A New Perspective on Southern Hemisphere Storm Tracks

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (20) ◽  
pp. 4108-4129 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. J. Hoskins ◽  
K. I. Hodges
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
High Latitude ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Life Cycles ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Lower Latitude ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
The Andes ◽  
Subtropical Jet

Abstract A detailed view of Southern Hemisphere storm tracks is obtained based on the application of filtered variance and modern feature-tracking techniques to a wide range of 45-yr European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Re-Analysis (ERA-40) data. It has been checked that the conclusions drawn in this study are valid even if data from only the satellite era are used. The emphasis of the paper is on the winter season, but results for the four seasons are also discussed. Both upper- and lower-tropospheric fields are used. The tracking analysis focuses on systems that last longer than 2 days and are mobile (move more than 1000 km). Many of the results support previous ideas about the storm tracks, but some new insights are also obtained. In the summer there is a rather circular, strong, deep high-latitude storm track. In winter the high-latitude storm track is more asymmetric with a spiral from the Atlantic and Indian Oceans in toward Antarctica and a subtropical jet–related lower-latitude storm track over the Pacific, again tending to spiral poleward. At all times of the year, maximum storm activity in the higher-latitude storm track is in the Atlantic and Indian Ocean regions. In the winter upper troposphere, the relative importance of, and interplay between, the subtropical and subpolar storm tracks is discussed. The genesis, lysis, and growth rate of lower-tropospheric winter cyclones together lead to a vivid picture of their behavior that is summarized as a set of overlapping plates, each composed of cyclone life cycles. Systems in each plate appear to feed the genesis in the next plate through downstream development in the upper-troposphere spiral storm track. In the lee of the Andes in South America, there is cyclogenesis associated with the subtropical jet and also, poleward of this, cyclogenesis largely associated with system decay on the upslope and regeneration on the downslope. The genesis and lysis of cyclones and anticyclones have a definite spatial relationship with each other and with the Andes. At 500 hPa, their relative longitudinal positions are consistent with vortex-stretching ideas for simple flow over a large-scale mountain. Cyclonic systems near Antarctica have generally spiraled in from lower latitudes. However, cyclogenesis associated with mobile cyclones occurs around the Antarctic coast with an interesting genesis maximum over the sea ice near 150°E. The South Pacific storm track emerges clearly from the tracking as a coherent deep feature spiraling from Australia to southern South America. A feature of the summer season is the genesis of eastward-moving cyclonic systems near the tropic of Capricorn off Brazil, in the central Pacific and, to a lesser extent, off Madagascar, followed by movement along the southwest flanks of the subtropical anticyclones and contribution to the “convergence zone” cloud bands seen in these regions.

An Assessment of ECMWF and NCEP–NCAR Reanalyses in the Southern Hemisphere at the End of the Presatellite Era: Results from the EOLE Experiment (1971–72)

2006 ◽  
Vol 134 (11) ◽  
pp. 3367-3383 ◽  
Author(s):  
Albert Hertzog ◽  
Claude Basdevant ◽  
François Vial
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
Subtropical Jet ◽  
Observation Network ◽  
Medium Range ◽  
Standard Deviations ◽  
Environmental Prediction

Abstract This article estimates the biases and standard deviations of the 40-yr European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Re-Analysis (ERA-40) and the 50-yr National Centers for Environmental Prediction–National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP–NCAR) Reanalysis (NN50) in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere in 1971–72. These estimates are obtained by comparing the reanalyzed temperatures and winds with EOLE observations, a dataset collected during 480 superpressure-ballon flights in the Southern Hemisphere (SH). Dedicated algorithms have been developped to control the quality of this dataset and a stringent selection has been performed on the observations. None of the atmospheric centers has assimilated the EOLE dataset, which is therefore fully independent from the reanalyses. It is furthermore argued that the statistics obtained in this study at the end of the presatellite era may be representative of the reanalysis accuracy since 1957. The results of these comparisons indicate that NN50 tends to be a few degrees colder than the observations in the SH subpolar latitudes, while ERA-40 is less hit by this cold-pole issue. Both reanalyses, on the other hand, are found to be warmer than the observations by about 1 K in the subtropics. In contrast, the wind comparisons only exhibit nonsignificant or small reanalysis biases, even though the reanalyzed subtropical jet is slightly displaced equatorward with respect to the observations. The ability of reanalyses to capture the atmospheric synoptic-scale variability in the upper troposphere is assessed by computing the standard deviations of the reanalysis minus observation differences. The ERA-40 and NN50 standard deviations show a maximum (i.e., a poorer reanalysis accuracy) in the SH storm track. However, ERA-40 standard deviations are found to be much larger than NN50 standard deviations. The standard deviations also exhibit a marked decrease above the continents, stressing the heterogeneity of the atmospheric observation network during the presatellite era. Finally, in contrast with previous studies, the reanalysis accuracy does not appear to be better during summer than during winter.

Temperate Forests of the Southern Andean Region

2007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas T. Veblen
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Boreal Forests ◽  
Temperate Forests ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Andean Region ◽  
Southern South America ◽  
The Andes ◽  
Evergreen Conifers

Although most of the continent of South America is characterized by tropical vegetation, south of the tropic of Capricorn there is a full range of temperate-latitude vegetation types including Mediterranean-type sclerophyll shrublands, grasslands, steppe, xeric woodlands, deciduous forests, and temperate rain forests. Southward along the west coast of South America the vast Atacama desert gives way to the Mediterranean-type shrublands and woodlands of central Chile, and then to increasingly wet forests all the way to Tierra del Fuego at 55°S. To the east of the Andes, these forests are bordered by the vast Patagonian steppe of bunch grasses and short shrubs. The focus of this chapter is on the region of temperate forests occurring along the western side of the southernmost part of South America, south of 33°S. The forests of the southern Andean region, including the coastal mountains as well as the Andes, are presently surrounded by physiognomically and taxonomically distinct vegetation types and have long been isolated from other forest regions. Although small in comparison with the extent of temperate forests of the Northern Hemisphere, this region is one of the largest areas of temperate forest in the Southern Hemisphere and is rich in endemic species. For readers familiar with temperate forests of the Northern Hemisphere, it is difficult to place the temper temperate forests of southern South America into a comparable ecological framework owing both to important differences in the histories of the biotas and to contrasts between the broad climatic patterns of the two hemispheres. There is no forest biome in the Southern Hemisphere that is comparable to the boreal forests of the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. The boreal forests of the latter are dominated by evergreen conifers of needle-leaved trees, mostly in the Pinaceae family, and occur in an extremely continental climate. In contrast, at high latitudes in southern South America, forests are dominated mostly by broadleaved trees such as the southern beech genus (Nothofagus). Evergreen conifers with needle or scaleleaves (from families other than the Pinaceae) are a relatively minor component of these forests.

scholarly journals Storm Tracks and Climate Change

2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (15) ◽  
pp. 3518-3543 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lennart Bengtsson ◽  
Kevin I. Hodges ◽  
Erich Roeckner
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Eastern Pacific ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Atlantic Sector ◽  
Poleward Shift

Abstract Extratropical and tropical transient storm tracks are investigated from the perspective of feature tracking in the ECHAM5 coupled climate model for the current and a future climate scenario. The atmosphere-only part of the model, forced by observed boundary conditions, produces results that agree well with analyses from the 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-40), including the distribution of storms as a function of maximum intensity. This provides the authors with confidence in the use of the model for the climate change experiments. The statistical distribution of storm intensities is virtually preserved under climate change using the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1B scenario until the end of this century. There are no indications in this study of more intense storms in the future climate, either in the Tropics or extratropics, but rather a minor reduction in the number of weaker storms. However, significant changes occur on a regional basis in the location and intensity of storm tracks. There is a clear poleward shift in the Southern Hemisphere with consequences of reduced precipitation for several areas, including southern Australia. Changes in the Northern Hemisphere are less distinct, but there are also indications of a poleward shift, a weakening of the Mediterranean storm track, and a strengthening of the storm track north of the British Isles. The tropical storm tracks undergo considerable changes including a weakening in the Atlantic sector and a strengthening and equatorward shift in the eastern Pacific. It is suggested that some of the changes, in particular the tropical ones, are due to an SST warming maximum in the eastern Pacific. The shift in the extratropical storm tracks is shown to be associated with changes in the zonal SST gradient in particular for the Southern Hemisphere.

scholarly journals Feature-Based Jet Variability in the Upper Troposphere

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (16) ◽  
pp. 6849-6871 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clemens Spensberger ◽  
Thomas Spengler
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Ocean Basin ◽  
The South ◽  
South Indian Ocean ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
South Indian ◽  
Jet Variability

AbstractJets in the upper troposphere constitute a cornerstone of both synoptic meteorology and climate dynamics, providing a direct link between weather and midlatitude climate variability. Conventionally, jet variability is often inferred indirectly through the variability of geopotential or sea level pressure. As recent findings pointed to physical discrepancies of this interpretation for the Southern Hemisphere, this study presents a global overview of jet variability based on automated jet detections in the upper troposphere. Consistent with previous studies, most ocean basins are dominated by variability patterns comprising either a latitudinal shift of the jet or a so-called pulsing, a broadening/narrowing of the jet distribution without a change in the mean position. Whereas previous studies generally associate a mode of storm track variability with either shifting or pulsing, jet-based variability patterns frequently represent a transition from shifting to pulsing, or vice versa, across the respective ocean basin. In the Northern Hemisphere, jet variability is consistent with geopotential variability, confirming earlier analyses. In the Southern Hemisphere, however, the variability of geopotential and jets often indicates different modes of variability. Notable exceptions are the consistent dominant modes of jet and geopotential variability in the South Pacific and, to a lesser extent, the south Indian Ocean during winter, as well as the dominant modes in the South Atlantic and south Indian Ocean during summer. Finally, tropical variability is shown to modulate the jet distribution in the Northern Hemisphere, which is in line with previous results. The response in the Southern Hemispheric, however, is shown to be markedly different.

scholarly journals Eastern Patagonia Seasonal Precipitation: Influence of Southern Hemisphere Circulation and Links with Subtropical South American Precipitation

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (19) ◽  
pp. 6781-6795 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ana Laura Berman ◽  
Gabriel Silvestri ◽  
Rosa Compagnucci
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
South American ◽  
Seasonal Precipitation ◽  
The Andes ◽  
Four Seasons ◽  
Westerly Flow ◽  
Continental Area ◽  
Frontal Systems

Abstract Some aspects of the seasonal precipitation over eastern Patagonia, the southernmost area of South America east of the Andes Cordillera, are examined in this paper. Results indicate that the central-north areas, the southern continental region, and the southernmost islands are three independent regions of seasonal precipitation, and that each of them is associated with specific patterns of atmospheric circulation. Precipitation over the central-north region is significantly related to the precipitation over a wide area of southern South America east of the Andes during the four seasons. Enhanced (reduced) precipitation over this area is associated with weakened (intensified) westerly flow in the region. Precipitation over the southern continental area has a close connection with the dipolar pattern of precipitation over subtropical South America during spring, summer, and autumn. The anomalies of atmospheric circulation at low and upper levels associated with the subtropical dipole are also able to modulate the intensity of the westerlies over the south of eastern Patagonia, affecting the regional precipitation. Precipitation over the islands of the southernmost part of eastern Patagonia is connected with subtropical precipitation in summer and winter. The activity of frontal systems associated with migratory perturbations moving to the east along the Southern Hemisphere storm tracks modulates the variability of seasonal precipitation over this region.

scholarly journals Sensitivity analysis of the potential impact of discrepancies in stratosphere–troposphere exchange on inferred sources and sinks of CO<sub>2</sub>

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (20) ◽  
pp. 11773-11788 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Deng ◽  
D. B. A. Jones ◽  
T. W. Walker ◽  
M. Keller ◽  
K. W. Bowman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
High Latitude ◽  
Lower Stratosphere ◽  
Environmental Research ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Model Errors ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
Tropical Asia ◽  
Sources And Sinks ◽  
Tropical South America

Abstract. The upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) represents a transition region between the more dynamically active troposphere and more stably stratified stratosphere. The region is characterized by strong gradients in the distribution of long-lived tracers, whose representation in models is sensitive to discrepancies in transport. We evaluate the GEOS-Chem model in the UTLS using carbon dioxide (CO2) and ozone (O3) observations from the HIAPER (The High-Performance Instrumented Airborne Platform for Environmental Research) Pole-to-Pole Observations (HIPPO) campaign in March 2010. GEOS-Chem CO2/O3 correlation suggests that there is a discrepancy in mixing across the tropopause in the model, which results in an overestimate of CO2 and an underestimate of O3 in the Arctic lower stratosphere. We assimilate stratospheric O3 data from the Optical Spectrograph and InfraRed Imager System (OSIRIS) and use the assimilated O3 fields together with the HIPPO CO2/O3 correlations to obtain an adjustment to the modeled CO2 profile in the Arctic UTLS (primarily between the 320 and 360 K isentropic surfaces). The HIPPO-derived adjustment corresponds to a sink of 0.60 Pg C for March–August 2010 in the Arctic. Imposing this adjustment results in a reduction in the CO2 sinks inferred from GOSAT observations for temperate North America, Europe, and tropical Asia of 19, 13, and 49 %, respectively. Conversely, the inversion increased the source of CO2 from tropical South America by 23 %. We find that the model also underestimates CO2 in the upper tropical and subtropical troposphere. Correcting for the underestimate in the model relative to HIPPO in the tropical upper troposphere leads to a reduction in the source from tropical South America by 77 %, and produces an estimated sink for tropical Asia that is only 19 % larger than the standard inversion (without the imposed source and sink). Globally, the inversion with the Arctic and tropical adjustment produces a sink of −6.64 Pg C, which is consistent with the estimate of −6.65 Pg C in the standard inversion. However, the standard inversion produces a stronger northern land sink by 0.98 Pg C to account for the CO2 overestimate in the high-latitude UTLS, suggesting that this UTLS discrepancy can impact the latitudinal distribution of the inferred sources and sinks. We find that doubling the model resolution from 4° × 5° to 2° × 2.5° enhances the CO2 vertical gradient in the high-latitude UTLS, and reduces the overestimate in CO2 in the extratropical lower stratosphere. Our results illustrate that discrepancies in the CO2 distribution in the UTLS can affect CO2 flux inversions and suggest the need for more careful evaluation of model errors in the UTLS.

scholarly journals Ekman Pumping and the Energetics of the Southern Hemisphere Eddy Life Cycle

2014 ◽  
Vol 71 (8) ◽  
pp. 2944-2961 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cory Baggett ◽  
Sukyoung Lee
Keyword(s):  
Life Cycle ◽  
Kinetic Energy ◽  
Potential Energy ◽  
Energy Conversion ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Life Cycles ◽  
Eddy Kinetic Energy ◽  
Ekman Pumping ◽  
Available Potential Energy

Abstract In the framework of the Lorenz energy cycle, the climatological and eddy life cycle characteristics of the generation of eddy available potential energy through Ekman pumping (EEPE) are evaluated using Interim European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Re-Analysis (ERA-Interim) data (1979–2011). EEPE exhibits an annual cycle that is maximized during a given hemisphere’s winter, with maximum values in the midtroposphere of the midlatitudes. Spectral analysis of the Southern Hemisphere storm track reveals that positive EEPE is associated with an anomalously small vertical phase tilt. A composite analysis of the Southern Hemisphere eddy life cycle reveals a maximum in EEPE that occurs after the peak eddy amplitude. Eddy life cycles during winter with large values of EEPE have higher values of eddy available potential energy and eddy kinetic energy than life cycles with small EEPE. However, baroclinic energy conversion remains unenhanced in life cycles with large values of EEPE. The lack of enhancement of baroclinic conversion is related to the small vertical phase tilt associated with positive EEPE. Instead, barotropic energy conversion is muted, and it is this muted barotropic decay that results in an amplification of eddy kinetic energy. There is no evidence of reflecting critical latitudes playing a role in this reduction of barotropic decay, as found in previous modeling studies. Rather, during Southern Hemisphere winter, this reduction coincides with the presence of a turning latitude on the equatorward side of the storm track.

scholarly journals Midwinter Suppression of Storm Tracks in an Idealized Zonally Symmetric Setting

2019 ◽  
Vol 77 (1) ◽  
pp. 297-313 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lenka Novak ◽  
Tapio Schneider ◽  
Farid Ait-Chaalal
Keyword(s):  
Storm Track ◽  
Thermal Inertia ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Late Winter ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Tropical Ocean ◽  
Eddy Activity ◽  
Subtropical Jet ◽  
Jet Characteristics ◽  
Midwinter Suppression

Abstract The midwinter suppression of eddy activity in the North Pacific storm track is a phenomenon that has resisted reproduction in idealized models that are initialized independently of the observed atmosphere. Attempts at explaining it have often focused on local mechanisms that depend on zonal asymmetries, such as effects of topography on the mean flow and eddies. Here an idealized aquaplanet GCM is used to demonstrate that a midwinter suppression can also occur in the activity of a statistically zonally symmetric storm track. For a midwinter suppression to occur, it is necessary that parameters, such as the thermal inertia of the upper ocean and the strength of tropical ocean energy transport, are chosen suitably to produce a pronounced seasonal cycle of the subtropical jet characteristics. If the subtropical jet is sufficiently strong and located close to the midlatitude storm track during midwinter, it dominates the upper-level flow and guides eddies equatorward, away from the low-level area of eddy generation. This inhibits the baroclinic interaction between upper and lower levels within the storm track and weakens eddy activity. However, as the subtropical jet continues to move poleward during late winter in the idealized GCM (and unlike what is observed), eddy activity picks up again, showing that the properties of the subtropical jet that give rise to the midwinter suppression are subtle. The idealized GCM simulations provide a framework within which possible mechanisms giving rise to a midwinter suppression of storm tracks can be investigated systematically.

scholarly journals Seasonal Dependence of Coupling between Storm Tracks and Sea Surface Temperature in the Southern Hemisphere Midlatitudes: A Statistical Assessment

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (10) ◽  
pp. 4055-4074 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Zhang ◽  
Bolan Gan ◽  
Lixin Wu ◽  
Wenju Cai ◽  
Hao Ma
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
South Atlantic ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Seasonal Dependence ◽  
Sst Anomalies ◽  
Southern Oceans

Two-way coupling between sea surface temperature (SST) variations in the midlatitude southern oceans and changes of synoptic-scale (2–8 day) eddy activities in the lower and upper troposphere throughout the year is investigated based on lagged maximum covariance analysis using reanalysis datasets from 1951 to 2000. Results show a strong seasonal dependence of the coupling, as characterized by the most prominent one in austral midsummer (January). On one hand, SST variations in austral late spring (primarily October) are likely to influence storm tracks in the following January. That is, significant warm SST anomalies in the western midlatitude areas of South Atlantic and south Indian Ocean could result in the systematic strengthening of the low-level and upper-level eddy activities, which is presumably attributed to the coherent intensification of the SST front and the lower-tropospheric baroclinicity. Particularly, interannual variability (a spectral peak at 4 yr) of SST in the western midlatitude South Atlantic in October could play a predominant role in driving the corresponding variability of the Southern Hemisphere storm tracks three months later. The timing of the discernible response of storm tracks is also discussed based on the preliminary results of sensitivity experiments. On the other hand, the strengthened eddy activities in January continue to induce the dipolelike patterns of SST anomalies in the midlatitude southern oceans. Those SST response patterns are, to the first order, determined by changes of the net surface heat flux. The anomalous Ekman advections in part driven by the storm-track changes also contribute to SST anomalies in the southern subtropical South Atlantic and the western midlatitude South Pacific.

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