scholarly journals Improved Representation of Surface Spectral Emissivity in a Global Climate Model and Its Impact on Simulated Climate

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (9) ◽  
pp. 3711-3727 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xianglei Huang ◽  
Xiuhong Chen ◽  
Mark Flanner ◽  
Ping Yang ◽  
Daniel Feldman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Spectral Emissivity ◽  
Polar Regions ◽  
Simulated Climate ◽  
Longwave Flux

Surface longwave emissivity can be less than unity and vary significantly with frequency. However, most climate models still assume a blackbody surface in the longwave (LW) radiation scheme of their atmosphere models. This study incorporates realistic surface spectral emissivity into the atmospheric component of the Community Earth System Model (CESM), version 1.1.1, and evaluates its impact on simulated climate. By ensuring consistency of the broadband surface longwave flux across different components of the CESM, the top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) energy balance in the modified model can be attained without retuning the model. Inclusion of surface spectral emissivity, however, leads to a decrease of net upward longwave flux at the surface and a comparable increase of latent heat flux. Global-mean surface temperature difference between the modified and standard CESM simulation is 0.20 K for the fully coupled run and 0.45 K for the slab-ocean run. Noticeable surface temperature differences between the modified and standard CESM simulations are seen over the Sahara Desert and polar regions. Accordingly, the climatological mean sea ice fraction in the modified CESM simulation can be less than that in the standard CESM simulation by as much as 0.1 in some regions. When spectral emissivities of sea ice and open ocean surfaces are considered, the broadband LW sea ice emissivity feedback is estimated to be −0.003 W m−2 K−1, assuming flat ice emissivity as sea ice emissivity, and 0.002 W m−2 K−1, assuming coarse snow emissivity as sea ice emissivity, which are two orders of magnitude smaller than the surface albedo feedback.

scholarly journals Antarctic Ocean and Sea Ice Response to Ozone Depletion: A Two-Time-Scale Problem

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 1206-1226 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Ferreira ◽  
John Marshall ◽  
Cecilia M. Bitz ◽  
Susan Solomon ◽  
Alan Plumb
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Time Scale ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Ozone Hole ◽  
Coupled Models ◽  
Sea Ice Extent

Abstract The response of the Southern Ocean to a repeating seasonal cycle of ozone loss is studied in two coupled climate models and is found to comprise both fast and slow processes. The fast response is similar to the interannual signature of the southern annular mode (SAM) on sea surface temperature (SST), onto which the ozone hole forcing projects in the summer. It comprises enhanced northward Ekman drift, inducing negative summertime SST anomalies around Antarctica, earlier sea ice freeze-up the following winter, and northward expansion of the sea ice edge year-round. The enhanced northward Ekman drift, however, results in upwelling of warm waters from below the mixed layer in the region of seasonal sea ice. With sustained bursts of westerly winds induced by ozone hole depletion, this warming from below eventually dominates over the cooling from anomalous Ekman drift. The resulting slow time-scale response (years to decades) leads to warming of SSTs around Antarctica and ultimately a reduction in sea ice cover year-round. This two-time-scale behavior—rapid cooling followed by slow but persistent warming—is found in the two coupled models analyzed: one with an idealized geometry and the other with a complex global climate model with realistic geometry. Processes that control the time scale of the transition from cooling to warming and their uncertainties are described. Finally the implications of these results are discussed for rationalizing previous studies of the effect of the ozone hole on SST and sea ice extent.

scholarly journals Downscaling the climate change for oceans around Australia

2012 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 425-458 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. A. Chamberlain ◽  
C. Sun ◽  
R. J. Matear ◽  
M. Feng ◽  
S. J. Phipps
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Coupled Models

Abstract. At present, global climate models used to project changes in climate do not resolve mesoscale ocean features such as boundary currents and eddies. These missing features may be important to realistically project the marine impacts of climate change. Here we present a framework for dynamically downscaling coarse climate change projections utilising a global ocean model that resolves these features in the Australian region. The downscaling model used here is ocean-only. The ocean feedback on the air-sea fluxes is explored by restoring to surface temperature and salinity, as well as a calculated feedback to wind stress. These feedback approximations do not replace the need for fully coupled models, but they allow us to assess the sensitivity of the ocean in downscaled climate change simulations. Significant differences are found in sea surface temperature, salinity, stratification and transport between the downscaled projections and those of the climate model. While the magnitude of the climate change differences may vary with the feedback parameterisation used, the patterns of the climate change differences are consistent and develop rapidly indicating they are mostly independent of feedback that ocean differences may have on the air-sea fluxes. Until such a time when it is feasible to regularly run a global climate model with eddy resolution, our framework for ocean climate change downscaling provides an attractive way to explore how climate change may affect the mesoscale ocean environment.

Southern Ocean sea ice and its wider linkages: insights revealed from models and observations

2004 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 387-400 ◽  
Author(s):  
CLAIRE L. PARKINSON
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Polar Region ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Polar Regions ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Positive Feedbacks ◽  
Enhanced Sensitivity

Early conceptual models and global climate model (GCM) simulations both indicated the likelihood of an enhanced sensitivity to climate change in the polar regions, derived from the positive feedbacks brought about by snow and ice. As GCMs developed, however, the expected enhanced sensitivity has been more robust in the North Polar Region than the South Polar Region. Some recent increased-CO2 simulations, for instance, show little change in Southern Ocean sea ice extent and thickness and much less warming in the Southern Ocean region than in the sea ice regions of the Northern Hemisphere. Observations show a highly variable Southern Ocean ice cover that decreased significantly in the 1970s but, overall, has increased since the late 1970s. The increases are non-uniform, and in fact decreases occurred in the last three years of the 1979–2002 satellite record highlighted here. Regionally, the positive trends since the late 1970s are strongest in the Ross Sea, while the trends are negative in the Bellingshausen and Amundsen seas, a pattern that appears in greater spatial detail in maps of trends in the length of the sea ice season. These patterns correspond well with patterns of temperature trends, but there is a substantial way to go before they are understood (and can be modelled) in the full context of global change.

scholarly journals Regional Decadal Climate Predictions Using an Ensemble of WRF Parameterizations Driven by the MIROC5 GCM

2019 ◽  
Vol 58 (3) ◽  
pp. 527-549 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ehud Strobach ◽  
Golan Bel
Keyword(s):  
Surface Layer ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Maximum Surface ◽  
Surface Temperatures

AbstractRegional climate models (RCMs) are expected to provide better representations of the climate dynamics because of their higher spatial resolutions. Here, we generated an ensemble of decadal (2006–36) RCM predictions for the area of Israel, which spans a considerable climatic gradient and comprises complex terrain. We used the WRF Model forced by the MIROC5 global climate model (GCM). The ensemble was generated by choosing different combinations of radiation, microphysics, surface layer, and planetary boundary layer parameterizations. The simulation results were compared with meteorological station data for the first simulated decade. For the minimum surface temperature, all the RCM configurations performed better than the driving GCM, while for the maximum surface temperature, only three out of eight configurations improved the predictions. The RCM configurations had higher errors in predicting the precipitation, but four configurations had comparable errors to the GCM. For the next two decades, the ensemble average predicts an increase of 0.51° and 0.40°C decade−1 for the average daily minimum and maximum surface temperatures, respectively. No significant change is predicted in the precipitation. We found that all the parameterizations affect the predictions of the surface temperatures and precipitation [e.g., the CAM radiation scheme simulates colder temperatures than the RRTM for GCMs (RRTMG)] but the PBL and surface layer scheme has the largest effect on the errors. Spectral nudging was found to have a considerable effect on the deviations of the precipitation predicted by the WRF configurations from the predictions of the GCM and a much smaller effect on the surface temperature predictions.

The MJO-QBO Relationship in a GCM with Stratospheric Nudging

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-69
Author(s):  
Zane Martin ◽  
Clara Orbe ◽  
Shuguang Wang ◽  
Adam Sobel
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Meridional Winds ◽  
Goddard Institute ◽  
Minimal Bias

AbstractObservational studies show a strong connection between the intraseasonal Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) and the stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO): the boreal winter MJO is stronger, more predictable, and has different teleconnections when the QBO in the lower stratosphere is easterly versus westerly. Despite the strength of the observed connection, global climate models do not produce an MJO-QBO link. Here the authors use a current-generation ocean-atmosphere coupled NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies global climate model (Model E2.1) to examine the MJO-QBO link. To represent the QBO with minimal bias, the model zonal mean stratospheric zonal and meridional winds are relaxed to reanalysis fields from 1980-2017. The model troposphere, including the MJO, is allowed to freely evolve. The model with stratospheric nudging captures QBO signals well, including QBO temperature anomalies. However, an ensemble of nudged simulations still lacks an MJO-QBO connection.

scholarly journals Global 3D modelling of Martian CO2 clouds

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christophe Mathé ◽  
Anni Määttänen ◽  
Joachim Audouard ◽  
Constantino Listowski ◽  
Ehouarn Millour ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Martian Atmosphere ◽  
Cloud Formation ◽  
Polar Regions ◽  
Northern Latitudes ◽  
1D Model ◽  
Mesospheric Clouds ◽  
Microphysical Processes

<p>In the Martian atmosphere, carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) clouds have been revealed by numerous instruments around Mars from the beginning of the XXI century. These observed clouds can be distinguished by two kinds involving different formation processes: those formed during the winter in polar regions located in the troposphere, and those formed during the Martian year at low- and mid-northern latitudes located in the mesosphere (Määattänen et al, 2013). Microphysical processes of the formation of these clouds are still not fully understood. However, modeling studies revealed processes necessary for their formation: the requirement of waves that perturb the atmosphere leading to a temperature below the condensation of CO<sub>2</sub> (transient planetary waves for tropospheric clouds (Kuroda et al., 20123), thermal tides (Gonzalez-Galindo et al., 2011) and gravity waves for mesospheric clouds (Spiga et al., 2012)). In the last decade, a state-of-the-art microphysical column (1D) model for CO<sub>2</sub> clouds in a Martian atmosphere was developed at Laboratoire Atmosphères, Observations Spatiales (LATMOS) (Listowski et al., 2013, 2014). We use our full microphysical model of CO<sub>2</sub> cloud formation to investigate the occurrence of these CO<sub>2</sub> clouds by coupling it with the Global Climate Model (GCM) of the Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (LMD) (Forget et al., 1999). We recently activated the radiative impact of CO<sub>2</sub> clouds in the atmosphere. Last modeling results on Martian CO<sub>2</sub> clouds properties and their impacts on the atmosphere will be presented and be compared to observational data.</p>

scholarly journals Assessing the impact of global warming on worldwide open field tomato cultivation through CSIRO-Mk3·0 global climate model

2016 ◽  
Vol 155 (3) ◽  
pp. 407-420 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. S. SILVA ◽  
L. KUMAR ◽  
F. SHABANI ◽  
M. C. PICANÇO
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Global Warming ◽  
Open Field ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Current Model ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
The Impact

SUMMARYTomato (Solanum lycopersicum L.) is one of the most important vegetable crops globally and an important agricultural sector for generating employment. Open field cultivation of tomatoes exposes the crop to climatic conditions, whereas greenhouse production is protected. Hence, global warming will have a greater impact on open field cultivation of tomatoes rather than the controlled greenhouse environment. Although the scale of potential impacts is uncertain, there are techniques that can be implemented to predict these impacts. Global climate models (GCMs) are useful tools for the analysis of possible impacts on a species. The current study aims to determine the impacts of climate change and the major factors of abiotic stress that limit the open field cultivation of tomatoes in both the present and future, based on predicted global climate change using CLIMatic indEX and the A2 emissions scenario, together with the GCM Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO)-Mk3·0 (CS), for the years 2050 and 2100. The results indicate that large areas that currently have an optimum climate will become climatically marginal or unsuitable for open field cultivation of tomatoes due to progressively increasing heat and dry stress in the future. Conversely, large areas now marginal and unsuitable for open field cultivation of tomatoes will become suitable or optimal due to a decrease in cold stress. The current model may be useful for plant geneticists and horticulturalists who could develop new regional stress-resilient tomato cultivars based on needs related to these modelling projections.

Impact of heterogeneous chemistry on the distribution of Glyoxal and Methylglyoxal in the troposphere

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ramiro Checa-Garcia ◽  
Didier Didier Hauglustaine ◽  
Yves Balkanski ◽  
Paola Formenti
Keyword(s):  
Atmospheric Chemistry ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Experimental Simulation ◽  
Heterogeneous Chemistry ◽  
Closed Set ◽  
Sensitivity Studies ◽  
The Tropics

<p>Glyoxal (GL) and methylglyoxal (MGL) are the smallest di-carbonyls present in the atmosphere. They hydrate easily, a process that is followed by an oligomerisation. As a consequence, it is considered that they participate actively in the formation of secondary organic aerosols (SOA) and therefore, they are being introduced in the current climate models with interactive chemistry to assess their importance on atmospheric chemistry. In our study we present the introduction of glyoxal in the INCA global model. A new closed set of gas-phase  reactions is analysed first with a box model. Then the simulated global distribution of glyoxal by the global climate model is compared with satellite observations. We show that the oxidation of volatile organic compounds and acetylene, together with the photolysis of more complex di-carbonyls allows us to reproduce well glyoxal seasonal cycle in the tropics but it requires an additional sink in several northern hemispheric regions. Additional sensitivity studies are being conducted by introducing  GL and MGL interactions with dust and SOA according to new uptake  coefficients obtained by dedicated experiments in the CESAM instrument (Chamber of Experimental Simulation of Atmospheric Multiphases). The effects of these heterogeneous chemistry processes will be quantified in the light of the new chamber measurements  and also evaluated in terms of optical properties of aged dust aerosol  and the changes in direct radiative effects  of the involved aerosol species.</p>

How detailed do cloud microphysics need to be in climate models?

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ulrike Proske ◽  
Sylvaine Ferrachat ◽  
David Neubauer ◽  
Ulrike Lohmann
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Computing Time ◽  
Cloud Microphysics ◽  
Model Response ◽  
Microphysical Processes ◽  
Improved Accuracy

<p>Clouds are of major importance for the climate system, but the radiative forcing resulting from their interaction with aerosols remains uncertain. To improve the representation of clouds in climate models, the parameterisations of cloud microphysical processes (CMPs) have become increasingly detailed. However, more detailed climate models do not necessarily result in improved accuracy for estimates of radiative forcing (Knutti and Sedláček, 2013; Carslaw et al., 2018). On the contrary, simpler formulations are cheaper, sufficient for some applications, and allow for an easier understanding of the respective process' effect in the model.</p><p>This study aims to gain an understanding which CMP parameterisation complexity is sufficient through simplification. We gradually phase out processes such as riming or aggregation from the global climate model ECHAM-HAM, meaning that the processes are only allowed to exhibit a fraction of their effect on the model state. The shape of the model response as a function of the artificially scaled effect of a given process helps to understand the importance of this process for the model response and its potential for simplification. For example, if partially removing a process induces only minor alterations in the present day climate, this process presents as a good candidate for simplification. This may be then further investigated, for example in terms of computing time.<br>The resulting sensitivities to CMP complexity are envisioned to guide CMP model simplifications as well as steer research towards those processes where a more accurate representation proves to be necessary.</p><p> </p><p><br>Carslaw, Kenneth, Lindsay Lee, Leighton Regayre, and Jill Johnson (Feb. 2018). “Climate Models Are Uncertain, but We Can Do Something About It”. In: Eos 99. doi: 10.1029/2018EO093757</p><p>Knutti, Reto and Jan Sedláček (Apr. 2013). “Robustness and Uncertainties in the New CMIP5 Climate Model Projections”. In: Nature Climate Change 3.4, pp. 369–373. doi: 10.1038/nclimate1716</p>

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