scholarly journals Relations between Interannual Variability of Regional-Scale Indonesian Precipitation and Large-Scale Climate Modes during 1960–2007

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (12) ◽  
pp. 5271-5291 ◽  
Author(s):  
Givo Alsepan ◽  
Shoshiro Minobe
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Moisture Flux ◽  
Dry Season ◽  
Wet Season ◽  
Climate Modes ◽  
Eastern Indonesia ◽  
El Niño Modoki

AbstractRegional-scale precipitation responses over Indonesia to major climate modes in the tropical Indo–Pacific Oceans, namely canonical El Niño, El Niño Modoki, and the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD), and how the responses are related to large-scale moisture convergences are investigated. The precipitation responses, analyzed using a high-spatial-resolution (0.5° × 0.5°) terrestrial precipitation dataset for the period 1960–2007, exhibit differences between the dry (July–September) and wet (November–April) seasons. Canonical El Niño strongly reduces precipitation in central to eastern Indonesia from the dry season to the early wet season and northern Indonesia in the wet season. El Niño Modoki also reduces precipitation in central to eastern Indonesia during the dry season, but conversely increases precipitation in western Indonesia in the wet season. Moisture flux analysis indicates that corresponding to the dry (wet) season precipitation reduction due to the canonical El Niño and El Niño Modoki anomalous divergence occurs around the southern (northern) edge of the convergence zone when one of the two edges is located near the equator (10°S–15°N) associated with their seasonal migration. This largely explains the seasonality and regionality of precipitation responses to canonical El Niño and El Niño Modoki. IOD reduces precipitation in southwestern Indonesia in the dry season, associated with anomalous moisture flux divergence. The seasonality of precipitation response to IOD is likely to be controlled by the seasonality of local sea surface temperature anomalies in the eastern pole of the IOD.

Seasonal–Interannual Variation and Prediction of Wet and Dry Season Rainfall over the Maritime Continent: Roles of ENSO and Monsoon Circulation

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (10) ◽  
pp. 3675-3695 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tuantuan Zhang ◽  
Song Yang ◽  
Xingwen Jiang ◽  
Ping Zhao
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Dry Season ◽  
La Niña ◽  
Monsoon Circulation ◽  
Wet Season ◽  
Maritime Continent ◽  
La Nina

Abstract The authors analyze the seasonal–interannual variations of rainfall over the Maritime Continent (MC) and their relationships with El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and large-scale monsoon circulation. They also investigate the predictability of MC rainfall using the hindcast of the U.S. National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2). The seasonal evolution of MC rainfall is characterized by a wet season from December to March and a dry season from July to October. The increased (decreased) rainfall in the wet season is related to the peak-decaying phase of La Niña (El Niño), whereas the increased (decreased) rainfall in the dry season is related to the developing phase of La Niña (El Niño), with an apparent spatial incoherency of the SST–rainfall relationship in the wet season. For extremely wet cases of the wet season, local warm SST also contributes to the above-normal rainfall over the MC except for the western area of the MC due to the effect of the strong East Asian winter monsoon. The CFSv2 shows high skill in predicting the main features of MC rainfall variations and their relationships with ENSO and anomalies of the large-scale monsoon circulation, especially for strong ENSO years. It predicts the rainfall and its related circulation patterns skillfully in advance by several months, especially for the dry season. The relatively lower skill of predicting MC rainfall for the wet season is partly due to the low prediction skill of rainfall over Sumatra, Malay, and Borneo (SMB), as well as the unrealistically predicted relationship between SMB rainfall and ENSO.

scholarly journals Dry-Season Snow Cover Losses in the Andes (18°–40°S) driven by Changes in Large-Scale Climate Modes

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Raul R. Cordero ◽  
Valentina Asencio ◽  
Sarah Feron ◽  
Alessandro Damiani ◽  
Pedro J. Llanillo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Snow Cover ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Average Rate ◽  
Dry Season ◽  
Positive Trend ◽  
Entire Study ◽  
Snow Cover Extent

AbstractThe Andean snowpack is the primary source of water for many communities in South America. We have used Landsat imagery over the period 1986–2018 in order to assess the changes in the snow cover extent across a north-south transect of approximately 2,500 km (18°–40°S). Despite the significant interannual variability, here we show that the dry-season snow cover extent declined across the entire study area at an average rate of about −12% per decade. We also show that this decreasing trend is mainly driven by changes in the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), especially at latitudes lower than 34°S. At higher latitudes (34°–40°S), where the El Niño signal is weaker, snow cover losses appear to be also influenced by the poleward migration of the westerly winds associated with the positive trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

scholarly journals ANALYSIS OF WATER PRODUCTIVITY IN THE BANDA SEA BASED ON REMOTE SENSING SATELLITE DATA

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 25
Author(s):  
Sartono Marpaung ◽  
Risky Faristyawan ◽  
Anang Dwi Purwanto ◽  
Wikanti Asriningrum ◽  
Argo Galih Suhada ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Chlorophyll A ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Dry Season ◽  
La Niña ◽  
Wet Season ◽  
Conservation Areas ◽  
Conservation Area ◽  
Chlorophyll A Concentration ◽  
La Nina

Abstract. This study examines the density of potential fishing zone (PFZ) points and chlorophyll-a concentration in the Banda Sea. The data used are those on chlorophyll-a from the Aqua MODIS satellite, PFZ points from ZAP and the monthly southern oscillation index. The methods used are single image edge detection, polygon center of mass, density function and a Hovmoller diagram. The result of the analysis show that productivity of chlorophyll-a in the Banda Sea is influenced by seasonal factors (dry season and wet season) and ENSO phenomena (El Niño and La Niña). High productivity of chlorophyll-a  occurs during in the dry season with the peak in August, while low productivity occurs in the wet season and the transition period, with the lowest levels in April and December. The variability in chlorophyll-a production is influenced by the global El Niño and La Niña phenomena; production increases during El Niño and decreases during La Niña. Tuna conservation areas have as lower productivity of chlorophyll-a and PFZ point density compared to the northern and southern parts of the Banda Sea. High density PFZ point regions are associated with regions that have higher productivity of chlorophyll-a, namely the southern part of the Banda Sea, while low density PFZ point areas  are associated with regions that have a low productivity of chlorophyll-a, namely tuna conservation areas. The effect of the El Niño phenomenon in increasing chlorophyll-a concentration is stronger in the southern part of study area than in the tuna conservation area. On the other hand, the effect of La Niña phenomenon in decreasing chlorophyll-a concentration is stronger in the tuna conservation area than in the southern and northern parts of the study area. 

scholarly journals Black and brown carbon over central Amazonia: long-term aerosol measurements at the ATTO site

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (17) ◽  
pp. 12817-12843 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jorge Saturno ◽  
Bruna A. Holanda ◽  
Christopher Pöhlker ◽  
Florian Ditas ◽  
Qiaoqiao Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Optical Properties ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Dry Season ◽  
Wet Season ◽  
Aerosol Optical Properties ◽  
Brown Carbon ◽  
Central Amazonia ◽  
Physical And Chemical ◽  
Aerosol Properties

Abstract. The Amazon rainforest is a sensitive ecosystem experiencing the combined pressures of progressing deforestation and climate change. Its atmospheric conditions oscillate between biogenic and biomass burning (BB) dominated states. The Amazon further represents one of the few remaining continental places where the atmosphere approaches pristine conditions during occasional wet season episodes. The Amazon Tall Tower Observatory (ATTO) has been established in central Amazonia to investigate the complex interactions between the rainforest ecosystem and the atmosphere. Physical and chemical aerosol properties have been analyzed continuously since 2012. This paper provides an in-depth analysis of the aerosol's optical properties at ATTO based on data from 2012 to 2017. The following key results have been obtained. The aerosol scattering and absorption coefficients at 637 nm, σsp,637 and σap,637, show a pronounced seasonality with lowest values in the clean wet season (mean ± SD: σsp,637=7.5±9.3 M m−1; σap,637=0.68±0.91 M m−1) and highest values in the BB-polluted dry season (σsp,637=33±25 M m−1; σap,637=4.0±2.2 M m−1). The single scattering albedo at 637 nm, ω0, is lowest during the dry season (ω0=0.87±0.03) and highest during the wet season (ω0=0.93±0.04). The retrieved BC mass absorption cross sections, αabs, are substantially higher than values widely used in the literature (i.e., 6.6 m2 g−1 at 637 nm wavelength), likely related to thick organic or inorganic coatings on the BC cores. Wet season values of αabs=11.4±1.2 m2 g−1 (637 nm) and dry season values of αabs=12.3±1.3 m2 g−1 (637 nm) were obtained. The BB aerosol during the dry season is a mixture of rather fresh smoke from local fires, somewhat aged smoke from regional fires, and strongly aged smoke from African fires. The African influence appears to be substantial, with its maximum from August to October. The interplay of African vs. South American BB emissions determines the aerosol optical properties (e.g., the fractions of black vs. brown carbon, BC vs. BrC). By analyzing the diel cycles, it was found that particles from elevated aerosol-rich layers are mixed down to the canopy level in the early morning and particle number concentrations decrease towards the end of the day. Brown carbon absorption at 370 nm, σap,BrC,370, was found to decrease earlier in the day, likely due to photo-oxidative processes. BC-to-CO enhancement ratios, ERBC, reflect the variability of burnt fuels, combustion phases, and atmospheric removal processes. A wide range of ERBC between 4 and 15 ng m−3 ppb−1 was observed with higher values during the dry season, corresponding to the lowest ω0 levels (0.86–0.93). The influence of the 2009/2010 and 2015/2016 El Niño periods and the associated increased fire activity on aerosol optical properties was analyzed by means of 9-year σsp and σap time series (combination of ATTO and ZF2 data). Significant El Niño-related enhancements were observed: in the dry season, σsp,637 increased from 24±18 to 48±33 M m−1 and σap, 637 from 3.8±2.8 to 5.3±2.5 M m−1. The absorption Ångström exponent, åabs, representing the aerosol absorption wavelength dependence, was mostly <1.0 with episodic increases upon smoke advection. A parameterization of åabs as a function of the BC-to-OA mass ratio for Amazonian aerosol ambient measurements is presented. The brown carbon (BrC) contribution to σap at 370 nm was obtained by calculating the theoretical BC åabs, resulting in BrC contributions of 17 %–29 % (25th and 75th percentiles) to σap 370 for the entire measurement period. The BrC contribution increased to 27 %–47 % during fire events under El Niño-related drought conditions from September to November 2015. The results presented here may serve as a basis to understand Amazonian atmospheric aerosols in terms of their interactions with solar radiation and the physical and chemical-aging processes that they undergo during transport. Additionally, the analyzed aerosol properties during the last two El Niño periods in 2009/2010 and 2015/2016 offer insights that could help to assess the climate change-related potential for forest-dieback feedbacks under warmer and drier conditions.

scholarly journals Variabilitas Curah Hujan Indonesia dan Hubungannya dengan ENSO/IOD: Estimasi Menggunakan Data JRA-25/JCDAS

Agromet ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Rahmat Hidayat ◽  
Kentaro Ando
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Rainfall Variability ◽  
Dry Season ◽  
Japan Meteorological Agency ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Wet Season ◽  
Indonesian Rainfall ◽  
The Impact

Rainfall variability over Indonesia and its relation to El Niño – Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) events were investigated using the Japanese 25-year reanalysis/Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) Climate Data Assimilation System (JRA-25/ JCDAS). The JRA-25 data consistently depicts seasonal variation of Indonesian rainfall with a wet season that peaks at December-January and a dry season that peaks in July-August when the convection belt moved northward. Composite analysis of rainfall, sea surface temperature and low-level wind anomalies have shown that the impact of ENSO/IOD on rainfall variations in Indonesia is clearly dominant during dry season. Drought conditions typically occur during El Niño years when SST anomalies surrounding Indonesia are cool and walker circulation is weakened, resulting in anomalous surface easterlies across Indonesia. In contrast, in the wet season, the weakening of the relationship between ENSO and Indonesian rainfall is linked to the transition between surface southeasterlies to northwesterlies. At this time persistent surface easterly anomalies across Indonesia superimposed on the climatological mean winds during a warm phase of ENSO event acts to reduce the wind speed resulting reduced the negative DJF rainfall anomalies.

scholarly journals Interannual and Interdecadal Rainfall Variations in the Hawaiian Islands*

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (22) ◽  
pp. 4796-4813 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pao-Shin Chu ◽  
Huaiqun Chen
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
Time Scale ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Moisture Flux ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
The North ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Anomalous Surface ◽  
The Difference

Abstract Hawaii rainfall has exhibited both interannual and interdecadal variations. On the interannual time scale, Hawaii tends to be dry during most El Niño events, but low rainfall also occurred in the absence of El Niño. On the interdecadal time scale, Hawaii rainfall is negatively and significantly correlated with the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) signal; an epoch of low rainfall persists from the mid-1970s to 2001, which is preceded by an epoch of high rainfall lasting for nearly 28 yr. Difference patterns in winter [November–December–January–February–March (NDJFM)] rainfall are investigated for composites of extremely dry and wet winters during the dry and wet epochs, respectively. These patterns (i.e., DRY minus WET) are then compared to the difference in constructive match conditions of El Niño and PDO (i.e., El Niño/+PDO minus La Niña/−PDO). Relative to the El Niño/PDO stage, the magnitude of dryness during the rainfall-based stage is enhanced. The corresponding large-scale atmospheric circulation composites are studied. Similar patterns are revealed between these two stages. However, anomalously stronger and deeper sinking motions over Hawaii are revealed in the height–latitude section of the rainfall-based analysis compared to the El Niño/PDO stage. Moreover, an anomalous zonal circulation cell is well established over the subtropical North Pacific with a pronounced descending branch over Hawaii in the rainfall-based stage. The band of anomalous surface westerlies to the north of Hawaii, and the deep sinking motion as well as the anomalously vertically integrated moisture flux divergence over Hawaii are all unfavorable for rainfall in Hawaii.

scholarly journals The Response of Tropical Atmospheric Energy Budgets to ENSO*

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (13) ◽  
pp. 4710-4724 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Mayer ◽  
Kevin E. Trenberth ◽  
Leopold Haimberger ◽  
John T. Fasullo
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Warm Pool ◽  
Smooth Transition ◽  
Energy Budgets ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
El Niño Modoki ◽  
Static Energy ◽  
The Tropics

Abstract The variability of zonally resolved tropical energy budgets in association with El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is investigated. The most recent global atmospheric reanalyses from 1979 to 2011 are employed with removal of apparent discontinuities to obtain best possible temporal homogeneity. The growing length of record allows a more robust analysis of characteristic patterns of variability with cross-correlation, composite, and EOF methods. A quadrupole anomaly pattern is found in the vertically integrated energy divergence associated with ENSO, with centers over the Indian Ocean, the Indo-Pacific warm pool, the eastern equatorial Pacific, and the Atlantic. The smooth transition, particularly of the main maxima of latent and dry static energy divergence, from the western to the eastern Pacific is found to require at least two EOFs to be adequately described. The canonical El Niño pattern (EOF-1) and a transition pattern (EOF-2; referred to as El Niño Modoki by some authors) form remarkably coherent ENSO-related anomaly structures of the tropical energy budget not only over the Pacific but throughout the tropics. As latent and dry static energy divergences show strong mutual cancellation, variability of total energy divergence is smaller and more tightly coupled to local sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies and is mainly related to the ocean heat discharge and recharge during ENSO peak phases. The complexity of the structures throughout the tropics and their evolution during ENSO events along with their interactions with the annual cycle have often not been adequately accounted for; in particular, the El Niño Modoki mode is but part of the overall evolutionary patterns.

scholarly journals Regional-scale changes in diatom distribution in the Humboldt upwelling system as revealed by remote sensing: implications for fisheries

2010 ◽  
Vol 68 (4) ◽  
pp. 729-736 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Jackson ◽  
Heather A. Bouman ◽  
Shubha Sathyendranath ◽  
Emmanuel Devred
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Detection Algorithm ◽  
Larval Survival ◽  
Upwelling System ◽  
Diatom Population ◽  
Engraulis Ringens ◽  
Zooplankton Communities

Abstract Jackson, T., Bouman, H. A., Sathyendranath, S., and Devred, E. 2011. Regional-scale changes in diatom distribution in the Humboldt upwelling system as revealed by remote sensing: implications for fisheries. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 68: 729–736. A diatom-detection algorithm was parametrized for the Humboldt upwelling system using local cruise data that were first validated, then used to create monthly composites of diatom distribution from 0 to 40°S and 90 to 70°W for both normal and El Niño conditions. There was a 50% reduction in the areal extent of diatom-dominated waters during the peak of the 1997 El Niño. The extent of the coastward contraction in the diatom-dominated area varied along the South American coastline. These regional shifts in phyto- and zooplankton communities would have increased food stress on local anchovy (Engraulis ringens) populations and could have contributed to diminished larval survival and landings the following year. A region of strong upwelling over the wide Peruvian continental shelf around 15°S was the only area that maintained a strong diatom population throughout the El Niño; the area may require special protection from fishing pressure in years following an El Niño event.

Migratory Labour from North-Wester Nigeria

Africa ◽  
1957 ◽  
Vol 27 (3) ◽  
pp. 251-261 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Mansell Prothero
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Source Area ◽  
Dry Season ◽  
Labour Migration ◽  
Agricultural Activity ◽  
Wet Season ◽  
The North ◽  
The People ◽  
Limited Scale ◽  
Opening Paragraph

Opening ParagraphReaders of Africa will be well aware of population migration as a characteristic feature of a continent where movement between one part and another is largely unrestricted as compared with the more settled parts of the world. There is much evidence of large-scale tribal migrations in the past, of the age-old seasonal wanderings of herders, and of recent labour migration to centres of mineral and industrial production, the last particularly in Central and South Africa. Information is more limited concerning the features of labour migration in West Africa at the present day. In general it is thought that migrants leave their home areas, after the harvest at the commencement of the dry season, to seek work elsewhere for a period of from three to six months and then return to take up farming with the commencement of the next rains. The major source area for these migrants is to the north of the tenth parallel where the wet season is concentrated into a period of about four months, thus severely restricting agricultural activity. Cultivation during the dry season is possible only on a very limited scale. There is thus a considerable period of the year when the primary economic activity of the people is not possible. It is logical that they should seek work elsewhere.

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