scholarly journals Simulated Relationships between Regional Temperatures and Large-Scale Circulation: 125 kyr BP (Eemian) and the Preindustrial Period

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (19) ◽  
pp. 4032-4045 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikolaus Groll ◽  
Martin Widmann ◽  
Julie M. Jones ◽  
Frank Kaspar ◽  
Stephan J. Lorenz

Abstract To investigate relationships between large-scale circulation and regional-scale temperatures during the last (Eemian) interglacial, a simulation with a general circulation model (GCM) under orbital forcing conditions of 125 kyr BP is compared with a simulation forced with the Late Holocene preindustrial conditions. Consistent with previous GCM simulations for the Eemian, higher northern summer 2-m temperatures are found, which are directly related to the different insolation. Differences in the mean circulation are evident such as, for instance, stronger northern winter westerlies toward Europe, which are associated with warmer temperatures in central and northeastern Europe in the Eemian simulation, while the circulation variability, analyzed by means of a principal component analysis of the sea level pressure (SLP) field, is very similar in both periods. As a consequence of the differences in the mean circulation the simulated Arctic Oscillation (AO) temperature signal in the northern winter, on interannual-to-multidecadal time scales, is weaker during the Eemian than today over large parts of the Northern Hemisphere. Correlations between the AO index and the central European temperature (CET) decrease by about 0.2. The winter and spring SLP anomalies over the North Atlantic/European domain that are most strongly linearly linked to the CET cover a smaller area and are shifted westward over the North Atlantic during the Eemian. However, the strength of the connection between CET and these SLP anomalies is similar in both simulations. The simulated differences in the AO temperature signal and in the SLP anomaly, which is linearly linked to the CET, suggest that during the Eemian the link between the large-scale circulation and temperature-sensitive proxy data from Europe may differ from present-day conditions and that this difference should be taken into account when inferring large-scale climate from temperature-sensitive proxy data.

2006 ◽  
Vol 36 (1) ◽  
pp. 64-86 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dagmar Kieke ◽  
Monika Rhein ◽  
Lothar Stramma ◽  
William M. Smethie ◽  
Deborah A. LeBel ◽  
...  

Abstract Chlorofluorocarbon (component CFC-11) and hydrographic data from 1997, 1999, and 2001 are presented to track the large-scale spreading of the Upper Labrador Sea Water (ULSW) in the subpolar gyre of the North Atlantic Ocean. ULSW is CFC rich and comparatively low in salinity. It is located on top of the denser “classical” Labrador Sea Water (LSW), defined in the density range σΘ = 27.68–27.74 kg m−3. It follows spreading pathways similar to LSW and has entered the eastern North Atlantic. Despite data gaps, the CFC-11 inventories of ULSW in the subpolar North Atlantic (40°–65°N) could be estimated within 11%. The inventory increased from 6.0 ± 0.6 million moles in 1997 to 8.1 ± 0.6 million moles in 1999 and to 9.5 ± 0.6 million moles in 2001. CFC-11 inventory estimates were used to determine ULSW formation rates for different periods. For 1970–97, the mean formation rate resulted in 3.2–3.3 Sv (Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1). To obtain this estimate, 5.0 million moles of CFC-11 located in 1997 in the ULSW in the subtropical/tropical Atlantic were added to the inventory of the subpolar North Atlantic. An estimate of the mean combined ULSW/LSW formation rate for the same period gave 7.6–8.9 Sv. For the years 1998–99, the ULSW formation rate solely based on the subpolar North Atlantic CFC-11 inventories yielded 6.9–9.2 Sv. At this time, the lack of classical LSW formation was almost compensated for by the strongly pronounced ULSW formation. Indications are presented that the convection area needed in 1998–99 to form this amount of ULSW exceeded the available area in the Labrador Sea. The Irminger Sea might be considered as an additional region favoring ULSW formation. In 2000–01, ULSW formation weakened to 3.3–4.7 Sv. Time series of layer thickness based on historical data indicate that there exists considerable variability of ULSW and classical LSW formation on decadal scales.


2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (24) ◽  
pp. 8771-8790 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tiina Nygård ◽  
Rune G. Graversen ◽  
Petteri Uotila ◽  
Tuomas Naakka ◽  
Timo Vihma

Abstract This study gives a comprehensive picture of how atmospheric large-scale circulation is related to moisture transport and to distributions of moisture, clouds, and surface downward longwave radiation in the Arctic in winter. Anomaly distributions of the abovementioned variables are compared in 30 characteristic wintertime atmospheric circulation regimes, which are allocated from 15 years (2003–17) of mean sea level pressure data of ERA-Interim reanalysis applying the self-organizing map method. The characteristic circulation regimes are further related to known climate indices—the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the Arctic Oscillation (AO), and Greenland blocking index—as well as to a frequent high pressure pattern across the Arctic Ocean from Siberia to North America, herein called the Arctic bridge. Effects of large-scale circulation on moisture, cloud, and longwave radiation are to a large extent occurring through the impact of horizontal moisture transport. Evaporation is typically not efficient enough to shape those distributions, and much of the moisture evaporated in the Arctic is transported southward. The positive phase of the NAO and AO increases moisture and clouds in northern Europe and the eastern North Atlantic Ocean, and a strong Greenland blocking typically increases those in the southwest of Greenland. When the Arctic bridge is lacking, the amount of moisture, clouds, and downward longwave radiation is anomalously high near the North Pole. Our results reveal a strong dependence of moisture, clouds, and longwave radiation on atmospheric pressure fields, which also appears to be important from a climate change perspective.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
William K. Dewar ◽  
Quentin Jamet ◽  
Bruno Deremble ◽  
Nicolas Wienders

<p>The flow of energy in the wind-driven circulation is examined in a <br>combined theoretical and numerical study. Based on a multiple scales <br>analysis of the ocean interior, we find the mesoscale field is strongly <br>affected by the ventilated thermocline, but no feed back from the eddies <br>to the large scale is found.  We then analyze the western boundary <br>region arguing that the associated currents divide between coastal jets, <br>which conserve mean energy, and open ocean, separated jet extensions<br>where the mesoscale is energized by the mean field.   It is the <br>separated jet zone where the primary loss of general circulation energy <br>to the mesoscale occurs.  Connections to the `Thickness Weighted <br>Average' form of the primitive equations are made which support the <br>differing roles of the eddies in these regions.  These ideas are then <br>tested by an analysis of a regional primitive equation 1/12-degree <br>numerical model of the North Atlantic. The predictions of the theory are <br>generally supported by the numerical results.  The one exception is that <br>topographic irregularities in the coastal jet spawn eddies, although <br>they contribute modestly to the energy budget.  We therefore conclude <br>the primary sink of wind input into the mean circulation is in the <br>separated jet, and not the interior.  The analysis also shows<br>wind forcing is much smaller than the interior energy fluxes. Thus, the <br>general circulation is characterized as recirculating energy in the <br>manner of a Fofonoff gyre.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alvise Aranyossy ◽  
Sebastian Brune ◽  
Lara Hellmich ◽  
Johanna Baehr

<p>We analyse the connections between the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the eddy-driven jet stream with the mid-latitude cyclonic activity over the North Atlantic and Europe. We investigate, through the comparison against ECMWF ERA5 and hindcast simulations from the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM), the potential for enhancement of the seasonal prediction skill of the Eddy Kinetic Energy (EKE) by accounting for the connections between large-scale climate and the regional cyclonic activity. Our analysis focuses on the wintertime months (December-March) in the 1979-2019 period, with seasonal predictions initialized every November 1st. We calculate EKE from wind speeds at 250 hPa, which we use as a proxy for cyclonic activity. The zonal and meridional wind speeds are bandpass filtered with a cut-off at 3-10 days to fit with the average lifespan of mid-latitude cyclones. </p><p>Preliminary results suggest that in ERA5, major positive anomalies in EKE, both in quantity and duration, are correlated with a northern position of the jet stream and a positive phase of the NAO. Apparently, a deepened Icelandic low-pressure system offers favourable conditions for mid-latitude cyclones in terms of growth and average lifespan. In contrast, negative anomalies in EKE over the North Atlantic and Central Europe are associated with a more equatorward jet stream, these are also linked to a negative phase of the NAO.  Thus, in ERA5, the eddy-driven jet stream and the NAO play a significant role in the spatial and temporal distribution of wintertime mid-latitude cyclonic activity over the North Atlantic and Europe. We extend this connection to the MPI-ESM hindcast simulations and present an analysis of their predictive skill of EKE for wintertime months.</p>


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huiting Mao ◽  
Dolly Hall ◽  
Zhuyun Ye ◽  
Ying Zhou ◽  
Dirk Felton ◽  
...  

Abstract. The impact of large-scale circulation on urban gaseous elemental mercury (GEM) was investigated through analysis of 2008–2015 measurement data from an urban site in New York City (NYC), New York, USA. Distinct annual cycles were observed in 2009–2010 with mixing ratios in warm seasons (i.e. spring–summer) 10–20 ppqv (~ 10 %–25 %) higher than in cool seasons (i.e. fall–winter). This annual cycle was disrupted in 2011 by an anomalously strong influence of the North American trough in that warm season and was reproduced in 2014 with annual amplitude enhanced up to ~ 70 ppqv associated with a particularly strong Bermuda High. North American trough axis index (TAI) and intensity index (TII) were used to characterize the effect of the North American trough on NYC GEM especially in winter and summer. The intensity and position of the Bermuda High had a significant impact on GEM in warm seasons supported by a strong correlation (r reaching 0.96, p 


2017 ◽  
Vol 47 (10) ◽  
pp. 2419-2427 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel B. Whitt ◽  
John R. Taylor

AbstractAtmospheric storms are an important driver of changes in upper-ocean stratification and small-scale (1–100 m) turbulence. Yet, the modifying effects of submesoscale (0.1–10 km) motions in the ocean mixed layer on stratification and small-scale turbulence during a storm are not well understood. Here, large-eddy simulations are used to study the coupled response of submesoscale and small-scale turbulence to the passage of an idealized autumn storm, with a wind stress representative of a storm observed in the North Atlantic above the Porcupine Abyssal Plain. Because of a relatively shallow mixed layer and a strong downfront wind, existing scaling theory predicts that submesoscales should be unable to restratify the mixed layer during the storm. In contrast, the simulations reveal a persistent and strong mean stratification in the mixed layer both during and after the storm. In addition, the mean dissipation rate remains elevated throughout the mixed layer during the storm, despite the strong mean stratification. These results are attributed to strong spatial variability in stratification and small-scale turbulence at the submesoscale and have important implications for sampling and modeling submesoscales and their effects on stratification and turbulence in the upper ocean.


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