scholarly journals A New Statistical–Dynamical Downscaling Procedure Based on EOF Analysis for Regional Time Series Generation

2013 ◽  
Vol 52 (4) ◽  
pp. 935-952 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yosvany Martinez ◽  
Wei Yu ◽  
Hai Lin
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Dynamical Downscaling ◽  
Resource Assessment ◽  
Computational Effort ◽  
Limited Area ◽  
Eof Analysis ◽  
Large Scale Data ◽  
Wind Resource

AbstractA new statistical–dynamical downscaling procedure is developed and then applied to high-resolution (regional) time series generation and wind resource assessment. The statistical module of the new procedure uses empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis for the generation of large-scale atmospheric component patterns. The dominant atmospheric patterns (associated with the EOF modes explaining most of the statistical variance) are then dynamically downscaled or adjusted to high-resolution terrain and surface roughness by using the Global Environmental Multiscale–Limited Area Model (GEM-LAM). Regional time series are constructed using the model outputs. The new method is applied to the Gaspé region of Québec in Canada. The dataset used is the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis of wind, temperature, humidity, and geopotential height during the period 1958–2004. Regional time series of wind speed and temperature are constructed, and a numerical wind atlas of the Gaspé region is generated. The generated time series and the numerical wind atlas are compared with observations at different masts located in the Gaspé Peninsula and are also compared with a numerical wind atlas for the same region generated in Yu et al. The results suggest that the newly developed procedure can be useful to generate regional time series and reasonably accurate numerical wind atlases using large-scale data with much less computational effort than previous techniques.

scholarly journals Continuous high-resolution midlatitude-belt simulations for July–August 2013 with WRF

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 2031-2055 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Schwitalla ◽  
Hans-Stefan Bauer ◽  
Volker Wulfmeyer ◽  
Kirsten Warrach-Sagi
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Temperature Fields ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Limited Area ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Latitude Belt ◽  
Simulated Precipitation ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Increasing computational resources and the demands of impact modelers, stake holders, and society envision seasonal and climate simulations with the convection-permitting resolution. So far such a resolution is only achieved with a limited-area model whose results are impacted by zonal and meridional boundaries. Here, we present the setup of a latitude-belt domain that reduces disturbances originating from the western and eastern boundaries and therefore allows for studying the impact of model resolution and physical parameterization. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model coupled to the NOAH land–surface model was operated during July and August 2013 at two different horizontal resolutions, namely 0.03 (HIRES) and 0.12° (LOWRES). Both simulations were forced by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) operational analysis data at the northern and southern domain boundaries, and the high-resolution Operational Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Ice Analysis (OSTIA) data at the sea surface.The simulations are compared to the operational ECMWF analysis for the representation of large-scale features. To analyze the simulated precipitation, the operational ECMWF forecast, the CPC MORPHing (CMORPH), and the ENSEMBLES gridded observation precipitation data set (E-OBS) were used as references.Analyzing pressure, geopotential height, wind, and temperature fields as well as precipitation revealed (1) a benefit from the higher resolution concerning the reduction of monthly biases, root mean square error, and an improved Pearson skill score, and (2) deficiencies in the physical parameterizations leading to notable biases in distinct regions like the polar Atlantic for the LOWRES simulation, the North Pacific, and Inner Mongolia for both resolutions.In summary, the application of a latitude belt on a convection-permitting resolution shows promising results that are beneficial for future seasonal forecasting.

scholarly journals A Scale-Selective Data Assimilation Approach to Improving Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Forecasts in a Limited-Area Model: A Case Study of Hurricane Felix (2007)

2012 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 124-140 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin Liu ◽  
Lian Xie
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Dynamical Downscaling ◽  
Weather Forecasting ◽  
Forecast Error ◽  
Regional Model ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Limited Area ◽  
Track Forecast ◽  
Global Models

Abstract Accurately forecasting a tropical cyclone’s (TC) track and intensity remains one of the top priorities in weather forecasting. A dynamical downscaling approach based on the scale-selective data assimilation (SSDA) method is applied to demonstrate its effectiveness in TC track and intensity forecasting. The SSDA approach retains the merits of global models in representing large-scale environmental flows and regional models in describing small-scale characteristics. The regional model is driven from the model domain interior by assimilating large-scale flows from global models, as well as from the model lateral boundaries by the conventional sponge zone relaxation. By using Hurricane Felix (2007) as a demonstration case, it is shown that, by assimilating large-scale flows from the Global Forecast System (GFS) forecasts into the regional model, the SSDA experiments perform better than both the original GFS forecasts and the control experiments, in which the regional model is only driven by lateral boundary conditions. The overall mean track forecast error for the SSDA experiments is reduced by over 40% relative to the control experiments, and by about 30% relative to the GFS forecasts, respectively. In terms of TC intensity, benefiting from higher grid resolution that better represents regional and small-scale processes, both the control and SSDA runs outperform the GFS forecasts. The SSDA runs show approximately 14% less overall mean intensity forecast error than do the control runs. It should be noted that, for the Felix case, the advantage of SSDA becomes more evident for forecasts with a lead time longer than 48 h.

scholarly journals Estimating mass-wasting processes in active earth slides – earth flows with time-series of High-Resolution DEMs from photogrammetry and airborne LiDAR

2009 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 433-439 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Corsini ◽  
L. Borgatti ◽  
F. Cervi ◽  
A. Dahne ◽  
F. Ronchetti ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Airborne Lidar ◽  
Mitigation Measures ◽  
Mass Wasting ◽  
Aerial Photos ◽  
Use Of Time ◽  
Elevation Changes ◽  
Earth Flows

Abstract. This paper deals with the use of time-series of High-Resolution Digital Elevation Models (HR DEMs) obtained from photogrammetry and airborne LiDAR coupled with aerial photos, to analyse the magnitude of recently reactivated large scale earth slides – earth flows located in the northern Apennines of Italy. The landslides underwent complete reactivation between 2001 and 2006, causing civil protection emergencies. With the final aim to support hazard assessment and the planning of mitigation measures, high-resolution DEMs are used to identify, quantify and visualize depletion and accumulation in the slope resulting from the reactivation of the mass movements. This information allows to quantify mass wasting, i.e. the amount of landslide material that is wasted during reactivation events due to stream erosion along the slope and at its bottom, resulting in sediment discharge into the local fluvial system, and to assess the total volumetric magnitude of the events. By quantifying and visualising elevation changes at the slope scale, results are also a valuable support for the comprehension of geomorphological processes acting behind the evolution of the analysed landslides.

scholarly journals Automated High-Resolution Time Series Mapping of Mangrove Forests Damaged by Hurricane Irma in Southwest Florida

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 1740
Author(s):  
Matthew J. McCarthy ◽  
Brita Jessen ◽  
Michael J. Barry ◽  
Marissa Figueroa ◽  
Jessica McIntosh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Satellite Imagery ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Detection Methods ◽  
Mangrove Forests ◽  
Wetland Ecosystems ◽  
Southwest Florida ◽  
Hurricane Irma

In September of 2017, Hurricane Irma made landfall within the Rookery Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve of southwest Florida (USA) as a category 3 storm with winds in excess of 200 km h−1. We mapped the extent of the hurricane’s impact on coastal land cover with a seasonal time series of satellite imagery. Very high-resolution (i.e., <5 m pixel) satellite imagery has proven effective to map wetland ecosystems, but challenges in data acquisition and storage, algorithm training, and image processing have prevented large-scale and time-series mapping of these data. We describe our approach to address these issues to evaluate Rookery Bay ecosystem damage and recovery using 91 WorldView-2 satellite images collected between 2010 and 2018 mapped using automated techniques and validated with a field campaign. Land cover was classified seasonally at 2 m resolution (i.e., healthy mangrove, degraded mangrove, upland, soil, and water) with an overall accuracy of 82%. Digital change detection methods show that hurricane-related degradation was 17% of mangrove forest (~5 km2). Approximately 35% (1.7 km2) of this loss recovered one year after Hurricane Irma. The approach completed the mapping approximately 200 times faster than existing methods, illustrating the ease with which regional high-resolution mapping may be accomplished efficiently.

Statistics-based CRM approach via time series segmenting RFM on large scale data

2017 ◽  
Vol 132 ◽  
pp. 21-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meina Song ◽  
Xuejun Zhao ◽  
Haihong E ◽  
Zhonghong Ou
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Large Scale Data ◽  
Scale Data

scholarly journals Online dynamical downscaling of temperature and precipitation within the <i>i</i>LOVECLIM model (version 1.1)

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 453-466
Author(s):  
Aurélien Quiquet ◽  
Didier M. Roche ◽  
Christophe Dumas ◽  
Didier Paillard
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Dynamical Downscaling ◽  
Atmospheric Model ◽  
Scale Model ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Large Scale Model

Abstract. This paper presents the inclusion of an online dynamical downscaling of temperature and precipitation within the model of intermediate complexity iLOVECLIM v1.1. We describe the following methodology to generate temperature and precipitation fields on a 40 km  ×  40 km Cartesian grid of the Northern Hemisphere from the T21 native atmospheric model grid. Our scheme is not grid specific and conserves energy and moisture in the same way as the original climate model. We show that we are able to generate a high-resolution field which presents a spatial variability in better agreement with the observations compared to the standard model. Although the large-scale model biases are not corrected, for selected model parameters, the downscaling can induce a better overall performance compared to the standard version on both the high-resolution grid and on the native grid. Foreseen applications of this new model feature include the improvement of ice sheet model coupling and high-resolution land surface models.

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