Southern Ocean sea ice and its wider linkages: insights revealed from models and observations

2004 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 387-400 ◽  
Author(s):  
CLAIRE L. PARKINSON
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Polar Region ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Polar Regions ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Positive Feedbacks ◽  
Enhanced Sensitivity

Early conceptual models and global climate model (GCM) simulations both indicated the likelihood of an enhanced sensitivity to climate change in the polar regions, derived from the positive feedbacks brought about by snow and ice. As GCMs developed, however, the expected enhanced sensitivity has been more robust in the North Polar Region than the South Polar Region. Some recent increased-CO2 simulations, for instance, show little change in Southern Ocean sea ice extent and thickness and much less warming in the Southern Ocean region than in the sea ice regions of the Northern Hemisphere. Observations show a highly variable Southern Ocean ice cover that decreased significantly in the 1970s but, overall, has increased since the late 1970s. The increases are non-uniform, and in fact decreases occurred in the last three years of the 1979–2002 satellite record highlighted here. Regionally, the positive trends since the late 1970s are strongest in the Ross Sea, while the trends are negative in the Bellingshausen and Amundsen seas, a pattern that appears in greater spatial detail in maps of trends in the length of the sea ice season. These patterns correspond well with patterns of temperature trends, but there is a substantial way to go before they are understood (and can be modelled) in the full context of global change.

scholarly journals Antarctic Ocean and Sea Ice Response to Ozone Depletion: A Two-Time-Scale Problem

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 1206-1226 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Ferreira ◽  
John Marshall ◽  
Cecilia M. Bitz ◽  
Susan Solomon ◽  
Alan Plumb
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Time Scale ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Ozone Hole ◽  
Coupled Models ◽  
Sea Ice Extent

Abstract The response of the Southern Ocean to a repeating seasonal cycle of ozone loss is studied in two coupled climate models and is found to comprise both fast and slow processes. The fast response is similar to the interannual signature of the southern annular mode (SAM) on sea surface temperature (SST), onto which the ozone hole forcing projects in the summer. It comprises enhanced northward Ekman drift, inducing negative summertime SST anomalies around Antarctica, earlier sea ice freeze-up the following winter, and northward expansion of the sea ice edge year-round. The enhanced northward Ekman drift, however, results in upwelling of warm waters from below the mixed layer in the region of seasonal sea ice. With sustained bursts of westerly winds induced by ozone hole depletion, this warming from below eventually dominates over the cooling from anomalous Ekman drift. The resulting slow time-scale response (years to decades) leads to warming of SSTs around Antarctica and ultimately a reduction in sea ice cover year-round. This two-time-scale behavior—rapid cooling followed by slow but persistent warming—is found in the two coupled models analyzed: one with an idealized geometry and the other with a complex global climate model with realistic geometry. Processes that control the time scale of the transition from cooling to warming and their uncertainties are described. Finally the implications of these results are discussed for rationalizing previous studies of the effect of the ozone hole on SST and sea ice extent.

scholarly journals Response of the Northern Hemisphere sea ice to greenhouse forcing in a global climate model

2001 ◽  
Vol 33 ◽  
pp. 513-520 ◽  
Author(s):  
Larissa Nazarenko ◽  
James Hansen ◽  
Nikolai Tausnev ◽  
Reto Ruedy
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
High Sensitivity ◽  
Ice Cover ◽  
Sea Ice Extent

AbstractThe Q.-flux Goddard Institute of Space Studies (GISS) global climate model, in which an atmospheric general circulation model is coupled to a mixed-layer ocean with specified horizontal heat transports, is used to simulate the transient and equilibrium climate response to a gradual increase of carbon dioxide (1% per year increase of CO2 to doubled CO2). The results indicate that the current GISS model has a high sensitivity with a global annual warming of about 4°C for doubled CO2 . Enhanced warming is found at higher latitudes near sea-ice margins due to retreat of sea ice in the greenhouse experiment. Surface warming is larger in winter than in summer, in part because of the reductions in ice cover and thickness that insulate the winter atmosphere from the ocean. The annual mean reduction of sea-ice cover due to doubled CO2 is about 30% for the Northern Hemisphere. The CO2 experiment has a 70% reduction of sea-ice area and 55% thinning of ice in August in the Northern Hemisphere. Noticeable reduction of sea-ice cover has been found in both historical records and satellite observations. The largest reduction of simulated sea-ice extent occurs in summer, consistent with observations.

scholarly journals Improved Representation of Surface Spectral Emissivity in a Global Climate Model and Its Impact on Simulated Climate

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (9) ◽  
pp. 3711-3727 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xianglei Huang ◽  
Xiuhong Chen ◽  
Mark Flanner ◽  
Ping Yang ◽  
Daniel Feldman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Spectral Emissivity ◽  
Polar Regions ◽  
Simulated Climate ◽  
Longwave Flux

Surface longwave emissivity can be less than unity and vary significantly with frequency. However, most climate models still assume a blackbody surface in the longwave (LW) radiation scheme of their atmosphere models. This study incorporates realistic surface spectral emissivity into the atmospheric component of the Community Earth System Model (CESM), version 1.1.1, and evaluates its impact on simulated climate. By ensuring consistency of the broadband surface longwave flux across different components of the CESM, the top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) energy balance in the modified model can be attained without retuning the model. Inclusion of surface spectral emissivity, however, leads to a decrease of net upward longwave flux at the surface and a comparable increase of latent heat flux. Global-mean surface temperature difference between the modified and standard CESM simulation is 0.20 K for the fully coupled run and 0.45 K for the slab-ocean run. Noticeable surface temperature differences between the modified and standard CESM simulations are seen over the Sahara Desert and polar regions. Accordingly, the climatological mean sea ice fraction in the modified CESM simulation can be less than that in the standard CESM simulation by as much as 0.1 in some regions. When spectral emissivities of sea ice and open ocean surfaces are considered, the broadband LW sea ice emissivity feedback is estimated to be −0.003 W m−2 K−1, assuming flat ice emissivity as sea ice emissivity, and 0.002 W m−2 K−1, assuming coarse snow emissivity as sea ice emissivity, which are two orders of magnitude smaller than the surface albedo feedback.

scholarly journals Global 3D modelling of Martian CO2 clouds

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christophe Mathé ◽  
Anni Määttänen ◽  
Joachim Audouard ◽  
Constantino Listowski ◽  
Ehouarn Millour ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Martian Atmosphere ◽  
Cloud Formation ◽  
Polar Regions ◽  
Northern Latitudes ◽  
1D Model ◽  
Mesospheric Clouds ◽  
Microphysical Processes

<p>In the Martian atmosphere, carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) clouds have been revealed by numerous instruments around Mars from the beginning of the XXI century. These observed clouds can be distinguished by two kinds involving different formation processes: those formed during the winter in polar regions located in the troposphere, and those formed during the Martian year at low- and mid-northern latitudes located in the mesosphere (Määattänen et al, 2013). Microphysical processes of the formation of these clouds are still not fully understood. However, modeling studies revealed processes necessary for their formation: the requirement of waves that perturb the atmosphere leading to a temperature below the condensation of CO<sub>2</sub> (transient planetary waves for tropospheric clouds (Kuroda et al., 20123), thermal tides (Gonzalez-Galindo et al., 2011) and gravity waves for mesospheric clouds (Spiga et al., 2012)). In the last decade, a state-of-the-art microphysical column (1D) model for CO<sub>2</sub> clouds in a Martian atmosphere was developed at Laboratoire Atmosphères, Observations Spatiales (LATMOS) (Listowski et al., 2013, 2014). We use our full microphysical model of CO<sub>2</sub> cloud formation to investigate the occurrence of these CO<sub>2</sub> clouds by coupling it with the Global Climate Model (GCM) of the Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (LMD) (Forget et al., 1999). We recently activated the radiative impact of CO<sub>2</sub> clouds in the atmosphere. Last modeling results on Martian CO<sub>2</sub> clouds properties and their impacts on the atmosphere will be presented and be compared to observational data.</p>

scholarly journals Southern Ocean Deep Circulation and Heat Uptake in a High-Resolution Climate Model

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (7) ◽  
pp. 2597-2619 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emily R. Newsom ◽  
Cecilia M. Bitz ◽  
Frank O. Bryan ◽  
Ryan Abernathey ◽  
Peter R. Gent
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Water Mass ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Substantial Reduction ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Heat Uptake ◽  
Water Mass Transformation

Abstract The dynamics of the lower cell of the meridional overturning circulation (MOC) in the Southern Ocean are compared in two versions of a global climate model: one with high-resolution (0.1°) ocean and sea ice and the other a lower-resolution (1.0°) counterpart. In the high-resolution version, the lower cell circulation is stronger and extends farther northward into the abyssal ocean. Using the water-mass-transformation framework, it is shown that the differences in the lower cell circulation between resolutions are explained by greater rates of surface water-mass transformation within the higher-resolution Antarctic sea ice pack and by differences in diapycnal-mixing-induced transformation in the abyssal ocean. While both surface and interior transformation processes work in tandem to sustain the lower cell in the control climate, the circulation is far more sensitive to changes in surface transformation in response to atmospheric warming from raising carbon dioxide levels. The substantial reduction in overturning is primarily attributed to reduced surface heat loss. At high resolution, the circulation slows more dramatically, with an anomaly that reaches deeper into the abyssal ocean and alters the distribution of Southern Ocean warming. The resolution dependence of associated heat uptake is particularly pronounced in the abyssal ocean (below 4000 m), where the higher-resolution version of the model warms 4.5 times more than its lower-resolution counterpart.

scholarly journals The Granular Sea Ice Model in Spherical Coordinates and Its Application to a Global Climate Model

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (24) ◽  
pp. 5946-5961 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Sedlacek ◽  
Jean-François Lemieux ◽  
Lawrence A. Mysak ◽  
L. Bruno Tremblay ◽  
David M. Holland
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Heat Budget ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Internal Heat ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Spherical Coordinates ◽  
Ice Model

Abstract The granular sea ice model (GRAN) from Tremblay and Mysak is converted from Cartesian to spherical coordinates. In this conversion, the metric terms in the divergence of the deviatoric stress and in the strain rates are included. As an application, the GRAN is coupled to the global Earth System Climate Model from the University of Victoria. The sea ice model is validated against standard datasets. The sea ice volume and area exported through Fram Strait agree well with values obtained from in situ and satellite-derived estimates. The sea ice velocity in the interior Arctic agrees well with buoy drift data. The thermodynamic behavior of the sea ice model over a seasonal cycle at one location in the Beaufort Sea is validated against the Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic Ocean (SHEBA) datasets. The thermodynamic growth rate in the model is almost twice as large as the observed growth rate, and the melt rate is 25% lower than observed. The larger growth rate is due to thinner ice at the beginning of the SHEBA period and the absence of internal heat storage in the ice layer in the model. The simulated lower summer melt is due to the smaller-than-observed surface melt.

scholarly journals Sea-ice and North Atlantic climate response to CO2-induced warming and cooling conditions

2006 ◽  
Vol 52 (178) ◽  
pp. 433-439 ◽  
Author(s):  
Larissa Nazarenko ◽  
Nickolai Tausnev ◽  
James Hansen
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Surface Pressure ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Ice Cover ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Normal Surface ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Polar Cell

AbstractUsing a global climate model coupled with an ocean and a sea-ice model, we compare the effects of doubling CO2 and halving CO2 on sea-ice cover and connections with the atmosphere and ocean. An overall warming in the 2 × CO2 experiment causes reduction of sea-ice extent by 15%, with maximum decrease in summer and autumn, consistent with observed seasonal sea-ice changes. The intensification of the Northern Hemisphere circulation is reflected in the positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation (AO), associated with higher-than-normal surface pressure south of about 50° N and lower-than-normal surface pressure over the high northern latitudes. Strengthening the polar cell causes enhancement of westerlies around the Arctic perimeter during winter. Cooling, in the 0.5 × CO2 experiment, leads to thicker and more extensive sea ice. In the Southern Hemisphere, the increase in ice-covered area (28%) dominates the ice-thickness increase (5%) due to open ocean to the north. In the Northern Hemisphere, sea-ice cover increases by only 8% due to the enclosed land/sea configuration, but sea ice becomes much thicker (108%). Substantial weakening of the polar cell due to increase in sea-level pressure over polar latitudes leads to a negative trend of the winter AO index. The model reproduces large year-to-year variability under both cooling and warming conditions.

scholarly journals Northern Hemisphere storminess in the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM1-M)

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (6) ◽  
pp. 8975-9015
Author(s):  
E. M. Knudsen ◽  
J. E. Walsh
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
System Model ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Projected Changes

Abstract. Metrics of storm activity in Northern Hemisphere high- and midlatitudes are evaluated from historical output and future projections by the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM1-M) coupled global climate model. The European Re-Analysis Interim (ERA-Interim) and the Community Climate System Model (CCSM4), a global climate model of the same vintage as NorESM1-M, provide benchmarks for comparison. The focus is on the autumn and early winter (September through December), the period when the ongoing and projected Arctic sea ice retreat is greatest. Storm tracks derived from a vorticity-based algorithm for storm identification are reproduced well by NorESM1-M, although the tracks are somewhat better resolved in the higher-resolution ERA-Interim and CCSM4. The tracks are projected to shift polewards in the future as climate changes under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) forcing scenarios. Cyclones are projected to become generally more intense in the high-latitudes, especially over the Alaskan region, although in some other areas the intensity is projected to decrease. While projected changes in track density are less coherent, there is a general tendency towards less frequent storms in midlatitudes and more frequent storms in high-latitudes, especially the Baffin Bay/Davis Strait region. Autumn precipitation is projected to increase significantly across the entire high-latitudes. Together with the projected increases in storm intensity and sea level and the loss of sea ice, this increase in precipitation implies a greater vulnerability to coastal flooding and erosion, especially in the Alaskan region. The projected changes in storm intensity and precipitation (as well as sea ice and sea level pressure) scale generally linearly with the RCP value of the forcing and with time through the 21st century.

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