re-opening and vaccine deployment is a careful balancing act. Our combination of model projections from data and simulation of different strategies and scenarios, can equip local public health decision- and policy-makers with projections concerning the COVID-19 epidemiological trend, helping them in the decision-making process.

Trends and Age-Period-Cohort Effects on the Prevalence, Incidence and Mortality of Hepatocellular Carcinoma from 2008 to 2017 in Tianjin, China

Objectives: China is the country most afflicted by hepatocellular carcinoma in the world. However, little is known about the epidemiology of hepatocellular carcinoma in China. This study aimed to examine the trends of the prevalence, incidence, and mortality of hepatocellular carcinoma in China, and to investigate the effects of age, period, and birth cohort on the epidemiological trend. Methods: The data were obtained from the Urban Employee Basic Medical Insurance claims database (2003–2017) in Tianjin, China, which covers 5.95 million individuals. The average annual percentage change of the prevalence, incidence, and mortality were accessed using joinpoint regression. Age-period-cohort models were produced to quantify the effects of age, period, and cohort. Results: The hepatocellular carcinoma prevalence rate increased by 5.13% annually from 20.12/100,000 in 2008 to 30.49/100,000 in 2017, and the incidence rate was almost unchanged, from 13.91/100,000 in 2008 to 14.09/100,000 in 2017, but mortality decreased by 1.80% annually from 8.18/100,000 in 2008 to 7.34/100,000 in 2017. The age-period-cohort analysis revealed that the prevalence rate was remarkably increased from age 25, peaked in age 60, and decreased at age 70 and over. In the period index, the prevalence rate increased gradually from 2008 to 2016, and decreased a little in 2017. In the cohort index, the prevalence rate decreased approximately linearly from the 1925 cohort to the 1990 cohort. The result for the incidence was similar to the prevalence. The mortality rate increased approximately linearly from age 45 to 85, decreased from the 1925 cohort to the 1990 cohort, but it changed a little with the change of period. Conclusions: The findings of this study could inform the necessity of conducting earlier screening for high-risk individuals and improving the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma, which may also help to predict future changes in hepatocellular carcinoma epidemiology.

Resurgence of Subacute Sclerosing Panencephalitis: Case Series and Global Epidemiological Trends

Resurgence of subacute sclerosing panencephalitis (SSPE)—case series and global epidemiological trends. We noted a recent increase in cases of SSPE admitted in our institute, even though they had received measles vaccination. We did a detailed study of our cases and compared with global epidemiological trends of SSPE in preimmunization and era of developed immunity. Out of total 23 cases of SSPE, 12 presented in the year 2017 alone, reflecting a steep rise in incidence. Sixteen patients had received measles vaccine and never had prior measles infection. Mean age of onset was 8.2 years and average time of progression to advanced stage of disease was 65 days. Global data showed similar trends, that is, earlier age of onset with a faster rate of progression in the postvaccination era as compared with prevaccine era. Possible mechanisms to account for this trend include an early wild measles infection in the critical age of 6 to 9 months, before vaccination. There is a changing epidemiological trend of SSPE in terms of lower age of onset and faster rate of progression, also reflected in global data. There is a need for multicenter studies to verify the findings and explore possible measures like lowering the age of measles vaccination to halt this alarming trend.

Repertoire of naturally acquired maternal antibodies transferred to infants for protection against shigellosis

Shigella is the second leading cause of diarrheal diseases, accounting for >200,000 infections and >50,000 deaths in children under 5 years of age worldwide. The incidence of Shigella-induced diarrhea is relatively low during the first year of life and increases substantially (reaching its peak) between 11 to 24 months of age. This epidemiological trend hints to an early protective immunity of maternal origin and an increase in disease incidence when maternal immunity wanes. The magnitude, type, antigenic diversity and anti-microbial activity of maternal antibodies transferred via placenta that can prevent shigellosis during early infancy are not known. To address this knowledge gap, Shigella -specific antibodies directed against the lipopolysaccharide (LPS) and virulent factors (IpaB, IpaC, IpaD, IpaH and VirG) and antibody mediated serum bactericidal (SBA) and opsonophagocytic killing antibody (OPKA) activity were measured in maternal and cord blood sera from a longitudinal cohort of mother-infant pairs living in rural Malawi. Protein-specific IgG (very high levels) and Shigella LPS were detected in maternal and cord blood sera; efficiency of placental transfer was 100% and 60%, respectively and was associated with IgG subclass distribution (protein-specific IgG1 > LPS-specific IgG2). In contrast, SBA and OPKA activity in cord blood was substantially lower as compared to maternal serum and varied among Shigella serotypes. LPS was identified as a target of SBA and OPKA activity. Maternal sera had remarkably elevated Shigella flexneri 2a LPS IgM indicative of recent exposure. Our study revealed a broad repertoire of maternally acquired antibodies in infants living in a Shigella-endemic region and highlights the abundance of protein-specific antibodies and their likely contribution to disease prevention during the first months of life. These results contribute new knowledge on maternal infant immunity and target antigens that can inform the development of vaccines or therapeutics that can extend protection after maternal immunity wanes.

Cell strain-derived induced pluripotent stem cell as a genetically controlled approach to investigating aging mechanisms and viral pathogenesis

The expansion of the geographic footprint of dengue viruses (DENVs) and their mosquito vectors have affected more than half of the global population, including older adults who appear to show elevated risk of severe dengue. Despite this epidemiological trend, how age and senescence impact virus-host interactions involved in dengue pathogenesis to increase the risk of severe dengue is poorly understood. Herein, we show that conversion of diploid cells with finite lifespan into iPSCs followed by differentiation back into cell strain can be an approach to derive genetically identical cells at different stages of senescence to study virus and aging host interactions. Our findings show that cellular senescence impact the host response to infection and the ensuing outcome. We suggest iPSC-derive cell strains as a potentially useful technical approach to genetically controlled host-virus interaction studies to understand how aging impact viral pathogenesis.