scholarly journals Statistical Downscaling of Gridded Wind Speed Data Using Local Topography

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 335-348 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam Winstral ◽  
Tobias Jonas ◽  
Nora Helbig

Abstract Winds, particularly high winds, strongly affect snowmelt and snow redistribution. High winds during rain-on-snow events can lead to catastrophic flooding while strong redistribution events in mountain environments can generate dangerous avalanche conditions. To provide adequate warnings, accurate wind data are required. Yet, mountain wind fields exhibit a high degree of heterogeneity at small spatial lengths that are not resolved by currently available gridded forecast data. Wind data from over 200 stations across Switzerland were used to evaluate two forecast surface wind products (~2- and 7-km horizontal resolution) and develop a statistical downscaling technique to capture these finer-scaled heterogeneities. Wind exposure metrics derived from a 25-m horizontal resolution digital elevation model effectively segregated high, moderate, and low wind speed sites. Forecast performance was markedly compromised and biased low at the exposed sites and biased high at the sheltered, valley sites. It was also found that the variability of predicted wind speeds at these sites did not accurately represent the observed variability. A novel optimization scheme that accounted for local terrain structure while also nudging the forecasted distributions to better match the observed distributions and variability was developed. The resultant statistical downscaling technique notably decreased biases across a range of elevations and exposures and provided a better match to observed wind speed distributions.

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 80-88
Author(s):  
Waluyo Waluyo ◽  
Meli Ruslinar

The microcontroller is one technology that is developing so rapidly with various types and functions, one of which is Arduino Uno which can be used as a microcontroller for various functions in the field of electronics technology. This research was conducted at the Laboratory of Ocean Engineering Modeling, Marine and Fisheries Polytechnic of Karawang in March-June 2020. The purpose of this study was to create a microcontroller-based sea surface wind speed measuring instrument. Based on the results of the acquisition of wind data using a fan simulation and natural wind gusts with different wind speeds in the field show a significant tool response. The results of the comparison of data recording between the results of research with the existing wind speed measuring instrument show that there is an average tool error of 3.24%, a relative error of 3.78%, and an instrument accuracy rate of 96.76%. Thus it can be said that the ability of the tool is able to record wind data with high accuracy.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vadim Rezvov ◽  
Mikhail Krinitskiy ◽  
Alexander Gavrikov ◽  
Sergey Gulev

<p>Surface winds — both wind speed and vector wind components — are fields of fundamental climatic importance. The character of surface winds greatly influences (and is influenced by) surface exchanges of momentum, energy, and matter. These wind fields are of interest in their own right, particularly concerning the characterization of wind power density and wind extremes. Surface winds are influenced by small-scale features such as local topography and thermal contrasts. That is why accurate high-resolution prediction of near‐surface wind fields is a topic of central interest in various fields of science and industry. Statistical downscaling is the way for inferring information on physical quantities at a local scale from available low‐resolution data. It is one of the ways to avoid costly high‐resolution simulations. Statistical downscaling connects variability of various scales using statistical prediction models. This approach is fundamentally data-driven and can only be applied in locations where observations have been taken for a sufficiently long time to establish the statistical relationship. Our study considered statistical downscaling of surface winds (both wind speed and vector wind components) in the North Atlantic. Deep learning methods are among the most outstanding examples of state‐of‐the‐art machine learning techniques that allow approximating sophisticated nonlinear functions. In our study, we applied various approaches involving artificial neural networks for statistical downscaling of near‐surface wind vector fields. We used ERA-Interim reanalysis as low-resolution data and RAS-NAAD dynamical downscaling product (14km grid resolution) as a high-resolution target. We compared statistical downscaling results to those obtained with bilinear/bicubic interpolation with respect to downscaling quality. We investigated how network complexity affects downscaling performance. We will demonstrate the preliminary results of the comparison and propose the outlook for further development of our methods.</p><p>This work was undertaken with financial support by the Russian Science Foundation grant № 17-77-20112-P.</p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (22) ◽  
pp. 4501
Author(s):  
Yuan Gao ◽  
Jie Zhang ◽  
Changlong Guan ◽  
Jian Sun

The spaceborne synthetic aperture radar (SAR) cross-polarization signal remains sensitive to sea surface wind speed with high signal-to-noise ratio under tropical cyclone (TC) conditions. It has the capability of observing TC intensity and size information over the ocean with large coverage and high spatial resolution. In this paper, TC wind distribution characteristics were studied based on SAR images. We collected 41 Sentinel-1A/B cross-polarization images covering TC eye, which were acquired between 2016 and 2020. For each case, sea surface wind speeds were retrieved by the modified MS1A model in a spatial resolution of 1 km. After deriving the value and location of maximum wind speed, wind fields were simulated symmetrically within a 200 km radius. Two new methodologies were proposed to calculate the decay index and the symmetry index based on the retrieved and simulated wind fields. Characteristics of the two indices were analyzed with respect to maximum wind. In addition, the maximum and averaged wind speeds of the right, back and left side of the motion direction were compared with TC intensity and storm motion speed. Statistical results indicate that right-side wind speed is the strongest for maximum and average, the wind difference between the left and right side is dependent on storm motion speed.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ludovic Thobois ◽  
Anselme Troiville ◽  
Laurie Pontreau

<p>Scanning Wind Doppler lidars are more and more used for operational applications for which the retrieval of wind vectors and the turbulence quantities at specific points or at high resolution in an area of interest can bring valuable information. For retrieving volume wind data, many techniques can be used to retrieve wind vectors from the combination of radial wind data at different distances and lines of sight, as the well-known Volume Velocity Processing (VVP) technique, developed formerly for Doppler Radars. Although More sophisticated techniques based on the coupling with computational fluid dynamic models exist. e, a processing based on the VVP technique, called the Volume Wind processing (VW) has been developed. This algorithm includes a Single Value Decomposition algorithm that ensures a robust filtering of the retrieved wind data, and then high accuracy and precision. In addition, radial velocity variance (RVV) algorithm has been developped to remove the constant wind speed over a scan to provide fields of turbulent radial wind speeds. Those fields can be averaged and their variances can be computed to determine the averaged turbulent radial wind speeds as well as its deviation.</p><p>In this study, the principle and the validation of the VW algorithm will be presented at different sites (offshore, rural, and urban) against reference anemometers will be firstly presented. The bias and precision on 10 minutes averaged wind speed obtained are both about 0.5 m/s. The results reveal that the accuracy is significantly better for winds along lidar beam and precision better for larger samples of instantaneous wind speeds in the averaging time. Finally, the Volume Wind and the Radial Velocity Variance algorithms have then been applied to datasets of several months measured with Windcube Scanning Lidars at two different sites characterized by complex terrain and buildings. The data processed by the algorithms are analyzed to better understand the heterogeneities of the wind fields and its variations in time. </p>


2013 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 159-174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Craig Miller ◽  
Michael Gibbons ◽  
Kyle Beatty ◽  
Auguste Boissonnade

Abstract In this study the impacts of the topography of Bermuda on the damage patterns observed following the passage of Hurricane Fabian over the island on 5 September 2003 are considered. Using a linearized model of atmospheric boundary layer flow over low-slope topography that also incorporates a model for changes of surface roughness, sets of directionally dependent wind speed adjustment factors were calculated for the island of Bermuda. These factors were then used in combination with a time-stepping model for the open water wind field of Hurricane Fabian derived from the Hurricane Research Division Real-Time Hurricane Wind Analysis System (H*Wind) surface wind analyses to calculate the maximum 1-min mean wind speed at locations across the island for the following conditions: open water, roughness changes only, and topography and roughness changes combined. Comparison of the modeled 1-min mean wind speeds and directions with observations from a site on the southeast coast of Bermuda showed good agreement between the two sets of values. Maximum open water wind speeds across the entire island showed very little variation and were of category 2 strength on the Saffir–Simpson scale. While the effects of surface roughness changes on the modeled wind speeds showed very little correlation with the observed damage, the effect of the underlying topography led to maximum modeled wind speeds of category 4 strength being reached in highly localized areas on the island. Furthermore, the observed damage was found to be very well correlated with these regions of topographically enhanced wind speeds, with a very clear trend of increasing damage with increasing wind speeds.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Natalia Pillar da Silva ◽  
Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha ◽  
Natália Machado Crespo ◽  
Ricardo de Camargo ◽  
Jose Antonio Moreira Lima ◽  
...  

<p>This study aims to evaluate how extreme winds (above the 95th percentile) are represented in a downscaling using the regional model WRF over the CORDEX South American domain in an approximate 25 km (0.22 degrees) horizontal resolution, along with CFSR as input. The main focus of the analysis resides over the coastal Brazilian region, given a large number of offshore structures from oil and gas industries subject to impact by severe events. Model results are compared with a reanalysis product (ERA5),  estimates from satellites product (Cross-Calibrated Multi-Platform Wind Speed), and available buoy data (Brazilian National Buoy Project). Downscaling results from WRF show an underestimation of maximum and extreme wind speeds over the region when compared to all references, along with overestimation in the continental areas. This directly impacts results for extreme value estimation for a larger return period and severity evaluation of extreme wind events in future climate projections. To address this, a correction procedure based on the linear relationship between severe wind from satellite and model results is applied. After linearly corrected, the extreme and maximum wind speed values increase and errors in the representation of severe events are reduced in the downscaling results.</p>


2006 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 984-994 ◽  
Author(s):  
Konosuke Sugiura ◽  
Tetsuo Ohata ◽  
Daqing Yang

Abstract Intercomparison of solid precipitation measurement at Barrow, Alaska, has been carried out to examine the catch characteristics of various precipitation gauges in high-latitude regions with high winds and to evaluate the applicability of the WMO precipitation correction procedures. Five manual precipitation gauges (Canadian Nipher, Hellmann, Russian Tretyakov, U.S. 8-in., and Wyoming gauges) and a double fence intercomparison reference (DFIR) as an international reference standard have been installed. The data collected in the last three winters indicates that the amount of solid precipitation is characteristically low, and the zero-catch frequency of the nonshielded gauges is considerably high, 60%–80% of precipitation occurrences. The zero catch in high-latitude high-wind regions becomes a significant fraction of the total precipitation. At low wind speeds, the catch characteristics of the gauges are roughly similar to the DFIR, although it is noteworthy that the daily catch ratios decreased more rapidly with increasing wind speed compared to the WMO correction equations. The dependency of the daily catch ratios on air temperature was confirmed, and the rapid decrease in the daily catch ratios is due to small snow particles caused by the cold climate. The daily catch ratio of the Wyoming gauge clearly shows wind-induced losses. In addition, the daily catch ratios are considerably scattered under strong wind conditions due to the influence of blowing snow. This result suggests that it is not appropriate to extrapolate the WMO correction equations for the shielded gauges in high-latitude regions for high wind speed of over 6 m s−1.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 153 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuan Gao ◽  
Changlong Guan ◽  
Jian Sun ◽  
Lian Xie

In contrast to co-polarization (VV or HH) synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images, cross-polarization (CP for VH or HV) SAR images can be used to retrieve sea surface wind speeds larger than 20 m/s without knowing the wind directions. In this paper, a new wind speed retrieval model is proposed for European Space Agency (ESA) Sentinel-1A (S-1A) Extra-Wide swath (EW) mode VH-polarized images. Nineteen S-1A images under tropical cyclone condition observed in the 2016 hurricane season and the matching data from the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) radiometer are collected and divided into two datasets. The relationships between normalized radar cross-section (NRCS), sea surface wind speed, wind direction and radar incidence angle are analyzed for each sub-band, and an empirical retrieval model is presented. To correct the large biases at the center and at the boundaries of each sub-band, a corrected model with an incidence angle factor is proposed. The new model is validated by comparing the wind speeds retrieved from S-1A images with the wind speeds measured by SMAP. The results suggest that the proposed model can be used to retrieve wind speeds up to 35 m/s for sub-bands 1 to 4 and 25 m/s for sub-band 5.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christoph Schlager ◽  
Gottfried Kirchengast ◽  
Juergen Fuchsberger ◽  
Alexander Kann ◽  
Heimo Truhetz

Abstract. Empirical high-resolution surface wind fields, automatically generated by a weather diagnostic application, the WegenerNet Wind Product Generator (WPG), were intercompared with wind field analysis data from the Integrated Nowcasting through Comprehensive Analysis (INCA) system and with dynamical climate model wind field data from the non-hydrostatic climate model COSMO-CLM. The INCA analysis fields are available at a horizontal grid spacing of 1 km x 1 km, whereas the COSMO model fields are from simulations at a 3 km x 3 km grid. The WPG, developed by Schlager et al. (2017, 2018), generates diagnostic fields at a high resolution grid of 100 m x 100 m, using observations from two dense meteorological station networks: The WegenerNet Feldbach Region (FBR) and its alpine sister network, the WegenerNet Johnsbachtal (JBT). The high-density WegenerNet FBR is located in southeastern Styria, Austria, a region predominated by a hilly terrain and small differences in altitude. The network consists of more than 150 meteorological stations. The WegenerNet JBT contains eleven meteorological stations at elevations ranging from about 600 m to 2200 m in a mountainous region in northern Styria. The wind fields of these different empirical/dynamical modeling approaches were intercompared for thermally induced and strong wind events, using hourly temporal resolutions as supplied by the WPG, with the focus on evaluating spatial differences and displacements between the different datasets. For this comparison, a novel neighborhood-based spatial wind verification methodology based on fractions skill socres (FSS) is used to estimate the modeling performances. All comparisons show an increasing FSS with increasing neighborhood size. In general, the spatial verification indicates a better statistical agreement for the hilly WegenerNet FBR than for the mountainous WegenerNet JBT. The results for the WegenerNet FBR show a better agreement between INCA and WegenerNet than between COSMO and WegenerNet wind fields, especially for large scales (neighborhoods). In particular, COSMO-CLM clearly underperforms in case of thermally induced wind events. For the JBT region, all spatial comparisons indicate little overlap at small neighborhood sizes and in general large biases of wind vectors occur between the dynamical (COSMO) and analysis (INCA) fields and the diagnostic (WegenerNet) reference dataset. Furthermore, gridpoint-based error measures were calculated for the same evaluation cases. The statistical agreement, estimated for the vector-mean wind speed and wind directions show again a better agreement for the WegenerNet FBR than for the WegenerNet JBT region. In general, the difference between modeled and observed wind directions is smaller for strong wind speed events than for thermally induced ones. A combined examination of all spatial and gridpoint-based error measures shows that COSMO-CLM with its limited horizontal resolution of 3 km x 3 km and hence, a too smoothed orography, is not able to represent small-scale wind patterns. The results for the JBT region indicate that the INCA analysis fields generally overestimate wind speeds in the summit regions. For strong wind speed events the wind speed in the valleys is underestimated by INCA, however. Regarding the WegenerNet diagnostic wind fields, the statistics show decent performance in the FBR and somewhat overestimated wind speeds for strong wind speed events in the Enns valley of the JBT region.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 2034 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hongsu Liu ◽  
Shuanggen Jin ◽  
Qingyun Yan

Ocean surface wind speed is an essential parameter for typhoon monitoring and forecasting. However, traditional satellite and buoy observations are difficult to monitor the typhoon due to high cost and low temporal-spatial resolution. With the development of spaceborne GNSS-R technology, the cyclone global navigation satellite system (CYGNSS) with eight satellites in low-earth orbit provides an opportunity to measure the ocean surface wind speed of typhoons. Though observations are made at the extremely efficient spatial and temporal resolution, its accuracy and reliability are unclear in an actual super typhoon case. In this study, the wind speed variations over the life cycle of the 2018 Typhoon Mangkhut from CYGNSS observations were evaluated and compared with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Re-Analysis-5 (ERA-5). The results show that the overall root-mean-square error (RMSE) of CYGNSS versus ECMWF was 4.12 m/s, the mean error was 1.36 m/s, and the correlation coefficient was 0.96. For wind speeds lower and greater than 15 m/s, the RMSE of CYGNSS versus ECMWF were 1.02 and 4.36 m/s, the mean errors were 0.05 and 1.61 m/s, the correlation coefficients were 0.91 and 0.90, and the average relative errors were 9.8% and 11.6%, respectively. When the typhoon reached a strong typhoon or super typhoon, the RMSE of CYGNSS with respect to ERA-5 from ECMWF was 5.07 m/s; the mean error was 3.57 m/s; the correlation coefficient was 0.52 and the average relative error was 11.0%. The CYGNSS estimation had higher precision for wind speeds below 15 m/s, but degraded when the wind speed was above 15 m/s.


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