Downward Wave Propagation on the Polar Vortex

2005 ◽  
Vol 62 (9) ◽  
pp. 3382-3395 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. K. Scott ◽  
D. G. Dritschel
Keyword(s):  
Wave Propagation ◽  
Differential Rotation ◽  
Potential Vorticity ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Downward Influence ◽  
Downward Propagation ◽  
Propagation Of Waves

Abstract This paper considers the propagation of waves on the edge of a stratospheric polar vortex, represented by a three-dimensional patch of uniform potential vorticity in a compressible quasigeostrophic system. Waves are initialized by perturbing the vortex from axisymmetry in the center of the vortex, and their subsequent upward and downward propagation is measured in terms of a nonlinear, pseudomomentum-based wave activity. Under conditions typical of the winter stratosphere, the dominant direction of wave propagation is downward, and wave activity accumulates in the lower vortex levels. The reason for the preferred downward propagation arises from a recent result of Scott and Dritschel, which showed that the three-dimensional Green’s function in the compressible system contains an anisotropy that causes a general differential rotation in a finite volume vortex. The sense of the differential rotation is to stabilize the upper vortex and destabilize the lower vortex. This mechanism is particularly interesting in view of recent interest in the downward influence of the stratosphere on the troposphere and also provides a possible conservative, balanced explanation of the formation of the robust dome plus annulus potential vorticity structure observed in the upper stratosphere.

scholarly journals Dynamical Response to the QBO in the Northern Winter Stratosphere: Signatures in Wave Forcing and Eddy Fluxes of Potential Vorticity

2015 ◽  
Vol 72 (12) ◽  
pp. 4487-4507 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ian P. White ◽  
Hua Lu ◽  
Nicholas J. Mitchell ◽  
Tony Phillips
Keyword(s):  
Wave Propagation ◽  
Potential Vorticity ◽  
Meridional Circulation ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Wave Growth ◽  
Subtropical Jet

Abstract Wave–mean flow interactions associated with the Holton–Tan effect (HTE), whereby the tropical quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) modulates the Northern Hemisphere wintertime stratospheric polar vortex, are studied using the ERA-Interim dataset. Significant evidence of the HTE in isentropic coordinates is found, with a weaker and warmer polar vortex present when the lower-stratospheric QBO is in its easterly phase (QBOe). For the first time, the authors quantify the QBO modulation of wave propagation, wave–mean flow interaction, and wave decay/growth via a calculation of potential vorticity (PV)-based measures, the zonal-mean momentum budget, and up-/downgradient eddy PV fluxes. The effect of the tropospheric subtropical jet on QBO modulation of the wave activity is also investigated. In the subtropical-to-midlatitude lower stratosphere, QBOe is associated with an enhanced upward flux of wave activity, and corresponding wave convergence and wave growth, which leads to a stronger poleward zonal-mean meridional circulation and consequently a warmer polar region. In the middle stratosphere, QBOe is associated with increased poleward wave propagation, leading to enhanced wave convergence and in situ wave growth at high latitudes and contributing to the weaker polar vortex. In agreement with recent studies, the results suggest that the critical-line effect cannot fully account for these wave anomalies associated with the HTE. Instead, it is suggestive of a new, additional mechanism that hinges on the QBO-induced meridional circulation effect on the latitudinal positioning of the subtropical jet. Under QBOe, the QBO-induced meridional circulation causes a poleward shift of the subtropical jet, encouraging more waves to propagate into the stratosphere at midlatitudes.

scholarly journals Seasonal prediction of the boreal winter stratosphere

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alice Portal ◽  
Paolo Ruggieri ◽  
Froila M. Palmeiro ◽  
Javier García-Serrano ◽  
Daniela I. V. Domeisen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Seasonal Prediction ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Eddy Heat Flux ◽  
Prediction Systems ◽  
Model Database

AbstractThe predictability of the Northern Hemisphere stratosphere and its underlying dynamics are investigated in five state-of-the-art seasonal prediction systems from the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) multi-model database. Special attention is devoted to the connection between the stratospheric polar vortex (SPV) and lower-stratosphere wave activity (LSWA). We find that in winter (December to February) dynamical forecasts initialised on the first of November are considerably more skilful than empirical forecasts based on October anomalies. Moreover, the coupling of the SPV with mid-latitude LSWA (i.e., meridional eddy heat flux) is generally well reproduced by the forecast systems, allowing for the identification of a robust link between the predictability of wave activity above the tropopause and the SPV skill. Our results highlight the importance of November-to-February LSWA, in particular in the Eurasian sector, for forecasts of the winter stratosphere. Finally, the role of potential sources of seasonal stratospheric predictability is considered: we find that the C3S multi-model overestimates the stratospheric response to El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and underestimates the influence of the Quasi–Biennial Oscillation (QBO).

scholarly journals Bifurcation of potential vorticity gradients across the Southern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (11) ◽  
pp. 8065-8077 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan Conway ◽  
Greg Bodeker ◽  
Chris Cameron
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Potential Vorticity ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Trace Gas ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Distinct Structure ◽  
Barrier Region ◽  
Westerly Winds ◽  
Antarctic Continent ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. The wintertime stratospheric westerly winds circling the Antarctic continent, also known as the Southern Hemisphere polar vortex, create a barrier to mixing of air between middle and high latitudes. This dynamical isolation has important consequences for export of ozone-depleted air from the Antarctic stratosphere to lower latitudes. The prevailing view of this dynamical barrier has been an annulus compromising steep gradients of potential vorticity (PV) that create a single semi-permeable barrier to mixing. Analyses presented here show that this barrier often displays a bifurcated structure where a double-walled barrier exists. The bifurcated structure manifests as enhanced gradients of PV at two distinct latitudes – usually on the inside and outside flanks of the region of highest wind speed. Metrics that quantify the bifurcated nature of the vortex have been developed and their variation in space and time has been analysed. At most isentropic levels between 395 and 850 K, bifurcation is strongest in mid-winter and decreases dramatically during spring. From August onwards a distinct structure emerges, where elevated bifurcation remains between 475 and 600 K, and a mostly single-walled barrier occurs at other levels. While bifurcation at a given level evolves from month to month, and does not always persist through a season, interannual variations in the strength of bifurcation display coherence across multiple levels in any given month. Accounting for bifurcation allows the region of reduced mixing to be better characterised. These results suggest that improved understanding of cross-vortex mixing requires consideration of the polar vortex not as a single mixing barrier but as a barrier with internal structure that is likely to manifest as more complex gradients in trace gas concentrations across the vortex barrier region.

scholarly journals A Formulation of Unified Three-Dimensional Wave Activity Flux of Inertia–Gravity Waves and Rossby Waves

2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (6) ◽  
pp. 1603-1615 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takenari Kinoshita ◽  
Kaoru Sato
Keyword(s):  
Wave Propagation ◽  
Gravity Waves ◽  
Rossby Waves ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Wave Activity Flux ◽  
Inertia Gravity Waves ◽  
Dimensional Wave

Abstract A companion paper formulates the three-dimensional wave activity flux (3D-flux-M) whose divergence corresponds to the wave forcing on the primitive equations. However, unlike the two-dimensional wave activity flux, 3D-flux-M does not accurately describe the magnitude and direction of wave propagation. In this study, the authors formulate a modification of 3D-flux-M (3D-flux-W) to describe this propagation using small-amplitude theory for a slowly varying time-mean flow. A unified dispersion relation for inertia–gravity waves and Rossby waves is also derived and used to relate 3D-flux-W to the group velocity. It is shown that 3D-flux-W and the modified wave activity density agree with those for inertia–gravity waves under the constant Coriolis parameter assumption and those for Rossby waves under the small Rossby number assumption. To compare 3D-flux-M with 3D-flux-W, an analysis of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Interim Re-Analysis (ERA-Interim) data is performed focusing on wave disturbances in the storm tracks during April. While the divergence of 3D-flux-M is in good agreement with the meridional component of the 3D residual mean flow associated with disturbances, the 3D-flux-W divergence shows slight differences in the upstream and downstream regions of the storm tracks. Further, the 3D-flux-W magnitude and direction are in good agreement with those derived by R. A. Plumb, who describes Rossby wave propagation. However, 3D-flux-M is different from Plumb’s flux in the vicinity of the storm tracks. These results suggest that different fluxes (both 3D-flux-W and 3D-flux-M) are needed to describe wave propagation and wave–mean flow interaction in the 3D formulation.

scholarly journals Predictions of the boreal winter stratosphere with the C3S multi-model seasonal forecast system

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alice Portal ◽  
Paolo Ruggieri ◽  
Froila M. Palmeiro ◽  
Javier Garcı́a-Serrano ◽  
Daniela I. V. Domeisen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Seasonal Prediction ◽  
Seasonal Forecast ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Seasonal Forecasts ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Prediction Systems

<p>As a result of the recent progress in the performance of seasonal prediction systems, forecasts of the mid-latitude weather at seasonal time scales are becoming increasingly important for societal decision making, as in risk estimate and management of meteorological extreme events. The predictability of the Northern-Hemisphere winter troposphere, especially in the Euro-Atlantic region, stems from the representation of a number of sources of predictability, notably El Nino Southern Oscillation, the stratospheric polar vortex, Arctic sea-ice extent, Eurasian snow cover. Among these, the stratospheric polar vortex is known to play a paramount role in seasonal forecasts of the winter tropospheric flow.</p><p>Here, we investigate the performance in the stratosphere of five seasonal prediction systems taking part in the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), with a focus on the seasonal forecast skill and variability, and on the assessment of stratospheric processes. We show that dynamical forecasts of the stratosphere initialised at the beginning of November are considerably more skilful than empirical forecasts based on observed October or November anomalies. Advances in the representation of stratospheric seasonal variability and extremes, i.e. sudden stratospheric warming frequency, are identified with respect to previous generations of climate models running roughly a decade ago. Such results display, however, a large model dependence. Finally, we stress the importance of the relation between the stratospheric wave activity and the stratospheric polar vortex (i.e. the wave—mean-flow interaction), applied both to the variability and to the predictability of the stratospheric mean flow. Indeed, forecasts of the winter stratospheric polar vortex are closely connected to the prediction of November-to-February stratospheric wave activity, in particular in the Eurasian sector.</p>

scholarly journals Reanalysis intercomparison of potential vorticity and potential-vorticity-based diagnostics

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (7) ◽  
pp. 5355-5376
Author(s):  
Luis F. Millán ◽  
Gloria L. Manney ◽  
Zachary D. Lawrence
Keyword(s):  
Potential Vorticity ◽  
Vortex Formation ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Transport Processes ◽  
Climate Forecast ◽  
Forecast System ◽  
Climate Forecast System ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
High Resolution Data ◽  
Environmental Prediction

Abstract. Global reanalyses from data assimilation systems are among the most widely used datasets in weather and climate studies, and potential vorticity (PV) from reanalyses is invaluable for many studies of dynamical and transport processes. We assess how consistently modern reanalyses represent potential vorticity (PV) among each other, focusing not only on PV but also on process-oriented dynamical diagnostics including equivalent latitude calculated from PV and PV-based tropopause and stratospheric polar vortex characterization. In particular we assess the National Centers for Environmental Prediction Climate Forecast System Reanalysis/Climate Forecast System, version 2 (CFSR/CFSv2) reanalysis, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Interim (ERA-Interim) reanalysis, the Japanese Meteorological Agency's 55-year (JRA-55) reanalysis, and the NASA Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2). Overall, PV from all reanalyses agrees well with the reanalysis ensemble mean, providing some confidence that all of these recent reanalyses are suitable for most studies using PV-based diagnostics. Specific diagnostics where some larger differences are seen include PV-based tropopause locations in regions that have strong tropopause gradients (such as around the subtropical jets) or are sparse in high-resolution data (such as over Antarctica), and the stratospheric polar vortices during fall vortex formation and (especially) spring vortex breakup; studies of sensitive situations or regions such as these should examine PV from multiple reanalyses.

scholarly journals Formulation of Three-Dimensional Quasi-Residual Mean Flow Balanced with Diabatic Heating Rate and Potential Vorticity Flux

2019 ◽  
Vol 76 (3) ◽  
pp. 851-863
Author(s):  
Takenari Kinoshita ◽  
Kaoru Sato ◽  
Kentaro Ishijima ◽  
Masayuki Takigawa ◽  
Yousuke Yamashita
Keyword(s):  
Potential Vorticity ◽  
Diabatic Heating ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Stationary Waves ◽  
Vertical Flow ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Material Transport ◽  
Mean State ◽  
Wave Activity Flux

Abstract Three-dimensional (3D) quasi-residual mean flow is derived to diagnose 3D dynamical material transport associated with stationary planetary waves. The 3D quasi-residual mean vertical flow does not include the vertical flow due to tilting of the potential temperature caused by stationary waves, which is apparent but not seen in the mass-weighted isentropic mean state. Thus, the quasi-residual mean vertical flow is balanced with the term of diabatic heating rate. The 3D quasi-residual mean horizontal flow is balanced with the sum of the forcing due to transient wave activity flux divergence and the forcing associated with fluctuation of the potential vorticity due to stationary waves (defined as the effective Coriolis forcing). The zonal mean of the effective Coriolis forcing corresponds to the divergence of stationary wave activity flux. Thus, the zonal mean of derived 3D quasi-residual mean flow is exactly equal to the traditional residual mean flow. To demonstrate the usefulness of this quasi-residual mean flow, we analyze material transport of atmospheric sulfur hexafluoride (SF6) by using an atmospheric chemistry transport model. Comparison between the derived 3D quasi-residual mean flow and traditional residual mean flow shows that the zonal mean of advection of SF6 associated with the 3D quasi-residual mean flow derived is almost equal to that of the traditional residual mean flow. Next, it is confirmed that the horizontal structure of advection of SF6 associated with the 3D quasi-residual mean flow is balanced with the transport because of the nonlinear, nonconservative effects of disturbances. This relation is similar to the results for traditional residual mean flow in the zonal-mean state.

scholarly journals Bifurcation of potential vorticity gradients across the Southern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan Conway ◽  
Greg Bodeker ◽  
Chris Cameron
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Potential Vorticity ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Annual Variations ◽  
Distinct Structure ◽  
Barrier Region ◽  
Antarctic Continent ◽  
Winter Time ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. The winter-time stratospheric westerly winds circling the Antarctic continent, also known as the Southern Hemisphere polar vortex, create a barrier to mixing of air between middle and high latitudes. This dynamical isolation has important consequences for export of ozone-depleted air from the Antarctic stratosphere to lower latitudes. The prevailing view of this dynamical barrier has been an annulus compromising steep gradients of potential vorticity (PV) that create a single semi-permeable barrier to mixing. Analyses presented here show that this barrier often displays a bifurcated structure where a doubled-walled barrier exists. The bifurcated structure manifests as enhanced gradients of PV at two distinct latitudes – usually on the inside and outside flanks of the region of highest wind speed. Metrics that quantify the bifurcated nature of the vortex have been developed and their variation in space and time has been analysed. At most isentropic levels between 370 K and 850 K, bifurcation is strongest in winter and reduces dramatically during spring. From August onwards a distinct structure emerges, where elevated bifurcation remains between 475 K and 600 K, and a mostly single walled barrier occurs at other levels. While bifurcation at a given level evolves from month to month, and does not always persist through a season, inter-annual variations in the strength of bifurcation display coherence across multiple levels in any given month. Accounting for bifurcation allows the region of reduced mixing to be better characterized. These results suggest that improved understanding of cross-vortex mixing requires consideration of the polar vortex not as a single mixing barrier, but as a barrier with internal structure that is likely to manifest as more complex gradients in trace gas concentrations across the vortex barrier region.

The downward propagation of split- and displacement-type SSWs in an idealised model

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ian White ◽  
Chaim Garfinkel ◽  
Edwin Gerber ◽  
Martin Jucker
Keyword(s):  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Momentum Budget ◽  
Ozone Profile ◽  
Tropospheric Circulation ◽  
Downward Influence ◽  
Symmetric Heating ◽  
Free Running ◽  
Downward Propagation ◽  
Idealised Model ◽  
Radiation Scheme

<p>Sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) have a significant downward influence on the tropospheric circulation below, although the mechanisms governing this downward impact are not well understood. It is also not known if the type of SSW event – be them splits or displacements – play a role in determining the magnitude of the tropospheric response. We here examine the impacts of split- and displacement-type SSWs on the troposphere.</p><p>To do this, we use the recently developed model of an idealised moist atmosphere to impose zonally-asymmetric warming perturbations to the extratropical stratosphere, extending the work of a recent study by the authors in which a zonally-symmetric heating perturbation was imposed. This model of ‘intermediate complexity’ is particularly suited to this study as it incorporates the radiation scheme that is utilised by operational forecast systems, including both the ECMWF and NCEP. The radiation scheme also allows us to force the model with a realistic ozone profile, and thus to simulate realistic radiative timescales in the stratosphere. From a control run with a realistic climatology, we perform an ensemble of spin-off runs every January 1<sup>st</sup> with imposed high-latitude stratospheric heating perturbations of varying degrees of magnitude. The heating perturbation is switched on for a limited period of time to mimic the sudden nature of a SSW event and the troposphere is allowed to evolve freely. We compare the evolution of the tropospheric response to the forced split and displacement-type SSWs with free-running SSWs of the same type in the control run.</p><p>By modifying only the temperature tendency equation as opposed to the momentum budget, our experiments allow us to isolate the tropospheric response associated with changes in the polar-vortex strength (e.g., a direct or indirect modulation of planetary waves and synoptic waves), rather than due to any planetary-wave momentum torques that initially drive the SSW. Nevertheless, the imposition of wave-1 and wave-2 heating perturbations provide a more realistic post-onset SSW state than that which occurs in response to zonal-mean heating perturbations as performed in our previous study.</p>

scholarly journals The Wave Geometry of Final Stratospheric Warming Events

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amy H. Butler ◽  
Daniela I. V. Domeisen
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Total Column Ozone ◽  
Planetary Scale ◽  
The North ◽  
Downward Influence ◽  
Column Ozone ◽  
Total Column

Abstract. Every spring, the stratospheric polar vortex transitions from its westerly wintertime state to its easterly summertime state due to seasonal changes in incoming solar radiation, an event known as the final stratospheric warming (FSW). While FSWs tend to be less abrupt than reversals of the boreal polar vortex in midwinter, known as sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events, their timing and characteristics can be significantly modulated by atmospheric planetary-scale waves. Just like SSWs, FSWs have been found to have predictable surface impacts. While SSWs are commonly classified according to their wave geometry, either by how the vortex evolves (whether the vortex displaces off the pole or splits into two vortices) or by the dominant wavenumber of the vortex just prior to the SSW (wave-1 versus wave-2), little is known about the wave geometry of FSW events. We here show that FSW events for both hemispheres in most cases exhibit a clear wave geometry. Most FSWs can be classified into wave-1 or wave-2 events, but wave-3 also plays a significant role in both hemispheres. Additionally, we find that in the Northern Hemisphere, wave-2 events are more likely to occur later in the spring, while in the Southern Hemisphere, wave-1 or wave-2 events show no clear preference in timing. The FSW enhances total column ozone over the pole of both hemispheres during spring, but the spatial distribution of ozone anomalies can be influenced by the wave geometry and the timing of the event. We also describe the stratosphere's downward influence on surface weather following wave-1 and wave-2 FSW events. Significant differences between the tropospheric response to wave-1 and wave-2 FSW events occur over North America and over the Southern Ocean, while no significant differences are found over the North Atlantic region, Europe, and Antarctica.

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