scholarly journals On the Relationships between the Madden–Julian Oscillation and Precipitation Variability in Southern Iran and the Arabian Peninsula: Atmospheric Circulation Analysis

2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 887-904 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. J. Nazemosadat ◽  
H. Ghaedamini

Abstract The influence of the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) on daily, monthly, and seasonal precipitation was investigated for southern Iran and the Arabian Peninsula using November–April data for the period of 1979–2005. The positive MJO phase is considered to be the periods for which the enhanced convection center was placed over the south Indonesian–north Australian region. On the other hand, the convection center shifts over the western Indian Ocean tropics and most of the study area as the negative MJO phase prevails. Seasonal precipitation and the frequency of wet events were significantly increased during the negative phase. The ratios of the precipitation amount during the negative phase to the corresponding values during the positive phase were about 1.75–2.75 and 2.75–4.00 for the southwestern and southeastern parts of Iran, respectively. This ratio reached to about 3.00 for Riyadh, 4.20 and 5.50 for Masqat and Doha, 2.10 for Kuwait, and 1.20 for Bahrain. The results of the seasonal and monthly analysis were generally found to be consistent, although because of the smaller sample size the outcomes of the monthly investigations were less statistically significant. While the negative MJO phase does not have a consistent effect on March precipitation over some parts of southern Iran, it has consistently enhanced precipitation over the eastern and southern coasts of the peninsula in Oman, Yemen, and Saudi Arabia. During the negative MJO phase, while enhanced low-level southerly winds transfer a substantial amount of moisture to the study area, upward motion increases in the middle layers of the atmosphere. Synchronized with the prevalence of these rain-bearing southerly winds, the existence of a strong horizontal wind speed gradient at the exit region of the North Africa–Arabian jet enhances precipitation. The jet exit, which was mostly located over Egypt in November, moved westward into the study area in Iran and Saudi Arabia during the rainy period of January–March. The direction of near-surface wind anomalies changed from mostly southeasterly in November to southwesterly in March and April, influencing precipitation pattern during various months of the rainy season. In contrast to the negative phase, an enhanced low-level dry northerly wind and suppressed horizontal wind speed gradient at the jet exits are the main characteristics of atmospheric circulation over the study area during the positive MJO phase. Furthermore, an increased downward air motion at the middle levels of the atmosphere and a significant shortage in precipitation are the other climatic components of the southwest Asian region during such a period.

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alfredo Peña ◽  
Kurt Schaldemose Hansen ◽  
Søren Ott ◽  
Maarten Paul van der Laan

Abstract. We investigate wake effects at the Anholt offshore wind farm in Denmark. We perform the analysis with three commonly-used wake models; two engineering approaches (the Park and G. C. Larsen models) and a linearized Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes approach (Fuga). From analysis of SCADA and mesoscale model simulations, we show that for westerly flow in particular, there is a clear horizontal wind-speed gradient over the wind farm, which results from the effect of the land nearby. We also show that for annual energy production estimates, in which a wake model is run with inflow conditions derived from mesoscale model outputs, accounting for the horizontal wind-speed gradient gives nearly the same results as averaging all the wake-free wind climates at the turbines' positions or using the wind climate of a position in the middle of the wind farm. However, annual energy production estimates can largely differ when using wind climates that are strongly influenced by the wind-speed gradient. When looking at westerly flow wake cases, where the impact of the wind-speed gradient is largest, the wake models agree with the SCADA fairly well; when looking at a southerly flow case, where the wake losses are highest, they tend to underestimate the wake loss. With the mesoscale-wake model setup, we are also able to estimate the capacity factor of the wind farm rather well when compared to that derived from the SCADA. Finally, we estimate the uncertainty of the wake models and some of its variants by bootstrapping the SCADA. The models tend to underestimate the wake losses and the engineering wake models are as uncertain as Fuga. These results are specific for this wind farm, the available dataset, and the derived inflow conditions.


2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 191-202 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alfredo Peña ◽  
Kurt Schaldemose Hansen ◽  
Søren Ott ◽  
Maarten Paul van der Laan

Abstract. We investigate wake effects at the Anholt offshore wind farm in Denmark, which is a farm experiencing strong horizontal wind-speed gradients because of its size and proximity to land. Mesoscale model simulations are used to study the horizontal wind-speed gradients over the wind farm. From analysis of the mesoscale simulations and supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA), we show that for westerly flow in particular, there is a clear horizontal wind-speed gradient over the wind farm. We also use the mesoscale simulations to derive the undisturbed inflow conditions that are coupled with three commonly used wake models: two engineering approaches (the Park and G. C. Larsen models) and a linearized Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes approach (Fuga). The effect of the horizontal wind-speed gradient on annual energy production estimates is not found to be critical compared to estimates from both the average undisturbed wind climate of all turbines' positions and the undisturbed wind climate of a position in the middle of the wind farm. However, annual energy production estimates can largely differ when using wind climates at positions that are strongly influenced by the horizontal wind-speed gradient. When looking at westerly flow wake cases, where the impact of the horizontal wind-speed gradient on the power of the undisturbed turbines is largest, the wake models agree with the SCADA fairly well; when looking at a southerly flow case, where the wake losses are highest, the wake models tend to underestimate the wake loss. With the mesoscale-wake model setup, we are also able to estimate the capacity factor of the wind farm rather well when compared to that derived from the SCADA. Finally, we estimate the uncertainty of the wake models by bootstrapping the SCADA. The models tend to underestimate the wake losses (the median relative model error is 8.75 %) and the engineering wake models are as uncertain as Fuga. These results are specific for this wind farm, the available dataset, and the derived inflow conditions.


1993 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 239-244 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pierre Y. Bernier ◽  
R.H. Swanson

Insitu snow evaporation was measured in circular openings, from 0H (full forest) to 5H (where H is the height of the surrounding trees; approximately 20 m), cut in the lodgepole pine (Pinuscontorta Dougl.) forest of the Alberta Foothills. Additional measurements were also made in a large 40H irregular clearing. The ratios of snow evaporation measured in the circular clearings to that measured in the large irregular opening were 0.24, 0.23, 0.28, and 0.41 for the 0H, 1H, 3H, and 5H, respectively. The aerodynamic approach yielded a good estimate of average daily snow evaporation in the large opening, with a computed value of 1.01 mm versus a measured one of 1.07 mm. Snow evaporation in the 0H opening was enhanced over that attributable to turbulent transport by nighttime radiative transfer from the canopy, which kept the snow warmer than in the other openings and prevented condensation. Vertical transfer efficiencies, the slope of the curve relating snow evaporation to the product of horizontal wind speed and vertical humidity gradient, were similar in all clearing sizes in spite of possible fundamental differences in wind fields created by the various canopy–opening interactions. Comparison of data from smaller openings with data from a previous study by A.J. West suggests that differences in snow evaporation between openings can be indexed to opening size.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven Knoop ◽  
Fred Bosveld ◽  
Marijn de Haij ◽  
Arnoud Apituley

<p>Atmospheric motion and turbulence are essential parameters for weather and topics related to air quality. Therefore, wind profile measurements play an important role in atmospheric research and meteorology. One source of wind profile data are Doppler wind lidars, which are laser-based remote sensing instruments that measure wind speed and wind direction up to a few hundred meters or even a few kilometers. Commercial wind lidars use the laser wavelength of 1.5 µm and therefore backscatter is mainly from aerosols while clear air backscatter is minimal, limiting the range to the boundary layer typically.</p><p>We have carried out a two-year intercomparison of the ZephIR 300M (ZX Lidars) short-range wind lidar and tall mast wind measurements at Cabauw [1]. We have focused on the (height-dependent) data availability of the wind lidar under various meteorological conditions and the data quality through a comparison with in situ wind measurements at several levels in the 213m tall meteorological mast. We have found an overall availability of quality-controlled wind lidar data of 97% to 98 %, where the missing part is mainly due to precipitation events exceeding 1 mm/h or fog or low clouds below 100 m. The mean bias in the horizontal wind speed is within 0.1 m/s with a high correlation between the mast and wind lidar measurements, although under some specific conditions (very high wind speed, fog or low clouds) larger deviations are observed. This instrument is being deployed within North Sea wind farms.</p><p>Recently, a scanning long-range wind lidar Windcube 200S (Leosphere/Vaisala) has been installed at Cabauw, as part of the Ruisdael Observatory program [2]. The scanning Doppler wind lidars will provide detailed measurements of the wind field, aerosols and clouds around the Cabauw site, in coordination with other instruments, such as the cloud radar.</p><p>[1] Knoop, S., Bosveld, F. C., de Haij, M. J., and Apituley, A.: A 2-year intercomparison of continuous-wave focusing wind lidar and tall mast wind measurements at Cabauw, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 14, 2219–2235, 2021</p><p>[2] https://ruisdael-observatory.nl/</p>


2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 83-86 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. G. Pedersen ◽  
M. Kelly ◽  
S.-E. Gryning ◽  
R. Floors ◽  
E. Batchvarova ◽  
...  

Abstract. Vertical profiles of the horizontal wind speed and of the standard deviation of vertical wind speed from Large Eddy Simulations of a convective atmospheric boundary layer are compared to wind LIDAR measurements up to 1400 m. Fair agreement regarding both types of profiles is observed only when the simulated flow is driven by a both time- and height-dependent geostrophic wind and a time-dependent surface heat flux. This underlines the importance of mesoscale effects when the flow above the atmospheric surface layer is simulated with a computational fluid dynamics model.


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 1313-1331 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaochun Zhai ◽  
Songhua Wu ◽  
Bingyi Liu ◽  
Xiaoquan Song ◽  
Jiaping Yin

Abstract. Shipborne wind observations by a coherent Doppler lidar (CDL) have been conducted to study the structure of the marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL) during the 2014 Yellow Sea campaign. This paper evaluates uncertainties associated with the ship motion and presents the correction methodology regarding lidar velocity measurement based on modified 4-Doppler beam swing (DBS) solution. The errors of calibrated measurement, both for the anchored and the cruising shipborne observations, are comparable to those of ground-based measurements. The comparison between the lidar and radiosonde results in a bias of −0.23 ms−1 and a standard deviation of 0.87 ms−1 for the wind speed measurement, and 2.48, 8.84∘ for the wind direction. The biases of horizontal wind speed and random errors of vertical velocity are also estimated using the error propagation theory and frequency spectrum analysis, respectively. The results show that the biases are mainly related to the measuring error of the ship velocity and lidar pointing error, and the random errors are mainly determined by the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of the lidar backscattering spectrum signal. It allows for the retrieval of vertical wind, based on one measurement, with random error below 0.15 ms−1 for an appropriate SNR threshold and bias below 0.02 ms−1. The combination of the CDL attitude correction system and the accurate motion correction process has the potential of continuous long-term high temporal and spatial resolution measurement for the MABL thermodynamic and turbulence process.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (19) ◽  
pp. 5135
Author(s):  
Tetsuya Kogaki ◽  
Kenichi Sakurai ◽  
Susumu Shimada ◽  
Hirokazu Kawabata ◽  
Yusuke Otake ◽  
...  

Downwind turbines have favorable characteristics such as effective energy capture in up-flow wind conditions over complex terrains. They also have reduced risk of severe accidents in the event of disruptions to electrical networks during strong storms due to the free-yaw effect of downwind turbines. These favorable characteristics have been confirmed by wind-towing tank experiments and computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations. However, these advantages have not been fully demonstrated in field experiments on actual wind farms. In this study—although the final objective was to demonstrate the potential advantages of downwind turbines through field experiments—field measurements were performed using a vertical-profiling light detection and ranging (LiDAR) system on a wind farm with downwind turbines installed in complex terrains. To deduce the horizontal wind speed, vertical-profiling LiDARs assume that the flow of air is uniform in space and time. However, in complex terrains and/or in wind farms where terrain and/or wind turbines cause flow distortion or disturbances in time and space, this assumption is not valid, resulting in erroneous wind speed estimates. The magnitude of this error was evaluated by comparing LiDAR measurements with those obtained using a cup anemometer mounted on a meteorological mast and detailed analysis of line-of-sight wind speeds. A factor that expresses the nonuniformity of wind speed in the horizontal measurement plane of vertical-profiling LiDAR is proposed to estimate the errors in wind speed. The possibility of measuring and evaluating various wind characteristics such as flow inclination angles, turbulence intensities, wind shear and wind veer, which are important for wind turbine design and for wind farm operation is demonstrated. However, additional evidence of actual field measurements on wind farms in areas with complex terrains is required in order to obtain more universal and objective evaluations.


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