Improving Rain/No-Rain Detection Skill by Merging Precipitation Estimates from Different Sources

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (10) ◽  
pp. 2419-2429
Author(s):  
Jianzhi Dong ◽  
Wade T. Crow ◽  
Rolf Reichle
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Probabilistic Framework ◽  
Detection Error ◽  
Land Surface Modeling ◽  
Precipitation Occurrence ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Precipitation Estimates ◽  
Global Precipitation ◽  
Different Sources

AbstractRain/no-rain detection error is a key source of uncertainty in regional and global precipitation products that propagates into offline hydrological and land surface modeling simulations. Such detection error is difficult to evaluate and/or filter without access to high-quality reference precipitation datasets. For cases where such access is not available, this study proposes a novel approach for improved rain/no-rain detection. Based on categorical triple collocation (CTC) and a probabilistic framework, a weighted merging algorithm (CTC-M) is developed to combine noisy, but independent, precipitation products into an optimal binary rain/no-rain time series. Compared with commonly used approaches that directly apply the best parent product for rain/no-rain detection, the superiority of CTC-M is demonstrated analytically and numerically using spatially dense precipitation measurements over Europe. Our analysis also suggests that CTC-M is tolerant to a range of cross-correlated rain/no-rain detection errors and detection biases of the parent products. As a result, CTC-M will benefit global precipitation estimation by improving the representation of precipitation occurrence in gauge-based and multisource merged precipitation products.

scholarly journals PERSIANN-CCS-CDR, a 3-hourly 0.04° global precipitation climate data record for heavy precipitation studies

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mojtaba Sadeghi ◽  
Phu Nguyen ◽  
Matin Rahnamay Naeini ◽  
Kuolin Hsu ◽  
Dan Braithwaite ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Resolution ◽  
Heavy Precipitation ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Spatiotemporal Resolution ◽  
Data Record ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Precipitation Estimates ◽  
Global Precipitation ◽  
Climate Data Record

AbstractAccurate long-term global precipitation estimates, especially for heavy precipitation rates, at fine spatial and temporal resolutions is vital for a wide variety of climatological studies. Most of the available operational precipitation estimation datasets provide either high spatial resolution with short-term duration estimates or lower spatial resolution with long-term duration estimates. Furthermore, previous research has stressed that most of the available satellite-based precipitation products show poor performance for capturing extreme events at high temporal resolution. Therefore, there is a need for a precipitation product that reliably detects heavy precipitation rates with fine spatiotemporal resolution and a longer period of record. Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks-Cloud Classification System-Climate Data Record (PERSIANN-CCS-CDR) is designed to address these limitations. This dataset provides precipitation estimates at 0.04° spatial and 3-hourly temporal resolutions from 1983 to present over the global domain of 60°S to 60°N. Evaluations of PERSIANN-CCS-CDR and PERSIANN-CDR against gauge and radar observations show the better performance of PERSIANN-CCS-CDR in representing the spatiotemporal resolution, magnitude, and spatial distribution patterns of precipitation, especially for extreme events.

scholarly journals Validation of CHIRPS Precipitation Estimates over Taiwan at Multiple Timescales

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 254 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Hsu ◽  
Wan-Ru Huang ◽  
Pin-Yi Liu ◽  
Xiuzhen Li
Keyword(s):  
Annual Cycle ◽  
Interannual Variation ◽  
Winter Precipitation ◽  
Monthly Precipitation ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Precipitation Estimates ◽  
Precipitation Variation ◽  
Global Precipitation ◽  
Multiple Timescale ◽  
Better Than

The Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS), which incorporates satellite imagery and in situ station information, is a new high-resolution long-term precipitation dataset available since 1981. This study aims to understand the performance of the latest version of CHIRPS in depicting the multiple timescale precipitation variation over Taiwan. The analysis is focused on examining whether CHIRPS is better than another satellite precipitation product—the Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Mission (GPM) final run (hereafter IMERG)—which is known to effectively capture the precipitation variation over Taiwan. We carried out the evaluations made for annual cycle, seasonal cycle, interannual variation, and daily variation during 2001–2019. Our results show that IMERG is slightly better than CHIRPS considering most of the features examined; however, CHIRPS performs better than that of IMERG in representing the (1) magnitude of the annual cycle of monthly precipitation climatology, (2) spatial distribution of the seasonal mean precipitation for all four seasons, (3) quantitative precipitation estimation of the interannual variation of area-averaged winter precipitation in Taiwan, and (4) occurrence frequency of the non-rainy grids in winter. Notably, despite the fact that CHIRPS is not better than IMERG for many examined features, CHIRPS can depict the temporal variation in precipitation over Taiwan on annual, seasonal, and interannual timescales with 95% significance. This highlights the potential use of CHIRPS in studying the multiple timescale variation in precipitation over Taiwan during the years 1981–2000, for which there are no data available in the IMERG database.

scholarly journals First-Year Evaluation of GPM Rainfall over the Netherlands: IMERG Day 1 Final Run (V03D)

2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (11) ◽  
pp. 2799-2814 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. F. Rios Gaona ◽  
A. Overeem ◽  
H. Leijnse ◽  
R. Uijlenhoet
Keyword(s):  
The Netherlands ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission ◽  
Ground Truth ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
First Year ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
High Resolution Data ◽  
Precipitation Estimates ◽  
Global Precipitation

Abstract The Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission is the successor to the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM), which orbited Earth for ~17 years. With Core Observatory launched on 27 February 2014, GPM offers global precipitation estimates between 60°N and 60°S at 0.1° × 0.1° resolution every 30 min. Unlike during the TRMM era, the Netherlands is now within the coverage provided by GPM. Here the first year of GPM rainfall retrievals from the 30-min gridded Integrated Multisatellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) product Day 1 Final Run (V03D) is assessed. This product is compared against gauge-adjusted radar rainfall maps over the land surface of the Netherlands at 30-min, 24-h, monthly, and yearly scales. These radar rainfall maps are considered to be ground truth. The evaluation of the first year of IMERG operations is done through time series, scatterplots, empirical exceedance probabilities, and various statistical indicators. In general, there is a tendency for IMERG to slightly underestimate (2%) countrywide rainfall depths. Nevertheless, the relative underestimation is small enough to propose IMERG as a reliable source of precipitation data, especially for areas where rain gauge networks or ground-based radars do not offer these types of high-resolution data and availability. The potential of GPM for rainfall estimation in a midlatitude country is confirmed.

scholarly journals Upscaling methane emission hotspots in boreal peatlands

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 8519-8546
Author(s):  
F. Cresto Aleina ◽  
B. R. K. Runkle ◽  
T. Brücher ◽  
T. Kleinen ◽  
V. Brovkin
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Methane Emissions ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Rcp Scenarios ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Land Surface Modeling ◽  
Boreal Peatlands ◽  
Peatland Hydrology ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Micro Topography

Abstract. Upscaling the properties and the effects of small-scale surface heterogeneities to larger scales is a challenging issue in land surface modeling. We developed a novel approach to upscale local methane emissions in a boreal peatland from the micro-topographic scale to the landscape-scale. We based this new parameterization on the analysis of the water table pattern generated by the Hummock–Hollow model, a micro-topography resolving model for peatland hydrology. We introduce this parameterization of methane hotspots in a global model-like version of the Hummock–Hollow model, that underestimates methane emissions. We tested the robustness of the parameterization by simulating methane emissions for the next century forcing the model with three different RCP scenarios. The Hotspot parameterization, despite being calibrated for the 1976–2005 climatology, mimics the output of the micro-topography resolving model for all the simulated scenarios. The new approach bridges the scale gap of methane emissions between this version of the model and the configuration explicitly resolving micro-topography.

scholarly journals Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (cGANs) for Near Real-Time Precipitation Estimation from Multispectral GOES-16 Satellite Imageries—PERSIANN-cGAN

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (19) ◽  
pp. 2193 ◽  
Author(s):  
Negin Hayatbini ◽  
Bailey Kong ◽  
Kuo-lin Hsu ◽  
Phu Nguyen ◽  
Soroosh Sorooshian ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Probability Of Detection ◽  
Generative Adversarial Networks ◽  
Generative Adversarial Network ◽  
Convolutional Network ◽  
Critical Success ◽  
Adversarial Network ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Precipitation Estimates ◽  
Global Precipitation

In this paper, we present a state-of-the-art precipitation estimation framework which leverages advances in satellite remote sensing as well as Deep Learning (DL). The framework takes advantage of the improvements in spatial, spectral and temporal resolutions of the Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) onboard the GOES-16 platform along with elevation information to improve the precipitation estimates. The procedure begins by first deriving a Rain/No Rain (R/NR) binary mask through classification of the pixels and then applying regression to estimate the amount of rainfall for rainy pixels. A Fully Convolutional Network is used as a regressor to predict precipitation estimates. The network is trained using the non-saturating conditional Generative Adversarial Network (cGAN) and Mean Squared Error (MSE) loss terms to generate results that better learn the complex distribution of precipitation in the observed data. Common verification metrics such as Probability Of Detection (POD), False Alarm Ratio (FAR), Critical Success Index (CSI), Bias, Correlation and MSE are used to evaluate the accuracy of both R/NR classification and real-valued precipitation estimates. Statistics and visualizations of the evaluation measures show improvements in the precipitation retrieval accuracy in the proposed framework compared to the baseline models trained using conventional MSE loss terms. This framework is proposed as an augmentation for PERSIANN-CCS (Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Network- Cloud Classification System) algorithm for estimating global precipitation.

Improving Precipitation Retrieval by Brightness Temperature Temporal Variation (ΔTB): Definition, Computation, and Application

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yalei You ◽  
Christa Peters-Lidard ◽  
Stephen Munchak ◽  
Sarah Ringerud
Keyword(s):  
Temporal Variation ◽  
Brightness Temperature ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Microwave Radiometer ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Surface Emissivity ◽  
Time Dimension ◽  
Precipitation Measurement ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Global Precipitation

<p>Current microwave precipitation retrieval algorithms utilize the instantaneous brightness temperature (TB) from a single satellite to estimate the precipitation rate. This study proposed to add the time-dimension into the precipitation estimation process by using the TB (or emissivity) temporal variation (ΔTB or Δe) derived from the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) microwave radiometer constellation.  Results showed that (1) ΔTB can improve the precipitation estimation over the cold surfaces (i.e., snow-covered region) through minimizing the microwave land surface emissivity’s influence; (2) Δe under the clear-sky conditions can accurately estimate the daily rainfall accumulation; and (3) ΔTB can be used to identify the liquid raindrop signature over the low surface emissivity areas. This study highlights the importance of maintaining the current passive microwave satellite constellation.</p>

scholarly journals A Novel Approach to Identify Sources of Errors in IMERG for GPM Ground Validation

2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (9) ◽  
pp. 2477-2491 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jackson Tan ◽  
Walter A. Petersen ◽  
Ali Tokay
Keyword(s):  
Heavy Rain ◽  
The United States ◽  
False Alarms ◽  
Estimation Uncertainty ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Ground Validation ◽  
Important Means ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Global Precipitation ◽  
Different Sources

Abstract The comparison of satellite and high-quality, ground-based estimates of precipitation is an important means to assess the confidence in satellite-based algorithms and to provide a benchmark for their continued development and future improvement. To these ends, it is beneficial to identify sources of estimation uncertainty, thereby facilitating a precise understanding of the origins of the problem. This is especially true for new datasets such as the Integrated Multisatellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) product, which provides global precipitation gridded at a high resolution using measurements from different sources and techniques. Here, IMERG is evaluated against a dense network of gauges in the mid-Atlantic region of the United States. A novel approach is presented, leveraging ancillary variables in IMERG to attribute the errors to the individual instruments or techniques within the algorithm. As a whole, IMERG exhibits some misses and false alarms for rain detection, while its rain-rate estimates tend to overestimate drizzle and underestimate heavy rain with considerable random error. Tracing the errors to their sources, the most reliable IMERG estimates come from passive microwave satellites, which in turn exhibit a hierarchy of performance. The morphing technique has comparable proficiency with the less skillful satellites, but infrared estimations perform poorly. The approach here demonstrated that, underlying the overall reasonable performance of IMERG, different sources have different reliability, thus enabling both IMERG users and developers to better recognize the uncertainty in the estimate. Future validation efforts are urged to adopt such a categorization to bridge between gridded rainfall and instantaneous satellite estimates.

scholarly journals Upscaling methane emission hotspots in boreal peatlands

2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 915-926 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabio Cresto Aleina ◽  
Benjamin R. K. Runkle ◽  
Tim Brücher ◽  
Thomas Kleinen ◽  
Victor Brovkin
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Methane Emissions ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Rcp Scenarios ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Land Surface Modeling ◽  
Boreal Peatlands ◽  
Peatland Hydrology ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Micro Topography

Abstract. Upscaling the properties and effects of small-scale surface heterogeneities to larger scales is a challenging issue in land surface modeling. We developed a novel approach to upscale local methane emissions in a boreal peatland from the micro-topographic scale to the landscape scale. We based this new parameterization on the analysis of the water table pattern generated by the Hummock–Hollow model, a micro-topography resolving model for peatland hydrology. We introduce this parameterization of methane hotspots in a global model-like version of the Hummock–Hollow model that underestimates methane emissions. We tested the robustness of the parameterization by simulating methane emissions for the next century, forcing the model with three different RCP scenarios. The Hotspot parameterization, despite being calibrated for the 1976–2005 climatology, mimics the output of the micro-topography resolving model for all the simulated scenarios. The new approach bridges the scale gap of methane emissions between this version of the model and the configuration explicitly resolving micro-topography.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Global Precipitation Measurement Rainfall Estimates against Three Dense Gauge Networks

2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 517-532 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jackson Tan ◽  
Walter A. Petersen ◽  
Gottfried Kirchengast ◽  
David C. Goodrich ◽  
David B. Wolff
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
A Priori ◽  
Passive Microwave ◽  
Dual Frequency ◽  
Precipitation Measurement ◽  
Precipitation Estimates ◽  
Global Precipitation Measurement ◽  
Global Precipitation ◽  
Microwave Sensors ◽  
Rainfall Estimates

Abstract Precipitation profiles from the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Core Observatory Dual-Frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR; Ku and Ka bands) form part of the a priori database used in the Goddard profiling algorithm (GPROF) for retrievals of precipitation from passive microwave sensors, which are in turn used as high-quality precipitation estimates in gridded products. As GPROF performs precipitation retrievals as a function of surface classes, error characteristics may be dependent on surface types. In this study, the authors evaluate the rainfall estimates from DPR Ku as well as GPROF estimates from passive microwave sensors in the GPM constellation. The evaluation is conducted at the level of individual satellite pixels (5–15 km) against three dense networks of rain gauges, located over contrasting land surface types and rainfall regimes, with multiple gauges per satellite pixel and precise accumulation about overpass time to ensure a representative comparison. As expected, it was found that the active retrievals from DPR Ku generally performed better than the passive retrievals from GPROF. However, both retrievals struggle under coastal and semiarid environments. In particular, virga appears to be a serious challenge for both DPR Ku and GPROF. The authors detected the existence of lag due to the time it takes for satellite-observed precipitation to reach the ground, but the precise delay is difficult to quantify. It was also shown that subpixel variability is a contributor to the errors in GPROF. These results can pinpoint deficiencies in precipitation algorithms that may propagate into widely used gridded products.

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