scholarly journals Midwinter Suppression of Storm Tracks in an Idealized Zonally Symmetric Setting

2019 ◽  
Vol 77 (1) ◽  
pp. 297-313 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lenka Novak ◽  
Tapio Schneider ◽  
Farid Ait-Chaalal
Keyword(s):  
Storm Track ◽  
Thermal Inertia ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Late Winter ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Tropical Ocean ◽  
Eddy Activity ◽  
Subtropical Jet ◽  
Jet Characteristics ◽  
Midwinter Suppression

Abstract The midwinter suppression of eddy activity in the North Pacific storm track is a phenomenon that has resisted reproduction in idealized models that are initialized independently of the observed atmosphere. Attempts at explaining it have often focused on local mechanisms that depend on zonal asymmetries, such as effects of topography on the mean flow and eddies. Here an idealized aquaplanet GCM is used to demonstrate that a midwinter suppression can also occur in the activity of a statistically zonally symmetric storm track. For a midwinter suppression to occur, it is necessary that parameters, such as the thermal inertia of the upper ocean and the strength of tropical ocean energy transport, are chosen suitably to produce a pronounced seasonal cycle of the subtropical jet characteristics. If the subtropical jet is sufficiently strong and located close to the midlatitude storm track during midwinter, it dominates the upper-level flow and guides eddies equatorward, away from the low-level area of eddy generation. This inhibits the baroclinic interaction between upper and lower levels within the storm track and weakens eddy activity. However, as the subtropical jet continues to move poleward during late winter in the idealized GCM (and unlike what is observed), eddy activity picks up again, showing that the properties of the subtropical jet that give rise to the midwinter suppression are subtle. The idealized GCM simulations provide a framework within which possible mechanisms giving rise to a midwinter suppression of storm tracks can be investigated systematically.

Observed Patterns of Month-to-Month Storm-Track Variability and Their Relationship to the Background Flow*

2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (5) ◽  
pp. 1420-1437 ◽  
Author(s):  
Justin J. Wettstein ◽  
John M. Wallace
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Geopotential Height ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Meridional Wind ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
The North ◽  
Jet Variability ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation

Abstract Month-to-month storm-track variability is investigated via EOF analyses performed on ERA-40 monthly-averaged high-pass filtered daily 850-hPa meridional heat flux and the variances of 300-hPa meridional wind and 500-hPa height. The analysis is performed both in hemispheric and sectoral domains of the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. Patterns characterized as “pulsing” and “latitudinal shifting” of the climatological-mean storm tracks emerge as the leading sectoral patterns of variability. Based on the analysis presented, storm-track variability on the spatial scale of the two Northern Hemisphere sectors appears to be largely, but perhaps not completely, independent. Pulsing and latitudinally shifting storm tracks are accompanied by zonal wind anomalies consistent with eddy-forced accelerations and geopotential height anomalies that project strongly on the dominant patterns of geopotential height variability. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)–Northern Hemisphere annular mode (NAM) is associated with a pulsing of the Atlantic storm track and a meridional displacement of the upper-tropospheric jet exit region, whereas the eastern Atlantic (EA) pattern is associated with a latitudinally shifting storm track and an extension or retraction of the upper-tropospheric jet. Analogous patterns of storm-track and upper-tropospheric jet variability are associated with the western Pacific (WP) and Pacific–North America (PNA) patterns. Wave–mean flow relationships shown here are more clearly defined than in previous studies and are shown to extend through the depth of the troposphere. The Southern Hemisphere annular mode (SAM) is associated with a latitudinally shifting storm track over the South Atlantic and Indian Oceans and a pulsing South Pacific storm track. The patterns of storm-track variability are shown to be related to simple distortions of the climatological-mean upper-tropospheric jet.

scholarly journals An Idealized Nonlinear Model of the Northern Hemisphere Winter Storm Tracks

2006 ◽  
Vol 63 (7) ◽  
pp. 1818-1839 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edmund K. M. Chang
Keyword(s):  
Heat Release ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Iterative Approach ◽  
Latent Heat Release ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Winter Storm ◽  
Climate Anomalies ◽  
Hemisphere Winter ◽  
Northern Hemisphere Winter

Abstract In this paper, a nonlinear dry model, forced by fixed radiative forcing alone, has been constructed to simulate the Northern Hemisphere winter storm tracks. A procedure has been devised to iterate the radiative equilibrium temperature profile such that at the end of the iterations the model climate closely resembles the desired target climate. This iterative approach is applied to simulate the climatological storm tracks in January. It is found that, when the three-dimensional temperature distribution in the model resembles the observed distribution, the model storm tracks are much too weak. It is hypothesized that this is due to the fact that eddy development is suppressed in a dry atmosphere, owing to the lack of latent heat release in the ascending warm air. To obtain storm tracks with realistic amplitudes, the static stability of the target climate is reduced to simulate the enhancement in baroclinic energy conversion due to latent heat release. With this modification, the storm tracks in the model simulation closely resemble those observed except that the strength of the Atlantic storm track is slightly weaker than observed. The model, when used as a forecast model, also gives high-quality forecasts of the evolution of observed eddies. The iterative approach is applied to force the model to simulate climate anomalies associated with ENSO and the interannual variations of the winter Pacific jet stream/storm tracks. The results show that the model not only succeeds in simulating the climatology of storm tracks, but also produces realistic simulations of storm track anomalies when the model climate is forced to resemble observed climate anomalies. An extended run of the control experiment is conducted to generate monthly mean flow and storm track statistics. These statistics are used to build a linear statistical model relating storm track anomalies to mean flow anomalies. This model performs well when used to hindcast observed storm track anomalies based on observed mean flow anomalies, showing that the storm track/mean flow covariability in the model is realistic and that storm track distribution is not sensitive to the exact form of the applied forcings.

scholarly journals Ocean and Atmosphere Storm Tracks: The Role of Eddy Vorticity Forcing

2007 ◽  
Vol 37 (9) ◽  
pp. 2267-2289 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard G. Williams ◽  
Chris Wilson ◽  
Chris W. Hughes
Keyword(s):  
Storm Track ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Ocean Eddies ◽  
Boundary Currents ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Circumpolar Current ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract Signatures of eddy variability and vorticity forcing are diagnosed in the atmosphere and ocean from weather center reanalysis and altimetric data broadly covering the same period, 1992–2002. In the atmosphere, there are localized regions of eddy variability referred to as storm tracks. At the entrance of the storm track the eddies grow, providing a downgradient heat flux and accelerating the mean flow eastward. At the exit and downstream of the storm track, the eddies decay and instead provide a westward acceleration. In the ocean, there are similar regions of enhanced eddy variability along the extension of midlatitude boundary currents and the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. Within these regions of high eddy kinetic energy, there are more localized signals of high Eady growth rate and downgradient eddy heat fluxes. As in the atmosphere, there are localized regions in the Southern Ocean where ocean eddies provide statistically significant vorticity forcing, which acts to accelerate the mean flow eastward, provide torques to shift the jet, or decelerate the mean flow. These regions of significant eddy vorticity forcing are often associated with gaps in the topography, suggesting that the ocean jets are being locally steered by topography. The eddy forcing may also act to assist in the separation of boundary currents, although the diagnostics of this study suggest that this contribution is relatively small when compared with the advection of planetary vorticity by the time-mean flow.

The Statistics and Structure of Subseasonal Midlatitude Variability in NASA GSFC GCMs

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (16) ◽  
pp. 3294-3316 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dennis P. Robinson ◽  
Robert X. Black
Keyword(s):  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Dimensional Structure ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Weather Regimes ◽  
Three Dimensional Structure ◽  
Dynamical Characteristics ◽  
The North ◽  
Synoptic Eddies

Abstract A comprehensive analysis of midlatitude intraseasonal variability in extended integrations of NASA GSFC general circulation models (GCMs) is conducted. This is approached by performing detailed intercomparisons of the representation of the storm tracks and anomalous weather regimes occurring during wintertime in the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP)-type simulations of both the NASA–NCAR and a version of the Aries model used in NASA’s Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Project (NSIPP) model. The model-simulated statistics, three-dimensional structure, and dynamical characteristics of these phenomena are diagnosed and directly compared to parallel observational analyses derived from NCEP–NCAR reanalyses. A qualitatively good representation of the vertical structure of intraseasonal eddy kinetic energy (EKE) is provided by both models with maximum values of EKE occurring near 300 hPa. The main model shortcoming is an underestimation of EKE in the upper troposphere, especially for synoptic eddies in the NSIPP model. Nonetheless, both models provide a reasonable representation of the three-dimensional structure and dynamical characteristics of synoptic eddies. Discrepancies in the storm-track structures simulated by the models include an anomalous local minimum over the eastern Pacific basin. However, both GCMs faithfully reproduce the observed Pacific midwinter storm-track suppression. Interestingly, the NSIPP model also produces a midwinter suppression feature over the Atlantic storm track in association with the anomalously strong upper-level jet stream simulated by NSIPP in this region. The regional distribution of anomalous weather regime events is well simulated by the models. However, substantial structural differences exist between observed and simulated events over the North Pacific region. In comparison to observations, model events are horizontally more isotropic, have stronger westward vertical tilts, and are more strongly driven by baroclinic dynamics. The structure and dynamics of anomalous weather regimes occurring over the North Atlantic region are qualitatively better represented by the models. The authors suggest that model deficiencies in representing the zonally asymmetric climatological-mean flow field (particularly the magnitude and structure of the Pacific and Atlantic jet streams) help contribute to model shortcomings in (i) the strength and seasonal variability of the storm tracks and (ii) dynamical distinctions in the maintenance of large-scale weather regimes.

The Effect of a Strong Zonal Jet Stream on the Temporal Evolution of Baroclinic Eddies

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Or Hadas ◽  
Yohai Kaspi
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Baroclinic Instability ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Jet Stream ◽  
Similar Response ◽  
Jet Streams ◽  
Eddy Activity ◽  
Zonal Jets ◽  
The Pacific

<p>The midlatitude storm tracks are one of the most prominent features of the extratropical climate. Much of our understanding of what controls the storm tracks comes from linear theory of baroclinic instability, which explains generally most of the observed response of storms to the general circulation. One example to where this approach is lacking is the Pacific midwinter minimum, a decrease in the eddy activity over the Pacific storm track during midwinter when baroclinicity is at its peak due to extremely strong zonal jets. A similar response was found recently for the Atlantic storm track<strong>,</strong> in correlation to periods of strong zonal jets. Following on these findings we study the effect of strong zonal jet streams on eddy activity in the midlatitudes. In order to isolate the effect of the jet strength we used several idealized GCM experiments with different jet strengths, and analyze the formed storm track from a Lagrangian perspective by using a storm tracking algorithm. In both the Eulerian analysis and analysis of the tracks a strong reduction of high level eddy activity is prominent, as well as a modest weakening of the low-level activity. The observed response is then further analyzed by studying the connection between the upper and lower wave and how it changes with jet-stream intensity. </p><p> </p>

Simulating the Seasonal Cycle of the Northern Hemisphere Storm Tracks Using Idealized Nonlinear Storm-Track Models

2007 ◽  
Vol 64 (7) ◽  
pp. 2309-2331 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edmund K. M. Chang ◽  
Pablo Zurita-Gotor
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Nonlinear Model ◽  
Seasonal Cycle ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Stationary Wave ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Stationary Waves ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Seasonal Evolution ◽  
Wave Development

Abstract In this study, an idealized nonlinear model is used to investigate whether dry dynamical factors alone are sufficient for explaining the observed seasonal modulation of the Northern Hemisphere storm tracks during the cool season. By construction, the model does an excellent job simulating the seasonal evolution of the climatological stationary waves. Yet even under this realistic mean flow, the seasonal modulation in storm-track amplitude predicted by the model is deficient over both ocean basins. The model exhibits a stronger sensitivity to the mean flow baroclinicity than observed, producing too-large midwinter eddy amplitudes compared to fall and spring. This is the case not only over the Pacific, where the observed midwinter minimum is barely apparent in the model simulations, but also over the Atlantic, where the October/April eddy amplitudes are also too weak when the January amplitude is tuned to be about right. The nonlinear model generally produces stronger eddy amplitude with stronger baroclinicity, even in the presence of concomitant stronger deformation due to the enhanced stationary wave. The same was found to be the case in a simpler quasigeostrophic model, in which the eddy amplitude nearly always increases with baroclinicity, and deformation only limits the maximum eddy amplitude when the baroclinicity is unrealistically weak. Overall, these results suggest that it is unlikely that dry dynamical effects alone, such as deformation, can fully explain the observed Pacific midwinter minimum in eddy amplitude. It is argued that one should take into account the seasonal evolution of the impacts of diabatic heating on baroclinic wave development in order to fully explain the seasonal cycle of the storm tracks. A set of highly idealized experiments that attempts to represent some of the impacts of moist heating is presented in an appendix to suggest that deficiencies in the model-simulated seasonal cycle of both storm tracks may be corrected when these effects, together with observed seasonal changes in mean flow structure, are taken into account.

A New Perspective on Southern Hemisphere Storm Tracks

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (20) ◽  
pp. 4108-4129 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. J. Hoskins ◽  
K. I. Hodges
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
High Latitude ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Life Cycles ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Lower Latitude ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
The Andes ◽  
Subtropical Jet

Abstract A detailed view of Southern Hemisphere storm tracks is obtained based on the application of filtered variance and modern feature-tracking techniques to a wide range of 45-yr European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Re-Analysis (ERA-40) data. It has been checked that the conclusions drawn in this study are valid even if data from only the satellite era are used. The emphasis of the paper is on the winter season, but results for the four seasons are also discussed. Both upper- and lower-tropospheric fields are used. The tracking analysis focuses on systems that last longer than 2 days and are mobile (move more than 1000 km). Many of the results support previous ideas about the storm tracks, but some new insights are also obtained. In the summer there is a rather circular, strong, deep high-latitude storm track. In winter the high-latitude storm track is more asymmetric with a spiral from the Atlantic and Indian Oceans in toward Antarctica and a subtropical jet–related lower-latitude storm track over the Pacific, again tending to spiral poleward. At all times of the year, maximum storm activity in the higher-latitude storm track is in the Atlantic and Indian Ocean regions. In the winter upper troposphere, the relative importance of, and interplay between, the subtropical and subpolar storm tracks is discussed. The genesis, lysis, and growth rate of lower-tropospheric winter cyclones together lead to a vivid picture of their behavior that is summarized as a set of overlapping plates, each composed of cyclone life cycles. Systems in each plate appear to feed the genesis in the next plate through downstream development in the upper-troposphere spiral storm track. In the lee of the Andes in South America, there is cyclogenesis associated with the subtropical jet and also, poleward of this, cyclogenesis largely associated with system decay on the upslope and regeneration on the downslope. The genesis and lysis of cyclones and anticyclones have a definite spatial relationship with each other and with the Andes. At 500 hPa, their relative longitudinal positions are consistent with vortex-stretching ideas for simple flow over a large-scale mountain. Cyclonic systems near Antarctica have generally spiraled in from lower latitudes. However, cyclogenesis associated with mobile cyclones occurs around the Antarctic coast with an interesting genesis maximum over the sea ice near 150°E. The South Pacific storm track emerges clearly from the tracking as a coherent deep feature spiraling from Australia to southern South America. A feature of the summer season is the genesis of eastward-moving cyclonic systems near the tropic of Capricorn off Brazil, in the central Pacific and, to a lesser extent, off Madagascar, followed by movement along the southwest flanks of the subtropical anticyclones and contribution to the “convergence zone” cloud bands seen in these regions.

scholarly journals Diabatic and Orographic Forcing of Northern Winter Stationary Waves and Storm Tracks

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 670-688 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edmund K. M. Chang
Keyword(s):  
Storm Track ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Minor Role ◽  
Stationary Waves ◽  
Global Circulation Model ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Eddy Fluxes

Abstract In this study, a dry global circulation model is used to examine the contributions made by orographic and diabatic forcings in shaping the zonal asymmetries in the earth’s Northern Hemisphere (NH) winter climate. By design, the model mean flow is forced to bear a close resemblance to the observed zonal mean and stationary waves. The model also provides a decent simulation of the storm tracks. In particular, the maxima over the Pacific and Atlantic, and minima over Asia and North America, are fairly well simulated. The model also successfully simulates the observation that the Atlantic storm track is stronger than the Pacific storm track, despite stronger baroclinicity over the Pacific. Sensitivity experiments are performed by imposing and removing various parts of the total forcings. In terms of the NH winter stationary waves in the upper troposphere, results of this study are largely consistent with previous studies. Diabatic forcings explain most of the modeled stationary waves, with orographic forcings playing only a secondary role, and feedbacks due to eddy fluxes probably play only minor roles in most cases. Nevertheless, results of this study suggest that eddy fluxes may be important in modifying the response to orographic forcings in the absence of zonal asymmetries in diabatic heating. On the other hand, unlike the conclusion reached by previous studies, it is argued that the convergence of eddy momentum fluxes is important in forcing the oceanic lows in the lower troposphere, in agreement with one’s synoptic intuition. Regarding the NH winter storm-track distribution, results of this study suggest that NH extratropical heating is the most important forcing. Zonal asymmetries in NH extratropical heating act to force the Pacific storm track to shift equatorward and the Atlantic storm track to shift poleward, attain a southwest–northeast tilt, and intensify. It appears to be the main forcing responsible for explaining why the Atlantic storm track is stronger than the Pacific storm track. Tibet and the Rockies are also important, mainly in suppressing the storm tracks over the continents, forcing a clearer separation between the two storm tracks. In contrast, asymmetries in tropical heating appear to play only a minor role in forcing the model storm-track distribution.

scholarly journals The Dynamics of Southern Ocean Storm Tracks

2015 ◽  
Vol 45 (3) ◽  
pp. 884-903 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher C. Chapman ◽  
Andrew McC. Hogg ◽  
Andrew E. Kiss ◽  
Stephen R. Rintoul
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Bottom Topography ◽  
Mean Field ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Track Length ◽  
Energy Budgets ◽  
Mean Flow

AbstractThe mechanisms that initiate and maintain oceanic “storm tracks” (regions of anomalously high eddy kinetic energy) are studied in a wind-driven, isopycnal, primitive equation model with idealized bottom topography. Storm tracks are found downstream of the topography in regions strongly influenced by a large-scale stationary meander that is generated by the interaction between the background mean flow and the topography. In oceanic storm tracks the length scale of the stationary meander differs from that of the transient eddies, a point of distinction from the atmospheric storm tracks. When the zonal length and height of the topography are varied, the storm-track intensity is largely unchanged and the downstream storm-track length varies only weakly. The dynamics of the storm track in this idealized configuration are investigated using a wave activity flux (related to the Eliassen–Palm flux and eddy energy budgets). It is found that vertical fluxes of wave activity (which correspond to eddy growth by baroclinic conversion) are localized to the region influenced by the standing meander. Farther downstream, organized horizontal wave activity fluxes (which indicate eddy energy fluxes) are found. A mechanism for the development of oceanic storm tracks is proposed: the standing meander initiates localized conversion of energy from the mean field to the eddy field, while the storm track develops downstream of the initial baroclinic growth through the ageostrophic flux of Montgomery potential. Finally, the implications of this analysis for the parameterization and prediction of storm tracks in ocean models are discussed.

scholarly journals The Role of Stationary Eddies in Shaping Midlatitude Storm Tracks

2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (8) ◽  
pp. 2596-2613 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yohai Kaspi ◽  
Tapio Schneider
Keyword(s):  
Energy Transport ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Static Stability ◽  
Surface Heating ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Wavelength Scale ◽  
The Mean ◽  
And Control

Abstract Transient and stationary eddies shape the extratropical climate through their transport of heat, moisture, and momentum. In the zonal mean, the transports by transient eddies dominate over those by stationary eddies, but this is not necessarily the case locally. In particular, in storm-track entrance and exit regions during winter, stationary eddies and their interactions with the mean flow dominate the atmospheric energy transport. Here it is shown that stationary eddies can shape storm tracks and control where they terminate by modifying local baroclinicity. Simulations with an idealized aquaplanet GCM show that zonally localized surface heating alone (e.g., ocean heat flux convergence) gives rise to storm tracks, which have a well-defined length scale that is similar to that of Earth's storm tracks. The storm tracks terminate downstream of the surface heating even in the absence of continents, at a distance controlled by the stationary Rossby wavelength scale. Stationary eddies play a dual role: within about half a Rossby wavelength downstream of the heating region, stationary eddy energy fluxes increase the baroclinicity and therefore contribute to energizing the storm track; farther downstream, enhanced poleward and upward energy transport by stationary eddies reduces the baroclinicity by reducing the meridional temperature gradients and enhancing the static stability. Transports both of sensible and latent heat (water vapor) play important roles in determining where storm tracks terminate.

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