scholarly journals Climate Sensitivity to Changes in Ocean Heat Transport

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (19) ◽  
pp. 5015-5030 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcelo Barreiro ◽  
Annalisa Cherchi ◽  
Simona Masina
Keyword(s):  
Heat Transport ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Atmospheric General Circulation Model ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
The Past ◽  
Low Clouds ◽  
Marine Stratus ◽  
Low Cloud

Using an atmospheric general circulation model coupled to a slab ocean, the effects of ocean heat transport (OHT) on climate are studied by prescribing OHT from 0 to 2 times the present-day values. In agreement with previous studies, an increase in OHT from zero to present-day conditions warms the climate by decreasing the albedo due to reduced sea ice extent and marine stratus cloud cover and by increasing the greenhouse effect through a moistening of the atmosphere. However, when the OHT is further increased, the solution becomes highly dependent on a positive radiative feedback between tropical low clouds and sea surface temperature. The strength of the low cloud–SST feedback combined with the model design may produce solutions that are globally colder than in the control run, mainly due to an unrealistically strong equatorial cooling. Excluding those cases, results indicate that the climate warms only if the OHT increase does not exceed more than 10% of the present-day value in the case of a strong cloud–SST feedback and more than 25% when this feedback is weak. Larger OHT increases lead to a cold state where low clouds cover most of the deep tropics, increasing the tropical albedo and drying the atmosphere. This suggests that the present-day climate is close to a state where the OHT maximizes its warming effects on climate and raises doubts about the possibility that greater OHT in the past may have induced significantly warmer climates than that of today.

scholarly journals Effects of Tropical Cyclones on Ocean Heat Transport in a High-Resolution Coupled General Circulation Model

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (16) ◽  
pp. 4368-4384 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enrico Scoccimarro ◽  
Silvio Gualdi ◽  
Alessio Bellucci ◽  
Antonella Sanna ◽  
Pier Giuseppe Fogli ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Twentieth Century ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
General Circulation Model ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Coupled General Circulation Model

Abstract In this paper the interplay between tropical cyclones (TCs) and the Northern Hemispheric ocean heat transport (OHT) is investigated. In particular, results from a numerical simulation of the twentieth-century and twenty-first-century climates, following the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) twentieth-century run (20C3M) and A1B scenario protocols, respectively, have been analyzed. The numerical simulations have been performed using a state-of-the-art global atmosphere–ocean–sea ice coupled general circulation model (CGCM) with relatively high-resolution (T159) in the atmosphere. The CGCM skill in reproducing a realistic TC climatology has been assessed by comparing the model results from the simulation of the twentieth century with available observations. The model simulates tropical cyclone–like vortices with many features similar to the observed TCs. Specifically, the simulated TCs exhibit realistic structure, geographical distribution, and interannual variability, indicating that the model is able to capture the basic mechanisms linking the TC activity with the large-scale circulation. The cooling of the surface ocean observed in correspondence of the TCs is well simulated by the model. TC activity is shown to significantly increase the poleward OHT out of the tropics and decrease the poleward OHT from the deep tropics on short time scales. This effect, investigated by looking at the 100 most intense Northern Hemisphere TCs, is strongly correlated with the TC-induced momentum flux at the ocean surface, where the winds associated with the TCs significantly weaken (strengthen) the trade winds in the 5°–18°N (18°–30°N) latitude belt. However, the induced perturbation does not impact the yearly averaged OHT. The frequency and intensity of the TCs appear to be substantially stationary through the entire 1950–2069 simulated period, as does the effect of the TCs on the OHT.

scholarly journals Relations between Northward Ocean and Atmosphere Energy Transports in a Coupled Climate Model

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
pp. 561-575 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Vellinga ◽  
Peili Wu
Keyword(s):  
Heat Transport ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Energy Transport ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Atmospheric Transport ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Poleward Heat Transport ◽  
Low Latitudes

Abstract The Third Hadley Centre Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere General Circulation Model (HadCM3) is used to analyze the relation between northward energy transports in the ocean and atmosphere at centennial time scales. In a transient water-hosing experiment, where suppressing the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (MOC) causes a reduction in northward ocean heat transport of up to 0.75 PW (i.e., 75%), the atmosphere compensates by increasing its northward transport of moist static energy. This compensation is very efficient at low latitudes and near complete at the equator throughout the experiment, but is incomplete farther north across the northern midlatitude storm tracks. The change in atmosphere energy transport enables the model to find a new global-mean radiative equilibrium after 240 yr. In a perturbed physics ensemble of HadCM3 it was found that time-averaged meridional energy transports in ocean and atmosphere can act opposingly. Where model formulation causes an unbalanced mean climate state, for example, an excessive top-of-the-atmosphere radiative surplus at low latitudes, the atmosphere increases its poleward energy transport to disperse this excess. MOC and ocean poleward heat transport tend to be reduced in such model versions, and this offsets the increased poleward atmospheric transport of the low-latitude energy surplus. Model versions that are close to net radiative equilibrium also have ocean heat transport and MOC close to observed values.

scholarly journals Response of the Hadley Circulation to Climate Change in an Aquaplanet GCM Coupled to a Simple Representation of Ocean Heat Transport

2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (4) ◽  
pp. 769-783 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xavier J. Levine ◽  
Tapio Schneider
Keyword(s):  
Heat Transport ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Hadley Circulation ◽  
Dynamical Regime ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Simple Representation ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Momentum Fluxes

Abstract It is unclear how the width and strength of the Hadley circulation are controlled and how they respond to climate changes. Simulations of global warming scenarios with comprehensive climate models suggest the Hadley circulation may widen and weaken as the climate warms. But these changes are not quantitatively consistent among models, and how they come about is not understood. Here, a wide range of climates is simulated with an idealized moist general circulation model (GCM) coupled to a simple representation of ocean heat transport, in order to place past and possible future changes in the Hadley circulation into a broader context and to investigate the mechanisms responsible for them. By comparison of simulations with and without ocean heat transport, it is shown that it is essential to take low-latitude ocean heat transport and its coupling to wind stress into account to obtain Hadley circulations in a dynamical regime resembling Earth’s, particularly in climates resembling present-day Earth’s and colder. As the optical thickness of an idealized longwave absorber in the simulations is increased and the climate warms, the Hadley circulation strengthens in colder climates and weakens in warmer climates; it has maximum strength in a climate close to present-day Earth’s. In climates resembling present-day Earth’s and colder, the Hadley circulation strength is largely controlled by the divergence of angular momentum fluxes associated with eddies of midlatitude origin; the latter scale with the mean available potential energy in midlatitudes. The importance of these eddy momentum fluxes for the Hadley circulation strength gradually diminishes as the climate warms. The Hadley circulation generally widens as the climate warms, but at a modest rate that depends sensitively on how it is determined.

scholarly journals Ocean Heat Transport as a Cause for Model Uncertainty in Projected Arctic Warming

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (5) ◽  
pp. 1451-1460 ◽  
Author(s):  
Irina Mahlstein ◽  
Reto Knutti
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
Future Warming

Abstract The Arctic climate is governed by complex interactions and feedback mechanisms between the atmosphere, ocean, and solar radiation. One of its characteristic features, the Arctic sea ice, is very vulnerable to anthropogenically caused warming. Production and melting of sea ice is influenced by several physical processes. The authors show that the northward ocean heat transport is an important factor in the simulation of the sea ice extent in the current general circulation models. Those models that transport more energy to the Arctic show a stronger future warming, in the Arctic as well as globally. Larger heat transport to the Arctic, in particular in the Barents Sea, reduces the sea ice cover in this area. More radiation is then absorbed during summer months and is radiated back to the atmosphere in winter months. This process leads to an increase in the surface temperature and therefore to a stronger polar amplification. The models that show a larger global warming agree better with the observed sea ice extent in the Arctic. In general, these models also have a higher spatial resolution. These results suggest that higher resolution and greater complexity are beneficial in simulating the processes relevant in the Arctic and that future warming in the high northern latitudes is likely to be near the upper range of model projections, consistent with recent evidence that many climate models underestimate Arctic sea ice decline.

scholarly journals The Importance of Ocean Dynamical Feedback for Understanding the Impact of Mid–High-Latitude Warming on Tropical Precipitation Change

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (6) ◽  
pp. 2417-2434 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masakazu Yoshimori ◽  
Ayako Abe-Ouchi ◽  
Hiroaki Tatebe ◽  
Toru Nozawa ◽  
Akira Oka
Keyword(s):  
Heat Transport ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Hadley Circulation ◽  
Precipitation Change ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Tropical Precipitation ◽  
The Impact

It has been shown that asymmetric warming between the Northern and Southern Hemisphere extratropics induces a meridional displacement of tropical precipitation. This shift is believed to be due to the extra energy transported from the differentially heated hemisphere through changes in the Hadley circulation. Generally, the column-integrated energy flux in the mean meridional overturning circulation follows the direction of the upper, relatively dry branch, and tropical precipitation tends to be intensified in the hemisphere with greater warming. This framework was originally applied to simulations that did not include ocean dynamical feedback, but was recently extended to take the ocean heat transport change into account. In the current study, an atmosphere–ocean general circulation model applied with a regional nudging technique is used to investigate the impact of extratropical warming on tropical precipitation change under realistic future climate projections. It is shown that warming at latitudes poleward of 40° causes the northward displacement of tropical precipitation from October to January. Warming at latitudes poleward of 60° alone has a much smaller effect. This change in the tropical precipitation is largely explained by the atmospheric moisture transport caused by changes in the atmospheric circulation. The larger change in ocean heat transport near the equator, relative to the atmosphere, is consistent with the extended energy framework. The current study provides a complementary dynamical framework that highlights the importance of midlatitude atmospheric eddies and equatorial ocean upwelling, where the atmospheric eddy feedback modifies the Hadley circulation resulting in the northward migration of precipitation and the ocean dynamical feedback damps the northward migration from the equator.

scholarly journals The Response of Hadley Circulation Extent to an Idealized Representation of Poleward Ocean Heat Transport in an Aquaplanet GCM

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (23) ◽  
pp. 9753-9770 ◽  
Author(s):  
Casey C. Hilgenbrink ◽  
Dennis L. Hartmann
Keyword(s):  
Heat Transport ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Hadley Circulation ◽  
Static Stability ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Theoretical Understanding ◽  
Global Mean Temperature ◽  
Poleward Shift

Deeper theoretical understanding of Hadley circulation (HC) width and the mechanisms leading to HC expansion is gained by exploring the response of a zonally symmetric slab ocean aquaplanet general circulation model (GCM) to imposed poleward ocean heat transport (OHT). Poleward OHT causes the subtropical edge of the HC to shift poleward by up to 3° compared to its position in simulations without OHT. This HC widening is interpreted as being driven by a decrease in baroclinicity near the poleward edge of the HC and is divided into three components: a decrease in baroclinicity due to 1) a systematic poleward shift of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) during the seasonal cycle that drives a decrease in the angular momentum of the HC and, consequently, a weakening of the vertical shear of the zonal wind; 2) an increase in subtropical static stability and the vertical extent of the HC, both of which result from OHT’s effect on global-mean temperature; and 3) a relaxation of the meridional sea surface temperature (SST) gradient in the outer tropics and subtropics by OHT. Although the third mechanism contributes the most to the response of HC width to OHT, the contributions from the first two mechanisms each account for up to 20%–30% of the HC response. This work highlights the role of ITCZ position in producing HC expansion and in setting the climatological width of the HC, a role which has been underappreciated. This study indicates a fundamental role for baroclinicity in limiting the poleward extent of the HC.

PALAEO-RA: Combining an intermediate-size AGCM ensemble with historical observations and proxies to create a new dataset of the past 600 years of climate history

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Brönnimann ◽  
Ralf Hand ◽  
Jörg Franke ◽  
Andrey Martynov
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation Model ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Atmospheric General Circulation Model ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Ring Width ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Climate History ◽  
The Past ◽  
Atmospheric General Circulation

<p>The recently started PALAEO-RA project aims at creating a new global monthly 3-dimensional reanalysis dataset of the past 600 years' climate. Large spatial and temporal gaps in the available historical data on these time scale make the climate history being an under-determined problem when using observations only. In PALAEO-RA we will addionally use information from an ensemble of simulations with an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM). The model offers additional physical constraints. The model reproduces teleconnection patterns and reflects typical large-scale modes of variability to set the historical data into a physically consistent regional to global context.</p><p>In brief, the method that we plan to use consists of two steps: First, we are currently producing an  ensemble of historical simulations with the atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM6. Once finished, it will have a size of ca. 30 members, covering the period fom 1420 to present. The ensemble is supposed to reflect the range of realistic climate states under prescribed historical radiative forcings (based on the PMIP4 setup) and ocean boundary conditions (HadISST.2 & SST reconstructions by Samakinwa et al., see abstract EGU2020-8744).</p><p>Secondly, we will apply Ensemble Kalman Fitting, a technique for the offline assimilation of historical observations (instrumental observations, documentary data, tree ring width and other proxies), basing on the assumption that the occurrence of a distinct observation has a different probability depending on the meso- and large-scale circulation patterns of the atmosphere.</p><p>Our poster will give a brief overview on the project with a focus on introducing the AGCM ensemble, also to allow for discussions on further applications of the latter.</p>

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