scholarly journals Estimating Minimum Detection Times for Satellite Remote Sensing of Trends in Mean and Extreme Precipitable Water Vapor

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (22) ◽  
pp. 8211-8230 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacola Roman ◽  
Robert Knuteson ◽  
Steve Ackerman ◽  
Hank Revercomb
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Time Window ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor ◽  
Trend Detection ◽  
Observation System ◽  
Climate Trends ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Uncertainty Estimates

Abstract The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report found that changes in extreme events have occurred and the frequency of such events is expected to increase. Precipitable water vapor (PWV) is a useful measure of the moisture content of the atmosphere. This paper combines the predicted GCM trends in PWV from 2000 to 2100 with uncertainty estimates from infrared spectrometers, NASA Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) and EUMETSAT Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI), to estimate minimum trend detection times on regional and global spatial scales. The minimum detection time (MDT) is the number of years before the multimodel GCM trend exceeds a fractional change equal to the uncertainty in the observed product, plus the width of the time window used to smooth out natural variability. Results indicate that the median value of PWV has an MDT of 15 yr or less over all scales, while extreme dry (5th) and wet (95th) PWV conditions (percentiles) have higher measurement uncertainty and corresponding larger MDTs. Product providers have done a relatively good job tuning results to the mean atmospheric state but more attention should be given to improving the satellite estimates for extreme PWV. A fractional measurement error of 3% is desirable to detect predicted climate trends within 15 years or less for the entire PDF of PWV. This paper presents an important case study for the design of observing systems directly linking the estimated uncertainty of the PWV products to the detectability of long-term trends. If there is a need to decrease detection times over the existing weather observation system then necessary changes to the climate observational system design can be understood quantitatively.

scholarly journals Time-to-Detect Trends in Precipitable Water Vapor with Varying Measurement Error

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (21) ◽  
pp. 8259-8275 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacola Roman ◽  
Robert Knuteson ◽  
Steve Ackerman
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Measurement Error ◽  
Measurement Errors ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor ◽  
Eastern United States

Abstract This study determined the theoretical time-to-detect (TTD) global climate model (GCM) precipitable water vapor (PWV) 100-yr trends when realistic measurement errors are considered. Global trends ranged from 0.055 to 0.072 mm yr−1 and varied minimally from season to season. Global TTDs with a 0% measurement error ranged from 3.0 to 4.8 yr, while a 5% measurement error increased the TTD by almost 6 times, ranging from 17.6 to 22.0 yr. Zonal trends were highest near the equator; however, zonal TTDs were nearly independent of latitude when 5% measurement error was included. Zonal TTDs are significantly reduced when the trends are analyzed by season. Regional trends (15° × 30°) show TTDs close to those in the 15° latitude zones (15° × 360°). Detailed case study analysis of four selected regions with high population density—eastern United States, Europe, China, and India—indicated that trend analysis on regional spatial scales may provide the most timely information regarding highly populated regions when comparing detection time scales to global and zonal analyses.

KORELASI MUSIMAN ANTARA ZENITH WET DELAY (ZWD) DAN DEBIT SUNGAI DI DAS CIKAPUNDUNG HULU, KAWASAN BANDUNG UTARA, JAWA BARAT

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 741
Author(s):  
Wedyanto Kuntjoro ◽  
Z.A.J. Tanuwijaya ◽  
A. Pramansyah ◽  
Dudy D. Wijaya
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor ◽  
Zenith Wet Delay

Kandungan total uap air troposfer (precipitable water vapor) di suatu tempat dapat diestimasi berdasarkan karakteristik bias gelombang elektromagnetik dari satelit navigasi GPS, berupa zenith wet delay (ZWD). Pola musiman deret waktu ZWD sangat penting dalam studi siklus hidrologi khususnya yang terkait dengan kejadian-kejadian banjir. Artikel ini menganalisis korelasi musiman antara ZWD dan debit sungai Cikapundung di wilayah Bandung Utara berdasarkan estimasi rataan pola musimannya. Berdasarkan rekonstruksi sejumlah komponen harmonik ditemukan bahwa pola musiman ZWD memiliki kemiripan dan korelasi yang kuat dengan pola musiman debit sungai. Pola musiman ZWD dan debit sungai dipengaruhi secara kuat oleh fenomena pertukaran Monsun Asia dan Monsun Australia. Korelasi linier di antara keduanya menunjukkan hasil yang sangat kuat, dimana hampir 90% fluktuasi debit sungai dipengaruhi oleh kandungan uap air di troposfer dengan level signifikansi 95%. Berdasarkan spektrum amplitudo silang dan koherensi, kedua kuantitas ini nampak didominasi oleh siklus monsun satu tahunan disertai indikasi adanya pengaruh siklus tengah tahunan dan 4 bulanan.

scholarly journals HGPT2: An ERA5-Based Global Model to Estimate Relative Humidity

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 2179
Author(s):  
Pedro Mateus ◽  
Virgílio B. Mendes ◽  
Sandra M. Plecha
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor ◽  
Global Navigation Satellite Systems ◽  
International Gnss Service ◽  
Weighted Mean Temperature

The neutral atmospheric delay is one of the major error sources in Space Geodesy techniques such as Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS), and its modeling for high accuracy applications can be challenging. Improving the modeling of the atmospheric delays (hydrostatic and non-hydrostatic) also leads to a more accurate and precise precipitable water vapor estimation (PWV), mostly in real-time applications, where models play an important role, since numerical weather prediction models cannot be used for real-time processing or forecasting. This study developed an improved version of the Hourly Global Pressure and Temperature (HGPT) model, the HGPT2. It is based on 20 years of ERA5 reanalysis data at full spatial (0.25° × 0.25°) and temporal resolution (1-h). Apart from surface air temperature, surface pressure, zenith hydrostatic delay, and weighted mean temperature, the updated model also provides information regarding the relative humidity, zenith non-hydrostatic delay, and precipitable water vapor. The HGPT2 is based on the time-segmentation concept and uses the annual, semi-annual, and quarterly periodicities to calculate the relative humidity anywhere on the Earth’s surface. Data from 282 moisture sensors located close to GNSS stations during 1 year (2020) were used to assess the model coefficients. The HGPT2 meteorological parameters were used to process 35 GNSS sites belonging to the International GNSS Service (IGS) using the GAMIT/GLOBK software package. Results show a decreased root-mean-square error (RMSE) and bias values relative to the most used zenith delay models, with a significant impact on the height component. The HGPT2 was developed to be applied in the most diverse areas that can significantly benefit from an ERA5 full-resolution model.

scholarly journals Forecasting Precipitable Water Vapor Using LSTMs

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mayank Jain ◽  
Shilpa Manandhar ◽  
Yee Hui Lee ◽  
Stefan Winkler ◽  
Soumyabrata Dev
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor

Aerosol optical properties and precipitable water vapor column in the atmosphere of Norway

2015 ◽  
Vol 54 (6) ◽  
pp. 1505 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dennis Muyimbwa ◽  
Øyvind Frette ◽  
Jakob J. Stamnes ◽  
Taddeo Ssenyonga ◽  
Yi-Chun Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Optical Properties ◽  
Water Vapor ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor ◽  
Aerosol Optical Properties

Comparison of ground-based microwave measurements of precipitable water vapor with radiosounding data

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (3) ◽  
pp. 274-281 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. A. Berezin ◽  
Yu. M. Timofeyev ◽  
Ya. A. Virolainen ◽  
K. A. Volkova
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor ◽  
Microwave Measurements
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