scholarly journals Large-Scale Forcing of the Amundsen Sea Low and Its Influence on Sea Ice and West Antarctic Temperature

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (20) ◽  
pp. 8405-8424 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyle R. Clem ◽  
James A. Renwick ◽  
James McGregor
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Circulation Pattern ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
West Antarctica ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Amundsen Sea ◽  
West Antarctic

Abstract Using empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis and atmospheric reanalyses, the principal patterns of seasonal West Antarctic surface air temperature (SAT) and their connection to sea ice and the Amundsen Sea low (ASL) are examined. During austral summer, the leading EOF (EOF1) explains 35% of West Antarctic SAT variability and consists of a widespread SAT anomaly over the continent linked to persistent sea ice concentration anomalies over the Ross and Amundsen Seas from the previous spring. Outside of summer, EOF1 (explaining ~40%–50% of the variability) consists of an east–west dipole over the continent with SAT anomalies over the Antarctic Peninsula opposite those over western West Antarctica. The dipole is tied to variability in the southern annular mode (SAM) and in-phase El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO)/SAM combinations that influence the depth of the ASL over the central Amundsen Sea (near 105°W). The second EOF (EOF2) during autumn, winter, and spring (explaining ~15%–20% of the variability) consists of a dipole shifted approximately 30° west of EOF1 with a widespread SAT anomaly over the continent. During winter and spring, EOF2 is closely tied to variability in ENSO and a tropically forced wave train that influences the ASL in the western Amundsen/eastern Ross Seas (near 135°W) with an opposite-sign circulation anomaly over the Weddell Sea; the ENSO-related circulation brings anomalous thermal advection deep onto the continent. The authors conclude that the ENSO-only circulation pattern is associated with SAT variability across interior West Antarctica, especially during winter and spring, whereas the SAM circulation pattern is associated with an SAT dipole over the continent.

scholarly journals Meteorological Drivers and Large-Scale Climate Forcing of West Antarctic Surface Melt

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 665-684 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryan C. Scott ◽  
Julien P. Nicolas ◽  
David H. Bromwich ◽  
Joel R. Norris ◽  
Dan Lubin
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Climate Forcing ◽  
West Antarctica ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Amundsen Sea ◽  
West Antarctic ◽  
Ice Concentration ◽  
Surface Melt ◽  
Marine Air

Understanding the drivers of surface melting in West Antarctica is crucial for understanding future ice loss and global sea level rise. This study identifies atmospheric drivers of surface melt on West Antarctic ice shelves and ice sheet margins and relationships with tropical Pacific and high-latitude climate forcing using multidecadal reanalysis and satellite datasets. Physical drivers of ice melt are diagnosed by comparing satellite-observed melt patterns to anomalies of reanalysis near-surface air temperature, winds, and satellite-derived cloud cover, radiative fluxes, and sea ice concentration based on an Antarctic summer synoptic climatology spanning 1979–2017. Summer warming in West Antarctica is favored by Amundsen Sea (AS) blocking activity and a negative phase of the southern annular mode (SAM), which both correlate with El Niño conditions in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Extensive melt events on the Ross–Amundsen sector of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) are linked to persistent, intense AS blocking anticyclones, which force intrusions of marine air over the ice sheet. Surface melting is primarily driven by enhanced downwelling longwave radiation from clouds and a warm, moist atmosphere and by turbulent mixing of sensible heat to the surface by föhn winds. Since the late 1990s, concurrent with ocean-driven WAIS mass loss, summer surface melt occurrence has increased from the Amundsen Sea Embayment to the eastern Ross Ice Shelf. We link this change to increasing anticyclonic advection of marine air into West Antarctica, amplified by increasing air–sea fluxes associated with declining sea ice concentration in the coastal Ross–Amundsen Seas.

scholarly journals The Amundsen Sea Low: Variability, Change, and Impact on Antarctic Climate

2016 ◽  
Vol 97 (1) ◽  
pp. 111-121 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. N. Raphael ◽  
G. J. Marshall ◽  
J. Turner ◽  
R. L. Fogt ◽  
D. Schneider ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Ross Sea ◽  
Ice Core ◽  
Meridional Wind ◽  
West Antarctica ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Amundsen Sea ◽  
West Antarctic ◽  
Climate Model Simulations

Abstract The Amundsen Sea low (ASL) is a climatological low pressure center that exerts considerable influence on the climate of West Antarctica. Its potential to explain important recent changes in Antarctic climate, for example, in temperature and sea ice extent, means that it has become the focus of an increasing number of studies. Here, the authors summarize the current understanding of the ASL, using reanalysis datasets to analyze recent variability and trends, as well as ice-core chemistry and climate model projections, to examine past and future changes in the ASL, respectively. The ASL has deepened in recent decades, affecting the climate through its influence on the regional meridional wind field, which controls the advection of moisture and heat into the continent. Deepening of the ASL in spring is consistent with observed West Antarctic warming and greater sea ice extent in the Ross Sea. Climate model simulations for recent decades indicate that this deepening is mediated by tropical variability while climate model projections through the twenty-first century suggest that the ASL will deepen in some seasons in response to greenhouse gas concentration increases.

scholarly journals Stable water isotopes and accumulation rates in the Union Glacier region, West Antarctica over the last 35 years

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kirstin Hoffmann ◽  
Francisco Fernandoy ◽  
Hanno Meyer ◽  
Elizabeth R. Thomas ◽  
Marcelo Aliaga ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
Significant Trend ◽  
Accumulation Rates ◽  
West Antarctica ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
West Antarctic ◽  
Stable Oxygen

Abstract. West Antarctica is well-known as a region that is highly susceptible to atmospheric and oceanic warming. However, due to the lack of long–term and in–situ meteorological observations little is known about the magnitude of the warming and the meteorological conditions in the region at the intersection between the Antarctic Peninsula (AP), the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) and the East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS). Here we present new stable water isotope data (δ18O, δD, d excess) and accumulation rates from firn cores in the Union Glacier (UG) region, located in the Ellsworth Mountains at the northern edge of the WAIS. The firn core stable oxygen isotope composition reveals no statistically significant trend for the period 1980–2014 suggesting that regional changes in near-surface air temperature have been small during the last 35 years. As for stable oxygen isotopes no statistically significant trend has been found for the d excess suggesting overall little change in the main moisture sources and the origin of precipitating air masses for the UG region at least since 1980. Backward trajectory modelling revealed the Weddell Sea sector to be the likely main moisture source region for the study site throughout the year. We found that mean annual δ–values in the UG region are correlated with sea ice concentrations in the northern Weddell Sea, but are not strongly influenced by large-scale modes of climate variability such as the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Only mean annual d excess values are weakly positively correlated with the SAM. On average snow accumulation in the UG region amounts to about 0.25 m w.eq. a−1 between 1980 and 2014. Mean annual snow accumulation has slightly decreased since 1980 (−0.001 m w.eq. a−1, p–value = 0.006). However, snow accumulation at UG is neither correlated with sea ice nor with SAM and ENSO confirming that the large increases in snow accumulation observed on the AP and in other coastal regions of Antarctica have not extended inland to the Ellsworth Mountains. We conclude that the UG region – located in the transition zone between the AP, the WAIS and the EAIS – is exhibiting rather East than West Antarctic climate characteristics.

scholarly journals Sea ice and large-scale atmospheric variability around East Antarctica

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Florence Isaacs
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Climate Variability ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
East Antarctica ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Atmospheric Wave ◽  
Ice Concentration ◽  
Dronning Maud Land

<p><b>​​Antarctica’s sea ice cover is an important component in the global climate system. The variability and recent trends of sea ice concentration are, however, not accurately reproduced by models. Evaluating model performance is hampered because the processes that determine sea ice distribution are not yet well understood, particularly in the East Antarctic region. Here I explore the relationships between recent climate variability and sea ice around East Antarctica, the spatial variability in these relationships, and the impacts that these may have on other aspects of the climate and cryosphere. To achieve this, I analysed satellite-derived HadlSST sea ice concentration (SIC) alongside ERA5 atmospheric reanalysis data for the period between 1979-2018.</b></p> <p>I found that variability in sea ice coverage around East Antarctica was affected by El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), and Zonal Wave 3 (ZW3). Additionally, I found that the influence of each of these modes varied spatially and temporally, and that sea ice variability affected how regional scale climate responded to changes in large-scale circulation. Summer and autumn SIC around Dronning Maud Land between 10°E and 70°E exhibited a statistically significant negative correlation with the Niño 3.4 index. Analysis of ERA5 data suggests that a southward‐propagating atmospheric wave train triggered by SST anomalies in the tropical Pacific extends into Dronning Maud Land and alters sea ice concentration by encouraging meridional airflow. Shifts in meridional flow in Dronning Maud Land affected sea ice thermodynamically, by altering local heat transport and in turn altering sea ice formation and melt. </p> <p>Sea ice around the Western Pacific sector (WPS) of East Antarctica showed a significant association with variability in the IOD and the SAM. The IOD was correlated with SIC in all seasons but summer. The IOD-SIC relationship is likely driven by an IOD-associated atmospheric wave-train which propagates polewards from the tropical Indian Ocean to Wilkes Land, altering regional circulation and in turn affecting SIC through changes to local climate and sea ice transport. The correlation between WPS SIC and the SAM shifts from positive in summer and autumn to negative in winter and spring, and is likely due to the influence of the SAM on katabatic winds and coastal polynyas, which in turn affect SIC. </p> <p>A significant correlation was observed between SIC variability around East Antarctica and precipitation variability across the continent and the near-coastal Southern Ocean. Further analysis showed that SIC affected how continental precipitation responded to large-scale atmospheric circulation, including modes such as ZW3 and the SAM. Specifically, increased southward moisture flux was only associated with increased precipitation in the inland coastal regions of the continent when SIC was anomalously low. These findings suggest that any future decrease in sea ice may result in greater coupling of climate variability with continental precipitation.</p>

Seasonal Relationships between Large-Scale Climate Variability and Antarctic Sea Ice Concentration

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (16) ◽  
pp. 5451-5469 ◽  
Author(s):  
Graham R. Simpkins ◽  
Laura M. Ciasto ◽  
David. W. J. Thompson ◽  
Matthew H. England
Keyword(s):  
Climate Variability ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Enso Cycle ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Ice Concentration

Abstract The observed relationships between anomalous Antarctic sea ice concentration (SIC) and the leading patterns of Southern Hemisphere (SH) large-scale climate variability are examined as a function of season over 1980–2008. Particular emphasis is placed on 1) the interactions between SIC, the southern annular mode (SAM), and El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO); and 2) the contribution of these two leading modes to the 29-yr trends in sea ice. Regression, composite, and principal component analyses highlight a seasonality in SH sea ice–atmosphere interactions, whereby Antarctic sea ice variability exhibits the strongest linkages to the SAM and ENSO during the austral cold season months. As noted in previous work, a dipole in SIC anomalies emerges in relation to the SAM, characterized by centers of action located near the Bellingshausen/Weddell and Amundsen/eastern Ross Seas. The structure and magnitude of this SIC dipole is found to vary considerably as a function of season, consistent with the seasonality of the overlying atmospheric circulation anomalies. Relative to the SAM, the pattern of sea ice anomalies linked to ENSO exhibits a similar seasonality but tends to be weaker in amplitude and more diffuse in structure. The relationships between ENSO and sea ice also exhibit a substantial nonlinear component, highlighting the need to consider both season and phase of the ENSO cycle when diagnosing ENSO–SIC linkages. Trends in SIC over 1980–2008 are not significantly related to trends in either the SAM or ENSO during any season, including austral summer when the trend in the SAM is most pronounced.

scholarly journals Shelf–ocean exchange and hydrography west of the Antarctic Peninsula: a review

2018 ◽  
Vol 376 (2122) ◽  
pp. 20170164 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Moffat ◽  
M. Meredith
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
The West ◽  
West Antarctic ◽  
West Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
The Antarctic

The West Antarctic Peninsula (WAP) is a highly productive marine ecosystem where extended periods of change have been observed in the form of glacier retreat, reduction of sea-ice cover and shifts in marine populations, among others. The physical environment on the shelf is known to be strongly influenced by the Antarctic Circumpolar Current flowing along the shelf slope and carrying warm, nutrient-rich water, by cold waters flooding into the northern Bransfield Strait from the Weddell Sea, by an extensive network of glaciers and ice shelves, and by strong seasonal to inter-annual variability in sea-ice formation and air–sea interactions, with significant modulation by climate modes like El Niño–Southern Oscillation and the Southern Annular Mode. However, significant gaps have remained in understanding the exchange processes between the open ocean and the shelf, the pathways and fate of oceanic water intrusions, the shelf heat and salt budgets, and the long-term evolution of the shelf properties and circulation. Here, we review how recent advances in long-term monitoring programmes, process studies and newly developed numerical models have helped bridge these gaps and set future research challenges for the WAP system. This article is part of the theme issue ‘The marine system of the West Antarctic Peninsula: status and strategy for progress in a region of rapid change’.

scholarly journals Sea ice and large-scale atmospheric variability around East Antarctica

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Florence Isaacs
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Climate Variability ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
East Antarctica ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Atmospheric Wave ◽  
Ice Concentration ◽  
Dronning Maud Land

<p><b>​​Antarctica’s sea ice cover is an important component in the global climate system. The variability and recent trends of sea ice concentration are, however, not accurately reproduced by models. Evaluating model performance is hampered because the processes that determine sea ice distribution are not yet well understood, particularly in the East Antarctic region. Here I explore the relationships between recent climate variability and sea ice around East Antarctica, the spatial variability in these relationships, and the impacts that these may have on other aspects of the climate and cryosphere. To achieve this, I analysed satellite-derived HadlSST sea ice concentration (SIC) alongside ERA5 atmospheric reanalysis data for the period between 1979-2018.</b></p> <p>I found that variability in sea ice coverage around East Antarctica was affected by El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), and Zonal Wave 3 (ZW3). Additionally, I found that the influence of each of these modes varied spatially and temporally, and that sea ice variability affected how regional scale climate responded to changes in large-scale circulation. Summer and autumn SIC around Dronning Maud Land between 10°E and 70°E exhibited a statistically significant negative correlation with the Niño 3.4 index. Analysis of ERA5 data suggests that a southward‐propagating atmospheric wave train triggered by SST anomalies in the tropical Pacific extends into Dronning Maud Land and alters sea ice concentration by encouraging meridional airflow. Shifts in meridional flow in Dronning Maud Land affected sea ice thermodynamically, by altering local heat transport and in turn altering sea ice formation and melt. </p> <p>Sea ice around the Western Pacific sector (WPS) of East Antarctica showed a significant association with variability in the IOD and the SAM. The IOD was correlated with SIC in all seasons but summer. The IOD-SIC relationship is likely driven by an IOD-associated atmospheric wave-train which propagates polewards from the tropical Indian Ocean to Wilkes Land, altering regional circulation and in turn affecting SIC through changes to local climate and sea ice transport. The correlation between WPS SIC and the SAM shifts from positive in summer and autumn to negative in winter and spring, and is likely due to the influence of the SAM on katabatic winds and coastal polynyas, which in turn affect SIC. </p> <p>A significant correlation was observed between SIC variability around East Antarctica and precipitation variability across the continent and the near-coastal Southern Ocean. Further analysis showed that SIC affected how continental precipitation responded to large-scale atmospheric circulation, including modes such as ZW3 and the SAM. Specifically, increased southward moisture flux was only associated with increased precipitation in the inland coastal regions of the continent when SIC was anomalously low. These findings suggest that any future decrease in sea ice may result in greater coupling of climate variability with continental precipitation.</p>

scholarly journals Cryospheric Impacts of Soviet River Diversion Schemes

1984 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 61-68 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Holt ◽  
P. M. Kelly ◽  
B. S. G. Cherry
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Ocean ◽  
River Discharge ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Ice Concentration ◽  
The Arctic Ocean ◽  
The Impact

Soviet plans to divert water from rivers flowing into the Arctic Ocean have led to research into the impact of a reduction in discharge on Arctic sea ice. We consider the mechanisms by which discharge reductions might affect sea-ice cover and then test various hypotheses related to these mechanisms. We find several large areas over which sea-ice concentration correlates significantly with variations in river discharge, supporting two particular hypotheses. The first hypothesis concerns the area where the initial impacts are likely to which is the Kara Sea. Reduced riverflow is associated occur, with decreased sea-ice concentration in October, at the time of ice formation. This is believed to be the result of decreased freshening of the surface layer. The second hypothesis concerns possible effects on the large-scale current system of the Arctic Ocean and, in particular, on the inflow of Atlantic and Pacific water. These effects occur as a result of changes in the strength of northward-flowing gradient currents associated with variations in river discharge. Although it is still not certain that substantial transfers of riverflow will take place, it is concluded that the possibility of significant cryospheric effects and, hence, large-scale climate impact should not be neglected.

scholarly journals Evolution of the Amundsen Sea Polynya, Antarctica, 2016–2021

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Grant J. Macdonald ◽  
Stephen F. Ackley ◽  
Alberto M. Mestas-Nuñez
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Amundsen Sea ◽  
Annual Variations ◽  
Ice Concentration ◽  
Ice Conditions ◽  
Sar Imagery ◽  
Key Sites ◽  
Ice Production

Abstract. Polynyas are key sites of ice production during the winter and are important sites of biological activity and carbon sequestration during the summer. The Amundsen Sea Polynya (ASP) is the fourth largest Antarctic polynya, has recorded the highest primary productivity and lies in an embayment of key oceanographic significance. However, knowledge of its dynamics, and of sub-annual variations in its area and ice production, is limited. In this study we primarily utilize Sentinel-1 SAR imagery, sea ice concentration products and climate reanalysis data, along with bathymetric data, to analyze the ASP over the period November 2016–March 2021. Specifically, we analyze (i) qualitative changes in the ASP's characteristics and dynamics, and quantitative changes in (ii) summer polynya area, (iii) winter polynya area and ice production. From our analysis of SAR imagery we find that ice produced by the ASP becomes stuck in the vicinity of the polynya and sometimes flows back into the polynya, contributing to its closure and limiting further ice production. The polynya forms westward off a persistent chain of grounded icebergs that are located at the site of a bathymetric high. Grounded icebergs also influence the outflow of ice and facilitate the formation of a 'secondary polynya' at times. Additionally, unlike some polynyas, ice produced by the polynya flows westward after formation, along the coast and into the neighboring sea sector. During the summer and early winter, broader regional sea ice conditions can play an important role in the polynya. The polynya opens in all summers, but record-low sea ice conditions in 2016/17 cause it to become part of the open ocean. During the winter, an average of 78 % of ice production occurs in April–May and September–October, but large polynya events often associated with high winds can cause ice production throughout the winter. While passive microwave data or daily sea ice concentration products remain key for analyzing variations in polynya area and ice production, we find that the ability to directly observe and qualitatively analyze the polynya at a high temporal and spatial resolution with Sentinel-1 imagery provides important insights about the behavior of the polynya that are not possible with those datasets.

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