scholarly journals Continental Runoff into the Oceans (1950–2008)

2015 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 1502-1520 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elizabeth A. Clark ◽  
Justin Sheffield ◽  
Michelle T. H. van Vliet ◽  
Bart Nijssen ◽  
Dennis P. Lettenmaier
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Water Cycle ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Hydrologic Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Infiltration Capacity ◽  
Continental Scale ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Continental Runoff

Abstract A common term in the continental and oceanic components of the global water cycle is freshwater discharge to the oceans. Many estimates of the annual average global discharge have been made over the past 100 yr with a surprisingly wide range. As more observations have become available and continental-scale land surface model simulations of runoff have improved, these past estimates are cast in a somewhat different light. In this paper, a combination of observations from 839 river gauging stations near the outlets of large river basins is used in combination with simulated runoff fields from two implementations of the Variable Infiltration Capacity land surface model to estimate continental runoff into the world’s oceans from 1950 to 2008. The gauges used account for ~58% of continental areas draining to the ocean worldwide, excluding Greenland and Antarctica. This study estimates that flows to the world’s oceans globally are 44 200 (±2660) km3 yr−1 (9% from Africa, 37% from Eurasia, 30% from South America, 16% from North America, and 8% from Australia–Oceania). These estimates are generally higher than previous estimates, with the largest differences in South America and Australia–Oceania. Given that roughly 42% of ocean-draining continental areas are ungauged, it is not surprising that estimates are sensitive to the land surface and hydrologic model (LSM) used, even with a correction applied to adjust for model bias. The results show that more and better in situ streamflow measurements would be most useful in reducing uncertainties, in particular in the southern tip of South America, the islands of Oceania, and central Africa.

scholarly journals Coupling between the JULES land-surface scheme and the CCATT-BRAMS atmospheric chemistry model (JULES-CCATT-BRAMS1.0): applications to numerical weather forecasting and the CO<sub>2</sub> budget in South America

2013 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 453-494 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. S. Moreira ◽  
S. R. Freitas ◽  
J. P. Bonatti ◽  
L. M. Mercado ◽  
N. M. É. Rosário ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Atmospheric Chemistry ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Amazon Basin ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Weather Forecasting ◽  
Dew Point ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Co2 Concentrations ◽  
Wide Range

Abstract. This article presents the development of a new numerical system denominated JULES-CCATT-BRAMS, which resulted from the coupling of the JULES surface model to the CCATT-BRAMS atmospheric chemistry model. The performance of this system in relation to several meteorological variables (wind speed at 10 m, air temperature at 2 m, dew point temperature at 2 m, pressure reduced to mean sea level and 6 h accumulated precipitation) and the CO2 concentration above an extensive area of South America is also presented, focusing on the Amazon basin. The evaluations were conducted for two periods, the wet (March) and dry (September) seasons of 2010. The statistics used to perform the evaluation included bias (BIAS) and root mean squared error (RMSE). The errors were calculated in relation to observations at conventional stations in airports and automatic stations. In addition, CO2 concentrations in the first model level were compared with meteorological tower measurements and vertical CO2 profiles were compared with aircraft data. The results of this study show that the JULES model coupled to CCATT-BRAMS provided a significant gain in performance in the evaluated atmospheric fields relative to those simulated by the LEAF (version 3) surface model originally utilized by CCATT-BRAMS. Simulations of CO2 concentrations in Amazonia and a comparison with observations are also discussed and show that the system presents a gain in performance relative to previous studies. Finally, we discuss a wide range of numerical studies integrating coupled atmospheric, land surface and chemistry processes that could be produced with the system described here. Therefore, this work presents to the scientific community a free tool, with good performance in relation to the observed data and re-analyses, able to produce atmospheric simulations/forecasts at different resolutions, for any period of time and in any region of the globe.

scholarly journals Diagnosing hydrological limitations of a land surface model: application of JULES to a deep-groundwater chalk basin

2016 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 143-159 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Le Vine ◽  
A. Butler ◽  
N. McIntyre ◽  
C. Jackson
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Expert Knowledge ◽  
Water Cycle ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Deep Groundwater ◽  
Resolution Model ◽  
Terrestrial Water ◽  
Water Redistribution ◽  
Types Of Information

Abstract. Land surface models (LSMs) are prospective starting points to develop a global hyper-resolution model of the terrestrial water, energy, and biogeochemical cycles. However, there are some fundamental limitations of LSMs related to how meaningfully hydrological fluxes and stores are represented. A diagnostic approach to model evaluation and improvement is taken here that exploits hydrological expert knowledge to detect LSM inadequacies through consideration of the major behavioural functions of a hydrological system: overall water balance, vertical water redistribution in the unsaturated zone, temporal water redistribution, and spatial water redistribution over the catchment's groundwater and surface-water systems. Three types of information are utilized to improve the model's hydrology: (a) observations, (b) information about expected response from regionalized data, and (c) information from an independent physics-based model. The study considers the JULES (Joint UK Land Environmental Simulator) LSM applied to a deep-groundwater chalk catchment in the UK. The diagnosed hydrological limitations and the proposed ways to address them are indicative of the challenges faced while transitioning to a global high resolution model of the water cycle.

scholarly journals ORCHIDEE-ROUTING: A new river routing scheme using a high resolution hydrological database

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Trung Nguyen-Quang ◽  
Jan Polcher ◽  
Agnès Ducharne ◽  
Thomas Arsouze ◽  
Xudong Zhou ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Anthropogenic Impacts ◽  
Computational Cost ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Routing Scheme ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
River Routing

Abstract. This study presents a revised river routing scheme (RRS) for the Organising Carbon and Hydrology in Dynamic Ecosystems (ORCHIDEE) land surface model. The revision is carried out to benefit from the high resolution topography provided the Hydrological data and maps based on SHuttle Elevation Derivatives at multiple Scales (HydroSHEDS), processed to a resolution of approximately 1 kilometer. The RRS scheme of the ORCHIDEE uses a unit-to-unit routing concept which allows to preserve as much of the hydrological information of the HydroSHEDS as the user requires. The evaluation focuses on 12 rivers of contrasted size and climate which contribute freshwater to the Mediterranean Sea. First, the numerical aspect of the new RRS is investigated, to identify the practical configuration offering the best trade-off between computational cost and simulation quality for ensuing validations. Second, the performance of the revised scheme is evaluated against observations at both monthly and daily timescales. The new RRS captures satisfactorily the seasonal variability of river discharges, although important biases come from the water budget simulated by the ORCHIDEE model. The results highlight that realistic streamflow simulations require accurate precipitation forcing data and a precise river catchment description over a wide range of scales, as permitted by the new RRS. Detailed analyses at the daily timescale show promising performances of this high resolution RRS for replicating river flow variation at various frequencies. Eventually, this RRS is well adapted for further developments in the ORCHIDEE land surface model to assess anthropogenic impacts on river processes (e.g. damming for irrigation operation).

Adjoint retrieval of prognostic land surface model variables for an NWP model: Assimilation of ground surface temperature

2010 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Diandong Ren
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Soil Temperature ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Surface Soil ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Initial Guess ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Soil Moisture Condition ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Surface Soil Temperature

AbstractBased on a 2-layer land surface model, a rather general variational data assimilation framework for estimating model state variables is developed. The method minimizes the error of surface soil temperature predictions subject to constraints imposed by the prediction model. Retrieval experiments for soil prognostic variables are performed and the results verified against model simulated data as well as real observations for the Oklahoma Atmospheric Surface layer Instrumentation System (OASIS). The optimization scheme is robust with respect to a wide range of initial guess errors in surface soil temperature (as large as 30 K) and deep soil moisture (within the range between wilting point and saturation). When assimilating OASIS data, the scheme can reduce the initial guess error by more than 90%, while for Observing Simulation System Experiments (OSSEs), the initial guess error is usually reduced by over four orders of magnitude.Using synthetic data, the robustness of the retrieval scheme as related to information content of the data and the physical meaning of the adjoint variables and their use in sensitivity studies are investigated. Through sensitivity analysis, it is confirmed that the vegetation coverage and growth condition determine whether or not the optimally estimated initial soil moisture condition leads to an optimal estimation of the surface fluxes. This reconciles two recent studies.With the real data experiments, it is shown that observations during the daytime period are the most effective for the retrieval. Longer assimilation windows result in more accurate initial condition retrieval, underlining the importance of information quantity, especially for schemes assimilating noisy observations.

scholarly journals ORCHIDEE-ROUTING: revising the river routing scheme using a high-resolution hydrological database

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 4965-4985 ◽  
Author(s):  
Trung Nguyen-Quang ◽  
Jan Polcher ◽  
Agnès Ducharne ◽  
Thomas Arsouze ◽  
Xudong Zhou ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Anthropogenic Impacts ◽  
Computational Cost ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Routing Scheme ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
River Routing

Abstract. The river routing scheme (RRS) in the Organising Carbon and Hydrology in Dynamic Ecosystems (ORCHIDEE) land surface model is a valuable tool for closing the water cycle in a coupled environment and for validating the model performance. This study presents a revision of the RRS of the ORCHIDEE model that aims to benefit from the high-resolution topography provided by the Hydrological data and maps based on SHuttle Elevation Derivatives at multiple Scales (HydroSHEDS), which is processed to a resolution of approximately 1 km. Adapting a new algorithm to construct river networks, the new RRS in ORCHIDEE allows for the preservation of as much of the hydrological information from HydroSHEDS as the user requires. The evaluation focuses on 12 rivers of contrasting size and climate which contribute freshwater to the Mediterranean Sea. First, the numerical aspect of the new RRS is investigated, in order to identify the practical configuration offering the best trade-off between computational cost and simulation quality for ensuing validations. Second, the performance of the new scheme is evaluated against observations at both monthly and daily timescales. The new RRS satisfactorily captures the seasonal variability of river discharge, although important biases stem from the water budget simulated by the ORCHIDEE model. The results highlight that realistic streamflow simulations require accurate precipitation forcing data and a precise river catchment description over a wide range of scales, as permitted by the new RRS. Detailed analyses at the daily timescale show the promising performance of this high-resolution RRS with respect to replicating river flow variation at various frequencies. Furthermore, this RRS may also eventually be well adapted for further developments in the ORCHIDEE land surface model to assess anthropogenic impacts on river processes (e.g. damming for irrigation operation).

Hydrologic Sensitivities of Colorado River Runoff to Changes in Precipitation and Temperature*

2012 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 932-949 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julie A. Vano ◽  
Tapash Das ◽  
Dennis P. Lettenmaier
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Colorado River ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Annual Runoff ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Fractional Change ◽  
Infiltration Capacity ◽  
Community Land Model ◽  
Runoff Change

Abstract The Colorado River is the primary water source for much of the rapidly growing southwestern United States. Recent studies have projected reductions in Colorado River flows from less than 10% to almost 50% by midcentury because of climate change—a range that has clouded potential management responses. These differences in projections are attributable to variations in climate model projections but also to differing land surface model (LSM) sensitivities. This second contribution to uncertainty—specifically, variations in LSM runoff change with respect to precipitation (elasticities) and temperature (sensitivities)—are evaluated here through comparisons of multidecadal simulations from five commonly used LSMs (Catchment, Community Land Model, Noah, Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting model, and Variable Infiltration Capacity model) all applied over the Colorado River basin at ⅛° latitude by longitude spatial resolution. The annual elasticity of modeled runoff (fractional change in annual runoff divided by fractional change in annual precipitation) at Lees Ferry ranges from two to six for the different LSMs. Elasticities generally are higher in lower precipitation and/or runoff regimes; hence, the highest values are for models biased low in runoff production, and the range of elasticities is reduced to two to three when adjusted to current runoff climatology. Annual temperature sensitivities (percent change in annual runoff per degree change in annual temperature) range from declines of 2% to as much as 9% per degree Celsius increase at Lees Ferry. For some LSMs, small areas, primarily at midelevation, have increasing runoff with increasing temperature; however, on a spatial basis, most sensitivities are negative.

scholarly journals Diagnosing hydrological limitations of a Land Surface Model: application of JULES to a deep-groundwater chalk basin

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 7541-7582
Author(s):  
N. Le Vine ◽  
A. Butler ◽  
N. McIntyre ◽  
C. Jackson
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Expert Knowledge ◽  
Water Cycle ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Deep Groundwater ◽  
Resolution Model ◽  
Terrestrial Water ◽  
Water Redistribution ◽  
Types Of Information

Abstract. Land Surface Models (LSMs) are prospective starting points to develop a global hyper-resolution model of the terrestrial water, energy and biogeochemical cycles. However, there are some fundamental limitations of LSMs related to how meaningfully hydrological fluxes and stores are represented. A diagnostic approach to model evaluation is taken here that exploits hydrological expert knowledge to detect LSM inadequacies through consideration of the major behavioural functions of a hydrological system: overall water balance, vertical water redistribution in the unsaturated zone, temporal water redistribution and spatial water redistribution over the catchment's groundwater and surface water systems. Three types of information are utilised to improve the model's hydrology: (a) observations, (b) information about expected response from regionalised data, and (c) information from an independent physics-based model. The study considers the JULES (Joint UK Land Environmental Simulator) LSM applied to a deep-groundwater chalk catchment in the UK. The diagnosed hydrological limitations and the proposed ways to address them are indicative of the challenges faced while transitioning to a global high resolution model of the water cycle.

scholarly journals Understanding the Impacts of Soil Moisture Initial Conditions on NWP in the Context of Land–Atmosphere Coupling

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (5) ◽  
pp. 793-819 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph A. Santanello Jr. ◽  
Patricia Lawston ◽  
Sujay Kumar ◽  
Eli Dennis
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Coupled Models ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Soil Moisture Initialization

Abstract The role of soil moisture in NWP has gained more attention in recent years, as studies have demonstrated impacts of land surface states on ambient weather from diurnal to seasonal scales. However, soil moisture initialization approaches in coupled models remain quite diverse in terms of their complexity and observational roots, while assessment using bulk forecast statistics can be simplistic and misleading. In this study, a suite of soil moisture initialization approaches is used to generate short-term coupled forecasts over the U.S. Southern Great Plains using NASA’s Land Information System (LIS) and NASA Unified WRF (NU-WRF) modeling systems. This includes a wide range of currently used initialization approaches, including soil moisture derived from “off the shelf” products such as atmospheric models and land data assimilation systems, high-resolution land surface model spinups, and satellite-based soil moisture products from SMAP. Results indicate that the spread across initialization approaches can be quite large in terms of soil moisture conditions and spatial resolution, and that SMAP performs well in terms of heterogeneity and temporal dynamics when compared against high-resolution land surface model and in situ soil moisture estimates. Case studies are analyzed using the local land–atmosphere coupling (LoCo) framework that relies on integrated assessment of soil moisture, surface flux, boundary layer, and ambient weather, with results highlighting the critical role of inherent model background biases. In addition, simultaneous assessment of land versus atmospheric initial conditions in an integrated, process-level fashion can help address the question of whether improvements in traditional NWP verification statistics are achieved for the right reasons.

Water Cycle Extremes in the GRACE and GRACE-FO Data Record

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew Rodell ◽  
Bailing Li
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Water Mass ◽  
Water Cycle ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Drought Event ◽  
Terrestrial Water Storage ◽  
Data Record ◽  
Terrestrial Water ◽  
Hydrological Droughts

&lt;p&gt;A unique aspect of satellite gravimetry is its ability to quantify changes in all water stored at all depths on and beneath the land surface.&amp;#160; Hence, GRACE and GRACE-FO are well suited for quantifying both hydrological droughts, when terrestrial water storage (TWS) is low, and pluvial events, when TWS is high.&amp;#160; In this study we use GRACE and GRACE-FO data assimilation within a land surface model to fill the 1-year gap between the two missions and to replace other missing data.&amp;#160; We apply a cluster analysis approach to identify the locations and extents of TWS extreme events in resulting data record.&amp;#160; We then rank these events based on their intensity, i.e., the integral of the non-seasonal water mass anomaly over the period of the event. &amp;#160;In this presentation we report on the largest wet and dry events over each continent.&amp;#160; During the period of study, Africa, North America, and Australia each had a wet event with an intensity that exceeded 10,000 km&lt;sup&gt;3&lt;/sup&gt; * month, although the 2010-2012 event in Australia can largely be attributed to a depressed baseline TWS during the period caused by the millennial drought.&amp;#160; With 30 more years of data it is probable that the intensity of that drought would have been greater than the recovery and wet event during 2010-2012.&amp;#160; As it stands, the biggest drought event was determined to be one occurred in South America during 2015-2016, with an intensity of over 10,000 km&lt;sup&gt;3&lt;/sup&gt; * month.&lt;/p&gt;

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