Change in the Relationship between the Southern Subtropical Dipole Modes and the Southern Annular Mode in the Mid-1980s

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (23) ◽  
pp. 9235-9249
Author(s):  
Li Yan ◽  
Gen Li
Keyword(s):  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Austral Summer ◽  
Summer Rainfall ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Minor Role ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Decadal Shift ◽  
Subtropical Highs ◽  
A Minor ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract The southern subtropical dipole modes (SSDMs) and southern annular mode (SAM) are important climate modes, which are dominant in the southern middle and high latitudes, respectively, with considerable regional climatic impacts. However, the relationship between the two modes remains unclear. A close inspection reveals that the SAM was significantly correlated with the SSDMs during the austral summer before the mid-1980s. However, the correlations have degraded since then. This decadal shift in the relationship between these two southern dominant modes is due to a weakened connection between the SAM and the subtropical highs that control the SSDMs. This decadal change could be traced back to a poleward shift in the southern westerly belt. El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) typically plays a moderate role in influencing the precipitation in Australia and a minor role in influencing the precipitation in Africa and South America. Nevertheless, the two southern modes could still affect the austral summer rainfall in the midlatitudes, even though the ENSO signal is absent. All these links between the two southern modes and southern land precipitation may be attributable to the associated transport of moisture in the lower-level circulation.

scholarly journals Rainfall Changes over Southwestern Australia and Their Relationship to the Southern Annular Mode and ENSO

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (15) ◽  
pp. 5801-5814 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bhupendra A. Raut ◽  
Christian Jakob ◽  
Michael J. Reeder
Keyword(s):  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Summer Rainfall ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Winter Rainfall ◽  
Sea Level Pressure ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Southwestern Australia ◽  
Synoptic Conditions ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Rainfall Patterns

Abstract Since the 1970s, winter rainfall over coastal southwestern Australia (SWA) has decreased by 10%–20%, while summer rainfall has been increased by 40%–50% in the semiarid inland area. In this paper, a K-means algorithm is used to cluster rainfall patterns directly as opposed to the more conventional approach of clustering synoptic conditions (usually the mean sea level pressure) and inferring the associated rainfall. It is shown that the reduction in the coastal rainfall during winter is mainly due to fewer westerly fronts in June and July. The reduction in the frequency of strong fronts in June is responsible for half of the decreased rainfall in June–August (JJA), whereas the reduction in the frequency of weaker fronts in June and July accounts for a third of the total decrease. The increase in rainfall inland in December–February (DJF) is due to an increased frequency of easterly troughs in December and February. These rainfall patterns are linked to the southern annular mode (SAM) index and Southern Oscillation index (SOI). The reduction in coastal rainfall and the increase in rainfall inland are both related to the predominantly positive phase of SAM, especially when the phase of ENSO is neutral.

Temporal Variations in Rainfall Volume in the Southwest of Western Australia

2021 ◽  
Vol 60 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-32
Author(s):  
P. Philip ◽  
B. Yu
Keyword(s):  
Western Australia ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Temporal Variations ◽  
Annual Rainfall ◽  
Minor Role ◽  
Rainfall Depth ◽  
Rainfall Volume ◽  
A Minor ◽  
The Relationship

AbstractRainfall in the southwest of Western Australia (SWWA) has decreased significantly over recent decades. Previous studies documented this decrease in terms of the change in rainfall depth or decrease in the frequency of rainfall events for selected sites. Although rainfall volume is of vital importance to determine water resources availability for a given region, no study has yet been undertaken to examine the change in rainfall volume in SWWA. The aim of this study is to examine the spatiotemporal changes in rainfall volume and to attribute this change to the changes in wet area and rainfall depth. Gridded daily rainfall data at 0.05° resolution for the period from 1911 to 2018 were used for an area of 265 952 km2 in SWWA. For the whole region and most zones, rainfall volume decreased, which was mostly due to a decrease in the wet area, despite an increase in the mean rain depth. In the regions near the coast with mean annual rainfall ≥ 600 mm, 84% of the decrease in rainfall volume could be attributed to a decrease in the wet area, whereas the decrease in rainfall depth only played a minor role. The regions near the coast with a higher number of rain days showed a decreasing trend in wet area, and the regions farther inland with a lower number of rain days showed an increasing trend in wet area. On the coast, the rate of decrease in rainfall has been reduced, and heavy rainfall, in fact, has increased over the past 30 years, although there was no concurrent change in the southern annular mode (SAM). This suggests that the relationship between SAM and rainfall could have changed and that other climate drivers could also be responsible for the recent rainfall trend and variations in the coastal regions of SWWA.

Differential Credibility of Climate Modes in CMIP6

2021 ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Jacob Coburn ◽  
S.C. Pryor
Keyword(s):  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Climate Modes ◽  
First Order ◽  
Skill Scores

AbstractThis work quantitatively evaluates the fidelity with which the Northern Annular Mode (NAM), Southern Annular Mode (SAM), Pacific-North American pattern (PNA), El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the first-order mode interactions are represented in Earth System Model (ESM) output from the CMIP6 archive. Several skill metrics are used as part of a differential credibility assessment (DCA) of both spatial and temporal characteristics of the modes across ESMs, ESM families and specific ESM realizations relative to ERA5. The spatial patterns and probability distributions are generally well represented but skill scores that measure the degree to which the frequencies of maximum variance are captured are consistently lower for most ESMs and climate modes. Substantial variability in skill scores manifests across realizations from individual ESMs for the PNA and oceanic modes. Further, the ESMs consistently overestimate the strength of the NAM-PNA first-order interaction and underestimate the NAM-AMO connection. These results suggest that the choice of ESM and ESM realizations will continue to play a critical role in determining climate projections at the global and regional scale at least in the near-term.

Multiple Timescales of the Southern Annular Mode

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiuyan Zhang ◽  
Yang Zhang ◽  
Zhaohua Wu
Keyword(s):  
Seasonal Variability ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Austral Summer ◽  
Zonal Flow ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Multiple Timescales ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Flow Interactions ◽  
The Cross ◽  
Sst Anomalies

<p>Using the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method, this study systematically investigates the multiple timescales of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and identifies their relative contributions to the low-frequency persistence of SAM. Analyses show that the subseasonal sustaining of SAM mainly depends on the contribution of longer-timescale variabilities, especially the cross-seasonal variability. When subtracting the cross-seasonal variability from the SAM, the positive covariance between the eddy and zonal flow, which is suggested the positive eddy feedback in SAM, disappears. Composite analysis shows that only with strong cross-seasonal variability, the meridional shift of zonal wind, eddy momentum forcing and baroclinicity anomalies can be maintained for more than 20 days, mainly resulting from the longer-timescale (especially the cross-seasonal timescale) eddy-zonal flow interactions. This study further suggests that the dipolar sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the mid latitude of Southern Hemisphere (SH) is a possible cause for the cross-seasonal variability. Analysis shows that about half of the strong cross-seasonal timescale events are accompanied by evident dipolar SST anomalies, which mostly occur in austral summer. The cross-seasonal dependence of the eddy-zonal flow interactions suggests the longer-timescale (especially the cross-seasonal timescale) contribution cannot be neglected in subseasonal prediction of SAM.</p>

Defense Acquisition, Public Administration, and Pragmatism

2019 ◽  
pp. 774-792
Author(s):  
Keith F. Snider
Keyword(s):  
Public Administration ◽  
Minor Role ◽  
Potential Contribution ◽  
Defense Acquisition ◽  
Philosophical Pragmatism ◽  
A Minor ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Administrative Theory ◽  
Acquisition Professionals

This chapter explores the relationship of U.S. defense management to public administration. It argues that public administration, as a field of study, plays a minor role in defense acquisition, because acquisition has unique characteristics that separate it from the mainstream of the field. The tenuous connections between acquisition and public administration have led to an issue of academic legitimacy in that the discipline has failed to respond to the needs of acquisition professionals. The chapter then presents a discussion and illustration of philosophical pragmatism as a potential contribution of administrative theory to acquisition practice, and it concludes with thoughts on the potential for acquisition to adopt pragmatism as a guiding way for thought and practice.

scholarly journals Teleconnections and relationship between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) in reconstructions and models over the past millennium

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 743-756 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christoph Dätwyler ◽  
Martin Grosjean ◽  
Nathan J. Steiger ◽  
Raphael Neukom
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Last Millennium ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
The Past ◽  
Climate Model Simulations ◽  
Past Millennium

Abstract. The climate of the Southern Hemisphere (SH) is strongly influenced by variations in the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). Because of the limited length of instrumental records in most parts of the SH, very little is known about the relationship between these two key modes of variability over time. Using proxy-based reconstructions and last-millennium climate model simulations, we find that ENSO and SAM indices are mostly negatively correlated over the past millennium. Pseudo-proxy experiments indicate that currently available proxy records are able to reliably capture ENSO–SAM relationships back to at least 1600 CE. Palaeoclimate reconstructions show mostly negative correlations back to about 1400 CE. An ensemble of last-millennium climate model simulations confirms this negative correlation, showing a stable correlation of approximately −0.3. Despite this generally negative relationship we do find intermittent periods of positive ENSO–SAM correlations in individual model simulations and in the palaeoclimate reconstructions. We do not find evidence that these relationship fluctuations are caused by exogenous forcing nor by a consistent climate pattern. However, we do find evidence that strong negative correlations are associated with strong positive (negative) anomalies in the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation and the Amundsen Sea Low during periods when SAM and ENSO indices are of opposite (equal) sign.

Pain and Depression

1982 ◽  
Vol 141 (1) ◽  
pp. 30-36 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Pilowsky ◽  
D. L. Bassett
Keyword(s):  
Chronic Pain ◽  
Life Events ◽  
Minor Role ◽  
Intractable Pain ◽  
Illness Behaviour ◽  
Conversion Reaction ◽  
Patient Groups ◽  
A Minor ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Pain Patients

SummaryThis paper explores the relationship between depression and chronic intractable pain in which somatic pathology is playing a minor role. In this study, 114 patients with chronic pain were compared with 53 patients with depression. Patients with chronic pain were older, more likely to be married, more frequently attributed difficulties in activity and sleep to pain, and reported greater impairment of motor functions. They had less dysphoria and an illness behaviour profile (on the Illness Behaviour Questionnaire) suggestive of a conversion reaction. Depressed patients recalled more life events in the year prior to presentation, whilst pain patients recalled more events of nine and ten years earlier. It is concluded that the two patient groups cannot be considered identical. It is argued that the concept of abnormal illness behaviour helps to distinguish the two groups.

scholarly journals A Comparison of Coverbal Gesture Use in Oral Discourse Among Speakers With Fluent and Nonfluent Aphasia

2017 ◽  
Vol 60 (7) ◽  
pp. 2031-2046 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anthony Pak-Hin Kong ◽  
Sam-Po Law ◽  
Gigi Wan-Chi Chak
Keyword(s):  
Language Intervention ◽  
Multimedia Data ◽  
Minor Role ◽  
Lexical Retrieval ◽  
Clinical Implications ◽  
Culturally Specific ◽  
Nonfluent Aphasia ◽  
Fluent Aphasia ◽  
A Minor ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose Coverbal gesture use, which is affected by the presence and degree of aphasia, can be culturally specific. The purpose of this study was to compare gesture use among Cantonese-speaking individuals: 23 neurologically healthy speakers, 23 speakers with fluent aphasia, and 21 speakers with nonfluent aphasia. Method Multimedia data of discourse samples from these speakers were extracted from the Cantonese AphasiaBank. Gestures were independently annotated on their forms and functions to determine how gesturing rate and distribution of gestures differed across speaker groups. A multiple regression was conducted to determine the most predictive variable(s) for gesture-to-word ratio. Results Although speakers with nonfluent aphasia gestured most frequently, the rate of gesture use in counterparts with fluent aphasia did not differ significantly from controls. Different patterns of gesture functions in the 3 speaker groups revealed that gesture plays a minor role in lexical retrieval whereas its role in enhancing communication dominates among the speakers with aphasia. The percentages of complete sentences and dysfluency strongly predicted the gesturing rate in aphasia. Conclusions The current results supported the sketch model of language–gesture association. The relationship between gesture production and linguistic abilities and clinical implications for gesture-based language intervention for speakers with aphasia are also discussed.

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