scholarly journals The Impact of Data Assimilation Length Scales on Analysis and Prediction of Convective Storms

2014 ◽  
Vol 142 (10) ◽  
pp. 3781-3808 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heiner Lange ◽  
George C. Craig

Abstract An idealized convective test bed for the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF) is set up to perform storm-scale data assimilation of simulated Doppler radar observations. Convective systems with lifetimes exceeding 6 h are triggered in a doubly periodic domain. Perfect-model experiments are used to investigate the limited predictability in precipitation forecasts by comparing analysis schemes that resolve different length scales. Starting from a high-resolution reference scheme with 8-km covariance localization and observations with 2-km resolution on a 5-min cycle, an experimental hierarchy is set up by successively choosing a larger covariance localization radius of 32 km, observations that are horizontally averaged by a factor of 4, a coarser resolution in the calculation of the analysis weights, and a cycling interval of 20 min. After 3 h of assimilation, the high-resolution analysis scheme is clearly superior to the configurations with coarser scales in terms of RMS error and field-oriented measures. The difference is associated with the observation resolution and a larger localization radius required for filter convergence with coarse observations. The high-resolution analysis leads to better forecasts for the first hour, but after 3 hours, the forecast quality of the schemes is indistinguishable. The more rapid error growth in forecasts from the high-resolution analysis appears to be associated with a limited predictability of the small scales, but also with gravity wave noise and spurious convective cells. The latter suggests that the field is in some sense less balanced, or less consistent with the model dynamics, than in the coarser-resolution analysis.

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mounir Benkiran ◽  
Giovanni Ruggiero ◽  
Eric Greiner ◽  
Pierre-Yves Le Traon ◽  
Elisabeth Rémy ◽  
...  

The future Surface Water Ocean Topography (SWOT) mission due to be launched in 2022 will extend the capability of existing nadir altimeters to enable two-dimensional mapping at a much higher effective resolution. A significant challenge will be to assimilate this kind of data in high-resolution models. In this context, Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs) have been performed to assess the impact of SWOT on the Mercator Ocean and Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service (CMEMS) global, high-resolution analysis and forecasting system. This paper focusses on the design of these OSSEs, in terms of simulated observations and assimilation systems (ocean model and data assimilation schemes). The main results are discussed in a companion paper. Two main updates of the current Mercator Ocean data assimilation scheme have been made to improve the assimilation of information from SWOT data. The first one is related to a different parametrisation of the model error covariance, and the second to the use of a four-dimensional (4D) version of the data assimilation scheme. These improvements are described in detail and their contribution is quantified. The Nature Run (NR) used to represent the “truth ocean” is validated by comparing it with altimeter observations, and is then used to simulate pseudo-observations required for the OSSEs. Finally, the design of the OSSEs is evaluated by ensuring that the differences between the assimilation system and the NR are statistically consistent with the misfits between real ocean observations and real-time operational systems.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Babette C. Tchonang ◽  
Mounir Benkiran ◽  
Pierre-Yves Le Traon ◽  
Simon Jan van Gennip ◽  
Jean Michel Lellouche ◽  
...  

A first attempt was made to quantify the impact of the assimilation of Surface Water Ocean Topography (SWOT) swath altimeter data in a global 1/12° high resolution analysis and forecasting system through a series of Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs). The OSSE framework (Nature Run and Free Run) and data assimilation scheme have been described in detail in a companion article (Benkiran et al., 2021). The impact of assimilating data from SWOT and three nadir altimeters was quantified by estimating analysis and forecast error variances for sea surface height (SSH), temperature, salinity, zonal, and meridional velocities. Wave-number spectra and coherence analyses of SSH errors were also computed. SWOT data will significantly improve the quality of ocean analyses and forecasts. Adding SWOT observations to those of three nadir altimeters globally reduces the variance of SSH and surface velocities in analyses and forecasts by about 30 and 20%, respectively. Improvements are greater in high-latitude regions where space/time coverage of SWOT is much denser. The combination of SWOT data with data from three nadir altimeters provides a better resolution of wavelengths between 50 and 200 km with a more than 40% improvement outside tropical regions with respect to data from three nadir altimeters alone. The study has also highlighted that the impact of using SWOT data is likely to be very different depending on geographical areas. Constraining smaller spatial scales (wavelengths below 100 km) remains challenging as they are also associated with small time scales. Although this is only a first step, the study has demonstrated that SWOT data could be readily assimilated in a global high-resolution analysis and forecasting system with a positive impact at all latitudes and outstanding performances.


1994 ◽  
Vol 144 ◽  
pp. 593-596
Author(s):  
O. Bouchard ◽  
S. Koutchmy ◽  
L. November ◽  
J.-C. Vial ◽  
J. B. Zirker

AbstractWe present the results of the analysis of a movie taken over a small field of view in the intermediate corona at a spatial resolution of 0.5“, a temporal resolution of 1 s and a spectral passband of 7 nm. These CCD observations were made at the prime focus of the 3.6 m aperture CFHT telescope during the 1991 total solar eclipse.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 1093
Author(s):  
Yunlong Zhao ◽  
Geng Kong ◽  
Chin Hao Chong ◽  
Linwei Ma ◽  
Zheng Li ◽  
...  

Controlling energy consumption to reduce greenhouse gas emissions has become a global consensus in response to the challenge of climate change. Most studies have focused on energy consumption control in a single region; however, high-resolution analysis of energy consumption and personalized energy policy-making, for multiple regions with differentiated development, have become a complicated challenge. Using the logarithmic mean Divisia index I (LMDI) decomposition method based on energy allocation analysis (EAA), this paper aims to establish a standard paradigm for a high-resolution analysis of multi-regional energy consumption and provide suggestions for energy policy-making, taking 29 provinces of China as the sample. The process involved three steps: (1) determination of regional priorities of energy consumption control by EAA, (2) revealing regional disparity among the driving forces of energy consumption growth by LMDI, and (3) deriving policy implications by comparing the obtained results with existing policies. The results indicated that 29 provinces can be divided into four groups, with different priorities of energy consumption control according to the patterns of coal flows. Most provinces have increasing levels of energy consumption, driven by increasing per capita GDP and improving living standards, while its growth is restrained by decreasing end-use energy intensity, improving energy supply efficiency, and optimization of industrial structures. However, some provinces are not following these trends to the same degree. This indicates that policy-makers must pay more attention to the different driving mechanisms of energy consumption growth among provinces.


2002 ◽  
Vol 70 (5) ◽  
pp. 1197-1214 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fulvio Cruciani ◽  
Piero Santolamazza ◽  
Peidong Shen ◽  
Vincent Macaulay ◽  
Pedro Moral ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Aleksandar Antanasijevic ◽  
Leigh M. Sewall ◽  
Christopher A. Cottrell ◽  
Diane G. Carnathan ◽  
Luis E. Jimenez ◽  
...  

AbstractEngineered ectodomain trimer immunogens based on BG505 envelope glycoprotein are widely utilized as components of HIV vaccine development platforms. In this study, we used rhesus macaques to evaluate the immunogenicity of several stabilized BG505 SOSIP constructs both as free trimers and presented on a nanoparticle. We applied a cryoEM-based method for high-resolution mapping of polyclonal antibody responses elicited in immunized animals (cryoEMPEM). Mutational analysis coupled with neutralization assays were used to probe the neutralization potential at each epitope. We demonstrate that cryoEMPEM data can be used for rapid, high-resolution analysis of polyclonal antibody responses without the need for monoclonal antibody isolation. This approach allowed to resolve structurally distinct classes of antibodies that bind overlapping sites. In addition to comprehensive mapping of commonly targeted neutralizing and non-neutralizing epitopes in BG505 SOSIP immunogens, our analysis revealed that epitopes comprising engineered stabilizing mutations and of partially occupied glycosylation sites can be immunogenic.


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