Human-Induced Change in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (15) ◽  
pp. 3068-3073 ◽  
Author(s):  
John C. Fyfe ◽  
Oleg A. Saenko

Abstract Global climate models indicate that the poleward shift of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current observed over recent decades may have been significantly human induced. The poleward shift, along with a significant increase in the transport of water around Antarctica, is predicted to continue into the future. To appreciate the magnitude of the poleward shift it is noted that by century’s end the concomitant shrinking of the Southern Ocean is predicted to displace a volume of water close to that in the entire Arctic Ocean. A simple theory, balancing surface Ekman drift and ocean eddy mixing, explains these changes as the oceanic response to changing wind stress.

Author(s):  
Andrew F Thompson

Although the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) is the longest and the strongest oceanic current on the Earth and is the primary means of inter-basin exchange, it remains one of the most poorly represented components of global climate models. Accurately describing the circulation of the ACC is made difficult owing to the prominent role that mesoscale eddies and jets, oceanic equivalents of atmospheric storms and storm tracks, have in setting the density structure and transport properties of the current. The successes and limitations of different representations of eddy processes in models of the ACC are considered, with particular attention given to how the circulation responds to changes in wind forcing. The dynamics of energetic eddies and topographically steered jets may both temper and enhance the sensitivity of different aspects of the ACC's circulation to changes in climate.


2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (19) ◽  
pp. 5332-5343 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Spence ◽  
John C. Fyfe ◽  
Alvaro Montenegro ◽  
Andrew J. Weaver

Abstract A global climate model with horizontal resolutions in the ocean ranging from relatively coarse to eddy permitting is used to investigate the resolution dependence of the Southern Ocean response to poleward intensifying winds through the past and present centuries. The higher-resolution simulations show poleward migration of distinct ocean fronts associated with a more highly localized near-surface temperature response than in the lower-resolution simulations. The higher-resolution simulations also show increasing southward eddy heat transport, less high-latitude cooling, and greater sea ice loss than the lower-resolution simulations. For all resolutions, from relatively coarse to eddy permitting, there is poleward migration of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current in the Atlantic and the western half of the Indian basin. Finally, zonal transports associated with the Antarctic Circumpolar Current are shown to be sensitive to resolution, and this is discussed in the context of recent observed change.


2010 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 533-558 ◽  
Author(s):  
Graham J. Rickard ◽  
Malcolm J. Roberts ◽  
Michael J.M. Williams ◽  
Alistair Dunn ◽  
Murray H. Smith

AbstractThree models were used to look at the Southern Ocean Ross Sea sector circulation and hydrography. Two were climate models of low (1°) to intermediate resolution (1/3°), and one was an operational high resolution (1/10°) ocean model. Despite model differences (including physics and forcing), mean and monthly variability aspects of off-shelf circulation are consistently represented, and could imply bathymetric constraints. Western and eastern cyclonic gyral systems separated by shallow bathymetry around 180°E redistributing water between the wider Southern Ocean and the Ross Sea are found. Some model seasonal gyral transports increase as the Antarctic Circumpolar Current transport decreases. Model flows at 900 m at the gyral eastern end compare favourably with float data. On-shelf model depth-averaged west–east flow is relatively consistent with that reconstructed from longline fishing records. These flows have components associated with isopycnal gradients in both light and dense waters. The climate models reproduce characteristic isopycnal layer inflections (‘V’s) associated with the observed Antarctic Slope Front and on-shelf deep water formation, and these models transport some 4 Sv of this bottom water northwards across the outer 1000 m shelf isobath. Overall flow complexity suggests care is needed to force regional Ross Sea models.


2020 ◽  
Vol 167 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marina Güller ◽  
Eleonora Puccinelli ◽  
Diego G. Zelaya

1995 ◽  
Vol 21 ◽  
pp. 144-148
Author(s):  
Garth W. Paltridge ◽  
Christopher M. Zweck

A simple steady-state energy and mass-balance model of the Antarctic ice sheet is developed. Basically it is a set of two equations with two unknowns of steady-state height h and potential basal temperature Tb. Tb determines whether, and to what extent, there is liquid water at the base of the ice which in turn affects the values of h and Tb. Simultaneous changes of sea-level temperature and precipitation (changes related to each other as might be expected from global climate models) indicate a maximum in the field of possible steady-state ice volumes which may not be far from the presently observed conditions. The possibility of cyclical variation in ground heat flux associated with convection of water and heat in the continental crust is discussed. The mechanism might be capable of generating cycles of ice-sheet volume with relatively short periods similar to those of Milankovitch forcing.


2019 ◽  
Vol 49 (12) ◽  
pp. 3221-3244 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryan D. Patmore ◽  
Paul R. Holland ◽  
David R. Munday ◽  
Alberto C. Naveira Garabato ◽  
David P. Stevens ◽  
...  

AbstractIn the Southern Ocean the Antarctic Circumpolar Current is significantly steered by large topographic features, and subpolar gyres form in their lee. The geometry of topographic features in the Southern Ocean is highly variable, but the influence of this variation on the large-scale flow is poorly understood. Using idealized barotropic simulations of a zonal channel with a meridional ridge, it is found that the ridge geometry is important for determining the net zonal volume transport. A relationship is observed between ridge width and volume transport that is determined by the form stress generated by the ridge. Gyre formation is also highly reliant on the ridge geometry. A steep ridge allows gyres to form within regions of unblocked geostrophic (f/H) contours, with an increase in gyre strength as the ridge width is reduced. These relationships among ridge width, gyre strength, and net zonal volume transport emerge to simultaneously satisfy the conservation of momentum and vorticity.


1998 ◽  
Vol 27 ◽  
pp. 565-570 ◽  
Author(s):  
William M. Connolley ◽  
Siobhan P. O'Farrell

We compare observed temperature variations in Antarctica with climate-model runs over the last century. The models used are three coupled global climate models (GCMs) — the UKMO, the CSIRO and the MPI forced by the CO2 increases observed over the last century, and an atmospheric model experiment forced with observed sea-surface temperatures and sea-ice extents over the last century. Despite some regions of agreement, in general the GCM runs appear to be incompatible with each other and with the observations, although the short observational record and high natural variability make verification difficult. One of the best places for a more detailed study is the Antarctic Peninsula where the density of stations is higher and station records are longer than elsewhere in Antarctica. Observations show that this area has seen larger temperature rises than anywhere else in Antarctica. None of the three GCMs simulate such large temperature changes in the Peninsula region, in either climate-change runs radiatively forced by CO2 increases or control runs which assess the level of model variability.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sarah Feron ◽  
Raul Cordero

<p>Surface Melt (SM) is one of the factors that contribute to sea level rise; surface meltwater draining through the ice and beneath Antarctic glaciers may cause acceleration in their flow towards the sea. Changes in the frequency of relatively warm days (including heatwaves) can substantially alter the SM variability, thus leading to extreme melting events. By using simulations from 13 Global Climate Models (GCMs) and according to a moderate representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5), here we show that the frequency of extreme SM events (SM90; according to the 90th percentile over the reference period 1961-1990) may significantly increase in coastal areas of West Antarctica; in particular in the Antarctic Peninsula. By the end of the century SM90 estimates are expected to increase from currently 0.10 kg/m2/day to about 0.45 kg/m2/day in the Antarctic Peninsula. Increments in SM90 estimates are not just driven by changes in the average SM, but also by the variability in SM. The latter is expected to increase by around 50% in the Antarctic Peninsula.</p>


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