Lake-effect rains over Lake Victoria and their association with Mesoscale Convective Systems

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sharon E. Nicholson ◽  
Douglas Klotter ◽  
Adam T. Hartman
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Lake Victoria ◽  
Ground Truth ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Lake Effect ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Strong Convection ◽  
Short Rains ◽  
Lake Catchment

AbstractThis article examined rainfall enhancement over Lake Victoria. Estimates of over-lake rainfall were compared with rainfall in the surrounding lake catchment. Four satellite products were initially tested against estimates based on gauges or water balance models. These included TRMM 3B43, IMERG V06 Final Run (IMERG-F), CHIRPS2, and PERSIANN-CDR. There was agreement among the satellite products for catchment rainfall but a large disparity among them for over-lake rainfall. IMERG-F was clearly an outlier, exceeding the estimate from TRMM 3B43 by 36%. The overestimation by IMERG-F was likely related to passive microwave assessments of strong convection, such as prevails over Lake Victoria. Overall, TRMM 3B43 showed the best agreement with the "ground truth" and was used in further analyses. Over-lake rainfall was found to be enhanced compared to catchment rainfall in all months. During the March-to-May long rains the enhancement varied between 40% and 50%. During the October-to-December short rains the enhancement varied between 33% and 44%. Even during the two dry seasons the enhancement was at least 20% and over 50% in some months. While the magnitude of enhancement varied from month to month, the seasonal cycle was essentially the same for over-lake and catchment rainfall, suggesting that the dominant influence on over-lake rainfall is the large-scale environment. The association with Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) was also evaluated. The similarity of the spatial patterns of rainfall and MCS count each month suggested that these produced a major share of rainfall over the lake. Similarity in interannual variability further supported this conclusion.

On the diurnal cycle of rainfall and convection over Lake Victoria and its catchment. Part 1: Rainfall and Mesoscale Convective Systems

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sharon E. Nicholson ◽  
Adam T. Hartman ◽  
Douglas A. Klotter
Keyword(s):  
Diurnal Cycle ◽  
Lake Victoria ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Early Evening ◽  
Lake Effect ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Dry Seasons

AbstractThis article examines the diurnal cycle of lake-effect rains over Lake Victoria and of rainfall in the surrounding catchment. The analysis focuses on four months, which represent the two wet seasons (April and November) and the two dry seasons (February and July). Lake-effect rains are strongest in April, weakest in July. In all cases there is a nocturnal rainfall maximum over the lake and a daytime maximum over the catchment, with the transition between rainfall over the lake and over the catchment occurring between 1200 and 1500 LST. During the night the surrounding catchment is mostly dry. Conversely, little to no rain falls over the lake during the afternoon and early evening. In most cases the maximum over the lake occurs at either 0600 or 0900 LST and the maximum over the catchment occurs around 1500 to 1800 LST. The diurnal cycle of Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) parallels that of over-lake rainfall. MCS initiation generally begins over the catchment around 1500 LST and increases at 1800 LST. MCS initiation over the lake begins around 0300 LST and continues until 1200 LST. While some MCSs originate over the highlands to the east of the lake, most originate in situ over the lake. Maximum MCS activity over the lake occurs at 0600 LST and is associated with the systems that initiate in situ.

scholarly journals Lightning and precipitation produced by severe weather systems over Belém, Brazil

2014 ◽  
Vol 29 (spe) ◽  
pp. 41-59 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wanda Maria do Nascimento Ribeiro ◽  
José Ricardo Santos Souza ◽  
Márcio Nirlando Gomes Lopes ◽  
Renata Kelen Cardoso Câmara ◽  
Edson José Paulino Rocha ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Electric Activity ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Major Influence ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Cg Lightning

CG Lightning flashes events monitored by a LDN of the Amazon Protection System, which included 12 LPATS IV VAISALA sensors distributed over eastern Amazonia, were analyzed during four severe rainstorm occurrences in Belem-PA-Brazil, in the 2006-2007 period. These selected case studies referred to rainfall events, which produced more than 25 mm/hour, or more than 40 mm/ 2 hours of precipitation rate totals, registered by a tipping bucket automatic high-resolution rain gauge, located at 1º 47' 53" S and 48º 30' 16" W. Centered at this location, a 30 ,10 and 5 km radius circles were drawn by means of a geographic information system, and the data from lightning occurrences within this larger area, were set apart for analysis. During these severe storms the CG lightning events, occurred almost randomly over the surrounding defined circle, previously covered by mesoscale convective systems, for all cases studied. This work also showed that the interaction between large-scale and mesoscale weather conditions have a major influence on the intensity of the storms studied cases. In addition to the enhancement of the lightning and precipitation rates, the electric activity within the larger circles can precede the rainfall at central point of the areas

Soil Moisture Influence on the Incidence of Summer Mesoscale Convective Systems in the U.S. Great Plains

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rachel Gaal ◽  
James L. Kinter
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Antecedent Soil Moisture ◽  
Initiation Point ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
The U.S

AbstractMesoscale convective systems (MCS) are known to develop under ideal conditions of temperature and humidity profiles and large-scale dynamic forcing. Recent work, however, has shown that summer MCS events can occur under weak synoptic forcing or even unfavorable large-scale environments. When baroclinic forcing is weak, convection may be triggered by anomalous conditions at the land surface. This work evaluates land surface conditions for summer MCS events forming in the U.S. Great Plains using an MCS database covering the contiguous United States east of the Rocky Mountains, in boreal summers 2004-2016. After isolating MCS cases where synoptic-scale influences are not the main driver of development (i.e. only non-squall line storms), antecedent soil moisture conditions are evaluated over two domain sizes (1.25° and 5° squares) centered on the mean position of the storm initiation. A negative correlation between soil moisture and MCS initiation is identified for the smaller domain, indicating that MCS events tend to be initiated over patches of anomalously dry soils of ~100-km scale, but not significantly so. For the larger domain, soil moisture heterogeneity, with anomalously dry soils (anomalously wet soils) located northeast (southwest) of the initiation point, is associated with MCS initiation. This finding is similar to previous results in the Sahel and Europe that suggest that induced meso-β circulations from surface heterogeneity can drive convection initiation.

scholarly journals Convective and Slantwise Trajectory Ascent in Convection-Permitting Simulations of Midlatitude Cyclones

2016 ◽  
Vol 144 (10) ◽  
pp. 3961-3976 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephan Rasp ◽  
Tobias Selz ◽  
George C. Craig
Keyword(s):  
Cold Front ◽  
Conveyor Belt ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Order Of Magnitude ◽  
Unstable Layer ◽  
Strong Convection ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Midlatitude Cyclones

Air parcel ascent in midlatitude cyclones driven by latent heat release has been investigated using convection-permitting simulations together with an online trajectory calculation scheme. Three cyclones were simulated to represent different ascent regimes: one continental summer case, which developed strong convection organized along a cold front; one marine winter case representing a slantwise ascending warm conveyor belt; and one autumn case, which contains both ascent types as well as mesoscale convective systems. Distributions of ascent times differ significantly in mean and shape between the convective summertime case and the synoptic wintertime case, with the mean ascent time being one order of magnitude larger for the latter. For the autumn case the distribution is a superposition of both ascent types, which could be separated spatially and temporally in the simulation. In the slowly ascending airstreams a significant portion of the parcels still experienced short phases of convective ascent. These are linked to line convection in the boundary layer for the wintertime case and an elevated conditionally unstable layer in the autumn case. Potential vorticity (PV) modification during ascent has also been investigated. Despite the different ascent characteristics it was found that net PV change between inflow and outflow levels is very close to zero in all cases. The spread of individual PV values, however, is increased after the ascent. This effect is more pronounced for convective trajectories.

scholarly journals Comparison of lightning activity in the two most active areas of the Congo Basin

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 479-489
Author(s):  
Jean K. Kigotsi ◽  
Serge Soula ◽  
Jean-François Georgis
Keyword(s):  
Thunderstorm Activity ◽  
Lightning Activity ◽  
Congo Basin ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Flash Rate ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
African Easterly Jet ◽  
The World ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Strong Convection

Abstract. A comparison of the lightning activity in the two most active areas (Area_max for the main maximum and Area_sec for the secondary maximum) of the Congo Basin is made with data obtained by the World Wide Lightning Location Network (WWLLN) during 2012 and 2013. Both areas of same size (5°  ×  5°) exhibit flash counts in a ratio of about 1.32 for both years and very different distributions of the flash rate density (FRD) with maximums in a ratio of 1.94 and 2.59 for 2012 and 2013, respectively. The FRD is much more widely distributed in Area_sec, which means the whole area contributes more or less equal to the lightning activity. The diurnal cycle is much more pronounced in Area_max than in Area_sec with a ratio between the maximum and the minimum of 15.4 and 4.7, respectively. However, the minimum and maximum of the hourly flash rates are observed roughly at the same time in both areas, between 07:00 and 09:00 UTC and between 16:00 and 17:00 UTC, respectively. In Area_sec the proportion of days with low lightning rate (0–1000 flashes per day) is much larger (∼  45 % in 2013) compared to Area_max (∼  23 % in 2013). In Area_max the proportion of days with moderate lightning rate (1001–6000 flashes per day) is larger (∼  68.5 % in 2013) compared to Area_sec (∼  46 % in 2013). The very intense convective events are slightly more numerous in Area_sec. In summary, the thunderstorm activity in Area_sec is more variable at different scales of time (annually and daily), in intensity and in location. Area_max combines two favourable effects for thunderstorm development, the convergence associated with the African easterly jet of the Southern Hemisphere (AEJ-S) and a geographic effect due to the orography and the presence of a lake. The location of the strong convection in Area_sec is modulated by the distance of westward propagation/regeneration of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) in relation to the phase of Kelvin waves.

scholarly journals Elucidating the Life Cycle of Warm-Season Mesoscale Convective Systems in Eastern China from the Himawari-8 Geostationary Satellite

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (14) ◽  
pp. 2307
Author(s):  
Dandan Chen ◽  
Jianping Guo ◽  
Dan Yao ◽  
Zhe Feng ◽  
Yanluan Lin
Keyword(s):  
Life Cycle ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Eastern China ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Northern China ◽  
Early Morning ◽  
Geostationary Satellite ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective

The life cycle of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) in eastern China is yet to be fully understood, mainly due to the lack of observations of high spatio-temporal resolution and objective methods. Here, we quantitatively analyze the properties of warm-season (from April to September of 2016) MCSs during their lifetimes using the Himawari-8 geostationary satellite, combined with ground-based radars and gauge measurements. Generally, the occurrence of satellite derived MCSs has a noon peak over the land and an early morning peak over the ocean, which is several hours earlier than the precipitation peak. The developing and dissipative stages are significantly longer as total durations of MCSs increase. Aided by three-dimensional radar mosaics, we find the fraction of convective cores over northern China is much lower when compared with those in central United States, indicating that the precipitation produced by broad stratiform clouds may be more important for northern China. When there exists a large amount of stratiform precipitation, it releases a large amount of latent heat and promotes the large-scale circulations, which favors the maintenance of MCSs. These findings provide quantitative results about the life cycle of warm-season MCSs in eastern China based on multiple data sources and large numbers of samples.

scholarly journals Macrophysical, Microphysical, and Radiative Properties of Tropical Mesoscale Convective Systems over Their Life Cycle

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (9) ◽  
pp. 3353-3371 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominique Bouniol ◽  
Rémy Roca ◽  
Thomas Fiolleau ◽  
D. Emmanuel Poan
Keyword(s):  
Life Cycle ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Radiative Heating ◽  
Radiative Properties ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Cloud Base ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Polar Orbiting Satellite ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are important drivers of the atmospheric large-scale circulation through their associated diabatic heating profile. Taking advantage of recent tracking techniques, this study investigates the evolution of macrophysical, microphysical, and radiative properties over the MCS life cycle by merging geostationary and polar-orbiting satellite data. These observations are performed in three major convective areas: continental West Africa, the adjacent Atlantic Ocean, and the open Indian Ocean. MCS properties are also investigated according to internal subregions (convective, stratiform, and nonprecipitating anvil). Continental MCSs show a specific life cycle, with more intense convection at the beginning. Larger and denser hydrometeors are thus found at higher altitudes, as well as up to the cirriform subregion. Oceanic MCSs have more constant reflectivity values, suggesting a less intense convective updraft, but more persistent intensity. A layer of small crystals is found in all subregions, but with a depth that varies according to the MCS subregion and life cycle. Radiative properties are also examined. It appears that the evolution of large and dense hydrometeors tends to control the evolution of the cloud albedo and the outgoing longwave radiation. The impact of dense hydrometeors, detrained from the convective towers, is also seen in the radiative heating profiles, in particular in the shortwave domain. A dipole of cooling near the cloud top and heating near the cloud base is found in the longwave; this cooling intensifies near the end of the life cycle.

scholarly journals A Simple Model of the Life Cycle of Mesoscale Convective Systems Cloud Shield in the Tropics

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (11) ◽  
pp. 4283-4298 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Roca ◽  
T. Fiolleau ◽  
D. Bouniol
Keyword(s):  
Life Cycle ◽  
Simple Model ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Morphological Characteristics ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Maximum Extent ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
The Tropics

Abstract Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are important to the water and energy budget of the tropical climate and are essential ingredients of the tropical circulation. MCSs are readily observed in satellite infrared geostationary imagery as cloud clusters that evolve in time from small structures to well-organized large patches of cloud shield before dissipating. The MCS cloud shield is the result of a large ensemble of mesoscale dynamical, thermodynamical, and microphysical processes. This study shows that a simple parametric model can summarize the time evolution of the morphological characteristics of the cloud shield during the life cycle of the MCS. It consists of a growth–decay linear model of the cloud shield and is based on three parameters: the time of maximum extent, the maximum extent, and the duration of the MCS. It is shown that the time of maximum is frequently close to the middle of the life cycle and that the correlation between maximum extent and duration is strong all over the tropics. This suggests that 1 degree of freedom is left to summarize the life cycle of the MCS cloud shield. Such a model fits the observed MCS equally well, independent of the duration, size, location, and propagation characteristics, and its relevance is assessed for a large number of MCSs over three boreal summer periods over the whole tropical belt. The scaling of this simple model exhibits weak (strong) regional variability for the short- (long-) lived systems indicative of the primary importance of the internal dynamics of the systems to the large-scale environment for MCS sustainability.

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